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Crude Rises On News ISIS Has Entered One Of Baghdad's Suburbs

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just like the German-economy crushing Ukraine civil war, which promptly faded into obscurity, so the mainstream appears to have bored quickly with the recent developments surrounding ISIS, with conventional wisdom inexplicably convinced that US airstrikes have managed to stop the Al-Qaeda 2.0 menace dead in its tracks. Nothing could be further from the truth.

But while the western world couldn't care less about the fate of some backwater town on the border between Syria and Turkey, it certainly cares about what happens to the Iraqi oilfields located south of Baghdad (which serve to determine the marginal price of oil around the world). Well, the world may not care, but crude traders certainly do, and the reason why oil appears to be rising in recent trade...

... is due to news that ISIS militants have infiltrated one of Baghdad's outer suburbs, Abu Ghraib which is only eight miles from the runway perimeter of Baghdad's international airport.

CBS reports that the arrival of ISIS is cause for serious concern now that the Iraqi Defense Ministry has confirmed ISIS has MANPADs, shoulder fired anti-aircraft missiles.

The Iraqi army is still patrolling Abu Ghraib, but they play cat and mouse with the ISIS fighters who stage hit and run attacks on security forces.

 

 

It's a mixed picture around the city. ISIS took over the city of Fallujah -- only about 40 miles west of Baghdad -- in January, and the Iraqi security forces have fought in vain for a year to force them out.

As noted above, in the latest embarrassment for Obama, instead, and in spite of weeks of U.S.-led airstrikes, ISIS has gradually extended its reach. The extremist group is now either present or in control of a huge swath of countryside, forming a 180-degree arc around the Iraqi capital from due north around to the west, and all the way to the south. Around this zone there have been skirmishes, and occasionally heavy fighting, with Iraqi security forces and Shiite militias battling ISIS.

If ISIS has indeed arrived, it is likely that things will rapidly move from here, as Baghdad contains numerous ISIS sleeper cells that carry out almost daily bombings and assassinations.

An Iraqi officer told CBS News that the airstrikes are helping to clear an ISIS-free buffer zone around the city, where there are Iraqi boots on the ground. In fact, there are 60,000 men assigned to defend the capital, and CBS News correspondent David Martin reports that there are 12 teams of American advisers deployed with the Iraqi brigades.

LOL "advisers." The same advisers who estimate that the Iraqi army will fight for the capital and there is no real concern that Baghdad is in imminent danger.  Alas, any bets that the Iraq army can do anything do oppose ISIS can only generate deep laughter: "as at least three major Iraqi military debacles have shown over the past five months -- the most stunning being the quick fall of Mosul in the north -- the army is plagued with problems of poor leadership and endemic corruption that undermine their effectiveness as a fighting force."

As Martin reported from the Pentagon on Thursday, due to the relatively poor performance of the Iraqi troops west of Baghdad, the airstrikes are having a limited impact.

For those who have lost the plot line by this point, here is a summary: the US is blaming the army that the US spent billions to equip and tradin for being unable to defend against a jihadist force that the US spent billions to equip and train.

Meanwhile, the US is closer and closer to losing the laughable "adivser" moniker, and calling the local boots on the ground for what they are. It got that much closer to doing that over the weekend when the US used Apache attack helicopters -- for the first time in the fight against ISIS -- in Anbar province on Sunday.

Last week, the fighting in Anbar verged on a rout of the Iraqi army, Martin reports. In the past few days the ISIS offensive has slowed, but analysts aren't sure if that's because ISIS is overextended or are simply taking an "operational pause" while they reposition for the resumption of the offensive. Judging by the sudden renaissance of oil, at least it is clear what crude traders are thinking right about now.

 

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Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:37 | 5314948 90's Child
90's Child's picture

Watch soon Putin will be blamed for aiding ISIS and manipulating the price of crude cause of it.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:40 | 5314981 Boris Alatovkrap
Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Of course is crude is rise... Kurdish people is f*cking angering and is let everyone to know it!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:45 | 5315009 InjectTheVenom
InjectTheVenom's picture

note to author of article :  it's couldn't care less

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:50 | 5315024 knukles
knukles's picture

Welp, there goes the neighborhood!  Marsha, I toldja we shoulda opened that BBQ rib shack to keep them kind away.

