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CDC "Taking Precautions In US", Fears 1.4 Million Africa Ebola Cases By January
While WHO Director Thomas Frieden's "gut" says the worst-case scenario won't come to pass (thanks to the actions that are being taken), the CDC is about to release its Ebola-epidemic scenario tool that suggests up to 1.4 million infections by mid-January. As The NY Times reports, these figures take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and estimate that there are actually 2.5 times as many as reported. In the best-case model, the epidemic in both countries would be "almost ended" by Jan. 20, the report said. Perhaps more worrying is the WHO report also, for the first time, raised the possibility that the disease would not be stopped but would become endemic in West Africa, meaning that it could become a constant presence there. Aid group Samaritan’s Purse is gravely concerned at the spread of the disease, fearing "it's too late. Nobody's going to build 100,000 beds."
Yet another set of ominous projections about the Ebola epidemic in West Africa was released Tuesday, in a report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that gave worst- and best-case estimates for Liberia and Sierra Leone based on computer modeling.
- *CDC SAYS RELEASING MODELING TOOL TO PROJECT EBOLA SCENARIOS
- *CDC: MMWR ESTS. 550,000-1.4M EBOLA CASES BY JAN. 20 '15
- *CDC SAYS STILL POSSIBLE TO REVERSE EPIDEMIC
- *CDC SAYS IMMEDIATE ACTIONS CAN HELP BRING EBOLA CASES DOWN
- *CDC SAYS NEED TO SCALE UP EBOLA TREATMENT CENTERS ASAP
- *CDC SAYS TAKING PRECAUTIONS IN U.S. AGAINST EBOLA
- *CDC SAYS IN PHONE CONF. CALL 'AGGRESSIVELY' SEEKING PARTNERS
- *CDC SAYS SEEKING EUROPEAN PARTNERS ON EBOLA FIGHT
In the best-case model — which assumes that the dead are buried safely and that 70 percent of patients are treated in settings that reduce the risk of transmission — the epidemic in both countries would be “almost ended” by Jan. 20, the report said. It showed the proportion of patients now in such settings as about 18 percent in Liberia and 40 percent in Sierra Leone.
“My gut feeling is, the actions we’re taking now are going to make that worst-case scenario not come to pass,” Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, the C.D.C. director, said in a telephone interview. “But it’s important to understand that it could happen.”
The current official case count is 5,843, including 2,803 deaths, according to the World Health Organization.
...
The W.H.O. report also, for the first time, raised the possibility that the disease would not be stopped but would become endemic in West Africa, meaning that it could become a constant presence there.
...
Ken Isaacs, a vice president of the aid group Samaritan’s Purse, said, “I believe inevitably this is going to move into people’s houses, and the notion of home-based care has to play a more prominent role.” He said there could be 100,000 or more cases by the end of 2014.
“Where are they going to go?” Mr. Isaacs asked. “It’s too late. Nobody’s going to build 100,000 beds.”
* * *
We can only hope such vastly horrible numbers are modest scaremongery to ensure CDC/WHO are funded correctly... because if not, forget African economic growth for the next decade...
* * *
The NY Times goes on to discuss what it's like on the ground in Sierra Leone...
The Ebola epidemic is spreading rapidly in Sierra Leone’s densely packed capital - and it may already be far worse than the authorities acknowledge.
Various models of the growth of the epidemic here “all show an exponential increase,” said Peter H. Kilmarx, the head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention team in Sierra Leone. “The conditions are amenable to Ebola spread.”
“Since last month, it’s every day, any minute and hour, and often, they are coming” to bury the Ebola dead, said Desmond Kamara, a police officer.
A cloudy stream drains from the area of the new graves into the slum, further frightening the residents.
“We are at risk, big risk,” said Ousman Kamara, a resident. “We have made many complaints.”
But the bodies, he said, keep coming.
“Even at night,” he said. “You stand here, and you see them coming.”
* * *
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Get all of the Ebola victims corporate jobs in Manhattan at JP Morgan Chase...
Snooooorrre.
Wake me up when Ebola kills more civilians than the U.S. government
Disease? Epidemic? In Liberia?
If the government shut down in the US, this would be your neighborhood in two weeks.
Fortunately, there is no more debt ceiling, no more sovereign downgrades, and no more political opposition to spending like drunken sailors, so there isn't any chance of that!
exactly........
