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Is This Why Stocks Are Rebounding?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

After three days of perfectly fading every single Dennis Gartman move, the market was just waiting for the last "positioning" of G-man's virtual 401(k) portfolio. And moments ago, it got just that with the bolded sentence below possibly explaining the early euphoria in the "market."

We reduced our derivatives position even further, selling just-barely-out-of-the-money calls against our newly established aluminium position. Hence one half hour into the market we were marginally net long… and then panic hit!

 

We will likely take no further action in our own account today, for we are now, as noted above, marginally net short…  and we do indeed mean  marginally…

So will it be 4 out of 4? Remember: Fridays are strategic "must close green" days for the Fed - one must have a "wealth effect" tail wind from the S&P to spend, spend, spend during the days off and boost the GDP.

As of this writing, the e-mini is up 20 points from overnight lows.

 

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Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:54 | 5313805 vmromk
vmromk's picture

This fucking asshole won't die, UNREAL.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:58 | 5313833 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Gartman: "Time to feed the algos."

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:01 | 5313843 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Gartman also said Ebola is real threat that investors should be fearful about....guess i can cancel my order for my hazmat suit that i ordered YESTERDAY...Fuckin Muthafuckin Gartbag

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:21 | 5313949 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

REBOUNDING !!!??

NOTT!

Maybe this afternoon cause this is a fifth wave down this morning

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:27 | 5313981 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Let the selling continue... Into Infinity and Beyond!!!!

 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 12:43 | 5314658 F0ster
F0ster's picture

"Mr. Gartman, Is there a God?"

"Mr Gartman, What is the meaning of life?"

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:21 | 5314861 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

 After 1pm and the DJIA is staggering around slightly green but it looks like it gonna stumble....

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:50 | 5314092 Dig Deeper1
Dig Deeper1's picture

But while we wait for that it would be great to see a mashup of Dennis Gartman and Bart Simpson set it to music and everybody can do the GARTMAN!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:54 | 5313806 RattNRoll
RattNRoll's picture

BTFD..same as it ever was.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:54 | 5313807 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

LOL! - ZH is just as much a contrary indicator as Gartman is.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:42 | 5313839 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Well the Bulls have to fleece somebody!

 

Bring in your shorts! Bring in your shorts!

Thats right, put your right foot forward and left will follow, place your bets on the sea of red. Short it and we will make sure, your shorts are the only think you would have left!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 11:43 | 5314332 BrosephStiglitz
BrosephStiglitz's picture

Maybe.  But even so it is sad that the mainstream media is so overtly biased and agenda-based that information gleaned through articles posted by anonymous contributers are more insightful.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 13:23 | 5314874 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

They don't wanna piss off their advertisers, especially CNBC that survives on muppets fornication.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:54 | 5313808 juggalo1
juggalo1's picture

Do they really need to interview intraday traders?  To listen to that message he went from long to short in two paragraphs.  How can you glean any useful information from this?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:56 | 5313827 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

At least you know their P/L is imploding!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:55 | 5313809 stinkhammer
stinkhammer's picture

fartman

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:00 | 5313811 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Attention Starved Tool has compulsion to loudly, publicly allege what his "fund"is doing every day.

Like an attention whore on the beach doing somersaults.

Dennis Fartman.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:38 | 5314033 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Gartman is such a rube, in USD terms that is... 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:55 | 5313815 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

it's gonna shit the bed this afternoon. Dow minus 250-400 and then the hammer drops.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:55 | 5313824 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

You think so?.. today is Friday.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:03 | 5313858 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

Essentially a dataless Friday with 4 FED, 3 ECB and a couple of BOE bobbleheads jawboning all day.  I fully expect a rip your shorts off, for no good reason, 200 pts rally.  It's Friday.  

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:05 | 5313874 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

I hope your right because if it does, then its real this time, and we need the Deer....  I dont think it will it will close modestly green.  Russell 2k is getting good support out of the box today

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:56 | 5313818 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

If I grow a beard and start a newsletter today, I bet I can be on cnbc at least once before the collapse.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:56 | 5313822 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

ZH is bear trap.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:57 | 5313826 craus
craus's picture

Fed is making it look like Bull / Bear fight, phoney.

Good and high 1963 ish EOD.

The more Fed makes it look real the more it still memorex.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 09:57 | 5313835 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Gartman!

Green, we must be GREEN for a Friday!

Faith must be maintained!

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:00 | 5313844 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

Gravity beginning to assert itself...

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:23 | 5313957 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

"Dow off the highs..."

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:01 | 5313847 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

Bloomberg asked some banksta today how Yellen is doing.  His response was that she's doing exceptionally.  Of course she is.  If someone was handing me free money I'd think they were exceptional.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:02 | 5313854 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

In managed markets one should probably ask those who are managing price what their goals are ... and why. Although if one can probably look at their actions over a long enough period of time and ignore their lying words, then one can probably figure out what and why.

I do not manage price. Do you?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:03 | 5313855 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Aluminum position? Dont tell me he is betting on it going up further? Did he miss the wholesale inventory report? Or is he banking on uncle sam continuing the auto bubble? Because that baby is going to pop in 6 months or less as defaults continue to rise.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:03 | 5313856 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture

ZH needs a photoshopped picture of gartman with a clown nose and a clown hat.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:06 | 5313877 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

WB7 will come through. Be patient. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:11 | 5313898 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Oops, you beat me to it.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:04 | 5313860 Unknown Poster
Unknown Poster's picture

" 'Market' makers" must dump the inventory they collected during yesterdays selloff before the tank resumes.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:04 | 5313861 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Show me your ledger on how you paid off the derivatives position.

