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Understanding Asset Bubbles

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Adam Taggart via Peak Prosperity,

Through the long sweep of history, the bursting of asset bubbles has nearly always been traumatic.  Social, political and economic upheavals have a bad habit of following asset bubbles, while wealth destruction is a guaranteed feature.

Bubbles only used to happen once every generation or longer, because it took substantial time for the victims to forget the pain of the damage.

But that’s changed in the new millennium. Less than ten years after the bursting of the dot-com bubble we saw the rise & bursting of the housing bubble.  This is simply astounding and thoroughly unprecedented.

More astonishingly, there are now concurrent equity and bond bubbles raging across the entire financial market structure of the world.

We are in our third bubble period in less than 15 years. This new era of serial bubble-blowing signifies that we are now in new turbulent territory with which we have little historical guidance to draw on.

The recent years of money printing by the world's central banks has NOT ushered in a “permanent plateau of prosperity”. And, as with all bubbles, symmetry indicates the downslope after the bursting will be steep, swift, and likely quite scary.

For those who simply don't want to wait until the end of the year to view the entire new series, you can indulge your binge-watching craving by enrolling to PeakProsperity.com. The entire full new series, all 27 chapters of it, is available -- now-- to our enrolled users.

The full suite of chapters in this new Crash Course series can be found at www.peakprosperity.com/crashcourse

And for those who have yet to view it, be sure to watch the 'Accelerated' Crash Course -- the under-1-hour condensation of the new 4.5-hour series. It's a great vehicle for introducing new eyes to this material.

 

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Sat, 10/11/2014 - 20:58 | 5319371 grunk
grunk's picture

Ride the wave, dude.

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:00 | 5319376 markmotive
markmotive's picture
Peter Schiff – Bubble Economy Can’t Survive Without Fed’s Cheap Money

http://www.planbeconomics.com/2014/09/peter-schiff-bubble-economy-cant-s...

 

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:04 | 5319382 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Ride the wave BUT watch out for that 18 ft. great white shark (Luciferian Cabal) just skimming along right under the surface.

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:07 | 5319393 InjectTheVenom
InjectTheVenom's picture

don't forget about the very rapidly inflating bubble of incompetence in Washington DC

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:22 | 5319424 economics9698
economics9698's picture

I am pretty sure in 10 years Ivy League and Harvard will translate to mean shit for brains.

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 00:53 | 5319845 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

cogito, ergo dum

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:52 | 5319515 A Lunatic
A Lunatic's picture

Wave goodbye seems moar likely........

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 02:31 | 5319907 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

There are pros who are getting ready to spear guys betting short... They are salivating for Monday's action hoping enough "peeps" actually believe markets will be allowed to fall. Don't be another casualty.

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 10:09 | 5320349 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

I don't need a course to understand the frothy nature of these artificial markets.  the big picture keeps telling me to get out of all of them and INTO PHYSICAL ASSETS.

gold, silver, sure.  but there is also food, land, and other things people will always need no matter what happens to all these bubbles.

 

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:08 | 5319385 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  Here's my swirl~O~ gram.

 WTF, I can't buy a single 12 oz beer for my mother at Ralphs?  I have to buy a (6) pack or " specially package" a bunch of SHIT beers with that single (12 oz) beer to make a purchase.

  Carl ICON, would be envious.

 Fuck Ralphs.

  Ohh, BTW. I chewed through a lot of charts today.

  It looks bad for the USD next week. Remember I suggested the money market flows were slowing?

  It's one thing to trade cash, and another to "hold" cash. M-1-2-3 Supply. ;-)

   How's EKM doing?

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 23:08 | 5319692 DipshitMiddleCl...
DipshitMiddleClassWhiteKid's picture

The US indices are going to take a beating this week.

~Dipshitmiddleclasswhitekid

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 00:18 | 5319792 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 I'd say you're the engineer of the train, kiddo. Nice work ;-D

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:37 | 5319469 q99x2
q99x2's picture

That was a nice presentation.

It seems important to view the financial realities vs bubble realities with the understanding that nations were turned into nation states during the last 30 years. Also the UN's takeover of the US military, the DHS, FEMA etc. as internal military agencies for control of the American people. It is not as if the central banks weren't fully aware of what they were doing. Without these bubbles the NWO would not have been able to attempt world domination. We are at the end of bubble 3 as the globalists attempt to conquer Russia.

Anyhow that is why I do believe this time it will be different. I think that the financial markets will stop instantly not to resume, martial law implemented within all UN nations and a nuclear war unleashed with Russia and China as the ebola pandemic expands. Things will be different this time, much different.

