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US Hiring Plummets Most Since June 2010, Fewest Hires Since Polar Vortex Ground Economy To A Halt

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On the surface, today's JOLTS report (which after we caught the BLS fabricating the data aggressively a year ago is triple-scrubbed by government bureaucrats) was great: with total job openings of 4,835K, this was supposedly the highest number of job openings since January 2001, and just shy of the record high 5,273 seen in January of the same year, just before the recession hit to be precise.

There was, however, a big problem. Because while according to the BLS survey employers have almost never had more open positions, they have also decided to put an abrupt stop to hiring, something which certainly points to a major disconnect in the US labor market. In fact, according to the JOLTS report, its far less tracked "Hirings" number plunged from 4,934K to just 4,640K. This was the lowest number of monthly hiring since January's "Polar Vortex" ground the economy to a halt. What's worse, the 294K plunge in monthly hiring was the biggest monthly drop since June 2010, and was the third biggest monthly plunge in hiring since Lehman!

 

And putting this number in context, because hiring is a leading indicator to key payroll inflection point, one wonders: with TTM job gains having plateaued at 2.6 millio and hires tumbling, is this about to ripple through the labor force and result in a major drop in the October payrolls?

For the answer: check back in just under a month.

Source: JOLTS, St Louis Fed

 

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Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:32 | 5298661 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

So, it's not the weather?

 

I am confused.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:35 | 5298684 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

it IS the weather.  September was abnormally normal, which the economists did not predict.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:45 | 5298739 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

Bill Clinton says the economy is coming back but nobody believes it. Thanks Bill.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2014/10/06/clinton_nobody_believe...

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:27 | 5298950 armageddon addahere
armageddon addahere's picture

It's been a long time since anyone believed him.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:38 | 5299015 pods
pods's picture

Monica still can't wash the taste outta her mouth.

pods

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:43 | 5299037 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

well bill clinton says"... look the economy is doing better, it's just as I said years ago, it will take 10 years (of current policy to get it going again)before people feel it is better"..

the great 10 leap give us moar please moar.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:28 | 5299216 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Bill Clinton says the economy is good? I thought he was just crying about being so broke...what did he do, get a Dominoes pizza delivery job?

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:38 | 5298886 auntiesocial
auntiesocial's picture

I am curious if the BLS mafia keeps two sets of accounting books- or is it too bothersome to figure out the real numbers...

BLS MATH:

If I have 1 million employees and I fire 1 million employees how many employees do I have-

Well, after they do the hokey pokey and go through the electro magnetic discombobulator field and sign form 10.438 while the curvature of the Earth becomes one with an elephant tusk- 

3,000 jobs lost. 

 

THANK YOU. THANK YOU. Geithner helped me just a little...

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:53 | 5298769 armageddon addahere
armageddon addahere's picture

Get set to pay more taxes because of the damage done by the extreme cold of the Polar Vortex.

Then get set to pay even more taxes to combat Global Warming.

If this sounds like a bunch of God damned bullshit, just ask a liberal to explain it.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:22 | 5298921 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

It gets hot and cold, so obviously the gubmint needs moar moneys.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 13:22 | 5299468 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

I read that as "needs moar monkeys," and it still made sense.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:32 | 5298967 akarc
akarc's picture

double, my bad

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:31 | 5298973 akarc
akarc's picture

If you are a liberal or conservative working person just get use to the fact that you are going to pay more and receive less regardless of which faux political party is in office.

It's quite simple actually. The corproate cartels own the politicians. THreats to offshore more jobs, more tax money kept offshore, move their Patriotic American asses to another country and cut off campaign contributions that allow the politicians to engage in, what should be illegal, campaign lies/propaganda that the dumbed down American swallows hook  line and sinker shall insure a continued rise in the sales of KY and tissues in which to cry in.

OF course corporations  can always claim they are doing their civic duty by posting step by step instructions on their employee websites on how their workers can get benefits from the government since it's not a plantation owners responsibility to treat their workers like humans.

Would have thought one or two on here had read Adam Smith. My Bad. 

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:58 | 5298796 starman
starman's picture

Repeat after me R E C E S S I O N.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:10 | 5298838 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

D   E    P    R     E    S     S     I     O     N

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:22 | 5298915 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture

Depression with 5.9% UE headed for 3% so Obama with a Republican full line up can claim he is fucking his constituency for their own benefit

it is going to be MH17 for the Middle Class  - shoot them out of the sky and blame the Russians / Republicans...anyone but ObamaNation!

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:55 | 5299088 moneybots
moneybots's picture

Great Depression

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:09 | 5299131 PrecipiceWatching
PrecipiceWatching's picture

Pull the EBT and other thieving government grafts, and it is MUCH worse than Roosevelt's "Great Depression".