I am sure that the second photo of a walkable community with living quarters above shops and a wide promenade with diagonal parking to buffer the traffic (in New York!) will give JHK a hard-on.
Clearly, the problem with Liberia is too many much parallel parking.
You're on a roll today HH.
Been to happy hour with knunks;)?
No, but I did see him in the holding cell for Room 101.
That Liberia picture looks better than Detroit, lol
The Liberian recycling program is commendable, but all that standing water is hopefully being diverted to a grey water system for the local golf course. Talk about sportin a chub, I'd like to see the look on those dudes faces when I roll up in my UN cruiser and blue helmet askin to see their manifests.
Ebola will kick start this thing, but cholera, typhoid, and the rest will finish it.
It's amazing they have survived this long, but India is probably worse.
I actually expect to see the old school diseases return due to the mass influx of illegals. TB is already making a comeback in some area's.
Looks more like piss than water.
Actually the first photo is what the second photo will look like when the EBT cards run dry
Come to think of it, I haven't seen any pics of the epidemic. Has anyone seen pics of actual Ebola victims? If I understand the math based on exponential contagion, there should be many pics to verify. You know what, screw it. Let's send GI Joe to kill it.
Hemmoragic fever is just too graphic for the internets. Let's all take a moment to bow down and thank the great google spider for filtering the offensive material.
All I know is that when the EBola vaccine becomes available, I'm lining up for it like it's the Iphone 7 already.
Only a complete idiot would stand in line for an untested vaccine manufactured by a Monsanto subsidiary and funded by Bill Gates.
I'll be one of those idiots. Western medicine has served me well so far. I'm not afraid of throwing a few bucks to big pharma when they actually produce some effective meds.
Read the insert that comes with the shot. It reads:
"With this vaccine, as with all vaccines, the chance of serious injury or death is small".
In other words, this might kill or maim you.
Not surpising when you learn the ingredients: Mercury, Aluminum, formaldehyde, bovine protein, MSG...http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vac-gen/additives.htm
But hey, it's only a little bit, so don't be paranoid about the potential catastrophic injury or death. Just get in line and get your shot like a good sheep. If you speak out or question anything, you will be discredited to the moon and back.
It's worse than that. See how you are slowly being poisoned by the elites.
http://youtu.be/oqB4L-V67iM
Yup no pics. Very suspicious.
Point taken, but not my neighborhood. This morning as I walked out to feed my chickens, I watched several deer eating the remains of the green bean harvest....they were in the next 40 acres over.
Beautiful morning.
Anyway, pick your neighbors wisely.
How in the hell is that a point? It's an opinion that's been proven false numerous times..
The point that after 2 weeks of no services (gas deliveries, electricity, running water, garbage pickup), no just-in-time deliveries, and a shut down in society as we know it, even the most civilized neighborhood would be looking dangerous and filthy with garbage piling up, rats having an orgy in the streets, and everybody looking sinister/hungry. -- think post-katrina --
My point is that is why I choose to live in the country where my neighbors are hundreds of yards away.
Didn't down arrow you and don't care if you down arrow me, but that was the point I got from the image of filth above: come what may, I'm in the neighborhood of my choice.
You're the one sowing discord here. If your neighbors are that much of a threat to you, then perhaps you should quit being a paranoid lunatic and say hi to them.
They are paranoid humans just like you, and the issue is not them being your neighbors and a threat, the issue is that you think you can survive alone and isolated.
That you have so much support in your comments is a reflection of the mentality some of you have and how ill it is. No one is out to get you, and sure when times are tough people might act in desparation, but it's not to target you. It's because you never stepped up to be the man in the situation and provide leadership.
So, if you do read this reply, you will hopefully understand that the failing is your own, not society's.
Wanting to have space between yourself and your neighbors doesn't necessarily mean you're anti-social. In order to have any chance of living without grid-tied inputs, you're going to need an acre or two of arable land a good reliable source of clean water at a minimum. More land and infrastructure would be better.
Homesteading my be an exercise in self-reliance and resiliency - but this lifestyle thrives in tight communities as well (tight as in "cooperative," not as in "proximate").
I came back and read your reply.
