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Name The Hedge Fund

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back in 2007, the issue of leverage in the investment banking community (which hadn’t mattered to anybody for many years) suddenly mattered to everybody and for the usual reason in such cases: people started to worry about losing money. Amazingly, having financial institutions levered 30x became something to fear seemingly overnight; and, of course, whilst things like that can go on for a long time, as soon as the fear takes hold, it’s game over...

 

NAME THIS HEDGE FUND

Its leverage is extreme to say the least...

 

And it's been building for 7 years...

 

ANSWER:

Today, in 2014, after the massive expansion of its balance sheet in the name of peacekeeping, the Fed’s leverage far exceeds what was enough to cripple the world financial system back in 2008.

*  *  *

Luckily, the people managing it have years of experience in managing massive portfolios, dealing with illiquidity, and trading markets... oh wait!

Source: Grant Williams

 

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Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:30 | 5304832 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Yellen is a Ninja Master at managing leverage risk.  She just does not want to shove it in our faces.  

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:32 | 5304854 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Wonder why Bernanke quit?  Here's your answer.

 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:48 | 5304928 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Who's going to give them a margin call?  And even if they received a margin call, all they have to do is print moar money.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:49 | 5304996 Honey Badger
Honey Badger's picture

They also have the doomsday book as a secret weapon.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:01 | 5305050 remain calm
remain calm's picture

Makes sense since they are the back stop for all the banks.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:48 | 5305321 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Does the Doomsday book list releasing Ebola in Dallas, and threatening nations w/ the Samson option?

 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 19:02 | 5305944 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

Well, now they can import Marburg from Uganda, and it can have babies with ebola that ride red horses....

http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2014/10/08/ninety-nine-in-isolation-after-uganda-marburg-death-country-trying-desperately-to-prevent-an-epidemic/

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:12 | 5305135 Hero Protagonist
Hero Protagonist's picture

Who are you kidding!  The Fed doesn't have a measure for total capital...total capital = how much they can print which is INFINITY.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:29 | 5305229 Joeman34
Joeman34's picture

Exactly.  Leverage is meaningless when you can just print more cash to cover your liabilities.  The effects of that printing, however, are another matter and I'm not sure anyone can accurately predict how it will end...

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:35 | 5304870 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

she's a ninja master at getting in the front of the line at the buffet table.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:41 | 5304916 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

The FED leverage myth is just noise.

-Janet

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:10 | 5305101 Bubenthauser
Bubenthauser's picture

Yep, I mean, when you ARE the LEVER, there is no point in even talking about it. 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:36 | 5305261 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I feel more like the fulcrum.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 17:27 | 5305497 jon dough
jon dough's picture

Fulcrum? Damned near killed 'um!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 17:06 | 5305132 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

Answer:    What is the Federal Reserve.....Alex.

WHAT !! ??   That damn IBM Watson beat me to the buzzer AGAIN ????

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:30 | 5304837 Bubenthauser
Bubenthauser's picture

Jino Pino Morgano

 

Come on, the Fed doesn't exist. /sarc

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:30 | 5304840 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

What could possibly go wrong?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:34 | 5304841 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Look To The "Secret" Federal Reserve Toolbox/Manual/Scrolls!

#TheyGotThis

#SodaStreamNowTooBigToFail

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:30 | 5304842 ultimate warrior
ultimate warrior's picture

WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE!

-HC

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:31 | 5304848 Lmo Mutton
Lmo Mutton's picture

Meh only 80%

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:43 | 5304942 Gern Blanston
Gern Blanston's picture

80 is the new 30.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:31 | 5304853 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

As long as everything goes up, what is there to worry about?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:32 | 5304855 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

JPM or The Federal Reserve.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:34 | 5304865 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

you repeat yourself.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:33 | 5304859 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Well it's Federal. 80 x leveraged American babies should save the system. At least they know how to puke.

/s

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:34 | 5304876 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Thank goodness for the generations down the road who will be paying for our excesses. If it wasn't for them we would be fucked.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:43 | 5304938 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Our kids are so special!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:13 | 5305133 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I believe "exceptional" is the word you are looking for.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 20:05 | 5305175 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Hey pal, I'm a soccer mom not a Doctor.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 23:21 | 5307058 natty light
natty light's picture

The debt is for the children.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:34 | 5304877 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

So. - Janet Yellen

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:35 | 5304878 Neverstopprintingme
Neverstopprintingme's picture

Well at least they owned ABS of future GPRO dividends.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:35 | 5304879 lester1
lester1's picture

Remember when Bernanke said the FED holds gold because its "tradition".. lol

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:37 | 5304885 firewire888
firewire888's picture

It all about rates, if they lose control of the 10 year forget it, music stops playing.   At the beginning of year 10 year was at 3, if it gets back there look out below.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:36 | 5304891 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Yes, but they have a capital "cushion" of 1.25%. lol.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:25 | 5305186 BrosephStiglitz
BrosephStiglitz's picture

Paraphrasing Jim Rickards:  "On a mark-to-market basis, the Fed Reserve Balance Sheet is already insolvent."