PS  As if the Baghdad suburbs is where the oil wells be, huh?  Sometimes markets amaze me.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:53 | 5315040 de3de8
de3de8's picture

Relax, obombu has it under control

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:58 | 5315056 knukles
knukles's picture

What?  The deal with ISIS or the other disease?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:16 | 5315169 Ying-Yang
Ying-Yang's picture

Should the manpads that ISIS has be called Imanpads?

Would Apple sue?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:19 | 5315182 max2205
max2205's picture

Whew

 

Thought you said Brownsville

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:54 | 5315681 GeorgeWKush
GeorgeWKush's picture

Looking at the wiki maps leaves me with the impression that IS is expanding on virtually all fronts at the moment. No wonder why the MSM seems to have stopped reporting on this story.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 18:27 | 5316448 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

That and the fact that it's now Obomba's war, and you know they're still partial..

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:02 | 5315092 666
666's picture

How can anyone expect the USSA to contain ISIS in Iraq when Obummer's goal is to overthrow Assad in Syria?

The pipeline has top priority!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:08 | 5315128 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Markets never amaze me, knukles; seen it all twice, and I'm sure I'll see it again, whatever it is; these popular web magazines, now they do amaze me.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:10 | 5315139 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

Isn't Abu Graib where our queer soldiers would diddle the Iraqis?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:51 | 5316045 Dave
Dave's picture

Yep. "They" say the prison is closed now. Yeah, right.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:05 | 5315115 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Ah, but you should have reasoned thusly; the author couldn't care less, that's why he didn't pay attention in school, so he's not going to learn anything today, either. cheers.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:23 | 5315199 max2205
max2205's picture

Not too late in OBlameo's term for another Iran hostage embarrassing episode in Iraq

 

Winning

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 18:29 | 5316456 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

Which would complete his parallelism as the mulatta Jimmy Carta (sic)..

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:12 | 5315147 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

InjectTheVenom:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Gv0H-vPoDc

Damned-straight...

 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:04 | 5315104 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Must be nice to know what the "reason" for things is; I don't pretend to know. your explanation is as good as any, Boris, and more entertaining than most.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:13 | 5315420 Wahooo
Wahooo's picture

Boris, OT: will the Kievans play nice now?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:37 | 5315573 Boris Alatovkrap
Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Kievan is all how you say, "slushed", wait until is all passing out and then is play nice:)

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:01 | 5315082 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Just bought three rail cars of crude for Feb.'15 Delivery @$84.55,  don't know what the article refers to; the futures haven't moved noticably. I ran into this article after I put the position on. I did it because the shape of the down slope inflected and became too steep and because there's too much volume and open interest in a back month like Feb.15. These are indicators the price action, (downward), has become a pure speculator event, (trend followers), who always get their ass kicked. Making money on t he Feeder Cattle trade posted here yesterday. This is the one I reccomend to ordinary people who don't want to do this for a job, because after the first week when you can see it's going in the right direction, you can put in a zero loss stop order and then just forget about it. Once a month you can check t he price and chuckle to yourself at your funds increasing. The "job" in this case, consists in waiting, almost a full year !!, in t his case, for the price to become impossible; eg. nobody is actually going to pay this much for feeder cattle in April '15; so you can just short it and forget it. Stawk market not offering any opportunities today; it's a wait and see. if the buy the dippers bid it up again, we'll short it again. As you can see it's not necessary  to predict anything; you just react to WHAT IS.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:24 | 5315141 Ying-Yang
Ying-Yang's picture

 What happens next, should ISIS overrun the $810 million dollar US Embassy in Iraq and take hostages?