I think you're extrapolating a bit much in judging my reasons for living in farming country, but to each his own. Most the people living out here grew up in the country. I couldn't wait to get out of Phoenix (near the airport). So, I've had my share of 'too many people' and choose the quieter lifestyle I now enjoy. I never mentioned living in isolation....I do, however, love having the freedom of space that allows my boys the chance to pee anywhere on my property they wish without it causing septic runoff like HH's picture above.
If the day comes in our lives and tshtf, we'll see who handles it and who doesn't.
Having a couple dozen friends show up my door (or your door if you're in the city) who do you think will survive? The person with land, experience raising food, good soil, and preps...or the people pictured in the slums above? I may live 1/2 mile from my neighbors, but that doesn't mean I don't have solid and close friendships. I hold 7 am saturday morning farm workouts here if you are ever in the neighborhood and want to meet a few of my neighbors and me.
You don't need to reply but are welcome to and I promise I'll give you the final word if you feel you need it. I'll check back and read your posts.
Whether you return or not, best of luck.
Most posts on ZH are of the eagerly-fapping variety thinking about the downfall of civilization, and how they will be the lucky ones, having stacked their PM's, ammo, and supplies.
Naturally, it escapes them that all they are doing is gathering resources for the strongest person to take it from them. But no, they'll be on 24 hour watch, vigilant like unblinking satellites in orbit to protect their compounds when the ravening hordes come calling.
Yep, all safe and sound, eagerly awaiting the burning of the cities, the last spit of electricity, just long enough to post on a now-empty forum "I told you so".
Its delusion of the highest order.
I saw a squirrel this morning.
On the way to the subway I saw a waterbug the size of a construction boot.
It flipped me the bird as I passed.
I wanted to cry.
I saw six wild turkeys as I went out to milk my Jersey this morning.
Perhaps, but two weeks later it would be clean again
People here, in some neighborhoods, would quickly replace .gov services, so good they're always offered at gunpoint, with better privatized services
Other people, in other neighborhoods, would look exactly like the image above
Ohhhhhhh god, another federal government worshiper!!!
Ya and four weeks after that, the AR15 brigades of volunteers would be cleaning up the trash and burning the bodies and reforming local control over their own communities and the federal government wouldn't be seen anywhere or needed!
And what makes West Africa different then Anywhere, USA, oh ya the AR15 part, hmmmmmmmm
"Precautions" such as letting a ship with a sick crew which just sailed from the hot zone dock in New Orleans. But don't worry, everything is under control! It is looking like they are going to use ebola to bring down this house of cards. Remember, CDC holds the patent for the virus (?), and Gates and Monsanto will be offering up the vaccine. Story at countdowntozerotime.com.
Looks the the flea maket in Oakland to me.
Or Echo Park, ca
Is this Liberia or Detroit?
WOW, look at all that FREE STUFF! I had no idea. I'm movin' there this afternoon.
My neighbourhood in Brent, London looks like that.
You should not be sleeping then because Ebola deaths may as well just be included in the counts of the U.S government deaths.
or you may as well just sleep forever because a subset will never surpass the main set.
http://pneumatikeconomist.wordpress.com/2014/09/05/the-white-blood-bank/
Don't hit the snooze button yet. This may be some of their finest work.
Closing the borders? No. oops
Sounds like the NWO's wet dream via Georgia Guidestone.
"Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature."
http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/guiding-principle-maintain-humanity-under-500-million-starting-in-2014_09222014
Ted Turner's thing there.
Caught this the other day...looks like they updated the guidestone for 2014......maybe to commemorate the launch of their bioweapon
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-K_cuMDyHFc
I'm starting to understand why the Intelligentsia get targeted in so many revolutions....pompous MF'ers
What I find really interesting is that this site has gone dark on updates.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/disease/ebola/en/
Last Entry for West Africa: 9/4/2014
Before that it had been running like clockwork every 4-6 days.
Hey, I thought Ebola was nothing to worry about.
Did they lie to us? First time for everything ....
We knew we were being lied to, we just didn't know the extent of the lie.
"...these figures take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and estimate that there are actually 2.5 times as many as reported."
Now get your head around the idea that even this statement is a lie. What does the model look like to go from roughly 6,000 official cases (and 3,000 official deaths) today to 1MM+?
