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How You Know The Time For More QE Has Come

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Yellen, we have a problem...

Bloomberg's Comfort Index for those earning over $75k suggests it's time for Yellen to "get back to work."

 

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:52 | 5206941 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

Does that mean that the retarded sheep (demoRATS) who make less than that still have confidence? 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:57 | 5206966 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Ms. Yellen, let's get to work! Hey Let's get those printing presses spinning!!!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:58 | 5206972 PAPA ROACH
Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:03 | 5206997 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

If LOW INCOME EARNER CONFIDENCE was also on the chart, the S&P500 would be right at 300 by now.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:03 | 5207004 maskone909
maskone909's picture

one thing is for sure, the $USD is on a fucking rocket going north and i dont have any idea why.  makes no fucking sense

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:12 | 5207060 Hal n back
Hal n back's picture

nirp in eurozone and Japan--some money flow to usd. Rather than spending.

 

USD is the best of the G7-no big deal;

Rouble and Yuan not exactly good either but they have a stockpile of gold that perhaps we do not have. Who knows with all this transparency floating around.

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:27 | 5207132 JRobby
JRobby's picture

"USD is the best of the G7-no big deal"

Funny. "Here in the shit section, there is a choice of a few currencies......."

 


Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:41 | 5207223 Manthong
Manthong's picture

“$USD.. rocket going north”

..best looking nag in the glue factory

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:59 | 5207331 No Quarter
No Quarter's picture

Yep- at least metals are relatively cheap right now. Get them while you can 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:24 | 5207470 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

CRB Index indicating a bit of a dip too:  http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/RC/X

Stock markets to follow?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:43 | 5207567 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Just BTFD, we are a couple points from all time highs already so its free money.  

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:57 | 5207612 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Silver curently at $18.59. Look at the 5y and 10y charts:

http://silverprice.org/charts/history/silver_5_year_o_b_usd.png?0.190780...
http://silverprice.org/charts/history/silver_10_year_o_b_usd.png?0.15664...

We're back to 2010. Last time, they stopped the exponentiation towards its true relative dollar valuation. What do they got this time?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:15 | 5207756 Shocker
Shocker's picture

Yes, This economy needs you

Layoff List: http://www.dailyjobcuts.com

-

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:48 | 5207949 WakeUpPeeeeeople
WakeUpPeeeeeople's picture

The USD$ is the best looking horse at the dog food factory.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:53 | 5207971 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

Empire looks weak.  Will Hillary be the death of USD CONfidence? 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 18:11 | 5208607 Bad Attitude
Bad Attitude's picture

Dear Leader still has 2.5 years remaining to directly destroy the US, plus various civil servants he has planted in government who will continue his destructive policies for decades to come.

Forward (over the cliff)!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 18:29 | 5208671 knukles
knukles's picture

Neede MOAR QE when their silk sheets get scratchy

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 23:32 | 5209506 Elvis the Pelvis
Elvis the Pelvis's picture

Retarded sheep?  Why blame the victims.  I have no control over the FED.  Neither do the lions.  Yellen will do what she do do.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 23:02 | 5209442 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Hillary will be the dawn of a new cuntfidence.

 

Hey, it is all manipulated right? The very top is probably going to short the market for a controlled demolition. Now that stocks are going plaid and their brains are going into their feet, they are yelling for full stop.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:17 | 5207765 StupidEarthlings
StupidEarthlings's picture

I heard orange was the new black..?..

 

;)

 

 

Anyway..Tylers. .you forgot to say "in one chart".

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 16:48 | 5208220 aVileRat
aVileRat's picture

is "in 1 chart" the new "1 more thing"?

This is important stuff.

QE will be needed to direct transfers to lower class and to keep everyone on the inflation treadmill. Pensions can run all they like to bonds/fixed indentures but that will not cover the gaping hole in their structures or drawdowns. Sooner rather than later, those mega pools of capital will be forced to invest in growth, or they will be chewed up in the bond bubble where yield (aka: cash flow growth) is not tenable anymore.

Everyone needs to get out and push to get the world economy back moving; that includes passive savers who think they can closet index their way to a Florida retirement home.