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:21 | 5298891 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Well, we already have Europe and Japan in recession. Let's have a nice global recession within this FUCKING DEPRESSION.

Throw in the coming collapse caused by Ebola. This should be fun.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:32 | 5298662 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Well, it is Halloween season in the U.S., so...

Pelosi's face darting out from a closet! BOO!!!

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:39 | 5298711 griffey247
griffey247's picture

I hate that bitch... Instead of Clown phobia... I have Pelosi phobia... Bitch just gives me the hebbi jeebbies 

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:09 | 5298837 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

What about a two headed ghoul with both the face of Pelosi and Hitllery.  They both have snukes up their snizz.  Your nightmare got exponentially worse.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:18 | 5298884 g'kar
g'kar's picture

Medusa would turn to stone from that sight

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 15:15 | 5300103 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Someday, her face falls

Talk about the definition of vain sociopath

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:41 | 5298725 pods
pods's picture

She has not been heard of since she did that ice-bucket challenge.

pods

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:53 | 5298773 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

She asked an epidemiologist @ CDC & Tom Freiden to get her a hot bowl of Ebola Vomit so that she could ingest it in order to find out what's in it.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:11 | 5298847 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Nahhh..

She's shacking up with Kim Jong Un

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 15:17 | 5300112 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Botox

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:30 | 5298941 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Maybe she forgot that if water got onto her she'd melt?

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:01 | 5299105 F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek's picture

The silicone bits and pieces of her body froze and broke off. They're getting reinstalled now and we'll have a new and improved Nancy in no time. In other news, horse-face Kerry is getting another nose job and will blame the black eyes on a kiteboarding incident involving a snowy owl and an evil wind energy turbine in Nantucket sound.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:33 | 5298663 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Divergence bitchez...
Whats with the disconnect....massive disconnect from NFP and from openings. I think they need to go back and figure out wtf happened because the data is way the fuck off somewhere. A real statistician should be wondering WTF.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:14 | 5298861 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

A "real statistician" would never be hired by this administration as it is filled with nothing but snake-oil salesmen. If you want numbers that are way closer to reality, check out John William's shadowstats.com.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:32 | 5298665 Richard Chesler
Richard Chesler's picture

Hope and Farce. Forward!

 

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:38 | 5298700 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Confidence in Obama on economy sinks to new low
Steve Liesman |
10 Hours Ago

This is not a joke. CnBSc even forced Obama & Statist fudgepacker, Steve Liesman, to detail Obama's ghastly ratings when it comes to Americans' (complete lack of) confidence in ObamaNomics:

(via Daily Job Cuts http://www.dailyjobcuts.com/ )

http://www.cnbc.com/id/102063107

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:44 | 5298729 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"Most paranoid President in history."

Still no charges of a "Vast Right Wing Conspriracy" yet though.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:49 | 5299308 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

And this from Clinton:

"Financial crises take an average of 10 years to get over. We just crossed over and we're now creating more jobs above where we were before the crash. " 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2014/10/06/clinton_nobody_believe...

Oh, you mean the one you spurred on Bill by killing Glass-Stegall?  Or cutting welfare?  Or beefing up the IRS shakedown state?

These liars are running out of shit to say.  10 years, huh?  Tell that to the people of Japan, who have been in a depression for 20+ years.  At least they have some decency in their population; can't say the same for mine.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:35 | 5298674 youngman
youngman's picture

Now Wallmart just said it was cutting health benefits for part timers....thank you Obamacare....

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:33 | 5298676 IronShield
IronShield's picture

I am Obamanus Maximus Incompetus; commander of despotic armies of the west, General of community organizers, loyal servant to a failed doctrine, Marxism. Father of a murdered constitution, husband of a murdered economy.  And for all those who snark at my dopey beliefs I shall have my vengeance, in this term, or when I return to the community.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:39 | 5298715 griffey247
griffey247's picture

Dont give Hollywood any ideas lol. 

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:57 | 5298782 armageddon addahere
armageddon addahere's picture

"I am Obamanus Maximus Incompetus; commander of despotic armies of the west, General of community organizers, loyal servant to a failed doctrine, Marxism. Father of a murdered constitution, husband of a murdered economy."

Look on my works ye mighty and despair.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:23 | 5298929 estebanDido
estebanDido's picture

Please read Marx before you compare this rotting system to marxism. Like Dali once said: Capitalismo es Putrefafacto.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:47 | 5299054 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Of course, but as you know, everything can be bastardized.  In fact, it is human nature to do so; at least for the socio- and psycho-paths among us.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:34 | 5298677 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Labour force on sidelines trying to climb a wall of worry.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:34 | 5298682 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

good job barry - useless shit

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:36 | 5298689 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Shhhhh....... don't tell Steve Liarman. He''ll get his panties all bunched up trying to tell you how you're wrong.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:36 | 5298690 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

get ready for the V rocket reversal....

its - a comin....

