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This Russian Trend Is Not Europe's Friend
The cold war is on, literally, because it will determine who will survive Europe's upcoming cold winter - a Europe with decreasing Russian gas supplies, or Russia now officially starved of Western sources of funding. The "Plan Bs" - Europe has record gas inventories in storage giving it hope it can last out an entire winter without any incremental Russian gas, while Russia is increasingly reliant and hoping on China-based sources of funding. While it remains to be seen just how Russian corporations will react to the recently imposed credit starvation, the chart below shows the steps Russia is now taking ahead of the European winter. Clearly, the trend in Russian gas supplies into Europe's core distribution hub, Slovakia, is not Europe's friend.
Of course, Gazprom had a politically acceptable excuse for the trend: "technical reasons."And then this:
- CEO MILLER SAYS GAZPROM SUPPLYING GAS TO EUROPE ACCORDING TO CONTRACTS, COULD NOT SATISFY ADDITIONAL DEMAND FOR NOW
We assume that not even the clueless Eurocrats in Brussels will fall for that one.
In the meantime, keep an eye on the trend: if and when the blue bar hits zero, Europe's coldest war will have officially started.
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I suppose when the EU wants a bit more gas, they will need a supply of Rubles or Yuan. The Russians would have no further use for Euros and FRNs.
Or Gold
The USA mines more gold than Russia. While the USA mines no Ruble, but Russia can mine unlimited Ruble at no cost. Same applies to the EU.
Not for long: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_gold_production#mediav...
China's production numbers are way too low. But most governments are lying about their economies to prevent general unhappiness...or maybe civil war.
But not a single ounce of Russian or Chinese produced gold leaves these 2 countries. By the numbers I read, China, India and Russia alone gobble up all mined gold (and probably more) outside of these countries lately. In the end - or rather the beginning - it will be as always: Who has the gold makes the rules.
China is happily selling gold to the world. It should be fun once the world discovers true production volumes from there.
Clearly making up nonsense. No reports from anywhere, any source, indicate truth to your assertion.
Russia has produced more gold than the United States for the first time in 25 years. It’s now the world’s third biggest producer after China and Australia, Minister of Natural Resources and Environment of Russia Sergey Donskoy said.
http://rt.com/business/171840-russia-gold-production-increase/
You think you know how much Russia mines yearly in real?
Or how much in physical reserves?
Russia now passed US production.
With less than half the population.
While adding to reserves by purchases of physical.
LOL! Wonder which US govt bots down voted you.
The US leads in selfies and fat asses like Kim Kardashian.
I would guess there are places in Russia that no one has even looked for gold. Russia has endless resources which is why the West/NWO wants to steal those resources.
Duckface rhymes with...
Good comment. What the Russia sceptics seem to be ignoring is who benefits from keeping the price of gold low. The only group gold suppression benefits are US petrodollar supporters. As Russia is clearly focused on getting rid of the petrodollar there is absolutely no chance theyy have reduced their gold reserves. That there are people on here arguing otherwise is embarrassing.
And the US mines unlimited FRN (Dollar or debt) and spread it around the world so what's your point? Look if Russia sells their gas only in Ruble they don't have debt; meanwhile, the US is piled higher and deeper (Phd) because we buy most of our energy and trinkets with unlimited FRN.
If they don't have FRNs, how will they buy the whale penis leather for the SUVs?
They will buy it from anyone who will take their oil or gas or Ruble (Russia's debt certificate). Which debt would you rather trust nowadays? The Dollar or the Ruble? Yes, the Dollar is accepted around the world but everyone knows it's non redeemable. You can argue so as the Ruble but the Russians can back their Ruble with oil and natural gas and even gold. While the US oil production is not even enough for US consumption and US natural gas we have plenty of, also coal but the environmentalist and Obama and the Demonrats wouldn't want to use them because of percieve pollution. So what to do?
Then why are they doing swaps for them?