The bigger worry is how does this blowback alter tail risk & pension indexing to performance benchmarks when they are faced with the unconfortable truth that total productivity gains vs. inflation have ruined the worlds "cash cows" of real estate, and rent seeking/creaming margins.

And now? Back to Poundbreaking (sic)

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:31 | 5208429 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

They need to 'quit' QE, so they can start it again for another 5 or 6 years...next phase will be remarkably less effective than the remarkably ineffective first 5 years of it (QE1, 2, and 3)...and so we either go Japan's route, or we lose a handle and head into high/hyper infaltion..

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:41 | 5207220 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Lets print up some more transparency, or find the next Belgium to do so.

Might want to lend out more of that gold as well.  3X is just not enough...

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 03:20 | 5209775 BrosephStiglitz
BrosephStiglitz's picture

This, so much this.  Sov. Default risk in Japan.  Sov. Default risk in some members of the Eurozone that threaten to drag the solvent members down too.  UK has risk of fragmentation (Scottish referendum).  Sanctions on Russia.  China in the dumps with massive credit bubble.

The entire world is going up in flames and the US is the best "worst case" scenario.  When you are a hedge fund manager, or pension fund manager, or corporate business with a ton of cash assets where do you go?  The USD.

This is another reason why the US market rally will (despite defying all logic) continue to rally.  There is no where to go with big money that is less risky.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:13 | 5207064 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Maybe war is coming soon and the 'assholes in the know' knows that its a safe haven trade (even though we all know the USD is worthless) for the sheeps and its about to commence in a few days so they front run them?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:29 | 5207484 Postal
Postal's picture

USD is not worthless as long as sheeple keep giving me PM, food, and lapdances in exchange.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:20 | 5207096 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Commonsense and the market (especially this one) have nothing to do with each other.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:22 | 5207104 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Richard Russell often makes the point that astronomical levels of dollar-denominated debt in the world create a "synthetic short" in the USD. To pay off debt, the world has to buy dollars, and up she goes.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:25 | 5207471 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

That damned burden of a global reserve currency again! Will we get no relief?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 20:19 | 5208963 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Well...apparently Detroit wasn't enough.

Next up Puerto Rico.

After that...who knows...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:25 | 5207128 TVP
TVP's picture

It makes perfect sense, when you realize that fiat currencies only have value in relation to each other.

When the value of one worthless piece of paper falls faster than another, the one falling slowest will "go up" in value.

Right now, that's the dollar.

Also, as other currencies collapse, many people purchase dollars and other US financial instruments, as they think of this as still being a "safe haven".  So, sheeple will be herded into one single corner before the whole kitten kaboodle goes ka-boom.  

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:29 | 5207850 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Seppo $ is a debtor currency

Euro is not

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:54 | 5208521 OpenThePodBayDoorHAL
OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

Uh-huh, euro is a monetary union without a fiscal or a political union or bond market and that has exactly what percentage chance actually working? Oh, look, zero.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:44 | 5207244 JOHNICON
JOHNICON's picture

Could be due to dollar-denominated debt being liquidated faster than new debt can be issued to replace it.  In that scenario demand for USD goes up so the value USD goes up in relation to other currencies.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:15 | 5207415 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Easy. You gotta remember that the FED and its minions are the only ones moving the markets. They, for whatever reason (and it one day will become apparent) have stopped smashing the dollar. Hence, the dollaro will rise. Should they one day decide to stop smashing gold and silver, they too will rise.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:22 | 5207456 markettime
markettime's picture

All of those litle numbers we see on our computer screen are not even reality. Reality will be the dollar not buying anything but still reading 84 on the USd index. Total control of everything. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 22:55 | 5209425 conscious being
conscious being's picture

Nothing has a free market price again, until the dolla dies. Paraphrasing Rocky Racoon some time ago. I mean the OLD SOVIET UNION had prices too.

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:31 | 5207490 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

"one thing is for sure, the $USD is on a fucking rocket going north and i dont have any idea why.  makes no fucking sense"

 

Nope not on a rocket, everything else is just sinking real fast but dont worry our boat is bubbling a lot too. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:50 | 5207598 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

True - and it would be in the best interests of those living in the U.S. who are used to and think their standard of living will be the way it has always been, to hope that northward 'trend' remains. For when it fails, well - the unwind will be somewhere around 10k RPM...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:23 | 5208393 Ghostdog
Ghostdog's picture

Global Deflation is winning would be my guess

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:19 | 5207090 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

For the record I hate repukelicans too....

