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Commodities Are Crashing Amid Stock-Bond Disconnect Deja Vu

Tyler Durden's picture




 

UPDATE: S&P and 30Y have recoupled post EU close...

 

Well it wouldn't be the US trading session if bonds and stocks didn't decouple from one another's reality...

 

 

But what happens when Europe closes?

 

But Russell is still red...

 

Silver and Crude getting flushed into EU Close...

 

Silver just broke below $17...

 

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Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:18 | 5270879 So Close
So Close's picture

Let us speak again when there is real market pricing for bonds.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:19 | 5270891 wallstreetapost...
wallstreetaposteriori's picture

How about let us speak again when there is real market pricing in all asset classes....

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:50 | 5271003 outamyeffinway
outamyeffinway's picture

Bye -bye shale oil industry. BK's forthcoming.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:52 | 5271008 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

Bail the shale companies!! 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:17 | 5271089 aVileRat
aVileRat's picture

Charlie don't surf (vol).

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:08 | 5271251 JRobby
JRobby's picture

When thousands of pages of tax breaks and benefits just don't get it done anymore..........

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:32 | 5271136 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

The Shale industry is filled with vein people.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:06 | 5271244 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

And their profits are well kept secrets

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:53 | 5271211 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

TITF - Too Important to Fail

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:22 | 5270894 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Same thing every freaking day.

 

Elsewhere:

Alan Colmes turns tables on Al Franken: why are you now running as a warhawk?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:33 | 5270929 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

Al Franken has come a long way from being a mediocre comedian and a B actor...

In the immortal words of Jeff Ross's father... Son,... there are many things in life that are not funny, and one of those things is Al Franken...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:47 | 5270992 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

"I'm good enough, I'm smart enough and gosh darn it, people like me."

Positive affirmations must be a suitable substitute for him to replace his lack of character and moral center.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:20 | 5271097 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

Hes a common opportunist type jew.. character and moral center don't apply...

For these types, "I am a whore" is the mantra..

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:05 | 5271241 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

That cocksucker zionist would look great at the wrong end of a rope.

hey, we can dream, can't we?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:17 | 5270881 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

These are big markets. You can't expect us to manipulate BOTH higher. 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:39 | 5270953 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

man what a great country we live in...
the more mother fuckers on foodstamps and living underneath freeways the HIGHER sock markets go...
it cost 2 cents to make a penny...
and Silver which has been money since dirt was discovered is almost $16 dollars an oz...
and we live in a police state...
and we at war all over the globe...
USA!!!!USA!!!!USA!!!!

hello Apmex.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:12 | 5271060 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Just think how well the nation woudl be doing today if we had started Jonhson's war on poverty in the 1920's....

Nothing wrong with living under the freeways-if you are in Miami, California, or Hawaii.  Have you seen what they want to rent an apartment in those places?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:18 | 5270884 jubber
jubber's picture

Europe going nuts on a pre Draghi rampfest...as Gold and Silver get re smashed

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:27 | 5270912 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

europe to print  and gold is down, makes sense.... really it does... in some alternate universe there is a plausible explanation

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:34 | 5270931 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

I'll keep saying it - if you short the idiot miners and use the profits to buy their product at below their cost you'll feel better, and be doing the world a service by helping to force a massive amount of bumbling business incompetence into bankruptcy and removing the miners from the business landscape.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:48 | 5270985 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

al i know...
its just funny in a not so funny way...
i told the old lady i'd by her a rock for her finger when the phony paper price of Silver got back to $30...
she's one angry brawd these days...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:01 | 5271036 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Maybe get the band now, and fill in the rock later...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:43 | 5270966 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

QE (and its variations) are disinflationary

 

deflationary when asset bubbles burst

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:19 | 5270889 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Bonds sell off tomorrow til NFP.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:22 | 5270895 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

That's GROSS

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:21 | 5270896 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

is there any scenario that Gold will actually go up one day before end of 2014 ???......(other than the Earth exploding into pieces)

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:28 | 5270915 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

I remember something about doing dental exams on John Kerry.

It will come to me.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:34 | 5270933 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Dental?  Did you mean rectal exams?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:37 | 5270949 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

If you want to look at a gift horses mouth that way,who am I to stop you.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:41 | 5270958 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

How long have you been a veternarian, and has horse dentistry always been your specialty?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:38 | 5271153 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

I've filed down more horses teeth than I care to remember, and I can talk

vetinary with the best of them.Rein, and hoof rot was the topic this weekend.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:28 | 5271122 Tigg47
Tigg47's picture

Yes there is: Many of those dec silver longs will ask for delivery. SGE is down to 81 MT.