"The Russians would have no further use for Euros"
so? trade statistics say something completely different. your theory would only hold if Putin goes on with forbidding further imports from the eurozone
you forget that the eurozone produces things, and it's the most varied exporter of wares, and a net exporter to boot
yeah but YOU forget: those things EU produces must be sold to somebody. And selling them to Russia is good. If Rusia dont wanna buy them then the Eu got a problem. BIG problem.
Europe/Germany's big thing is cars. They are playing a dangerous game. Russia is a great and growing market for cars. The EU/Germany are going to screw this up. China is a good market but they will steal and copy your technology.
As China becomes closer friends with Russia, look for more Chinese cars in Russia. It will take some time but not that long for China to build decent cars.
Look at S Korea. Their cars were junk and now they are quite good now. China can eventually get there.
They will sell them to America since our unions are only interested in establishing some form of socialist utopia and we dare not drive what slithers off the line these days.
Stop playing wargames in Ukraine - Nigel Farage - VIDEO 16 Sept 2014
Yep, thanks to their debt based EURO currency that replaced the debtfree national currencies, the EU produces €22835 DEBT PER CAPITA
http://www.eudebtclock.org/
Yes, but what happens if they don't have the oil or natural gas to fuel their industry? Their "produced things" will stop being produced in other words they starve. Yes, they can increase their supply from the middle east or others but those supplies are already allocated so the price of oil will skyrocket. Meanwhile the Russians can sit it out because they have oil and gas for their farm machineries and cooking and heating their homes. They don't need the trinkits made by the west such as BMW, Mecedes Benz, etc.. Energy is the most impotant commodity in the world. Without it you are at the mercy of the one's who has even if you are the only one who has the manufacturing industrial capability. You need energy to make things. That's also the reason why China is expanding their claim on the South Pacific Islands because of oil. Without it China will never be a world superpower because they'll remain dependent on oil producers. But if Russia and China became partners, the USA and Europe will have the run for their debt (money)
Move to the Middle East bitches! The weather in winter is 25 degrees, who needs gas!
Its as safe as houses out here, no problems, although there is a terrorist group called ISIS running around earning millions a day selling gas on the black market, but dont worry about that...all is good...... better to be decapitated than freeze to death right? RIGHT?
ask the California National Guard when Obama deploys them.....
No thanks, Lost and Found.
In the Middle East a "house" is not a home, when it is a lambskin tent in the middle of a desert.
The Shamal comes and blows your house away.
Or, ISIS/ISIL comes and burns your house down (beats you and robs you), or the U.S. military drones come and bombs your house into smitherines.
The Middle East is for the fools of tribalism.
Hello python treatment.
Yup. Surprise ppl don't get your metaphor. Seems obvious.
I don't know who the winners will be in this pissing match, but Im certain it won't be the people trying to scratch out a living. Same as it ever was.
The winners.... Ones with the deepest bunkers?
World is marching inexorably to a decision... always means war. You can feel the chaos, tension, and fear mounting... but never so global as now.
Welcome to the NWO...
So, same as it ever was then.
Its 3 am , the big boys are pretty drunk and all in. Just waiting on the river in the greatest game of liars poker in the history of the world. Hog legs pointed at each other under the table and no one is figuring to go home empty handed.
I would not bet one ASE on who the "winner" will be but there will be a lot of losers and it will get ugly fast when the whiskey runs out.
Moral of the story ?
Cover Your Asses !!
My view - Winner China. Loser USA. There is just one world economy with 2 dominate networks - the US and China, much like Microsoft and Apple were in the early 80's. As the US increases the frictional cost of participating in it's network (due to regulations, protectionist tarrifs and policies or in this case sanctions) nations, corporations and individuals will freely choose the alternative. With each choice the losing network gets expodentially weaker and the gaining network becomes expodentially stronger.
The reality - in the end Putin will end up with Crimea and a weaked Ukraine. Europe, and all allies now realize how uncommitted and unwilling the US truly is. It's not the same country of 75 years ago because the character of the people is not the same as it was 75 years ago. No character. No country.