 

ISIS song by Iman Gaye:

 Sunni, yesterday
 My heart was filled with rain
 Sunni, you smiled at me
 And really eased the pain

 Oh, the dark days are done
 And the bright days are here
 My Sunni one shines so sincere
 Oh Sunni one, so true, I love you

 Sunni, thank you
 For the sunshine bouquet
 Sunni, thank you
 For the love you've brought my way

 You gave to me your all and all
 Now I feel ten feet tall
 Oh Sunni one, so true, I love you

 Sunni, thank you
 For the truth you've let me see
 Sunni, thank you
 For the facts from A to Z

 My life was torn like wind blown sand
 Then a rock was formed when we held hands
 Sunni one so true, I love you

 Sunni, thank you
 For that smile upon your face
 Sunni, thank you
 For that gleam that flows with grace

 You're my spark of nature's fire
 You're my sweet complete desire
 Sunni one so true, I love you

/sarc

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:15 | 5315165 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Goldman probably cut a deal with ISIS.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:38 | 5314958 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

"good.  we need some inflation. now can we pay them to kill thousands of people and blow up some oil terminals" - yellen

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:39 | 5314966 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

I think we're waiting for ISIS to slaughter all...then we can get down to business for real.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:43 | 5314991 XqWretch
XqWretch's picture

Considering ISIS is selling barrels of oil for $40-50 a day, shouldn't oil prices be going down?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:16 | 5315162 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

 That was a news anouncement, XqWretch; in other words it was a cover story for the fact that the hundreds of millions of dollars are coming from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the CIA; not from a couple of tank trucks frull of crude. Ok ?  Remember, if it was in the news; it was a lie. sorry, if I didn't understand you were being sarcastic.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:15 | 5315166 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

Not yet. Wait until ISIS enters the ETF business...

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:31 | 5315225 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Shit. Is it all right, if I hope that doesn't actually happen? You get some really evil ideas in your head, don't you ?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:42 | 5316012 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

LOL. You would too if you follow the money.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:40 | 5314967 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

"Contained."

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:51 | 5315029 knukles
knukles's picture

How many ISIS soldiers can fit in a 55 gallon drum?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:10 | 5315143 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

cracking me up knukles. be interesting to find out.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:57 | 5316084 Dave
Dave's picture

Whole or in pieces?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 17:37 | 5316270 knukles
knukles's picture

Other alternatives include freeze dried and pureed.  As well as incinerated.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:40 | 5314976 souljaboy
souljaboy's picture

I'm an adviser. Here's how to fire this weapon. See? I just killed that enemy. Now you try it.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:07 | 5315124 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

"Point it THAT way."

 

Hey, I can say stuff like that, too.  How much do those advisers make, anyway?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:13 | 5315153 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Lots; you'd be amazed. but sometimes they get dead.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:41 | 5314977 XqWretch
XqWretch's picture

"We have to arm them to find out what they will do with the arms"

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:01 | 5315076 knukles
knukles's picture

In Dearborn they wave them all over and make a funny "woo-woo-dling" sound ....
Sound like the Brazilians with their vulvas ...

Gotta admit, every once in a while that whole Eugenics stuff of Gates seems to make sense....

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:12 | 5315149 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Eugenics doesn't make sense; knukles, you know people have never succeeded in breeding better cows or horses; so how could it work? /sa.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:05 | 5315112 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

That's what we said in Georgia (Caucasus) in 2008, and it worked so well then, too.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:15 | 5315161 balanced
balanced's picture

Good thinkin'.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:43 | 5314997 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

Hey....ISIS....We are waiting for you in Texas....Bring it Bitchez

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:47 | 5315018 InjectTheVenom
InjectTheVenom's picture

speaking of Texas...when are those c'sers gonna man-up and secede already ?!   Seems like a no-brainer to me . . . .

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:54 | 5315048 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

Well then we would have to take out Mexico.....Or is that texico or exxon.....I always forget who rules this world

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:05 | 5315107 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

My ruger 22....I eat....My SKS....I can't take down a tank.....But I can take down an army

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:45 | 5315012 graftvshost
graftvshost's picture

I remember seeing some military woman's vacation pictures from Abu Ghraib a while back.

Didn't look too inviting...

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:48 | 5315021 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  These ISIS fighters are just like the J.V. squad at any school. That's why the CIAduh is recruiting 3,400 new players per MONTH.