There is a reason why dot gov has been kamikaze bombing every quasi-viable alternative to the dollar.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:38 | 5304897 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

That is only the shit The FED admits to.

Add a few more zeros to that number and push that chart boner right off the computer screen and though the ceiling if you count the Interest Rate Swaps and other Derivatives...

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:38 | 5304904 sheikurbootie
sheikurbootie's picture

BAC ?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:46 | 5304930 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

According to the WSJ ates are down in the entire Treasury Complex sans the 30yr.

The 10yr yield is listed as 2.331%.  Edit while I type: 2.328%.  Edit while I type: 2.324%.  ...2.322%.

Rates continue falling literally faster than I can type them in.

Starting to look rather panicky...

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:47 | 5304978 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

The FED jaw-boning and backtracking about raising rates is an implicit promise to keep backstopping speculation.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:18 | 5305167 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

None of it makes any sense. Buy bonds! Buy stocks! By leveraged puts strangled to what our numerologists star gazers say is the timing of right!

I mean seriously the Fed just needs to stop talking period...let alone issuing forward guidance.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:43 | 5304936 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

actually,  the FR does a quarterly report

 

Go to Table 10

 

for 6 months ended june 30th ... FR had UNREALIZED gain of $144 billion on assets held

 

of course, last year FR suffered massive UNREALIZED losses on assets held

 

http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/quarterly-report-20140630.htm

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:50 | 5304989 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

how does one calculate leverage for a private bank with no real assets anyway?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:53 | 5305009 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

fwiw, $56.3 billion in capital

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:59 | 5305035 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

what percentage of the current CDS "market" is that again?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:43 | 5304948 Bear
Bear's picture

So I wonder how much of this is gold short?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:44 | 5304950 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

As Fred Flintstone so eloquently said:  "Ya just can't trade this shit !"

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:49 | 5304985 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

i stay far far away from stock market now

 

i was (heavily) short on that day back in october 2008 (TARP passage?) when DOW gained almost 1000.  Hung in there and got (most) of my money back, but the stress that day off the chart

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:01 | 5305055 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

he also said..... BET BET BET BET BET BET BET

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 17:39 | 5305540 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

...& Doozy Dodo squawked: "Frantic City!  Frantic City!  Doctor is a plumber!  Whoo hoo!"

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:45 | 5304955 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

Guillotine the Fed!"

An American, not US subject.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:45 | 5304968 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

can't keep King Dollar down (for long)

 

DXY hit a low of 85.21 ... climbing (85.38)

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:47 | 5304981 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

Let's see. Banks are prone to failure, so let's create a reserving mechanism that will "be there" when it all goes wrong. Hmm, how about we take the "reserve fund" and make it...(drumroll)...MORE leveraged than it's member banks!
Ha Ha ha ha ha HA HA hAhAHAHA
Assholes

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:00 | 5305040 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Don't forget FDIC lol.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:33 | 5305241 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

hahaha ha ha HA HA HAA!!
FDIC, that's a good one. An insurance company with no reserves.
(throws up on self)

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:49 | 5304992 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

It's the mysterious Hedge Fund X

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 15:51 | 5305000 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

10yr @ 2.313

 

took out 52 week bottom in yield

 

 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:00 | 5305045 centerline
centerline's picture

That's no hedge fund...

(Star Wars)

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:03 | 5305065 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

It's too big to be a hedge fund.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 17:12 | 5305431 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

I have a bad feeling about this....

 

(actually, had that feeling for several years now.)

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:02 | 5305047 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Bullish.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:03 | 5305066 starman
starman's picture

Have you thought about that the more American taxpayers heads we loose in the Middle East the more debt you'll have to carry!

Damn! 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:05 | 5305067 css1971
css1971's picture

Don't see how it applies to a central bank. They can just magic stuff.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:06 | 5305080 limacon
limacon's picture

The Great Mistake
The underlying structural cause of present economic problems : see

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2014/02/humans-should-have-been-22-richer-...