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:31 | 5207157 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

You gotta respect a guy that doesn't discriminate...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:18 | 5207435 PrecipiceWatching
PrecipiceWatching's picture

Actually, discrimination, in its true sense, is a sign of intelligence, logic and reason.

 

Same with that other modern day "evil": Judgmentalism.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:33 | 5207497 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Personally I have never liked Republicrats or Demicians. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:39 | 5208457 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

But, but R's are worse 'cause they rayciss, and dems aren't - they're good to the little people...!  lol

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:07 | 5207019 cassotto
cassotto's picture

it means they are nugatory

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:08 | 5207029 Snoopy the Economist
Snoopy the Economist's picture

"Does that mean that the retarded sheep (demoRATS) who make less than that still have confidence?"

So what...you think only repubs make >$75K/yr?

Let go of the false red/blue paradigm.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:21 | 5207445 PrecipiceWatching
PrecipiceWatching's picture

Bullshit.

 

There is an enormous, core difference between Red and Blue.  On nearly every issue.

 

Republicans and Democrats....not so much.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:50 | 5208500 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

"Let go of the false red/blue paradigm." = quit hoping in the political 'process.'  Economics will prevail, and then we'll be forced to get back into politics (when it's more or less defunded by necessity.)  That will be an interesting period, when it does finally occur.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:12 | 5207054 BiteMeBO
BiteMeBO's picture

I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more QE!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:45 | 5207941 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Yes, moar droplets for the ebola winner.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:32 | 5207164 JRobby
JRobby's picture

What we hope people aspire to is an understanding that Dem vs Repub., Lib vs Con. is simply a division of the electorate play by those in control of ALL.

Keeping the electorate divided is in their best interest.

Hopefully you now understand the downvotes you received and will continue to receive if you continue to post misinformed political garbage.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:35 | 5207186 Landrew
Landrew's picture

If you think this is about political party, you are far, far to stupid to comment here. Sit back and learn, this isn't about party, it's about monied interests. You might be the only one left that doesn't understand that. I am afraid I am not being harsh enough, others should fill that gap. Please begin the pummeling!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:29 | 5208423 mkkby
mkkby's picture

I agree.  But you called him "far to stupid".  The level of stupidity in this world really is painful.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 23:06 | 5209418 atomp
atomp's picture

It might have been interesting if he typed 'near, near to stupid', though.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:09 | 5207366 Bokkenrijder
Bokkenrijder's picture

Quick Yellen, start printing! The goldbugs are getting nervous by trying to catch this falling knife BTFD, errr gold price! ;-)

p.s. I guess the Chinese took the week off from buying gold, hehehe.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:23 | 5207462 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

As long as the public at large is selling gold & silver to the gold/silver shops the upward price appreciation in gold & siliver has not actually started. 2001/2011 Has indeed been just some first awakening dude.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:46 | 5207583 Bokkenrijder
Bokkenrijder's picture

But but but...I thought the price was MANIPULATED when it goes down? Are you telling me that supply and demand actually matter, or is that only when the price goes up?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:54 | 5208522 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

Paper or Phyzz?  Manipulation happens (fact) in the paper markets, and ultimately phyzz will prevail on many levels, including price.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:53 | 5207619 rum_runner
rum_runner's picture

You realize "red" states get the most gubmint cheese, yeah?  Anyways, screw your red/blue noise.  And you.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:52 | 5206943 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Hyperinflation feels gooood....at first.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:59 | 5206982 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

Nope, it's going to be deflationary. Hence all the "excess liquidity" provided by the central banks and the strong dollar. Gold will continue it's losing streak, this hurts the fringe "royal libertarians" and the foreign central bansk who keep stacking shiney trinkets. Smart money exits first and pick it all back up for pennies on the dollar.  

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:08 | 5207024 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

It's deflationary in the beginning.  The first event is a sudden deflationary shock where all the debt is wiped out in mass defaults.