I knew, from tracking the official data since late June that the math behind Ebola would be a bitch, but I had no idea. Write off west Africa? Seems awfully convenient for somebody. Wonder if it ends there...
We already sent 3000 troops there to be infected and bring it back to the US. We're doing everything we can to spread this disease far and wide across the globe. Our scientists are working day and night to weaponize it. What more do you want from us?
If this whole global pandemic thing burns itself out and stays mostly contained to West Africa, don't look at us. We did everything we could.
Obama is still trying to figure out what troops are for. Marines holding umbrellas, maybe not so good.
Troops in Africa, shaking thermometers, yeah, maybe that's what they're good for.
They can then bring back ebola. That's it! Eureka, that 'll get 'em lined up for Obamacare!
And martial law... and an unlimited 3rd term.
Nice plan libtards. Barry can't wait. He's sending 3000 military people to bring it over here.
Yup. The country will have to be under curfew (stay in the damn house type curfew) for 3 weeks. Those 3 weeks will include election day.
I told my wife back in 2009 that Obama will be our last president.
And Dept. of Homeland Security babysitting illegal immigrant children
who have dangerous infectious diseases such as TB,
and now reports of a new disease in Venezuela,
very similar to Ebola,
already killing people.
The US sent 3000 troops and tiny poor Cuba sent 150 doctors. Case closed.
In America, the AMA very tightly restricts the number of doctors going into, and coming out of medical schools, so the demand squeeze will jack the prices. It has nothing to do with caring for the sick....only maximizing doctor income. Cuba has a different agenda.
Dump the AMA control, and we would fix a lot of problems in the US health system. But they hire the best lobbyist....
But did either group volunteer?
So Cuba wishes to import Ebola to Cuba also?
Estate tax to pay off national debt! Labour shortages to drive up wages! Win-win!
Steal all the money for & from skyrocketing Health insurance payments.
@ Perhaps! NoDebt - "we did everything we could" if we did not put itthere in the 1st place. Or do you call our delay tactics "EVERYTHING"? do you think we didnot have an antidote before this virus was going crazy. THE REAL THING HAS NOT BEEN RELEASED AND WILL NOT BE RELEASED THIS SOON. The pictoral interveintion by our government at this point is simply a coverup. they desire the virus to attain disastrous levels. THEY WILL BE ASHAMED AND FRUSTRATED WHEN IT IS ENDEMIC TO WEST AFRICA. PEACE!
I know someone is going to blame the Jews for Ebola. Tony Wilson, are you there?
Any Jewish doctors going to the Ebola Hot zone?
Jews only help Jews.
Everyone else, nothing.
Save yourselves and get the Ebola vaccine!
There is NO VACCINE.
Ebola will probably kill you...and me...and most of us here.
You see I am not too concerned about the primary cause of your impending DEATH.
I just understand that the Societal Breakdown caused by massive infrastructure failure, with the subsequent dysentery and other disease will wipe most out.
Then the toxic and radiological environment left caused by the Nuclear Plant Meltdowns along with the failures of the containment of refrigerated pressururized toxic gases due to the power failures will do the rest of us in.
You must understand that it is not the primary affect that is fatal.
It is the secondary affects of cascading failures that will prove fatal for most survivors of the primary disease.
Ebola does not care whether its victim is a homeless bum, an EBT user, or someone as vital as a Power Plant Operator, a Nuclear Engineer, or someone manning a Chemical Processing Facility.
I am laughing at those whom believe themselves safe because they are distant from Urban areas. You must understand that the Radiological and Chemical Toxins will be carried through the atmosphere....you know...the air which you breathe???
Adding to the toxic environment the inability to transport crops from the fields due to the failures of the Oil Refineries producing usable product, thus paralyzing transportation...well...
Life, if you survive the consequential famine, will be neolithic at best.
Really...Just who wants to survive this without the comforts to which our "civilization" has become accustomed?
Nobody lives on Earth forever Zirpedge.
I will be sure not to get the vaccine as I want to give this gift which keeps on giving to as many as I can. I want to spread this far and wide.
After all...You are all so deserving.
(Do I need the /sarc?)
CDC: Send us your money! Or you're all going to die. Well, at least half of you anyway!
Notice how governments are making sure it's exported to other nations. Hmmmmmmmmmmm.........
First it was "nothing to worry about", then: 20K.
