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How The Fed 'Broke' The Markets (In 2 Simple Charts)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The next time your friendly, local, asset-gathering, commission-taking, wealth-transferer explains that "you should BTFATH because stock valuations are supported by the fundamentals" - show them these two charts.

 

 

Now - what do you think will happen when the Fed turns off the QE tap?

Source: Citi

 

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Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:32 | 5249367 ZippyBananaPants
ZippyBananaPants's picture

Broke the markets or Broke wind? which is worse?

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:34 | 5249374 negative rates
negative rates's picture

It won't matter to me cause I got 3 years of fuel saved up, and that's a long time left to produce too.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 20:27 | 5249894 philipat
philipat's picture

The Fed already owns 25% of "The Market" but, as Bernie Madoff discovered, the wonderful thing about Ponzi's is that without the flow, the game is over. We should fully expect more QE, perhaps they can buy the whole "Market"?

Wed, 09/24/2014 - 07:01 | 5250853 PT
PT's picture

The covers have blown off the market and now we see behind it is the aristocracy.  Success depends on gaining the favour of the nobility.

http://www.cduniverse.com/productinfo.asp?pid=8511061

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:34 | 5249368 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Turn down the QE tap, then turn up the non-GAAP accounting tap and the buyback tap . Fixed.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:33 | 5249372 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Welcome to the new normal.

<One look at the above charts and it is clear they won't cut off the QE tap. It will continue in some form or another.>

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:44 | 5249409 StateofFraud
StateofFraud's picture

Explains the ramp up in preparations for "civil unrest".

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:09 | 5249470 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

Veils of illusion and dilusion

Machinations of minds that are lost.  Say what?  Minds that are lost.  Sort of like what the the Tibetans have documented  in  "hungry ghosts".  Sad really.  When you look at a world without colour.

Oh well.  Going to rake the lawn, feed the birds and do a cleanup on the fish pond.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:40 | 5249564 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

I offer an apology DC.  But what i said was right.  You speak to masses of idiots and spend 70000 words stating simplicity that could be accomplished by going out and actually appreciating life,

 

I am frustrated by the disconnects.  And million word guidelines of analysis do nothing to restore the simple fact that homo sapiens are fucked.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:36 | 5249377 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

They all float down here. [/Pennywise]

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:36 | 5249382 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Forever.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:39 | 5249392 q99x2
q99x2's picture

What I think will happen when the FED turns off the QE tap is that Brussels will BTFD.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:41 | 5249398 BandGap
BandGap's picture

That's why earnings are jobbed. That chart is nasty.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:42 | 5249400 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Gay sex will happen

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:16 | 5249503 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture

With or without hamsters?

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:42 | 5249402 craus
craus's picture

IMO The Fed is doing a test period now.

They are still jacking up indexes and think they can just do that for awhile.

I see a worse case of continued B.S. no increase in interest rates and the same old stuff next year.

Pretty soon BTFD.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:45 | 5249411 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 

Those charts look like a couple of banksters going down the rapids in a canoe... They keep telling each other not to stand-up or they'll tip the canoe over, and just sit there, like a couple of retards BTFD.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:28 | 5249532 PrecipiceWatching
PrecipiceWatching's picture

Don't get the BTFD strategy.

 

What happens when the D goes still LOWER than your B price?

 

Still just market timing, with a new name.

Wed, 09/24/2014 - 07:29 | 5250881 PT
PT's picture

The D never goes below the B.  That's what the Yellen is for.

Errrrrr, correction: The D never goes below the B until it does.  Which will probably be an hour after closing time on the Friday afternoon of a long weekend that precedes a glorious bank holiday.  The alternative is that there will never be a dip.  Instead, the price of everything else will just go up a lot faster than any equity gains. 

So what is it to be - Dip or hyperinflation?  Imagine walking into a casino with a rigged Roulette wheel.  When the majority of the money is on red, black turns up.  When the majority is on black, red shows up.