An astute quote by Alexis de Tocqueville (19th century):
"America is great because she is good. If America ceases to be good, America will cease to be great."
And America has ceased to be good a long time ago.
You mean run by war mongering yids hellbent on destroying a resurrected Christian Russia? After all, they didn't use all their best stuff to empty the churches of Europe just to see them get full again in Russia.....oy vey!
Americans are idiots. If you watch Obama loving Tv and Hollywood then you support it all 100%. If you turn on the clicker then you support it all so stop complaining.
China is a garbage hole of corruption and filth (the air and water) but without sufficient energy or food to cover operating needs. Have you been?
The USA will continue to be the winner because of the capability to be self sufficient. Food, energy, water, minerals. The people motivate and unite when they need to do so. There is an old Reconstruction Era saying which holds within the broader American spirit..."The South will rise again."
The same anti-U.S. garbage was spewed in the 1980s after the Carter Administration screwed the economy up and cowered to Iran. Obama is the repeat of Carter...but the guy is what awakens the people to the transformation back to the good.
Just as the USA proved in the first Gulf War that it truly was the predominant power in the world, despite the same naysaying.
It proved it again in Bush's Iraq War...to the mis-calculation of the Jihadist class and bin Laden.
Frack away America ! Energy independence plus food and mineral independence equals strategic advantage.
The USA is Ferguson, MO. Police state filled with violent cops and police state and EBT savages. keep watching TV and Hollywood's shit Spackler. Smoke some dope like the Bill Murray character. America is toast. the propaganda from the media and O love from them is off the charts.
If you watch O loving TV or Hollywood then you support it all.
Yes, USA will continue to be the winner if we have no debt. But as it is now US debt is now unpayable. So yes we can isolate ourselves and survive because we have what we need but beware of the return of Rome because the world ceasars will conquer all the weaker nations and most likely come after the US of A as well.
Without US oil imports the US is finished. That's not self-sufficiency.
Yes, the "South will rise again," but I think it may look a little different than the reaction to Carter in the '80s.
It may look a iittle more like the 60s. (1860s, that is.)
It IS a different country. The always excellent Fred Reed explains why. http://www.fredoneverything.net/KGReunion.shtml
Nice poker match. I wish we had the poker cam already set up....No fun to watch without it.
I can picture that. Putin from the Russian seat, some girl from Femen in the Ukrainian seat & sitting in for America, Jennifer Tilley.
Ouch! She's holding at least one pair!
Ukrainian Parliament Throws Deputy Vitaly Zhuravsky Into Rubbish Bin - YouTube
http://abcnews.go.com/International/video/lawmaker-trash-ukraine-25542774 Pro Russian lawmaker...
And these are the fantastic democracy loving people we are supporting?
WTF
Winter wars are hard on the furniture. Bulish for IKEA.
EU will pay a lot for Nulands little stunt in Ukraine. EU gladly went straight into the trap set by US
Are you saying Fuck The EU ????
The EU is clearly in auto-ƒu©k mode.
And as I stated before: They want inflation? Vlad can help out.
Big mousetrap catch US mice too. Nuland goes back to Clinton Kosovo. Nuland clan all making cheese. Think Tank Husband Robert Kagan foreign policy adviser to McCain, Romney campaigns
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/16/us/politics/historians-critique-of-oba...'
His brother Fred think tank neocon married to Kimberly Kagan who in 2007 founded Institute for the Study of War, funded by defense contractors. Fred and Kinberly were BFF's of Petraeus
http://www.rightweb.irc-online.org/profile/kagan_frederick
WSJ OP-ED by an Institute for Study of War employee with a bogus PhD in arab women's studies was cited by McCain and Kerry on need to act in Syria.
http://rightweb.irc-online.org/profile/institute_for_the_study_of_war
They create think tanks on the fly and staff them with Harvard grads with degrees in classical civilization who then are promoted by the press as the ones who know. This week I turned on the radio, there's Larry Kudlow, pushing the need to take down Assad. He was shooting down callers. One guy says its all about Oil. Another says ISIS was created by the US. Kudlow blows them off then announces - Next hour my guest will be someone who really knows .... from the Institute for the Study of War
It is one big fake propaganda machine being used on us too
ISIS, (and Al Qaeda) is Saudi Arabia's child and not the US's.