The "excess liquidity" becomes hyper inflationary, and in a few weeks you wake up a billionaire.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:29 | 5207144 TVP
TVP's picture

A billionaire who cannot afford a loaf of bread.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:07 | 5207365 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

I remember reading somewhere that during the US Civil War during a time of great necessities mustard was considered a great extravagance, and those who had any could trade small amounts for just about anything.  Makes you wonder....

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:33 | 5207514 Postal
Postal's picture

I have stockpiles of Midol, Pamprin, and pads: I'm gonna be a rich dude when the shit storm arrives. ;)

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:04 | 5207703 dirtscratcher
dirtscratcher's picture

Maybe not rich, but well serviced (which may be better).

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:32 | 5208437 mkkby
mkkby's picture

Think xmas sale a wal mart.  I wouldn't want to be him.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:07 | 5207028 devo
devo's picture

I tend to agree. There is no money to be made in this stock market at these levels, so there has to be a crash with a buy low opportunity to maximaize margins. If we all agree this is planned, then that plan gives the insiders the most profit and least risk.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:09 | 5207030 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

IMO, it will be deflationary, then hyperinfaltionary.  But I'm not going to play in the markets.  If I can hold it in my hands, it's either mine of it belongs to a friend or a family member.  Fuck everything else.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:11 | 5207051 devo
devo's picture

Well you can hold a stock certificate in your hand. Just saying.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:14 | 5207066 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

And that can get wiped out in a heartbeat.  If I don't hold the physical resources of the company in my hand, what good is the paper?  That's not to say that ownership in a company is necessarily a bad thing, but the way things are today, it's all paper.  Might as well be toilet paper.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:11 | 5207385 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

When the government is forced to mandate green energy there should be some prime investment opportunities.  However, the timing of that is pretty much undecipherable right now.  However, a small investment for your offspring or grandkids might just turn out to be the best present you ever gave them.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:32 | 5207163 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

I didn't get the impression that your comment warranted all of that junking.  I suppose I should be more specific and say that it is things of real value that you should physically hold.  Our concept of value today is fucked up.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:43 | 5207237 devo
devo's picture

If a user mentions stocks in any way that suggests they're not absolutely worthless, the comment gets junked. That is the nature of ZH and the emotional, bunker-dwelling-man-babies who post here. But I agree with you that inhand is best. But for commodoties that the corporations (i.e. stocks) own and produce, that is nearly impossible. For example, I would rather own the oil that Shell produces than Shell stock, but I have nowhere to store even 1 barrell. So maybe Shell (preferred) stock is the thing to buy in that case. Yes, it can go to zero. It can go anywhere. But you have to pick your battles, and if it's hyperinflation that you fear a stock is better than cash, imo. My question is this:

To have hyperinflation, we need high velocity. In what scenario would banks lend to enough people that velocity gets so high we have hyperinflation? i.e. where are the good borrowers going to come from to get all the reserves out of the coffers? Banks can't find anyone to lend to right now, which is why they're speculating so much. Some of that speculation does trigger inflation, but not to the point of hyperinflation. 

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:55 | 5207295 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

There are two mechanisms that I see coming into play here:

 

A deflationary crunch causes the Fed to go plaid.

All of those foreign held FRNs come flooding back to the country when people quit using the dollar as a means of settling international trade.

 

But yes, what you can hold vs what you should hold is fucked up, just like our current concept of value.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:02 | 5207341 devo
devo's picture

All of those foreign held FRNs come flooding back to the country when people quit using the dollar as a means of settling international trade.

That's the only mechanism I can see triggering it, too. I don't see how it gets triggered through bank loans or any type of credit because we simply don't have the jobs/middle class borrowers to support that. Even at the height of the housing bubble when the middle class did have equity and credit, we still did not near a hyperinflation. So even if we get subprime again (and it looks like we will have to given housing is down lately), the inflation is only in specific assets. To have it broad across all assets, I'd think, would require dollars to come flooding back to the U.S. I.e. we lose reserve status. The ZH articles about countries bypassing (or trying to bypass) the dollar are the most interesting ones.

