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Economic Confidence Has Gone Nowhere In A Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Despite the exuberance of certain government-sponsored confidence surveys, Gallup's weekly measure of economic confidence in America continues to go absolutely nowhere. As they note, so far, 2014 has been a unique year for the U.S. Economic Confidence Index in its doldrum-like range, stagnant and still negative.

Gallup's U.S. Economic Confidence Index remained at -17 in the first week of September, the same score as in the last week of August. For the sixth week in a row, index readings have not strayed from a narrow range of -15 to -17.

 

Bottom Line

So far, 2014 has been a unique year for the U.S. Economic Confidence Index in that it has been remarkably steady throughout the winter, spring, and summer. In previous years, the weekly index readings from January through August had high-to-low ranges of 17 to 36 index points. In 2014, the index has stayed within a narrower eight-point range.

However, the index remains in negative territory. And though it has been stable, it can also be viewed as stagnant, because it has registered no real improvements in economic confidence.

Source: Gallup

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Recovery?

 

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Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:26 | 5198838 ShorTed
ShorTed's picture

The worse it is, the better it is.  What's so hard to understand?

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:47 | 5198893 tawdzilla
tawdzilla's picture

"Let them buy stocks!"  J. Yellen

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 16:03 | 5199006 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Looks a lot like China's phoney-baloney GDP growth numbers.  But negative.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:28 | 5198841 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

Time to prepare yourself for the next downturn.  It's coming and Obama's government won't be able to do much to help anyone this time.  

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:28 | 5198843 madcows
madcows's picture

GREEN SHOOTS!  Everything is wonderful!  Why arent you racking up debt and spending?  Everything is great.  If the prols would just go out and spend we'd all be living large.

 

fucking retards still don't get it.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:29 | 5198848 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

corzine and cohen are plenty confident that they'll never go to jail so there's that

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:33 | 5198864 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Steady as she goes is a conspiracy.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:35 | 5198877 olle
olle's picture

"Fellow Americans, I have to deal with ISIS and Putin right now, it will take a couple of weeks, the I will focus on the future of this great Country"....a few golfrounds and the an executive order that you should be confident....Trust me.... Obomba

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:39 | 5198890 poor fella
poor fella's picture

How does this 7-year Depression have the facade of a economic boom?

I think about Janet Yellen and the U.S. economy and my libido is like I'm 18 again, so the desire is there... all the time! Constantly! I don't have the same lows. I feel like jumping in this market like tomorrow can't come soon enough.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:47 | 5198921 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

I think what makes this the greatest depression in US history is the fact that we're in the middle of the biggest energy boom in world history while we have this "collapse thingy" going on.

And of course equities are hitting one record high after another...

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:52 | 5198947 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

CB utopia...budgets are so pre-information age

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:55 | 5198955 Clesthenes
Clesthenes's picture

Let’s see, what could we do to stimulate the economy?

How about adjusting SS retirement checks to reflect the real/original CPI?  That is, a CPI of 10% instead of 2%.

But, how could we pay for these adjustments?  Well, there’s the $9-$11 Trillions that went missing from DoD, HUD and SSA, among other amounts and agencies.  Perhaps we could investigate and recover these missing trillions.  Should we do the work, or Congress? What a silly question.

With the adjustments, we benefit 50 million retirees; with the recovery of trillions, we benefit some 60 million private workers (with lower taxes) plus another 20 million who are looking for work.  (Complete article)

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 15:58 | 5198972 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

The reason the CPI was changed was for this very purpose.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 16:11 | 5199048 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Just a couple of journal entries

Fill out the form

(the one with the grid on it, yes that one)

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 16:10 | 5199037 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Holding pattern

at best

GDP declining

Debt

Increasing

Game

Ov

er

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 16:14 | 5199062 B2u
B2u's picture

Time to adjust the CPI, GDP and unemployment numbers again.  Just adjust them to be favorable and all the issues are solved.

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 16:23 | 5199101 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

Much of the economic landscape is beginning to look like something out of  "Alice And The Looking Glass" A bizarre  and unrecognizable land, a land that is distorted and papered over by ream after ream of paper. This paper has been rolling off the printing presses of central banks all across the world in an attempt to mask reality.

Peter Schiff says, printing money is to the economy what taking drugs is to a drug addict. In the short term it makes the economy feel good, but in the long run it is much worse off. What was once the "long run" or "distant future" may be getting much closer. More on what happens when the momentum ends in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/01/what-happens-after-momentum-ends_...

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 17:09 | 5199281 Coletrane
Coletrane's picture

Just wait til this gets some traction....................lol

 

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 17:40 | 5199368 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

I'll be watching the Iphone 6 sales the next couple of weeks. Given that the average Murikan would probably go without porn and GMO microwavable food to stare at the latest sexy encased box of 20 dollar ChiCom circuit boards this should be a very good proxy of consumer confidence.

If it's relatively flat sales than the consumer is done plucked and the holidays sales will be fucked (again). Rarely do we get an example of 'must have' consumer shit for the drones than this much hyped release. Should be quite revealing.

  

Tue, 09/09/2014 - 18:53 | 5199644 silverer
silverer's picture

Four more years!

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