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:38 | 5298707 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

...Thar she blows!

Up up and away! My beautiful balloon!

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:37 | 5298695 youngman
youngman's picture

What it is is that many of our FSA is to dumb to have a job....they are just stupid...cant read or write...wont show up for work....cant learn anything.. cant speak with full sentences....just dumb....sorry but that is the fact...

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:38 | 5298702 IronShield
IronShield's picture

So what are you saying, exactly?

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:43 | 5298730 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

I wish you would use complete sentences.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:45 | 5298741 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Barf, puke, vomit, "selling buicks", you get the idea...

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:46 | 5299298 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

It seems anecdotally that most of these jobs that are open are low wage, and with the subsidies and entitlement offered by government remain unfilled. A close friend is manager of a chain of grocery stores and tells me he has more opening now than in his 30 years. People won't take the jobs and are very honest about their alternatives. It doesn't pay to have a job. There is plenty of laziness, apathy, ignorance and stupidity out there, but it doesn't take a genius to figure out it is a better deal not to work. The minimum wage laws are a farce, irrelevant. Minimum wages are set through entitlements. Does it pay more to stay at home versus a job? Set up perverse incentives and get perverse results. This is the true rot in society. Debt is bad but mainly it is bad because we are unwilling or unable to pay it back.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:38 | 5298704 Spungo
Spungo's picture

I didn't want to get a job to feed my family because it was simply too cold out.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:39 | 5298713 autofixer
autofixer's picture

Because Ebola.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:43 | 5298718 nakki
nakki's picture

Just remember NFP is a seasonally adjusted survey. "Survey says" its all mumbo jumbo.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:41 | 5298720 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

September/October 2012.   Before the elections...

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:42 | 5298728 sheikurbootie
sheikurbootie's picture

Hey all you fuckers that voted for Obama, do you own up to your mistake?  Bush was a fucking economic wizard compared to this asswipe.  And no, economics is not that complicated.  Obama is just fucking stupid.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:59 | 5298795 armageddon addahere
armageddon addahere's picture

 Would you rather have President McCain? President Romney?

You could blame someone for voting for the clap unless the clap was running against cancer.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:11 | 5298848 froze25
froze25's picture

I think he is pretty smart, he is doing what he wants to do to accomplish his goal.  Wreck the system so a "new" one can be built.  Treason comes to mind.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:45 | 5298734 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Keep in mind the equation that runs world trade:

 

PROFIT = REVENUE - COST

 

This equation rules.

PROFIT rules

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:48 | 5298752 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Minus Ebola and Outbreak and Haley/Bop and those folks who all sacked themselves in South America...oh, yeah! Gognitive Diffidence!

Phuck us all!

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:51 | 5298766 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'The Polar Vortex ground the economy to a halt'....oh for fucks sakes.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 10:59 | 5298804 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Why not?!

Next's retail sales suffered due to unusually warm weather, people actually stopped wearing clothes.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:02 | 5298809 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

In fact, according to the JOLTS report, its far less tracked "Hirings" number plunged....

Lol!  The far less tracked.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:16 | 5298869 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

YELLEGEDDON!

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:31 | 5298960 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

How about the BLS breakdown the number on these job openings by wage.  Then the "jobs recovery" will be exposed for what it truly is.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 11:46 | 5299048 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

Ebola=black swan

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:01 | 5299104 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"What's worse, the 294K plunge in monthly hiring was the biggest monthly drop since June 2010, and was the third biggest monthly plunge in hiring since Lehman!"

 

Won't hear that on the local news today.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:15 | 5299162 WOD
WOD's picture

Where's the ROFLMAO smiley?!? 

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:22 | 5299193 Bumbu Sauce
Bumbu Sauce's picture

This is what 52% of the electorate voted for.  Your fellow Americans are the enemy.  Their ignorance and malice is costing you more and more.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:24 | 5299197 Rikky
Rikky's picture

my wife has been seriously looking for a professional job since June in financial mgmt in the NYC metro area.  she's even willing to go into NYC given there should be more opportunities.  when she does find jobs that she's clearly qualified for she gets nothing but rejection letters when they respond at all.  i don't know where these jobs are but if my wife who is a professional and is looking in a very densely populated market can't even get an interview something is amiss.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 12:42 | 5299271 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

Clearly America needs more regulations, bureaucrats and taxes... Clearly.

Tue, 10/07/2014 - 15:01 | 5300048 Bumbu Sauce
Bumbu Sauce's picture

Time for the dogeater to deliver a speech about a car in the ditch.  The fucker.

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