Q.  What will show up in the future - black or red?
A.  The opposite of where-ever you put your money.

Or if you do manage to hit a winning streak by betting against the majority, you will be picked up on a technicality, forced to lose, escorted to the front door and all the while the average punter will just assume that you deserved to be booted out because either you are a cheater or a trouble maker or both.

So what do you do?  Don't play in the casino.  Go bowling instead.

Or shooting.  Or do a survival course.  Learn how to travel light.  Hell, I don't know.  Curry favour with the nobility?  (Warning - they'll load you up with debt and then pull the rug out from under you the first time you piss them off.)

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:46 | 5249413 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

They're turning off the tap at $10 Billion/month.

I wonder what they are buying and not disclosing.  Everything?

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:18 | 5249506 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Ask Belgium...

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:51 | 5249426 besnook
besnook's picture

it is not called qeternity for nothing. the next chapter is called pallets of cash and wagner. i love the smell of cash in the morning.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 17:55 | 5249440 Goldilocks
Goldilocks's picture

Foo Fighters - Breakout
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4eNBM17tkjI (4:18)

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:06 | 5249474 surf0766
surf0766's picture

They will never turn off the tap. They will tell us it is off but it will never be off... Until they want it off. Now eat your peas and

get on the train

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:27 | 5249530 Sick
Sick's picture

USA has the best Hopium on the planet.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:46 | 5249583 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

To say the market is rigged is an understatement. After over 30 years of trading commodities I will flat out state without any reservations that lies and manipulation run rampant. If you think anyone is looking out for the small independent trader you are wrong. An unholy alliance of the Federal Reserve, the government, and the too big to fail has left the rest of us in a precarious position.

For the big boys, its insider information and computer trading, this includes computing patterns that exploit where stops are placed, this improves their ability to wash the weak out of their positions. The bottom-line is that the higher the market goes the more vulnerable it becomes to a major collapse and sudden downward move. More on this subject in the article below.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2013/07/markets-more-lies-and-munipulatio...

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:56 | 5249609 Think Like A Crook
Think Like A Crook's picture

It is quite amusing that most zero hedgers/long time bears (This includes me) think the Fed will never "turn off the tap". Lets play devils advocate. The Fed is standing ready to screw the Bears twice. First on supporting the market by directly purchasing equities (this has been proven) and now by tricking the bears into BTFD as they flush it. Have you forgotten tge objective is for "them" to steal all the assets of the working/whats left of middle class?

Now is the time for fleecing. THEN the Fed to the "rescue" with Q Anabolic Steroids E.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:57 | 5249615 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Sadly the wealth-transfer agents (Sell-side and Media) can't read charts or balance sheets. That's the essence of being a 'BullTard'. Take a bow ye who know who ye are...

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 18:57 | 5249620 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Same thing as when you turn off the Anti-Gravity force on the Enterprise:  Shit goes flying.

Arm Photon Torpedoes, Sulu.  And I know how much you like those things, Sulu.  -Kirk out.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 19:16 | 5249666 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

 

A premonition before dinner

Now - what do you think will happen when the Fed turns off the QE tap?

There will be a little nervousness on Wall Street until the boys figure that when the Fed turned off the QE tap, they simultaneously turned on another tap (let's call it the ZH tap) which the Fed, as in most of its dealings, has the option of telling everybody about or -- as in this case  -- NOT.

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 19:59 | 5249801 Ewtman
Tue, 09/23/2014 - 20:43 | 5249944 Honey Badger
Honey Badger's picture

ZH is killing it today! Spot on!

Tue, 09/23/2014 - 22:47 | 5250337 exartizo
exartizo's picture

wow. scary charts. really scary charts.

gee i do love really good chart porn.

kudos Tyler(s).

Wed, 09/24/2014 - 02:37 | 5250735 CHX
CHX's picture

QE till fiat burns in hell.

Wed, 09/24/2014 - 07:34 | 5250897 PT
PT's picture

And it won't be hot enough to be called "Hell" unless there is lots and lots of fiat to burn.  How many 1s and 0s do you need to make an inferno?

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