To me, gold represents good collateral. If everyone holds debt, and I own credit/collateral (gold), then I'm better off. Nothing more than that.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:09 | 5207369 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Government deficit spending via the Fed going plaid is another option for FRNs (digital or physical, it matters not) to leak into the economy. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:53 | 5207296 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

"where are the good borrowers going to come from"

Who says they have to be good borrowers...? If Congress ever figures out that they can control lending (think all those liar loans), they might fire up that type of program again. Sheep happy, they get re-elected, wash, rinse, repeat...

just saying...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:02 | 5207344 devo
devo's picture

I guess but we had several subprimes play out without hyperinflation.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:07 | 5207364 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Can't we all just get a $100k tax refund and go spend it?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:10 | 5207380 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

If you do have stocks, you probably should hold those certs in your hand.  Things on banker books and in the banking system tend to not actually exist.  That is all things, not just gold.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:19 | 5207779 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

Since when can you hold the stock certificate in your hand?

I tried to take delivery of stock certificates and my broker-dealer looked like a deer in the headlights.

After months I gave up.

Soon you won't be allowed to hold FR Notes in  your hand.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:12 | 5207059 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

You should re-evaluate your priorities. Access to fresh water, food, shelter....etc. Gold because you can "hold it in your hands" is rather short sighted. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:17 | 5207076 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

I have access to fresh water, shelter, etc...  I can hold them in my hands, or at least as well as one can hold water.  By October, I'll have enough seed to plant dozens of acres.  I can hold them in my hands too.  I have silver, but I don't have any gold.  I also have lead. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:36 | 5207200 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Planting in October...?

You had better move to the southern hemisphere or take a quick class in farming. ;-)

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:43 | 5207235 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

1) I am planting fall crops this month.  Lettuce, spinach, mustard, brassicas, etc...  Stuff that handles cool weather and/or overwinters.

2) Some things that were planted in late spring/early summer are just now starting to mature.  This will continue into october.  I've already harvested all of my seed for corn, summer squash, chard, onion (those are biennial, FYI,) and have partially harvested seed for chile and beets.  I have tons of carrot, lettuce and bean, both dry and green seeds, and more are inbound.  My winter squash are just getting started on maturity, and I've only had one melon plant produce mature melons, with several just getting revved up.  And I'm sure I've forgotten a bunch of shit, like the three heat resistant kohlrabi that will be producing seed next spring/early summer.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:48 | 5207250 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Me and the Mrs. ate more chard last night than any person has a right to..., and that ain't cheap at the farmers market.

Go chard...!  (and kohlrabi)

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:22 | 5207454 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

Rainbow chard makes an outstanding colcannon with steamed Yukon Golds. It grows really well in NE, so I've never bought it.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:46 | 5207251 devo
devo's picture

How/where did you buy your land, and what State? I really need to add land. It's the one thing I'm missing in my preps/investments. Can't seem to find anything that's right.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:51 | 5207286 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

It's been in the family for a long time, and it's in NM.  We have a long growing season for the contential US (yeah, parts of California, AZ and the south are longer, but we beat the hell out of New England,)  You can start planting things that you would use for fall crops as early as Feb 15 and while frost has been seen in Sept, we typically don't see a first frost until the middle or end of October.  The sun beats the shit out things here though.  The other thing is that either you fit in here, or you don't.  If you do, you'll love it.  If you don't, well, you'll hate it.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:57 | 5207322 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Spent many years on the Colorado New Mexico border..., which side exactly can still be debated. You are correct, things grow like crazy as long as you have access to aqua...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:03 | 5207345 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Stuff that does well with abuse or neglect here is tougher than hell in a survival sense though.  Look up tepary beans.  For a while this year, I held off on the agua long enough for the weeds to start getting stressed and the beans were fine.  Then, I started watering once every week or two, and holy shit, did those things produce.  100-200 pods per plant.  You can easily get a 300-500 fold return for every bean that sprouts.  They bring a whole new meaning to drought tolerant, and they taste good too.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:08 | 5207373 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

" I held off on the agua long enough for the weeds to start getting stressed and the beans were fine.  Then, I started watering once every week or two, and holy shit, did those things produce. "

I've learned something today...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:24 | 5207463 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

I've always had good interactions with these people for buying seed:

http://shop.nativeseeds.org/collections/tepary-beans

And I got my initial seed from these guys:

http://www.plantsofthesouthwest.com/Sonoran-Tepary-Bean/productinfo/V6054/

I've been into one of their physical brick'n mortar shops several times, and they're good people.