 Obama: We underestimated ISIS | New York Post

 Why America Is Losing The Online War With ISIS - Business Insider

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:52 | 5315033 knukles
knukles's picture

Makes me tingly up and down my leg

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:55 | 5315049 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

no thats the Ebola

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:09 | 5315132 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

Just don't scratch.  I hate when my skin just dissolves in my hand.

The good news is the bleeding from my eyes is just down to a trickle.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:23 | 5315194 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

You should get that checked out

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:50 | 5315031 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

Syria, Iraq, Pakistan, Afhanistan, Libya are just hell holes. And ... it's just the very, very beginning. At least the EU will also turn into a hell hole. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:54 | 5315047 knukles
knukles's picture

The Frenchies got away cheap this year without the banlieues burning to the ground, no?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:56 | 5315054 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Its climate change .... cool summer you know.....

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:48 | 5315287 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

Well, they have to deal on a daily basis with "Hollande" which is a horror show in itself. The Americans of course have to deal with the coke sniffing homosexual clown Obama. Indeed, misery everywhere ...

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:53 | 5315044 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Obama gets money for Syrian Rebels.  ISIS takes half of Iraq and and Syria. 

Obama gets turned down for money to Syrian Rebels.  ISIS stalls in front of Baghdad. 

Obama gets another 500 million for Syrian Rebels.  ISIS rampages through Syria and into Baghdad.

Hmmmmm....

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:01 | 5315089 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

Back when ISIS killed an Iraqi general in battle in the fringes of Baghdad, I did what so few others do:  looked carefully at the maps.  Then I laughed.  The general was killed in a town the U.S. has fought over before, with a nice NY Times article from 2003 to go with it.  But the funny part is this:  That town is 15 miles from the U.S. embassy.

It is quite obvious to anyone who can read a map that ISIS has not attacked the U.S. embassy not because they cannot, but because they will do so when the timing is of maximal advantage for them.

Imagine if ISIS had already mounted a stiff assault on the Green Zone--such an outcry--and the U.S. would be able to respond with airstrikes, drones, special ops and say that things are under control.

But now....now, (as Khan would say)......

NOW when ISIS decides to go into the Green Zone the U.S. and its allies have already done what can easily be done.  NOW, now.......how feeble the U.S. will appear, or indeed actually be. 

What additional response could there be?    Do I hear marching feet, and see unphotographed coffins in C-130s?   Am I looking past, or forward?  

Seems rather dim in either direction.

 

ISIS is playing us like a fiddle.   What the Saudis actually want or can control (for it was to be their lap dog after all) remains the riddle.  If ISIS was to growl at Iran, Shiite militias in Iraq, or even Hezbollah....well....bad doggie.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:48 | 5315288 emersonreturn
emersonreturn's picture

good to see you, jim.  thank you for all your info in the past on fuku.  you've taught me a great deal.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:06 | 5315095 alexcojones
alexcojones's picture

Riddle me this: Why does the ISIS -ISIL flag boldly say:

"All Jew! 20z0" ? Look in the white circle and tell me I'm wrong.

Images for isis flag

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:48 | 5315651 crazybob369
crazybob369's picture

You sir, have a demented mind. I like the way you think!!!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:04 | 5315108 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

It reminds me of South Vietnam from 1974 to 1975.

 

"Vietnamization" of the war did not work.

 

By the by, when does the last helicopter leave the USA embassy in Iraq?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:10 | 5315399 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

i think there should a ZH pool winner gets a free T shirt or something

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:48 | 5315643 ChanceIs
ChanceIs's picture

What do you mean Viet Naminization didn't work!?!?!  It worked so well, they are trying the same thing with the moderate rebels in Syria.

GeeZee PeeZee.  Didn't they teach you critical thinking in your Common Core curriculum as a youngster? [/sarc]

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:06 | 5315113 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

Manpads.  How could they have possibly gotten their hands on antiaircraft missiles?  //sarcasm.

The thing that is going to be "amusing" to watch is the utter shock and surprise on the American News Networks when plane start falling out of the air there. 