 

I think you're full of shit! 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:04 | 5313869 DebtSlaveZombie
DebtSlaveZombie's picture

No way he (Dennis Gartman) or anyone else is making money trading this market.  Not a chance in hell.  This market is slicing traders with giant Ginsu knives.  The put/call spreads are crazy... the volitility is outta control. The only way you're making money here is adding to your position on dips...whether you're bullish or bearish, and riding out the volitility wave.  I can't stand watching these supposed "traders" make money but have they shown their P&L's?  Uhhh..no.  When the move is made, they say "Oh yeah...I bought at (fill in the blank)"  If you're bullish, buy on the dips at each support point...that's S&P 1930 (150dma) and 1900 (200dma).  If you're bearish, Sell short when we reach previous levels that wouldn't hold support.  If you're confused...stay away.  Equities are catching back down to credit and bond yields.  This see-saw will continue all month.  Stick to a plan.  Buy on dips or sell short in rallys.  Everything else is a losing proposition.

I'm bullish until we break long term 200 day support at S&P 1900.  I will sell into rallys once we reach S&P 1985 and above since that is my target profit zone in the near term.  Watch credit and bonds.  They will tell us more than a trader will.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:14 | 5313919 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The only money jackass Gartman is making is his $40 CNBC guest appearance fees.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:16 | 5313926 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Great post, HFT is going to burn you a new asshole. I use 52 week average. 200 week is a sellout. Highly respect your post

Don't use my concerns in trading. Something smells bad from my vantage point. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 11:22 | 5314256 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Widow maker whipsaw market always precedes pure widow maker market - always, and NASDAQ always gives tell to and leads the bleed...always.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:07 | 5313880 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Gartman must be getting dizzy from all his flip-flopping - watch out Dennis, at your age, bouncing around like this you're likely to get whiplash. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:10 | 5313894 himaroid
himaroid's picture

He needs floppy shoes and a red button nose.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:07 | 5313881 xcehn
xcehn's picture

There's not enough smoke and mirrors to keep the confidence game alive against the destructive economic force of ebola. They rebounded yesterday for a while too, before the fall. A major crash is lurking behind ebola.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:07 | 5313885 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Looks like 'they' just wanted to wait for a bunch of shorts to panic and now it will continue the slow bleed south....

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:13 | 5313907 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Starks rebounded? I'm not really seeing it, wasn't S&P at 2011 just a couple weeks ago? Long way yet to rebound.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:12 | 5313909 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The wild swings are bound to trigger margin calls. This should get interesting.

Traders like big swings.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:16 | 5313932 44MagnumPrepper
44MagnumPrepper's picture

Stocks back into the red.  That was quick.  Did Putin fart?

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:26 | 5313974 MATA HAIRY
MATA HAIRY's picture

pump and dump again....

just one time and we'll...

set 'em up, my friend...

...then you can let....

some other fool sit down...

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:26 | 5313975 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Indexes back to red, time for Gartman to make another appearance saying he's all-in short now. Fuckin guy flip flops more than a first time day trader.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:37 | 5314027 starman
starman's picture

16.4 is the number of the Devil! 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:37 | 5314032 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Why would a guy try to predict the day to day movements of the market? Ask a physicist if that's a good idea and he'll laugh in your face. The smaller and narrower the scope of something is, the more likely it is to be wrong.

Example. Tomorrow might be warmer than today. Or it could be colder than today. If I don't know anything about weather forecasting, and I don't get the information from someone else, my chance of correctly guessing tomorrow's temperature is very poor. Guessing the trend is much easier when looking at a larger sample. Will November be colder than October in my region of the world? With at least 95% certainty, I can say yes. Will stocks be lower next month? Very likely. Will they be lower on Monday? Maybe, maybe not.

This is why day trading doesn't work for most people. People are betting money on noise, basically. The easiest way to imagine the stock market is to imagine a simple trend line, Y = X. It's a line that goes from the lower left to the upper right of a graph. Around that Y = X line, draw a sine wave. That's what a stock price looks like. Someone looking at short term trends would say "oh, the sine wave went up! that means the trend is up!" then tomorrow the sine wave goes slightly below the Y = X line. Then they say "oh, the sine wave went down! sell everything!" and the sine wave goes back above the Y = X line. Expecting the day to day trend to always be linear is absurd, and that's exactly what Gartman is doing. He's doing the exact opposite of "reversion to the mean" investing.

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 10:47 | 5314078 foxmuldar
foxmuldar's picture

Yep its rebounding. Dow currently up 2 at 10:45 and Nasdaq down 56. I expect once capitulation sets in, the floor will fall out and Gartman will be nowhere to be found. 

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 11:51 | 5314389 flying dutchmen
flying dutchmen's picture

Why even Post  Gartman -- he sucks in so many ways.. has no credibility ----

Fri, 10/10/2014 - 12:00 | 5314445 RhoneGSM
RhoneGSM's picture

The important question is where can I get the Gartman Algo? Seems to be flawless.

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