 

Something else to learn:

http://garlicseed.blogspot.com/p/growing-garlic-from-true-seed.html

I managed to get around 30 seeds this year.  According to people actually doing this stuff, planting the first year seed in the fall and letting it overwinter does just as well if not better than the bleach and 'fridge treatment.

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 01:36 | 5209693 Ward no. 6
Ward no. 6's picture

thanks for the sites...

i am going to try garlic this fall

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:05 | 5207353 devo
devo's picture

I wouldn't think the soils in NM could support good crops. Not just the lack of water but the lack of organic matter, etc. I guess you really have to work it?

I'm in California, and it sucks balls. Can't afford any land, have very few rights, etc. Need to get out. But I'm having a hard time finding good land.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:09 | 5207383 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

I'm in S FL where the soil totally sucks but chicken shit works wonders.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:11 | 5207388 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

NM has some very shitty land and some very good land for crops.  If you are near a constant source of water, with or without rain, the land is probably good.  Otherwise, you have to work it like hell, or let it be gamagrass and scrub that does well with heat and dryness to graze quadrapeds on it.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 16:01 | 5208017 blabam
blabam's picture

You can build good soil or just ship some in. 

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 01:41 | 5209695 Ward no. 6
Ward no. 6's picture

i lived out west (az) and to me there is nothing better then  green chili from New Mexico

we would go to new mexico to get our chili....

right now i am in cold state minnesota and i order my chili from new mexico

I usually get the Hatch brand...

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 01:33 | 5209689 Ward no. 6
Ward no. 6's picture

in some cold states ppl plant perennials (rhubarb, garlic, asparagus...raspberries, etc...) around sept oct

These kind of plants need a long cold weather sleep to come back to life....in the spring.

Annuals like tomatoes need to be planted in the spring..

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:17 | 5207071 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

Here come the cascade of downvotes from the desperat eRoyal Libertarian fringe with multiple accounts who are all in on gold because they don't trust nobody because the internets said so. Go buy one way tickets to Galts Gulch Chile and leave it to the rest of us to fix 'merica ok.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:20 | 5207089 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

not from moi

 

You are correct

QE is disinflationary ... and will end up deflationary (when asset bubble bursts)

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:18 | 5207426 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Bell's Two Hearted is the best beer ever on tap. I've fished the river, too. The picture on the bottle isn't a dream.

22 acres of land in Michigan, where you are never more than 5 miles away from a source of fresh water.......

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:31 | 5208430 Ghostdog
Ghostdog's picture

I tend to agree that in the end deflation wins this war. But in the event I am wrong which I can be, its not a bad idea to have a little bit of physicals.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:35 | 5208447 nortie
nortie's picture

So, what should students with student loans do at this juncture? Try to pay it off as soon as possible or just pay the minimum? Sorry for the silly question but I don't I am just starting out and I can't figure it out yet. Thank you.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 17:35 | 5208448 nortie
nortie's picture

So, what should students with student loans do at this juncture? Try to pay it off as soon as possible or just pay the minimum? Sorry for the silly question but I don't I am just starting out and I can't figure it out yet. Thank you.

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:22 | 5207107 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

I'm not against holding gold, in fact I think it's good.  I just have limited resources and have to make choices.  If you can survive without functioning modern infrastructure and can afford it, you should hold some physical gold.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:22 | 5207112 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

You assume a lot there pal. Insecurity issues?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:32 | 5207158 TVP
TVP's picture

It was Economics 101 that told me to hold tangible assets like gold in a time of massive money printing, not "the internets".  

Go buy some anti-psychotic meds and shoot up a school, ok.  

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:44 | 5207247 walküre
walküre's picture

What are you talking about? Your side has been "fixing" America for the longest time. You think it's working?