ISIS exists because the Gulf Oil Cartel members will need a new enforcer when the US no longer has the financial means to protect them.
ISIS is the wedge driven into the PetroDollar, the payback for ramping domestic production and becoming a global competitor (albeit temporarily), and the gambit to establish new and greater markets in Europe. Any new nation established through ISIS will be the Saudi Empire. And it will be (and already is according to articles on European energy purchases from ISIS) a DIRECT COMPETITOR to Russia in the European energy market.
Except for ISIS emerging directly from the Syrian rebels given guns & training from the CIA.
<--- EU: Fuck Nuland and NATO/ZATO
<--- Nuland: "Fuck the EU!" (on record)
Who will be proven right?
It is becoming more and more obvious that Brussels is run by 100% controlled puppets/dictators against the interest of the common people.
The "leaders" do all they possibly can to destroy the EU economy to impoverish and enslave the population as fast as they can. They are very successful at transferring wealth and power to the international bankers/corporations.
Cutting wages, pensions and jobs for the people while arranging Bail-ins, bail-outs, banking union, ESM and privatisations for the banksters.
If there are Europeans who wonder how their near future will look, just look to what is happening in Greece now. Soon to come to your country as well..
Good jogging weather ahead.
"If and when the blue bar hits zero, the cold war will officially have resumed."
I think Eboma and the EU slimeball crats would have to make some very serious miscalculations for Russia to turn the taps off completely.
I therefore expect it to happen anytime soon ;-)
The GERMAN fraud investigation company Wifka has been charged with investigating the shoot down of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17. Their client is providing 30 million dollars as a reward for information and evidence.
(srcroll down)
http://www.mmnews.de/index.php/politik/20710-mh17-30-mio-kopfgeld-fuer-taeter
People in Wifka need to take some very serious security precautions...
That is really great news. All these buys in thrall to their pension promises - which will never be kept - need some cash to tide them through.
Europe's fate is determined by liars, dumbfucks, warmongers, murderers, who ruin our economy.
Poors russian leaders have to deal with aggressive idiots.
Attending mondays "Mahnwache" and spreading the truth in everyday life is all I can do now. Besides chopping wood in public forest.
Chopping wood is a very smart idea, leave some of it 8' long tougher to steal... Warmth is a good thing, attracts the post-apocalyptic babes for much coupling..
allready there
Europe has a friend, Uncle Sam. Uncle Sam will make Europe warm and feed Ukraine. Uncle Sam can do anything because Uncle Sam has good children who will send gas and food and coal to his friends in Europe and make Christmas extra special this year. Uncle Sam is St Nicholas in some cultures but Santa to most Europeans who await gifts of energy and food and oil from their favourite uncle..............and he certainly won't want to disappoint
I sense a William Banzai moment.
Hmmmm, me make pittance here in Ukraine working for special police, and have to guard those airtraffic controller tapes.... 30 million.... Maybe a copy of those tapes might let me rub elbows with Warren Buffetski....
Put Russia into a corner and we're gonna have a real war to deal with.
There seems to be something missing.
Russian supplies into Slovakia are ALWAYS 100%, by definition.
To get a chart that looks like that there should/must be another data set, but it isn't mentioned, or shown. I'm sure the chart is accurate, but poorly explained. Is it me?
I understand it that September 2014 is taken as a base, and so 100%
OK, that sounds right. Especially as it's daily figures(which I hadn't immediatly noticed, my bad).
100 percent use of capacity seems unlikely too. Thanks Ghordius.
Where's Boris when you need him?
You don't Reverse Flow Russia, Russia Reverse Flows You....
