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Goldman's Yellen Press Conference Post-Mortem: "Few Surprises"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Via Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius,

BOTTOM LINE: There were few surprises from Fed Chair Yellen's post-FOMC press conference.

MAIN POINTS:

1. Yellen made two slightly dovish remarks on labor market developments. First, she stated directly that she felt the slow increase in wages was indicative of labor market slack. Second, she said that her own personal view was that there was a "meaningful" cyclical shortfall in participation, when asked about a recent paper by some Fed authors indicating otherwise.

2. On the topic of "considerable time," Yellen declined to provide any specificity on what the phrase means with regard to calendar duration, and instead noted that the guidance should not be viewed as calendar-based or mechanical in nature. She stated that in her personal view, it was not "completely clear" that there was a gap between market pricing and participants' projections for the fed funds rate apparent in the SEP. For example, the discrepancy could be due to the difference between modal forecasts (reflected in the SEP) and average expectations (reflected in market pricing).

3. Yellen also took the opportunity to downplay the move up in the SEP dots, stating that she "would describe the change in the projections as quite modest."

4. Finally, she stated that two dissents was not an "abnormally large number," suggesting that she is not particularly uncomfortable with the current degree of dissention on the Committee.

 

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Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:01 | 5227699 DOGGONE
Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:09 | 5227725 whotookmyalias
whotookmyalias's picture

Yellen  LOL.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 18:39 | 5228055 Berspankme
Berspankme's picture

Did  that fucking CNBC shill Liesman ask a ?. That bald headed little cocksucker, still swilling Bernanke jizz? Fuck you Liesman

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:08 | 5227719 homebody
homebody's picture

The retired sheep get screwed again and the banks get rich - thanks Janet

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:10 | 5227734 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Yep, same shit.  Rates are going up.  We're still tapering. 

Oh, and my cock grew to sixteen inches overnight.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:15 | 5227746 nakki
nakki's picture

Its almost comical that anybody still believes that Janet Yellen is the most powerful person on the planet, and she makes the call on anything. 

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:15 | 5227747 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

The words of this one central planner can tank the entire world economy overnight. Because the words are so powerful in effect, every voice inflection and facial expression must also be analyzed.

It is a sad state of affairs that puts us all in the hands of the genius (or stupidity) of an elite ruling class that believes in economic alchemy.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:15 | 5227748 hobopants
hobopants's picture

So...she basically said nothing.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:17 | 5227762 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

was she blinking in morse "S&P 2500"?

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:27 | 5227778 hobopants
hobopants's picture

Ha! that's going to be the next trick isn't it? Body language experts giving us their take on the situation. Greeks had an easier time figuring out the mumbo jumbo from the oracle at Delphi I bet.

"We shall raise rates on the thirteenth month when the cock crows thrice during a full moon at noon! or sooner...maybe"

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:46 | 5227861 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

Shoot them all.

Take away all Central Bank charters.

All nations go back to creating their own interest-free currency.

Throw the bankers/hedge fund managers into a Court of REAL law.

Take it all back.  And confiscate the illegal profits.  (talk about a welfare state...just look at CEO's and Wall Street.  Look at politicians graduating into cushy jobs...look and look and look .  This is WELFARE plain and simple for those who do very little but scam/buy and bribe.  Fuck this.

 

 

 

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:15 | 5227750 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

5. Yellen declined to answer why FOMC economic projections are so off the mark ... and why, if they are so bad, should FOMC statements on any topic hold weight?

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:22 | 5227760 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

Well...there's also this. 

House approves Ron Paul’s ‘Audit the Fed’ bill


http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/sep/17/house-approved-ron-pauls-audit-fed-bill/

 

Of course the scumbags in the Senate will fight this to the death....but it's still pretty cool that this will force Harry Reid to deal with it once again.

Call your respective scumbag senator's and blast them about this to force Harry Reid to bring it to the floor...maybe they just might cave in. 

I mean, if obama's chief advisor says openly in the New York Slimes that it's time to end the dollar then maybe there's some leverage there to END THE FED finally!!!

Congratulations again to Ron Paul!!!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-08/obamas-former-chief-economist-calls-end-us-dollar-reserve-status

 

Former Rep. Ron Paul’s push to audit the Federal Reserve got another boost Wednesday when the House passed the bill for the second time in three years, and by a bigger margin than before.

The bill, now sponsored by Rep. Paul Broun, Georgia Republican, was approved on a 333-92 vote, with all but one Republican and 106 Democrats in favor of it. That’s a major jump from last time, when a majority of Democrats voted against it.

Still, despite the overwhelming support, the law is likely to die. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who had previously indicated support for such an audit, reversed himself in 2012 and said he wouldn’t let the bill come to to the Senate floor.

Mr. Paul, a long-time congressman who twice ran for the GOP’s presidential nomination, made auditing the Fed one of his chief campaign issues, and it regularly drew loud applause from his followers.