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:09 | 5207371 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

No the saying goes, "Congress is not broken, it's fixed"...fixed like Vegas does the NFL. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:56 | 5207627 walküre
walküre's picture

Funny AND true but you were implying blame on the preppers for the current mess this country was in and that if the preppers left for Chile, you could "fix 'Merica". Maybe I misunderstood something.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:01 | 5207675 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

Not preppers, just the royal libertarian dupes who profess that gold backed currency would be an improvement on the neo-feudalist ambitions of the money changers. I felt that the Chilean lreal estate scam with reference to an Ayn Rand novel was humorous.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 16:52 | 5208250 walküre
walküre's picture

Ok, I get you now. Doesn't have to be gold backed but should be backed by something finite and tangible rather than something that nobody can account for anymore and allows the elite to live an absolute disgraceful and wasteful high life without regard for anyone else.

THEY print the money into oblivion that WE all have to accept as payment and THEY print more to take more from US!

Revolutions were started for less.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:45 | 5207253 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Please give us your POAM (plan of action and milestones) on fixing America.  I am intreagued.

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:57 | 5207316 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Let it crash to fully awaken the sheeple, then rebuild.  But you've gotta survive along the way.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:59 | 5207329 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

I was hoping for more blood and guts, especially among a financial ruling class.

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:03 | 5207350 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

There'll be blood and guts in a crash scenario.  None will be left unscathed. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:57 | 5207639 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

Your scenario is close to accurate to what the PTB hope to accomplish in a Neo-Feudalist reset. Remember, divided we fall. The herd is very easy to turn against itself.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:17 | 5207428 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

A return to a tax system based solely on land use and a return to very restrictive charters of corporations. Individuals are entitled to the full return of their labor and productivity; however, as that labor is applied to land, the commons, all taxes are derived to support very limited federal and state goverments. Geolibertarian referenses: John Locke, Henry George(Georgism), Thomas Jefferson, Adam Smith, James and John Stuart Mill..etc. 

 

Cue the red herring, "communist" accusation from troll accounts. He said Commons!

 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:31 | 5207492 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

If we're going to have a state, (which I think is inevetable, but that's another discussion,) taxes should be based solely on consumption and waste, and the people who determine the taxes and collect the taxes should have their throats within reach of the people that they're taxing. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 15:41 | 5207922 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

I rarely say this but calm down..  If your points have merit they will be debated and probably thrashed out.  Your preemptive strikes on folks who rely on 2k years of history regarding fianncial systems are not your enemy..

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:33 | 5207502 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

Here come the cascade of downvotes from the desperat eRoyal Libertarian fringe with multiple accounts who are all in on gold because they don't trust nobody because the internets said so. Go buy one way tickets to Galts Gulch Chile and leave it to the rest of us to fix 'merica ok

I dunno - I kinda thought the downvotes were because you do such an awesome imitation of vinegar & water in a squeeze bulb. Here's some learnin' Gomer. Folks around here have studied the issue way more than you, and know what to expect in a final debt deflation. I said final, cuz I can cipher. If'n you don't think a currency repudiation can follow a crack up boom, then there just ain't no talking to yer big brain. Good luck with them thar stawks, just remember that some things are way easier to "reset" then others, specially when the hand is called and it's time to show.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:25 | 5207127 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

I hope all you say is true since the miners will go under big time and mines will shut down and then the following rally will be to the moon.  I have many years of patience.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:28 | 5207142 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

 the very definition of inflation is money printing, which is what the .gov is doing....there can be no deflation using the correct definition, you are confused or a compete idtiot....the .gov not has not contracted the money supply and never will again.....the system can not contiune without constant expansion of the money supply...you are a fucktard

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:35 | 5207193 skipjack
skipjack's picture

Define your terms - what is "money supply" ?

 

The correct way to define "money supply" is cash PLUS credit. And, there are tens of trillions of dollars more in credit than there is in cash.

Hence, when loans default, it's a highly deflationary event because of the leverage involved. 