I'm sure wind power will keep them warm
You laugh but a windmill will each be put in front of Bernanke, Bush Jr. & Obama. You wait & see!
Turn off the f*cking gas!
They can burn dollar bills to keep warm, after all they have trillions of them.
No, you do what the Saudis did in the 70s: Reduce Supply, Raise Prices.
If you want to add real pain, you make them pay COD in Rubles+Yuan+Gold. You use all three as a package, to prevent the West from playing FX Currency Games/Wars. Watch the bass-turds raise the price of Gold in a jiffy, so they can pay for gas. And, I gather, we all want the price of AU to go way, way up. Right? Presto: Price Discovery. Russian style.
p.s. Hitting someone with a Combo of punches is more effective than looking for just one punch. But that (single variable) thinking is typical of our culture, that brainwashes us every day (like Pavlov's dogs) with the myths of the Magic Bullet, and the Lone Hero.
The OPEC strategy only works if the producers are united in a Cartel.
The gas suppliers highly available to Europe are as follows:
- Russia
- Caspian Basin (Kazahkstan, Azerbaijan, Georgia)
- Gulf Producers (Saudi Arabia, Qatar)
- Iran
- Out of Africa (West Africa through Libyan and Algerian pipelines)
These producers are not in a cartel. In point of fact they are in a war with one another.
Like guard dogs in a fenced compound, the US throws them steaks over the fence (across the sea) whenever they move in the desired direction (toward expanding supplies to Europe)...except Russia, of course.
Just to clarify, 3 of the four you mention are in fact in a cartel, and it wouldn't be that hard to get the fourth to follow.
Russia's problem is the same as it has been for centuries----while possesing huge natural resources, it can not master efficient industrial production and added value to natural resources. Therefore Russia must change their economic/political model or be relegated to exporting natural resources to Western economies. As we have seen, changing the economic/political model is not easy for Russia because it pits global oligarchs with political nationalism, a dilemma not prevelant in the West. If Western economies falter, mainly due to debt financing and leveraging of all sorts, they are forced to seek lower energy prices to maintain industrial efficiency as well as consumer demand, especially as it relates to transportation, heating and electricity. This explains what is going on in Ukraine and Middle East.
However , now China pesents an alternative opportunity for Russia as an export market for natural resources with the added benefit of a Chinese currency close to achieving a reserve trading status. Meanwhile the Fed knows it has to keep the printing presses at full speed along with ZIRP, or the whole system goes into a cyclical depression in the West. Ultimatly something has to give in this economic/cultural clash which unfortunatly in the past meant War to preserve one system or another. Place your bets
Russia is diversifying its economics model. It is leveraging its natural resources with technology.
E.g.,They are innovating in Nuclear Tech for energy production: http://rt.com/news/188332-mox-nuclear-fuel-production/.
If they simply change the Biz Model (not the Economics Model), they could license these reactors to other countries, and get paid Ongoing (lease+royalty) fees. It's what TPTB do: Rentier Class, living off others. One way to ensure their biz model is sustainable, is to sell the Pellets. That would be the same as the biz models for printers and cell phones: The Device is the hook for perpetual Consumables. 3M's biz model can be summarized thus: "Make it by the mile, sell it by the Inch (cm)". / And we all know what the Fed's biz model is. /sarc
Sometimes, HOW you see the problem IS the problem. And looking at a problem from one single discipline always limits your Vista of solutions.
To be sure Russia has some industries they excel in such as nuclear, arms production and aircraft, but hardly world leaders. Also Russia good at basic scientific research but poor in application technology and commercialization of basic research. Old Russian sayihg---Behind every piece of mavhinery in Russia stands a German. In other words much machinery as well as application technology had to be imported in the past. Perhaps it is changing slowly but I will believe it when " Made in Russia" replaces " Made in China" at Walmarts or Home Depot in any of the stores world wide. On the other hand, whaever advatages Russia has in technology and natural resources could be better commercialized with China where cost of production and application technology is now world class thanks Mr Kissinger and Pres. Nixon
They also excel at keeping warm....
