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BofAML Closes EURUSD Short, Fears Squeeze Higher

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It is "Mission Accomplished" for BofAML's Macneil Curry's EURUSD short. Thanks to Draghi's moar-negative-rate-cut, EURUSUD pushed through Cury's objective and we note has now stabilized at 14-month lows around 1.30 the figure. Curry's fear now, given the extremes in sentiment and positioning, is that EURUSD squeezes notably higher.

 

Via BofAML,

Closing our €/$ short position 

We are closing out our €/$ short position, as the pair has reached our downside objective of 1.3104. On Jul-08, we recommended going short €/$ at 1.3594, targeting 1.3104. This target has been hit and we therefore close out the position.

Now, momentum and sentiment have reached bearish extremes which have often preceded a turn higher.

Specifically, daily RSI has reached its lowest levels since 2Q12, while the DSI (Daily Sentiment Index) has reached 6% bulls, the lowest since July'13 (see chart on page 2). These conditions make the potential for a technical squeeze/correction higher too large to ignore.

However, we must stress that a €/$ bounce must be seen as corrective/ temporary and ultimately an opportunity to re-set shorts for 1.2787/1.2694 and potentially below to the 1.22/1.18 area

 

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Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:06 | 5182990 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Nice. Looks like a good bearish treasury call. Still...these are Bankers? Seem more like part of Cody's Wild West Shows of lore...

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:21 | 5183026 ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

American exports are going to get killed.

But ... I guess ... BofA is going to single handed increase service revenue with it's FX financialization profits.

Thank God for the banks.

Oh ... wait ... screw'em instead ... p%%%ants.

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:53 | 5183089 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Strange that no one reinstated Glass Steagal after the 2008 financial collapse.

BofA no longer exists in New York..."to risky a market" apparently.

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:14 | 5183010 Lets Buy The Dip
Lets Buy The Dip's picture

Totally good on the treasury comment there disabledvet.

Batwing pattern on the DJIA too. => http://bit.ly/1fMcakI

Its about teh jobs numbers on friday, but that could be a whole run on teh algos too, set up for next week. that patern 100up 30 down and then 90-100 up could be playing out. That means we could be higher alot higher in the next few months. Xmas rally too maybe ?

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:45 | 5183074 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Not sure how to "play" World War Z.

I don't think day trading is high on my list though. It would be nice if Bankers had a time span for a trade of say...greater than a week.

That would inspire more confidence from me in their "wizardry."

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:17 | 5183016 Number 156
Number 156's picture

Be careful. Theres plenty of goalSeek(ed) data manipulation and funny money printing capacity left in the system to keep these games going for some time.

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:25 | 5183033 Majestic12
Majestic12's picture

"to keep these games going for some time."

Exactly....and they haven't even begun to pull out the SDR casino yet....

Fri, 09/05/2014 - 14:23 | 5185685 StandardDeviant
StandardDeviant's picture

"These games"?  What, you mean FX trading?  That's been around since the days of the Sumerians, and will indeed keep going for some time.

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:20 | 5183022 HUGE_Gamma
HUGE_Gamma's picture

it does appear oversold.. but every pullback will be crushed 

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:22 | 5183025 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

They are pumping the JPY straight to the moon; I hope the carry trade carries them straight to hell....

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:22 | 5183029 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Unpossible since GS said "Short Gold" today. They both can't be right.

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:48 | 5183084 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Interesting comments from a Fed Governor "Powell."

Said something about getting rid of LIBOR. Seems odd that US based assets would have their price set based on a "London Fix." I still think gold is way overpriced here...but copper, silver, natural gas, oil...whole lot of "something's" the dollar could be fixed at.

"Start actually paying for the war."

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:25 | 5183032 Rakshas
Rakshas's picture

......it never ceases to amaze me that with so much information available we still have completely oblivious sheep that just don't seem to have any situational awareness ....... like this........

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8AIKvld4jU

........ what's it gonna take ....

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:29 | 5183038 Majestic12
Majestic12's picture

".....it never ceases to amaze me"

Agreed....I would love to kiss her ass ...before I kiss my own "good-bye"....

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 22:36 | 5183055 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

when will 1 plus 1 equal 2 again. how long can this bull shit continue. I have a long in my pants and yelled gonna make me short guess I need to find the pics of Kate Upton

Thu, 09/04/2014 - 23:40 | 5183163 I_rikey_lice
I_rikey_lice's picture

You want Kate Upton pics plus some other naked bimbos then visit your friendly neighbourhood pirate!

http://thepiratebay.se/torrent/10957831/The_Fappening_2014_Jennifer_Lawrence__Kate_Upton_and_More_Leaked

Some screen shots availlable if you don't want to download whole file.

Fri, 09/05/2014 - 06:42 | 5183563 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

The games central bankers are playing in supporting their and other currencies has reached a dangerous level, we may be in the "red zone". Currencies are important chips in the commerce of government and the business of running a country.

History has shown that in the past both leaders and governments have fallen with the demise of their coin. If people lose faith in the system it could just come crashing down around our ears. At a time when billions of dollars can be traded in just the blink of an eye imagine how fast things could go to hell. More on this subject in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/01/currencies-games-in-danger-zone.h...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!