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Existing Home Sales Drop Most Since Jan; Biggest Miss Since Nov 2013

Tyler Durden's picture




 

After 4 straight months of bounce-back exuberance that 'confirms' the hope that NAHB sentiment appears to present, existing home sales dropped 1.1% in August (against expectations of a 1.0% rise) and previous growth was revised lower. This is the biggest miss since November 2013. The South and West saw the biggest drops as inventory fell. First-time homebuyers remain sidelined with only 29% of total sales. The National Association of Realtors blames the drop on "investors stepping away from the market," and notes distressed sales are the lowest since October 2008.

 

The trend is at an end...

 

as reality is about to hit optimistic sentiment...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:12 | 5242776 Kina
Kina's picture

But Marketcrotch told me gold was no good because of the recovering ecnomy.??

 

What kind of growth can a increase in part time jobs bring? Only full time jobs are of the type that build GDP, and that isn't happening...and appears wont happen.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:35 | 5242879 Hunter S. Thompson
Hunter S. Thompson's picture

It is just a soft patch. Did you hear that , it is a "SOFT PATCH" for gods sake. Everyone repeat after the NAR "Soft Patch".

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:11 | 5242778 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Lots of thundershowers across the country last month

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:25 | 5242835 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

Private Equity has since stopped buying homes as their prices have clearly exceeded their true value vis a vis income levels.  Everything is a trade, and there's a time to buy and a time to sell.  

Look out below!!!!!!!!!!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:11 | 5242782 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Have no fear, Yellen is busy printing off some ads to post to zillow.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:12 | 5242787 wmbz
wmbz's picture

The savy consumer is just waiting to snap up houses for Christmas.

This is very bullish! Go team...Go!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:25 | 5242839 BlindMonkey
BlindMonkey's picture

My realtor called and said there has never been a better time to buy a house.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:58 | 5242957 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Well, there you go. I mean they're in the business, aren't they. So they would know. I'm sure it'll all work out just fine.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:44 | 5243144 Rockfish
Rockfish's picture

My broker called and said this is the best time to buy equities. Bet buy callled and said now is the time to buy a new flat screen and so on and on...............

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:55 | 5243195 Carl Spackler
Carl Spackler's picture

My oracle called and said there has never been a better time to b.s. the masses !

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:25 | 5242841 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

But no worries... my realtor just told me that TODAY is the best day to buy a home!  And they certainly know best!!!!!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:13 | 5242790 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

A few moar Bullish signs like this and I'm going all in!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:13 | 5242791 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

So the trend is at an end my friend?
Faulty Towers revisited.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:15 | 5242796 highwaytoserfdom
highwaytoserfdom's picture

average wage times 25%  income housing   3 to 4 times income.    It is price problem.  Interest rates on mortgages are deductable... FED buying GSE debt just welfare for the insolvent banks.   Can kicking 101.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:45 | 5242861 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

Does anyone really take out a mortgage for a house JUST because interest (not rates) is deductable???  The only ones I hear making that arguement are Realtors... and 99% of them can't even do the simple math to show anyone how it really benefits them.

The interest deduction argument is such smoke n mirrors bs!  Bottom line, you're tied to 360 monthly payments + taxes + insurance for the next 30 years.  Oh, and all the maintenance and upgrades to keep up with the idiot jones.  

 Now, enjoy your "deduction" and shut it!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:16 | 5242808 ekm1
ekm1's picture

PROFIT = SELL PRICE - COST

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:26 | 5242843 BlindMonkey
BlindMonkey's picture

Well, were do you put inflation? Is it a cost or are you doing IRS math and not counting it?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:33 | 5242873 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Inflation of what?

Inflation of costs or inflation of finished products?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 14:25 | 5243916 BlindMonkey
BlindMonkey's picture

Capital appreciation my boy.

Some call it profit, unless you are talking about a fixed asset in an inflationary environment. Did grandpa buy a house on 1948 for $7000? Sell it now. He has a cost basis of $7000 and will pay tax on the "profit". No worries my man that inflation as made he 1950 dollar >90% more. IRS don't care.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:20 | 5242814 RattNRoll
RattNRoll's picture

No cash, no home.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:23 | 5242830 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

...."blames the drop on "investors stepping away from the market," .....translation..."Blackstone has stopped buying the inventory we have held off the market for them"....

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:32 | 5242867 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"Here comes the rental economy!"

I'll offer....ONE DOLLAR!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:03 | 5242969 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Investors stepping away from the market"---So, the Chinese have stopped buying up Las Vegas ?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:31 | 5242859 corporatewhore
corporatewhore's picture

"realtors" (aka used crap salespeople) are still listing at levels that cannot be met with what people are earning.  The disconnect is real.  People's salaries have slowly or rapidly (depending on the individual scenario) been merged with the global competition while the housing is back priced at 2008 giddiness.  Can't be uptick without a greater adjustment to housing prices.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:31 | 5242863 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Rates low, next step is to announce untaper of the taper.

 

Fed's only game now is to play with QE. Can't raise rates.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:31 | 5242864 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Are they investors or evil speculators? Make up your mind.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:34 | 5242874 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

They're levered a billion to one...what do you think they are?????!!!!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:34 | 5242875 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

(Flat broke comes to mind.)

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:04 | 5242972 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Hmm. that's a hard question, Chuck, could I have more time for that one ?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:34 | 5242876 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Certainly true in my area.  Many homes for sale and no movement.  Aside from that, what is on the market is ridiculously priced (De-Nile?).  Gravity (deflation) is going to be one painful lesson (until it isn't; and we ain't there yet).  Sorry bitchez; turn off the TV (Flippers, Renovations, Million $ Listings, etc...) and don't believe what your friendly Realtor is telling you; they are one F'd and desperate group.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:35 | 5242881 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Say hello to Orlando!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:01 | 5242967 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

The whole fucking housing division here is vacant. it looks like a neutron bomb hit. And when I wander into the Hardware Store for a quart of oil; the salesmen rush over to me and great me like a long lost brother. Green Shoots Everywhere !!

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 10:55 | 5242942 skipjack
skipjack's picture

Love this. It means that 7 approved and yet unbuilt subdivisions in my neighborhood in the NE consisting of condos, townhouses and sfh consisting of close to 3000 units will not be developed anytime soon. Unless, of course, some builder wants to go broke. Land/lots aren't selling, either. It's a happy day for those who are trying to not live in suburbia and are fighting suburbia moving ever nearer.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:17 | 5243013 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

If fewer folks can afford homes, does that mean there is less demand for Mexican lawn care labor?  

 

Seriously, our economy sucks, yet our governement somehow wants to paint lipstick on the immigration pig.  WTF?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:08 | 5242981 Bumbu Sauce
Bumbu Sauce's picture

Has Neil Degrasse-Tyson made any fabricated comments about this yet?

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 11:50 | 5243172 22winmag
22winmag's picture

When the bankers get hung, make sure to hang a few of the chronic liars from the National Association of Realtors next to them.

Mon, 09/22/2014 - 12:15 | 5243305 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

We are going to need moar lamp posts.

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