Old Russian saying---Behind every piece of machinery in Russia stands a German
Old Silicon Valley saying--Behind every piece of internet technology in US stands two Indians and a Chinese,
with H1-B visas
.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsXEzYOO5Zs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr5Nm4vcYmk&index=14&list=UUdnB82ob_V7EX...
Of course they are. They are a neo-Feudal army, for the rising FEUDALISM 2.0. After 100 year, they're coming back: Bigger & Stronger.
And that's how it was for centuries: Monarchs1 and Aristocrats2 would tax the Serfs3, and raise money (Real Money!) for their Mercenary Armies: "Support Our Troops!"
Footnotes:
1. Monarchs = Multi-generational Autocrats/Dictators, whereas Dictator is only for own lifetime. Also, Monarch = from the Elite, to perpetuate the Elite; whereas Autocrat = from the Masses. So... Monarch = 'Good' and Autocrat = 'Bad'? Really? Unless they're "Our" Autocrat/Dictator, of course. E.g. Pinochet. If they turn on us, they're toast. E.g., Noriega, Saddam Hussein.
2. Modern Aristocrats = Oligarchs, Billionaires
3. Serfs = rent the homes and fields from Nobility. Same as today: You don't pay property tax, you lose both home and land. They just packaged it in nice words and BS: Home-owner, Mortgage, Equity, Rising House Prices, Short Sale, Credit Rating, Reverse Mortgage... and a ton of Charges, Fees, Taxes and Licenses for Serfs and Merchants (Entrepreneurs) that did not exist back then.
New development in Ukraine story, fascinating new twist. Surprised I haven't seen it on ZeroHedge:
World Economic Forum. Geneva initiative on Ukraine
http://cassad-eng.livejournal.com/98004.html
The USA puppets in Eastern Europe are taking turns buying Russian gas and then back selling it to Ukraine. Poland was doing it, SLovakia took over when Russia shut down Poland. Germany was planning to reverse sell till Russia warned them not to. Meanwhile, the Nazis are back on the Maidan demanding the offensive war to rub out East Ukraine continue. The dream of an ethnic pure Ukraine is alive and well. The US media will not report the Nazis on the Maidan, because they are America allied Nazis. Just like ISIS and Al-Qaeda have been, for three years, allies of AMerica and armed and funded by America. Their training camps in Jordan and Turkey cranked out trained terrorists who were supposed to fight the proxy war for America in Syria, but instead invaded Iraq.
Yet the people in Washington who carried out all these failed policies still are in their power positions and AIPAC still pulls their strings. The war on ISIS is a war by AMerican on an American created Muslim Jihad Army. Even now, US money flows to them in Jordan and Syria. And American and European Muslims by several thousands in number are fighting for ISIS and being trained by America in Jordan and Turkey.
Does anyone other than me, refuse to believe the CNN fucking whores who are selling the false lie of an out of control ISIS? AMerica is the agent of ISIS creation. CNN does not mention that.
And Ukraine. Right now, the Oligarchs of Kiev and the Oligarchs of Russia are meeting to try and save their wealth and power from out of control Kiev Nazis and out of control Orthodox Ethnic Russians in Donbass. The fake cease fire is an Oligarch attempt to take back the power from the civil war fighters and assert Oligarch alliance of billionaire Kiev and Russian Oligarchs. It aims to sell out both sides in the fight and resume the dictatorship of Oligarchs in Ukraine. Watch this carefully, it is now ongoing attempt to restore their power. Both Kiev and Moscow are hoping to carry this counter revolution off. The media will not report this, only local sources in Ukraine are pointing out this attempt at a counter revolution favorable to old time Oligarchs.
May be correct, but eventually question is who controls the military and pays their salary. We know who in West as you point out, although uncertain in East. Oligarchs or Putin ?
Europe is no shake hand with Ivan? Is be OK, Ivan give cold shoulder for until Merkel be "warm up" to "needed friend".
Maybe... you be barter for gaz?