Industrial demand alone will take care of that. COMEX default will reset the prices and that moment is getting closer. Patience my friend, patience.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:50 | 5271186 fockewulf190
fockewulf190's picture

Same shit, different  continent.  Draghi is going to print, so gold and silver must be smashed.  Thats OK.   I´ll take silver for €15,85 Alex.

PS: As of 18:50 CET, my PM dealer just ran out of Maples.  Philharmonics are also going fast. 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:30 | 5270919 craus
craus's picture

Feds should print a list of which equities and commodities they want us to trade. Also have a never trade list.

Somehow I trade stocks then the Fed decides to kill gold or oil.

Or just give EBT cards to traders and stay out of the game.

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:08 | 5271246 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Buy gold with your EBT!

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:29 | 5270920 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Absolutely fucking ridiculous...

DavidC

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:32 | 5270928 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Meh. Bring on the dancing girls!

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:34 | 5270937 toros
toros's picture

$300B in Reverse Repo today??  I don't even know how I'm getting screwed by this, but I'm sure I am.

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:08 | 5271059 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Must be near the end of the month again.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:13 | 5271266 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Fiction

Nice letterhead though

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:35 | 5270938 madbraz
madbraz's picture

if it weren't for treasury futures, yields would already be on par with europe's.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:39 | 5270955 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

our turn will come

 

carry trade with bullseye on US "high" interest rates ... with appreciating currency to boot

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:50 | 5271001 madbraz
madbraz's picture

problem for the NY FED is one or more of the TBTF who may be on the wrong side of that freight train in derivatives.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:59 | 5271029 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

i may be crazy ... but think Obama beginning to worry about legacy ... and with recent goldman tapes out? ... might be in mood to take 1 or 2 down if SHTF before january 2017 (safe bet) ... of course, not before the chosen decide on who gets what from caracass(es).

 

BoA based out of charlotte ... not a member of the club, just sayin' ...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:41 | 5270960 alexcojones
alexcojones's picture

They crush silver because they can.

Reminds me of 2008, when silver was crushed and the premiums went up at the LCS.

Besides my truck doesn't have a reverse gear and my boat sunk. Overloaded.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:43 | 5270972 juggalo1
juggalo1's picture

Overloaded?  Early is the same as wrong.  You didn't make any margin buys?  #lackofcommitment.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:49 | 5270998 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

Given there's less silver above ground than gold, it stands to reason the PPT via the bullion banks would crush it with paper to try and force John Q to puke up the real deal.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:50 | 5271006 somecallmetimmah
somecallmetimmah's picture

They crush silver, therefore I buy silver.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:25 | 5271313 espirit
espirit's picture

Methinks they can do better than $3 over spot for generic rounds.

 

Still think I'm being cornholed.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:15 | 5271082 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

they crush Silver cause they HAVE TO...
its within the reach of the YOU'S and ME"S - aka the common man...the crime of 1873 must be reinforced in order to absolutely discourage men from abandoning their worthless green pieces of shit...

dont give in.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:26 | 5271111 g'kar
g'kar's picture

Watching the PM paper slaughter on a nice graph is cool:

 

http://www.stevequayle.com/

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:35 | 5271144 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Silver has more industrial apps than gold.  But then all PMs have cool industrial apps.

Hedge accordingly.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:46 | 5271189 g'kar
g'kar's picture

When I bail out of my bank here shortly, all PM's will be on my buy list. Palladium, Platinum, Silver, Gold, Rhodium and some Pewtonium 235

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:49 | 5270994 ekm1
ekm1's picture

MARGIN CALL

 

3 ways to call margin on world financial system:

 

-raise rates

 

-dump commodities

 

-drain dollars

 

All 3 lead to panic selling

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:50 | 5271002 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Commodity dumping is a margin call on derivatives.

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:13 | 5271268 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

You can have a collateral call actually.

They're Jews so they've backed the whole thing with "New York City."

That would be the whole City.  "Anything to get back into the Nexus."

"Soon found out had a heart of glass" should have stayed "soon found out...was a pain in the ass."