The bill would order the nonpartisan Government Accountability Office to review the Fed’s decision-making — particularly on monetary policy.

Congress established the Federal Reserve a century ago. The system, which consists of a board of governors and 12 regional banks, acts as lenders of last resort to the country’s banking system, and is charged both with fighting inflation and promoting economic growth and employment.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:47 | 5227864 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The democratic senate will knock it down  again. Got to keep mark to fantasy accounting going. 

All the Fed's off-balance sheet debts might get people mad.  Of the $4 trillion there is a lot more off balance sheet debt.

What about all that gold leased out?

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:18 | 5227765 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

sickening, really

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:19 | 5227767 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

The cherry on top of the whipped cream for me was when she attributed the historically low labor force participation rate to "demographics" when the old people she is screwing over are still having to work and are losing money daily because of her and the FED's immoral and unethical rape of the citizenry.

End the FED!!!

Hang 'em High!!!

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:23 | 5227782 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

the participation rate had been dropping for years, but fell off the table during/following recession.

Mostly due to demographics?

 

utter nonsense

 

Structural 2/3 of drop

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:48 | 5227871 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

Yeah life as a Walmart greeter is some bonus after working, saving, being continually raped.  I look forward to stocking shelves until I am 90.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:21 | 5227775 Goldilocks
Goldilocks's picture

Curtis Mayfield - Pusherman
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCDAfa-NI-M (5:05)

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:22 | 5227779 miker
miker's picture

I hope everyone knows that the "die was cast" for where we are today by many others in earlier times.  Things have a way of building on themselves over time.  Were any of you "know it all's" raising hell in a productive way about the problems we would see .....20 years ago???  So give our leaders a break.  They are doing the best they can with a tough situation.

 

Still.  We all know it will end badly.  Just have a little grace about the whole thing!  Please.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:44 | 5227805 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

glad  you sleep soundly knowing not a soul who worked on wall street (outside of few hedgies) got prosecuted ... let alone indicted.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:30 | 5227809 the wet spot
the wet spot's picture

>>They are doing the best they can to enrich themselves while putting average Americans in a tough situation.

 

You're welcome for the fix.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:35 | 5227823 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture

"Leaders" my ass...  Try "elite rulers"...  and no, they can go fuck themselves.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:37 | 5227832 venturen
venturen's picture

Yellen, Bernanke and the staff of Goldman....along with Obama's cronies are going to spent a "Considerable Time in HELL!

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:37 | 5227833 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

The market "gave up a majority of its gains" simply because options expire Friday. Had to screw over those holding calls. Next week should see a skyrocket with end of the quarter, iThingy launching, Alibaba, and Yellen giving the green light through the end of the year. It's ridiculous, but it is what it is

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:52 | 5227886 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

"Tel Aviv has ordered me to Kill the Dollar."

"You are  Cattle to us, and the Time for Slaughter is Near."

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:52 | 5227888 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

yellen works for barry

 

other fed board members works for banks

 

and the battle continues

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 17:53 | 5227891 lester1
lester1's picture

Amazing how Janet Yellen can continue to lie and get away with it. But hey shes a woman so the media wont call her out on her lies.

 

Expect qe4 in 2015 !

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 18:11 | 5227936 Goldilocks
Wed, 09/17/2014 - 18:49 | 5228097 rejected
rejected's picture

Dollar almost at 85. Not a peep from anyone as to why.

 

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 19:20 | 5228197 GooseShtepping Moron
GooseShtepping Moron's picture

I do not believe the hype. I think the taper/tighten plan is still on and that Janet Yellen will continue to say one thing while doing another. No matter what her course of action, I never expect her to say anything that will provoke a stock market sell off, ever.

They need to do something to strengthen the dollar; that's non-negotiable now; but in the topsy-turvy world of Abenomics (Japan) and NIRP (Europe), "strengthening" just means "not weakening as fast as everything else." That explains the behavior of the dollar index.

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 20:18 | 5228367 Temerity Trader
Temerity Trader's picture

ZH bears always angry at the Fed Bank.  I can almost hear the millions of angry investors now, “Goddamn those Fed bankers, the Fed has pushed the stock market way too high; my 401K is soaring, damn them!” “Those idiots at the Fed pushed interest rates to near zero, now I have to pay almost no interest on my loans, those jerks!”

Get real, millions worship the Fed goddess and Wall Street grovels at her feet. A few words from her can cause TRILLIONS of $$ to move in seconds. You cannot fight this euphoria.  ONLY when the masses see the Fed is unable to push the markets higher by enabling yet more buybacks, more loose credit for consumers, stimulus and bailouts, will faith in Fed end, and then it will be very ugly for the bulls. That could be many years as they have limitless printing ability and can do QE 125 if need be, and they may have to.  Embrace the “New Normal” and profit by it.

 

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