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Exponential: Ebola Cases Now Double Every 3 Weeks; CDC Warns As Many As Half A Million May Be Infected Soon

Tyler Durden's picture


Since the start of the outbreak, the Ebola virus has infected 5,357 people, killing 2,630, according to the WHO; and as The UN explains, the outbreak is the largest the world has ever seen with the number of cases is doubling every three weeks. As Sierra Leone instigates a 3-day nationwide shutdown to contain the deadly virus, the UN Secretary-General explains "Ebola matters to us all," as we noted previously the odds of the infection coming to America is around 18% by year-end. The CDC, however, hot on the heels of the UN's proclamation that "the gravity and scale of the situation now require an unprecedented level of international action," has warned that unless government intervention is increased significantly, 550,000 people could be infected by the end of January. "Contained?"

As The Secretary General of The UN stated...

The Ebola crisis has evolved into a complex emergency, with significant political, social, economic, humanitarian and security dimensions.  The suffering and spillover effects in the region and beyond demand the attention of the entire world.  Ebola matters to us all.


The outbreak is the largest the world has ever seen.  The number of cases is doubling every three weeks.  There will soon be more cases in Liberia alone than in the four-decade history of the disease.


In the three most affected countries – Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone – the disease is destroying health systems.  More people are now dying in Liberia from treatable ailments and common medical conditions than from Ebola.


The virus is also taking an economic toll.  Inflation and food prices are rising. Transport and social services are being disrupted.  The situation is especially tragic given the remarkable strides that Liberia and Sierra Leone have made in putting conflict behind them.


National governments are doing everything they can.  I applaud the courageous actions of the governments, communities and individuals on the frontlines, including local health workers, Médecins Sans Frontières, the International Federation for the Red Cross and Red Crescent and UN entities.


The gravity and scale of the situation now require a level of international action unprecedented for a health emergency.

Sierra Leone has instigated a 3-day nationwide shutdown to try and contain the spread of the virus...


And now the CDC warns, things are about to World War Z...

The Ebola outbreak in West Africacould spread to hundreds of thousands more people by the end ofJanuary, according to an estimate under development by the U.S.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that puts one worst-case scenario at 550,000 or more infections.


The report, scheduled to be released next week, was described by two people familiar with its contents, who asked to remain anonymous because it isn’t yet public.


The projection, which vastly outstrips previous estimates, is under review by researchers and may change. It assumes no additional aid or intervention by governments and relief agencies, which are mobilizing to contain the Ebola outbreak before it spirals further out of control in Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea.


“CDC is working on a dynamic modeling tool that allows for recalculations of projected Ebola cases over time,” said Barbara Reynolds, a spokeswoman for the agency, in an e-mail. “CDC expects to release this interactive tool and a description of its use soon.”


A separate worst-case scenario modeled last month by researchers at the University of Tokyo and Arizona State University predicted there would be as many as 277,124 new cases by the year’s end.


That was the high end of their estimate, though the researchers warned that “uncontrolled cross-border transmission could fuel a major epidemic to take off in new geographical areas.”

And as Bloomberg notes, they are going to need more money...

Curbing the outbreak will require investments of $988 million over the next six months, according to an overview of needs and requirements published by the UN.


About 30 percent of what’s needed has come in so far, Nabarro said earlier this week at a briefing in Geneva.

It appears "Moore's Law" has come to Ebol, and $1 billion seems like nothing: half a day's POMO?

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Fri, 09/19/2014 - 15:17 | 5235392 NaiLib
NaiLib's picture

Yep, just print it and go...

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 15:28 | 5235456 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Read Pierre Ouliette's book "The Third Pandemic" last night.  

Even for fiction that was unsettling.  

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 15:47 | 5235539 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Whether you are talking monkey cages or a city, at some point there will be a flair over, in which every critter is infected.

Then you'll see some panic.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 15:52 | 5235572 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Funny, just finished Peter Heller "The Dog Stars" last night. Great dystopian post-pandemic novel.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 16:06 | 5235624 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

first "developed" country to import Ebola: Japan.  and the Yen goes absolutely crazy (higher). 