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:02 | 5271042 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Where is this panic selling you speak of?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:03 | 5271053 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Panic selling of paper gold contracts.  As long as these clowns are permitted ~ by government! ~ to sell unbacked paper futures contracts and retain their price-setting ability, this fractional reserve gold manipulation will go on.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:09 | 5271061 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

It's not panic selling of long positions, it manic extension of short positions.  Watch the trend in the commercial positions over time - they're not reducing their short position so much as extending their long.  That said - all the better, sell the miners, buy the physical. 

 

Hey Fortuna, First Majestic, Hecla, etc... how's $16 for your long term survival?  Oh, that's ok, I see your answer in your news releases, desperately promoting how much MORE you're giving away at bargain basement prices.  I see you are literally living out Carlin's old joke about selling at a loss - looks like you plan to make it up on VOLUME.  LOL, see you at zero you stupid motherfucking shortbus riding pinheads.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:47 | 5271086 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

I don't SELL things that are low...only things that are rising.  Miners are a bargain now.  They will soon have to give up marketing their product through Comex or LBMA altogether and they will PAY thru the nose for re-hedging future production is my prediction.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:15 | 5271276 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

State of Colorado on line one Mr President!

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 14:51 | 5271634 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

Mining is a cashflow business.  The trick is to have the cashflow to last out the storm.  Commodities are being dumped as everyone smells blood in the water and wants to find dry ground before they jump back in. 

Russia is a commodity business that is losing liquidity as capital leaves their market.  China is going to start printing, but not yet.  The US is about to raise rates.

After a few days of this, a little analysis should point the way to bargains.  If mining equities are in strong hands the whipsaw action should point the way.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 15:52 | 5271914 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

The miners have the option, same as everybody else, to borrow cheap to ride out the storm and stockpile or shut-in production until normalcy returns to the market.  The fact that they choose not to (because our business is mining, not financial speculation) proves that they're content to be the whipping boys of their banker masters, and as such only merit short-side speculation.  If they ever show a willingness to quick sucking banker cock and start operating in the interests of their shareholders, maybe the situation will be different.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:18 | 5271290 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

beautifully put Al...
simply beautiful....

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:18 | 5271093 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

We have to remember always that these guys are LEVERAGED up to the eyebrows...otherwise they'd be more logically selling the derivatives and buying commodities...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:54 | 5271013 All Out Of Bubblegum
All Out Of Bubblegum's picture

The motherfuckers are depreciating the assets in the physical world in order to drive us all into poverty. You can't control and enslave a population that's financially independent.

Market traders are running right into their arms with every transaction and taking us all with them.

Same as it's ever been. They're winding up a generations-long game:

http://unicornpoo.wordpress.com/2011/10/27/very-pleased-we-have-entered-...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:54 | 5271020 Duffy
Duffy's picture

I'm buying rubles - and so should you.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/RUBUSD:CUR

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 11:59 | 5271031 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Well.  Something is probably happening we have not heard about yet.  It is ugly out there.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:00 | 5271032 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Silver still getting hammered. Now under $17. $15 is calling.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:12 | 5271068 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

just pulled the trigger on some old school Libertads...
man, the MoneyChangers really got me shook....

not.

thanks u fucking assholes for the bargain.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:18 | 5271288 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

The best I ever had!

Seriously...no one wants to see a price collapse dude.  STOP BUYING PERIOD.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:54 | 5271216 xizang777
xizang777's picture

I hear from a distance $10 silver calling.  It may be an echo left over from a few years ago, but I hear it still.  It grows louder!

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:28 | 5271320 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

I'll buy silver for $15 Alex.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:00 | 5271037 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Wealth insurance is on sale again... everything must be fixed

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:07 | 5271057 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

With such an able man at the helm, why not?

 

http://media.washtimes.com/media/image/2014/09/23/coffee_c0-164-810-636_...

 

 

Such respect, such decorum.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:25 | 5271113 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Barry was just keeping it real...its hard for him to switch coffee hands, salute and walk down steps at the same time... Plus the teleprompter didn't instruct him to do so...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:01 | 5271043 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Gold is *not* a "commodity"...

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:03 | 5271051 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

Nothing adds up anymore. 

Detroit's poverty rate is said to be 38 percent.

Detroit, MI Unemployment Rate is only 17.70% for Jul 2014.

“Poverty” for one person is an annual salary of $11,670 or less. 