In the last 2 weeks: 100K, 250K, 500K, 1M.
If I gave my boss estimates like that I'd be fired and laughed out of the building.
So, are we seeing (in order of increasing probability): Increasing awarenesso of reality; typical government incompetence, or political leveraging of events to confiscate wealth and power?
Yes.
exponential estimation. BOOM!
It's sad, but I'm pretty sure their first pie in the sky guess was 5,000 would be the top.
Surpassed that one pretty quickly. So, 20,000 sounds big....but that number is coming up fast. Now estimates are 550,000 to a cool million. Wonder how long that one will hold. Honestly, a million people with Ebola, imagine that, and it's going to remain contained in Africa?
How about that!
With 100k+ infected, numbers cease to matter. Only debateable point after this is how long it will take until almost everyone is infected in these areas.
Well, that escalated fast.
It will even escalate faster.
There will be TENS OF MILLIONS DEAD BY CHRISTMAS.
The Second Derivative of an Exponential Function is an Exponential Function.
That means that the RATE of Infection also GROWS EXPONENTIALLY.
That is what their model is NOT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT as it uses a constant Rate of Infection.
That constant is NOT A CONSTANT. It is also subject to Exponential Growth.
They are still giving you "Pie in the Sky" numbers.
Chan is the WHO director fwiw
After the "Dictators party" in the WH, none of these guys donated to President Goebbels PAC or slipped some cash to his cronies; therefore, your country is on its own. Oh wait ... Preezy declared war on Ebola; I didn't know ebola had an army and troops. Maybe if we had a hashtag or special ribbon we could wear, then the problem is solved.
www.traderzoo.mobi
We should probably shut everything down and hide out in our homes. If the scary ISIS/Al-CIA-DUH terrorists don't get us ebola will.
I've been hiding under my bed since September 2008. It's not bad. A little cramped, not many friends stop by any more, but I finally feel SAFE. Nobody has to tell me to "shelter in place" because I'm already way ahead of them.
Hopefully you have your scissors with you to protect yourself from an armed intruder. If you do't make sure you put up your gun free zone sign, that should keep you safe.
Don't sweat it. Our borders are secure.
https://www.google.com/patents/US20120251502
Obama's use of the military seems strange and confusing because the only military people he sees are in gay porn movies.
“This is the Conservative Republican Bush White House we’re talking about. It’s looking increasingly like they made a decision to allow a hooker to ask the President of the United States questions. They made a decision to give a man with an alias and no journalistic experience access to the West Wing of the White House on a ‘daily basis.’”
http://www.salon.com/2005/02/15/guckert/
Doin' a fine job of keeping the "O" in the Oval Office-- seems to have become a bi-partisan tradition!
I'm no fucking expert but when cases reach the millions its completely out of control, if it reaches a million I don't understand what they think will stop it reaching billions. No body will do anything about this until its too late.
Possible cases in the developed world: Woman in Perth hospital with Ebola-like symptoms
That case tested negative.
Apologies, not yet reported by Fairfax but why would they, its good clickbait :-)
If it stays in Africa, only millions dead,
If it gets out of Africa and starts going exponential outside of Africa,
probably could eventually kill billions.
NWO Georgia Guidestones plan.
Earth with only a half billion people.
This is my fav so far -
Man Bitten by Ebola Patient Flown to SwitzerlandSwiss authorities say a male nurse who was bitten by an Ebola patient while working in West Africa has been flown to Switzerland as a precaution.
Yep, the zombie apocolypse just started
Whaaa? Zombies bite?
It was a child who bit him. Kids can be dangerous. They say in a collapse/disaster that children without adults will ban together and do nasty shit to survive. A scared one who is ill, worse, if all the parents and family are dead, I can see it happening easily. Everything is a terrifying threat.
Shit! I'm really scared. I'm getting my favorite conch shell, breaking it in 1000 pieces and burying it in the backyard! God, we have feral pigs around here too. Damn, I knew ZH would eventually create a paranoid neurotic out of me.
Miffed;-)
And expose 3000 US soldiers to bring it to the US. Nice way to destroy the US economy Barry!
Once it takes hold in the US businesses will shutter as people will fear catching it in the public.