Since the news writers are more interested in Reddit, League of Legends, and Call of Duty Ghost fucker, they have no understanding of how American foriegn policy is linked from one middle east shit hole to the next.

You think crude is high now.  Wait until they take Basra, and the Ayotollahs feel they have to move in from Iran. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:07 | 5315123 limacon
limacon's picture

All this goes back to 1258

http://www.executedtoday.com/2009/02/20/1258-al-mustasim-the-last-abbasi...

Hulagu Khan] set a golden tray before the Caliph and said: ‘Eat!’ ‘It is not edible,’ said the Caliph. ‘Then why didst thou keep it,’ asked the King, ‘and not give it to thy soldiers? And why didst thou not make these iron doors into arrow-heads and come to the bank of the river so that I might not have been able to cross it?’ ‘Such,’ replied the Caliph, ‘was God’s will.’ ‘What will befall thee,’ said the King, ‘is also God’s will.'”

IS is not political , military or economic .

It is driven by religious fervor . Fanaticism .

 

If anybody is insane enough , they can revive the Yassa .

see http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2014/04/treasures-of-ghenghis-and-yassa.ht...

 

The Chinese will prefer a nuclear war before that .


Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:23 | 5315196 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Wow; that's perfect. The Mongols were definitely underrated. they civilized China in the first place.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:24 | 5315201 richiebaby
richiebaby's picture

Where's Baghdad Bob when you need him?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 14:43 | 5315264 Atlas Crapped
Atlas Crapped's picture

Shouldn't that read, "Oil needs to go higher. ISIS news fabricated to justify what it moves higher on"?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:07 | 5315391 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

at the very least those US advisors can target air strikes, while the situation on the ground is fluid. the real question is how many Sunnis are embedded in the Iraqi army. (same situation in Afghanistan, the Taliban is everywhere) we'll just have to wait until the form their own state, elect a leader and name a capital, and then we can bomb the shit out of them

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:09 | 5315396 vegas
vegas's picture

If it's like any of the suburbs of Chicago [especially South & West], an invasion of ISIS would be a plus for the community.

 

www.traderzoo.mobi

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 17:22 | 5316218 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

OK, that's a foul.  Walk backwards naked around the Ba'hai Temple in Evanston three times in an act of penance.  Or if you prefer, Reverend Farrakhan's house on the South Side.....but I recommend Evanston.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:10 | 5315406 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

Okay they're moving into market maker territory now. The State Department can step aside and let Wall Street and their enforcers take it from here

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:43 | 5315613 dot_bust
dot_bust's picture

But I have one question: Are the terrorists taking the ISIS bucket challenge?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:45 | 5315615 ChanceIs
ChanceIs's picture

This is ancient news.  Megyn Kelly reported it on 10/4.  I think that traders knew about it a week before it actually happened.  If you trade on CBS news, you will soon be on food stamps.

 

 

Posted on October 4, 2014 ISIS TAKES ABU GHRAIB – Within Artillery Range of Baghdad Airport

http://megynkelly.us/18327/isis-takes-abu-ghraib-within-artillery-range-...

 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:05 | 5315773 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

Uh, I don't care about Baghdad either. Lets nuke it and forget it.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:10 | 5315820 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Lower oil prices would probably be better for the US economy even if we become self-sufficient or net exporters.  So who wants higher oil prices?  Well the oil companies of course - and the greens!  Strange world ain't it.

ISIS is holding outside Baghdad until they can destroy it in one piece, because otherwise they'd end up fighting and even siphoning in more reinforcements from Iran.  It's plain as a pikestaff.  Though just what they do with Baghdad when they capture it is another matter.  Will the US then bomb the major Iraqi oil facilities that are full of both Iranians and Russians, hmm?  The Russians might leave, but I wonder about the Iranians.  Unless the US and Russia come to an agreement about wiping out ISIS, but what are the odds of that happening?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 20:18 | 5316901 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

I'm conflicted, the ISIS march is bad for our country's interest, "kinda, sorta, maybe"......and definetly bad for clown Obama and his merry band of pussies.  I'll go with yippee for Obama beat down.

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