Michigan’s minimum wage is $8.15 an hour. 

Not sure how poverty can be at 38 percent when a part-time (70% of full-time) minimum wage job exceeds the poverty guideline.

Even the State and federal welfare benefits pay $28,872 (single mother with two children) per year in Michigan, according to a new study. This puts Michigan in about the middle of the pack nationwide.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:11 | 5271066 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

There you go with numbers and things again.  Do you, per chance, own a nailgun?

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:12 | 5271069 ilikepies
ilikepies's picture

Im holding my balls and trying to work out how relelvent US dollar transactions are in my immediate sphere of influence. The gold I want to buy tommorow will be exactly the same price as it was today.  Comex price is a phantom and a whore. No real touchy no feely.  Only thing you can do with a comex contract is sop up the left over jizz and flush it down the toilet. 

 

PIES Eat em.

 

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:14 | 5271070 ilikepies
ilikepies's picture

What is the double post crap

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:27 | 5271126 QE49er
QE49er's picture

Another 350 Million ounces dumped on the market, on no news.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:58 | 5271227 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

paper ounces

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:34 | 5271143 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Watching and waiting on the silver (drool ...), seems to be a historic disconnect. Gold decline is dollar strength but this is gold/silver ratio decline as well.  Kewl.  Maybe we can mint real $20 silver coins again soon, LOL.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:23 | 5271298 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

That would add liquidity instead of debt....

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:35 | 5271146 miker
miker's picture

Most reasonable people expected PMs to go down before going p gain.  And PMs may never take off.  Depends on how things play out.  Hold a reasonable (10-20%) amount of PMs (mainly gold) relative to your other assets, AS INSURANCE.  Don't bet the ranch.   

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:55 | 5271217 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

 The U.S. has to fund 8 Trillion in debt every year. How is that sustainable?

 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:37 | 5271150 fishwharf
fishwharf's picture

Oh it's buying time again for silver darling,

Can you see that far away look in my eyes,

I can tell by the way the price is going,

That it won't be long before it's buying time.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:39 | 5271162 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

I believe we are heading into a week long Chinese holiday (Golden Week). Could mean no one is there to pick up the physical.  I love how TPTB try to convince the world silver has very little value.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:46 | 5271188 xizang777
xizang777's picture

For those waiting for $30 silver it appears that the wait just got longer. We're in the 16's and going down! I love it. Mostly because I've spent a lot of disposable income on guns and ammo lately, instead of on precious metals. So my guess is, guns and ammo will become more valuable soon - and gold and silver not so much.

Oh and real estate? Ha! Lots of luck with that one. The only good deals on real estate are way down south... in Belize.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:57 | 5271222 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Tryout one of those guns on yourself to see if they function and spare us your "insight". People will hold metals for decades not days like traders. Guns will be confiscated earlier than metals. Dedollarization will make your fiat wonderful for wiping your ass. 

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 12:57 | 5271223 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Wake me up went Gartman gets Bearish of Silver, can't be far off.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:13 | 5271269 walküre
walküre's picture

Deflationary depression is coming.

ECB has been warning and concerned for months now. The BOJ and FED will have to come out of hiding unless they approve of this collapse.

Paper will get vaporized either way. There just is no safe path or middle ground anymore.

Say, UST how about 20 cents on the Dollar for your shitty paper? Bond king is liquidating. I have choices, you know.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:48 | 5271375 SMG
SMG's picture

No no, hyperinflation first, then deflationary great depression, and then WWIII.   Interesting times.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 14:44 | 5271596 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

I expect events will seem like a tsunami.  First, the floor will drop out of the market as liquidity disappears and the tide goes out.  Then the pumping begins and liquidity pours in to raise all boats.

We've seen this before.

Sharp Deflation followed by inflation.  There will be hyperinflation in certain currencies as those economies blow up.  In the end, a global currency will be left standing.  I expect it will be the USD.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 13:25 | 5271311 Mitch Comestein
Mitch Comestein's picture

On a good note, retail gas futures are down 4%.  Smile on that bitches.

Tue, 09/30/2014 - 14:31 | 5271538 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

1965 noteworthy key level.  defended for three consecutive trading sessions by Da Henrys below it and 1910 very likely quickly unless Gartman announces he's short and then the charts have to reset after the 75 point burst. 

 

Sorry fellas Silver heading below 15. 

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