Yes, and then the collapse of the dollar will have a cause that people will understand and not blame on the politicians/bankers. Plus, we cut down on SS benefits, SNAP cards, etc, etc. It's a twofer at a minimum.
I wonder if cannibalism in Liberia has anything to do with ebola.
The Voodoo guys are working overtime..I would hate to be a chicken in those infected areas...you are going to be sacrificed.....the locals all have witchdoctors ...they do not trust whitey doctors...so this will spread even more...what will 100,000 beds do....nothing...you need a 100,000 body bags...that is safer...the problem is the whitey doctors will bring it back to us....and just think of the new rules and regulations they can think up for this one....you will need a blood test to go fly anwhere soon...TSA will draw it for you...at security of course....
Don't you be dissin' my pickled rooster feet;)
Fucking doctor's union. I knew it was those cunts.
GOOD LUCK EBOLA CHAN~!
The CDC has two patents on the Ebola virus because they paid to have it developed despite the party line that it accidently came from monkeys. Our hidden Jesuit rulers through their Zionist and Masonic agents are going to use this pandemic to stampede the sheeple into the hands of our Fascist Big Government controllers just like they are stampeding the sheeple using paid CIA agents known as ISIS to threaten the sheeple with threats like "We are going to drown you in blood" and other beheading threats.
The Jesuits are masters of fear and war mongering. It's all about mind control folks to hide their enormolously lucrative banker scams. They know they have already captured the population through toxic injury that produces anxiety, depression and a blind allegiance to the establishment. Our Jesuit rulers are so confident of their capture of the sheeple that they brought down the 3rd tower World Trade Center 7 at 5:30 PM on 9-11 in an obvious controlled demollition because they knew they had complete control of 95% of the masses through Toxic Injury and the sheeple wouldn't even consider looking at the evidence just like they immediately accepted the party line on Ebola and ISIS.
The reason that the CDC has a patent on Ebola is to insure that a private company, such as Merck, doesn't get the patent, and then have a monopoly on the vaccine. Time will tell if the CDC makes good on their "plan" to insure that more than one company has access to the virus for beneficial purposes.
The CDC patented ebola strain is not the strain that is causing deaths in West Africa.
Not saying this is not a black ops, just saying the strain is not the same. the song remains the same.
You need to see the forest from the trees
Jesuits as your code word for Jews?
Remember that movie Aliens? The plot was so contrived.
"Game over, man. Game over."
"That little girl survived with no weapons and no training."
"Then why don't you put her in charge?!"
If Ebola West Africa is finally taken out of the scene, lets be certain that her sister will surface because their father is still very much alive. the question is - where next? the west African mission seems to have being a success and we alrealdy have enormous agents on field preserving that success.
http://pneumatikeconomist.wordpress.com/2014/09/17/obamas-ebola-plan-mor...
Wife was offered a trip via Columbia med to help.....she declined.
The general idea that "the number of cases might be vastly underreported" cuts both ways. It seems like only the most squalid and/or lethal cases actually make it on to the official ebola registry. This coarse-spun net will not of course catch the possibly much greater number of cases consisting of people who contracted the virus and were asymptomatic, or who only came down with mild cold-like symptoms before recovering and thus neither sought nor attracted the attention of medical officials. If the virus is more widespread than what is reported, then its morbidity must ipso facto be less than the 50% that is reported. What we ought to be saying is, "50% of people with advanced ebola ended up dying from the disease; we do not know how many people became infected but recovered before symptoms became serious."
I still strongly believe that there are a number of cofactors influencing ebola's high mortality rate, the complex of which might well be called "being a poor person in West Africa."
What all this does demonstrate, however, is that the population projections which show Africa swelling to over 4 billion people by the end of this century are complete nonsense. There is no way in heck that Africa can support 4 billion people, and long before that point is reached disease, starvation, and warfare will take its toll. Africa is still the dark continent; without Western aid in the form of food supplies, health care, and capital investment, it will sink back in to primitivism with a correspondingly small population.