Unless the government wants to print non-debt money in the tens of trillions, there can be no inflation - hyper or otherwise - until after credit is destroyed.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:45 | 5207232 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

For one thing there is 17 trillion or more dollars over seas....people are "hoarding" currency here in the US...once people start losing confidence, watch out.....when QE is annouced or somethign like it....get ready for the hurt.....You are already seeing hyperinflation in certain asstet classes...fine art, classic cars, high end homes, hell even shit homes, sports teams...it's already begining....I have a rare Saleen Mustang and even that is going up....

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:50 | 5207282 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

Right, it's the difference between debt entries and credit. Then there is the whole lack of printed currency, 1% of all the outstanidng credit entries. I just got rid of my matteress and threw my fitted sheet over stacks of franklins in my RV. Don't bother asking about my address becasue I move to a new campground every night. Cash is king baby!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:55 | 5207304 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

Reading comprehension is not one of your strong suits....must be that liberal edumacation....some will never learn

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:06 | 5207359 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

I wasn't responding to you or your rapidly depreciating Ford Mustang liability. I was talking about the health benefits to sleeping on piles of cash. One really needs to individually wrap stacks of 10,000 up tight and then bundle 100,000's and so on, the key is too keep your core supported above the hips for good blood flow. I get good sleep.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 20:52 | 5209058 Obama_4_Dictator
Obama_4_Dictator's picture

I feel like Scrooge Mcduck and I sleep with real money, not paper that will burn.  That saleen is paid off and so is every other car I have....I have no debt....I'm doing better than good, thanks.  

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:39 | 5207213 gatorboat
gatorboat's picture

Actually it's inflationary depression.  Shrinking economy with massive currency printing (QE).   Econ 101 stuff.  Maybe 102. I forget.

End result is hyperinflation then currency collapse (when everyone loses confidence in the currency).

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:23 | 5207464 BeanusCountus
BeanusCountus's picture

Just my 2 cents here. You SHOULD be correct there that deflation will result from a massive writedown of financial obligations. But these guys in charge never seem to let anyone recognize a loss that could begin clearing the system. It is just as possible that hyper-inflation might precede the deflation if they continue on the path of printing money to prevent the loss recognition.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:05 | 5207011 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

Just like right after you fix for the first time.  Yeah, like happiness crawling all up in my veins!!!!!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:53 | 5206944 VATICANT
VATICANT's picture

Get back to work bitchez! This thing's gotta blow!

Like Obama blows Reggie, and coke.
Fuck you, Obama! Fuck you, Yellen!

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:52 | 5206945 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett called U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch to gauge Congress's direction on curbing tax inversions, the senator said today...

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:55 | 5206961 MarkD
MarkD's picture

Warren wants to make sure he will still be able to pay his fair share

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:24 | 5207122 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

He needs to find whether are not to relocate ahead of the rush.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:53 | 5206949 himaroid
himaroid's picture

That bitch sprays more than a horny old tom cat.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:53 | 5206950 flacon
flacon's picture

...meanwhile.... silver gets taken to the slaughter house today. 

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 12:56 | 5206963 dracos_ghost
dracos_ghost's picture

I hear you. Medium term support level. It better hold or it's gonna get bumpy baby Jesus.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:20 | 5207097 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Of course paper silver will run support.  It is a number on a screen and there are stops to tick.  They didn't spend the last month running their FOREX algos at full speed just to leave it here.  In fact, it should have hit those stops already.  I am not sure what is holding the paper up.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:28 | 5207131 hoist the bs flag
hoist the bs flag's picture

hope that shit gets wacked back to January 2009 levels...I will go all in at that point. disclaimer: "physical" that is. like the tromp yo ass up to the coin shop kind.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:45 | 5207252 walküre
walküre's picture

waiting, cash in hand ready to deploy my armies of shoppers to the bullion and coin stores

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 13:48 | 5207261 Not My Real Name
Not My Real Name's picture

This is the analogue of those who believe they will get out of the stawk market when it finally goes south.

The truth is, by then it will be too late.

Thu, 09/11/2014 - 14:12 | 5207372 hoist the bs flag
hoist the bs flag's picture

maybe I am not understanding...you would rather buy silver at $18.50 ( @ current) vs $12.50 (2009 price)? Nobody knows what this rigged market is going to do...so lets hear a suggestion for the game play and timeline and when to go in and out. Like I said..I may just be misunderstanding you.

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