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 18:11 | 5236039 Bindar Dundat
Bindar Dundat's picture

Is it time to short airlines?



Fri, 09/19/2014 - 18:23 | 5236074 WayBehind
WayBehind's picture

No worries. Obama sent 3000 troops to fight Ebola and as you already know, US has the latest weaponry available.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 18:52 | 5236161 Not Too Important
Not Too Important's picture
'Doctors: 'Irresponsible' to send troops to 'combat' Ebola'

“You can see that these doctors, who are highly trained people, got themselves infected,” said Dr. Lee Hieb, former president of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons. “So sending troops into an area, if they’re dealing one-on-one with a patient, they’re not going to be able to protect themselves very well. It’s not easy to [prevent transmission], because you get tired and you get careless and you make some simple mistakes. All it takes is one virus particle.”


Fri, 09/19/2014 - 19:01 | 5236202 outamyeffinway
outamyeffinway's picture

The last time I got really sick, it was a modeling tool that saved my life!

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 21:49 | 5236681 mjcOH1
mjcOH1's picture

"You can see that these doctors, who are highly trained people, got themselves infected,” said Dr. Lee Hieb, former president of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons. “So sending troops into an area, if they’re dealing one-on-one with a patient, they’re not going to be able to protect themselves very well."

But the Communist News Network viewers won't be screaming if we don't fly each infected soldier back to Atlanta for treatment. So it's all good.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 23:08 | 5236874 Memedada
Memedada's picture

Just about to up-vote - but didn't. I'm far from a communist, but I know what communism is. And CNN is not it (fascist, yes).....

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 07:39 | 5237391 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture




We like communism? Be honest Pepe!


Catch ebola....and get a free plane ride to the US....we have a plan.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 23:11 | 5236885 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture

 "the odds of the infection coming to America is around 18% by year-end."


America's "open door" policy will kill us.

We can't "discriminate" against ebola carriers.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 00:22 | 5237004 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

How the fuck do they know what the "odds" are? And what meaning does this statement have? If one case shows up does that mean it's arrived; who the fuck cares. What kind of stupid ass propaganda is this.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 03:09 | 5237224 The Doofus
The Doofus's picture

Ebola's very bad.  But ass cancer is even worse.  Maybe you'll fall victim to a serial killer.  Something's gonna get you.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 08:44 | 5237462 Truthseeker2
Sat, 09/20/2014 - 08:59 | 5237478 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture




How the fuck do they know what the "odds" are


Who runs Bartertown bitch?

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 09:51 | 5237525 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

It sure as fuck isn't O'Duffer.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 01:27 | 5237100 MedTechEntrepreneur
MedTechEntrepreneur's picture

18%....pftftftttt.  It's 100% because it's the plan.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 08:18 | 5237432 Hobbleknee
Hobbleknee's picture

It's 100% because they already brought infected patients to America.

Wed, 09/24/2014 - 14:08 | 5252636 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture


In general, Americans are WAY more productive to the global economy than 95% of the rest of the world.

They want to kill off the "usurpers". We are bringing it here so we can create a world devastating, ebola based, military

weapon........drone delivery.

My hope is that they do the studies in LA, Chicago, Phioladelphia, NY, Detroit, Miami.......

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 09:51 | 5237524 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

And yet, there's all that algo hate...

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 19:01 | 5236203 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

Mot impotent, that’s my first thought. If the well-trained docs and nurses are catching this ‘non-airborne’ disease, sounds like the soldiers will be pretty vulnerable to the virus.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:12 | 5236394 knukles
knukles's picture

Never fear.  Amerkun shoulders is exceptional

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:30 | 5236455 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Don't know about shoulders, but Britt thought I had a magic wand.

Ah, the older we get, the better we used to be;)


Sat, 09/20/2014 - 09:52 | 5237526 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Cuz thay eat mor chiken?

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 19:55 | 5236349 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

If Dr Hieb has such a problem with sending troops to West Africa, then his ass should have been on a plane to West Africa with a bunch of his fellow doctors FOUR MONTHS AGO.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 22:15 | 5236739 smokintoad
smokintoad's picture

Yeah, sounds like "he" needs to get a clue. 


Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:16 | 5236409 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

US Military Doctors going to Africa should only perform in consulting roles and should not even be in the same room as anyone "sick".   Observing from behind glass walls in rooms with filtered air should be the only role they play.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:26 | 5236447 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

It's Africa. There is very little glass and no such thing as filtered air there... 

And why are we sending U.S. miltary? What the fuck is wrong with sending those Xe/Academi serial killers?

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:42 | 5236491 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture


Fri, 09/19/2014 - 23:08 | 5236870 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

3000 lives.

At first.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 21:08 | 5236546 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Africa is doomed.  Check out this "hospital", and tell Barry to stick it where the sun doesn't shine.



Fri, 09/19/2014 - 21:35 | 5236639 walküre
walküre's picture

3,000 US soldiers and how much ammo? Or are they sending explosive experts? The plan is to fight Ebola on its own turf before Ebola strikes in America. That has always been the plan when fighting any threat to America overseas.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 09:00 | 5237408 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture





Nuke the site from orbit.....it's the only way to be sure.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 08:31 | 5237447 hibou-Owl
hibou-Owl's picture

it's reported that there are 5357 cases of which 2630 have died.
So that leaves 2727 cases with the average time to death of 16 days.

That's 36723 hospital/care places needed right now.
I watch the enclosed youtube clip and the hospital I'm guessing would treat a couple of dozen.

So 1530 treatment centres are needed right now just to keep in front of the infections.

Even with 3000 troops building treatment centres, the vast majority of people are going untreated, and in a months time even more.

These troops are going to have a tuff time of it!

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 23:06 | 5236868 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

.....What the fuck is wrong with sending those Xe/Academi serial killers?....

They are busy being moderate Muslims and eating livers and hearts at the moment. I'm not even sure Ebola would infect them out of professional curtosey.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 02:12 | 5237145 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

LOL. courtesy; not curtosey; but I'll give you a pass on that one for nihilistic attitude.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 08:51 | 5237471 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

They're busy in Ukraine.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:31 | 5236458 Socratic Dog
Socratic Dog's picture

Sure.  Gotta protect our precious military.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 07:56 | 5237412 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture




Thank you for support.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 04:17 | 5237279 buttmint
buttmint's picture

..is it just me, or does this whole ebola ordeal have the stench of 9/11 about it? The Joseph KONY false flag did not work out too well.

So let's bring in a real plague. US Army is now playing the reluctant role, when really, it wants to establish Army Base Zebra to recolonize Afrique and deny China any future resources.

Much easier to rule over a population if 90% of them are compost.

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 07:42 | 5237396 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture



The Joseph KONY false flag did not work out too well.


Yeah....it sure as hell didn't.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 18:53 | 5236164 Bangalore Equit...
Bangalore Equity Trader's picture

Listen. I feel like I have "EBOLA" right now. I was up all night celebrating the BA BA IPO and you would not believe what we did but I can only tell you it was highly illegal but since we made some today we thought "NO" problem but what was great was the fact that,

man, you just don't know in life. It's like one day you have a new "ZERO" on the end of your account, 500 grams of blow in your safe, and about 6 new "FEMALE" friends.

But what worries me greatly is how much negativity I read on website such as zer.......com. Does anyone really trade on here or are you all here to bitch and complain? I feel sorry for the Americans who "SEE" the fruit on the tree but for some reason never reach out and pick it.


Fri, 09/19/2014 - 19:37 | 5236294 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The people who have the zeros are not stupid enough to buy this market.  I have seen this shit twice already, and this one is set up way worse than the other two.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 19:42 | 5236315 General Decline
General Decline's picture

He's in India. He's impressed if he discovers a 6 square meter section of the Ganges is body part free. His frame of reference is a little off.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 20:03 | 5236372 Bangalore Equit...
Bangalore Equity Trader's picture

Listen. No worries friend. I'm actually "GLAD" I'm not part of the American Super Power Dream.

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 23:11 | 5236883 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

We are glad too.

As you were, numbnuts.

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