Ebola smoothed new case rate (does not include DRC outbreak data)*:
20 Sep 14 - 118/day
18 Sep 14 - 113/day
16 Sep 14 - 101/day
12 Sep 14 - 92/day
08 Sep 14 - 86/day
04 Sep 14 - 75/day
28 Aug 14 - 69/day
22 Aug 14 - 59/day
20 Aug 14 - 54/day
19 Aug 14 - 46/day
15 Aug 14 - 54/day
13 Aug 14 - 40/day
11 Aug 14 - 37/day
08 Aug 14 - 54/day
06 Aug 14 - 55/day
04 Aug 14 - 57/day
02 Aug 14 - 43/day
29 Jul 14 - 38/day
27 Jul 14 - 23/day
23 Jul 14 - 12/day
17 Jul 14 - 10/day
Case Fatality Risk Estimate: 49%
Active Case Growth Rate: 4.6% per day
Health worker deaths/cases: 194/355 as of 18 Sep
(20 Sep release contains data through 18 Sep, updated to 20 Sep with info from MoH sites)
http://www.afro.who.int/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_download&gi...
https://www.internationalsos.com/ebola/index.cfm?content_id=421&language...
repost from old thread
* there is a 'new' response update, with data only through 19 Sep posted
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/134449/1/roadmapupdate22sept14_...
So ... one calendar month (Aug. 19/20) to Sept. 20, numbers jump from 46-54/day to 118. Picking up momentum and - in the near term - self perpetuating.
While purportedly originally of zoonotic origin, I believe we can safely categorize humans as the new, primary host reservoir for this strain. Regardless of growth rates, we are watching a highly fatal disease become endemic to the region. Look at all the false positives for travelers outbound from Western Africa caused by other endemic viruses, and you see the long term problem for travel to/from the region. It's encouraging that cases haven't shown up in bordering countries (at least not officially) and a testament to the effectiveness of isolation; however the UN Security Council thinks the economic damage from such isolation is too great and encourages these countries to drop border controls as well as resume commercial flights. Seeing that most of these countries have comparable levels of sanitation and public health resources as the worst affected countries, that seems to me to fly in the face of prudent policy, or at least their own national interests.
CLOSE THE BORDER NOW!
Gotta love those hockey stick projections.
Those are not projections. They are confirmed cases and deaths in each country.
"We're gonna need a bigger chart."
It's a typical tropical disease, you shiit yourself to death, get dehydrated, electrolytes get all screwed up then it's AMF.
If the most basic hygiene like prompt burial isn't happening then the sky is the limit and there'll be multiple epidemics running concurrently, Black Death II
You forgot the "hemorrhagic" part.
Water sports are out for a while
Try outprinting " Mother Nature" you scumbag central banksters... I double dog dare you.
If I manage to outlive this thing, I fully expect a large monthly stipend from the 'Federal Reserve Bank of N.Y.' to help keep the illusion of eCONomic growth alive.
This Ebola is looking more like a scare tactic every day.
Where's all the pictures of these dead ?
He's the director of CDC not WHO
That fence jumper should of had some ebola blood instead of a knife when entering the white house
The Chinese could build 100,000 beds in about 6 hours.
100,000 beds aren't the problem, it's the tens of thousands of care givers that will be in short supply.
Is it time for you to take that EMT course you've been thinking about? Even if it's just to ensure your own family's survival? Knowledge is power.
The West African coast is littered with offshore oil and gas installations manned with people from all over the world.
These foreign crews are interacting with local work force on daily basis.
Thousands of people are changed every week and fly to US, UK, EU, Eastern Europe, India and Asia.
Containment?!
Uncle Sam is trying to scare you big time. Perhaps something big is coming up and they don't want you to pay any attentions.
In a severe American epidemic, IV fluids will be the key to survival. The problem is that, in a severe American epidemic, American hospitals will run out of IV fluids, very fast.
Just like with the war with Russia Obama and his puppetmasters finally got going yesterday, we the poople are the last to know their plans for us. No matter what the gov and media tell me, I dont believe a goddamn thing they say anymore. Duo is correct. Obama is our last Prez. Cant find anyone worse or more sneaky and evil anyhow.
The head of team for the CDC in Sierra Leone says " The conditions are amenable to the spead of Ebola." I for one am glad that we have crackerjack genius fuckers like this working the problem.
dup
CDC individuals are owned by every corporation that has their price. They're liars. We live in a Culture of Corruption.
Having said that, there's no harm in having extra food, fuel, drink and supplies, just in case.
At last they wake up: http://www.naturalnews.com/046986_Ebola_airborne_transmission_respirators.html