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:11 | 5305113 GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

They should diversify into Gartman's fund!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:10 | 5305114 Haager
Haager's picture

Stop it please. I can already hear Putin's laughter all over Alaska.

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:24 | 5305199 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

The FED, owners, employees, shareholders, and other griffter hangers on.

You are, going to be served justice.  This shit is a game too far.

You are, going to be held accountable for ruining the western world.  You were warned some time ago about doing the unthinkable, and you lot didnt think and still done so.  You are not walking away from this mess boys.

Far too many people know what, just exactly what you have done to us.  You might have gotten away with your games 100 years ago, but not now you cunts.

If I am going down, as you want, at least one of you comes with me.  Times that by a multiple, you clever fucking cunts.  There aint just one awake 96, and we by far out weigh and out number you.

Your time is up.

Didnt have to be this way did it?  Remember you lot did this, not us proles.  And you will get exactly what you deserve.

See what greed does?  See what absolute power does?  It does this, it makes people like me, and not just me, furious, not just angry, but enough filth has passed us by to bury these cunts tweleve times over.  You were given the trust of the people and you fucked them, just like them before you.

No more.

You will, at some point be held accountable.  This really is enough.

The people have had enough, we say no.  Not in my mother fucking name.  You cunts will be hanged like the dogs you are.

No more.

;-(

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:32 | 5305242 Bubenthauser
Bubenthauser's picture

LOL, you're funny and cute. 

 

You're also right, but if they going down, we all go down. Which would be about time. 

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:45 | 5305295 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Cute?

Bubenthauser, so be it.  We all stood by and did nothing.  Thats a price we should all be prepared to pay.

We, as a whole, didnt stop them.  So be it.

This will end.  As it always does.

:-)

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 17:02 | 5305383 MrButtoMcFarty
MrButtoMcFarty's picture

Goddamned....I hope you are correct!

First we kill all the Banksters!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 16:38 | 5305267 seek
seek's picture

Jesus. Every day another chart reminding us just how fucked things really are.The thing that amazes me is that there are still metrics, like this one, that surprise me or blow me away with the magnitude of the deviation from normal.

Is there any doubt the present financial system will collapse spectacularly?

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 18:04 | 5305649 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I was going to say the private Federal Reserve Bank Corporation system because I saw an interview last night which said the FEd is now leveraged 77-1. (True, it was an interview with Rickards). 

Can I peak now? Hey, I was right!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 18:07 | 5305663 gwar5
gwar5's picture

A glutonous, corrupt private bank full of sociopaths leveraged 77-1 and backed up by the full faith and credit of the taxpayers they are raping, imagine that!

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 18:31 | 5305685 socalbeach
socalbeach's picture

I mentioned this before, but the Fed made an accounting change in 2011 so that they will never be technically insolvent.  If they take a gain or loss on assets, instead of increasing or reducing the value of assets and capital, they will still modify assets, but change a liability account instead of their capital account.  That liability account is "the amount the Fed owes the Treasury".

Normally that liability account is a positive number, meaning they owe the Treasury money for the interest they've collected on Treasuries and MBS.  But now if their losses get big enough, the liability account will become negative.  A negative value in that liability account would mean that the Fed owes the Treasury a negative amount of money, or said the same way the Treasury owes the Fed money.

You didn't think the bankers would let a minor detail like them becoming insolvent stop their operation, did you?  You can read a more detailed explanation here: http://mises.org/daily/5057/

Wed, 10/08/2014 - 18:39 | 5305829 DipshitMiddleCl...
DipshitMiddleClassWhiteKid's picture

Citadel?

Thu, 10/09/2014 - 00:00 | 5307164 Ewtman
Ewtman's picture

The Fed's days are numbered, but they aren't going down without a fight. Someone commented if the Fed goes down so does everyone else. No doubt that's true. Although the future will be bleak if they are destroyed, it is so much more bleak if they are allowed to continue to exist.

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/the-creature-from-jekyll-island-the-e...

 

Thu, 10/09/2014 - 00:30 | 5307210 chump666
chump666's picture

...leveraged against German gold. 

“It's all a joke! Everything anybody ever valued or struggled for... it's all a monstrous, demented gag! So why can't you see the funny side? Why aren't you laughing?”

Thu, 10/09/2014 - 08:20 | 5307790 Pee Wee
Pee Wee's picture

Said it once, i'll say it again.  Mark this post - by aborting creative destruction in 2000's, the mafia ruined America and even the possibility of a better life for all but the top.

Symptoms are is easily seen in plain sight, such as TARP, TBTF, and no rule of law for money and "business."  This chart only confirms it.

Run.

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