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 22:25 | 5319587 DOGGONE
DOGGONE's picture

Hi,
Perhaps you will want to show this.
http://patrick.net/forum/?p=1223928

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:38 | 5319475 Postal
Postal's picture

Don't asset bubbles only matter if one actually has assets? I mean, like the old song by the group Alabama: "Somebody told us Wall Strett fell, but we were so poor that we couldn't tell."

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 07:09 | 5320024 new game
new game's picture

until the cards don't refill, then wall st. will mater. but they still won't know what happened...

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 21:50 | 5319509 A Lunatic
A Lunatic's picture

Just wait until the kind and gentle neighbor bubble bursts..........

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 22:20 | 5319581 DOGGONE
DOGGONE's picture

The SOBs keep this out of sight.
http://patrick.net/forum/?p=1223928

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 22:24 | 5319583 Brazen Heist
Brazen Heist's picture

While most people turn risk-averse after a crash, for some, that's exactly the time to take risks. 

Pandemonium is a great time to make money.

 

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 22:33 | 5319609 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Amen Brothah.

Sat, 10/11/2014 - 23:51 | 5319758 WVO Biker
WVO Biker's picture

Seems Wile E Coyote stopped publishing after July this year. 

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 00:20 | 5319796 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 I'm bleeding tears of regret, out of my eyes.

  Bitchez

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 01:03 | 5319854 ted41776
ted41776's picture

an economy that produces nothing but debt and is based on perpetual growth sounds like a sure thing to me!!

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 02:01 | 5319892 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Let's discuss asset bubbles.

 I'm channeling Bill Gross, and the Spanish Bond market.  lol

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 02:08 | 5319897 starman
Sun, 10/12/2014 - 03:47 | 5319942 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 So anyways , I download this free Cad,Cam software and design a house.

 Imagine that ?  It's beautifull, 4 quadrants, each with a tablet, with a central water fall. I don't want my idea poached.

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 04:32 | 5319956 hedgiex
hedgiex's picture

YAWN. Yet another elixir stone on bubbles. Want to write a spin on muppets and lemmings hugging crystal balls while star gazing. (Alas such stuffs do not sell).

It is price discovery gone into unfamilar orbits. Just move with the trajectories and be amused by the indefinite formations. Avoiding traps is already sapping energy...why bother with when these traps snap.

 

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 04:41 | 5319962 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Do you play a musical instrument?

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 08:55 | 5320107 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

Bubbles are an interesting self reinforcing phenomena that feeds on itself and greed. The problem is how to recognize them as they form. The value of "something" is not an issue to take lightly. Value is not a constant and can be derived from several factors such as how liquid a market is, supply and demand or utility value, things can spoil or become obsolete making where you invest very important.

Value is not as constant as many people think or always destined to rise. I have discovered that when you start buying things at ten cents on the dollar your money begins to go a long way. This is a lesson many people may soon learn, or maybe not. The article below delves into how values constantly shift.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2012/11/what-is-something-worth.html

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 09:10 | 5320148 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

No use singing up at peakprosperity, we already passed that point long time ago.

 

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 09:59 | 5320323 Oquities
Oquities's picture

ths down draft may not be swift.  sentiment now believes in a quick correction, which suggest a possible slow drip major loss which sucks in "dip buyers"  all the way down to wherever it ends.

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 10:52 | 5320518 dadoody
dadoody's picture

It's all a bubble. Money is fiat paper, commodities are manipulated, and stocks will continue "rising" due to m2 money supply injection.

 

The only thing, in the end, that is real is your own skills and labor. After that, money is in and out. Ride the tide and try to see ahead. Keeping cash in the matress sure as hell isn't any safer. The value is already being stolen from it without them having to touch it. Unless the matress catches on fire. Then you're screwed. 

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 12:54 | 5320960 saveUSsavers
saveUSsavers's picture

And Kunt Yellen still talking about "mortgages restrictive" ! Believe that shit?

Sun, 10/12/2014 - 14:00 | 5321162 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

ASSET BUBBLES

 

An asset bubble is like the cruise ship,  SS BUBBLICIOUS, departing for  THE BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN  in 10 minutes.

Get your ticket now.

All ashore that's going ashore.

DON'T MISS THE BOAT!


Sun, 10/12/2014 - 17:56 | 5321815 messystateofaffairs
messystateofaffairs's picture

Don't know if this makes sense but I always ask myself how many loaves of bread could this thing trade for if the worst happens. If I borrow 100k to buy a house at a fixed 5% interest when the 100k buys 100,000 loaves of bread and the SHTF after which 100k buys 20,000 loaves of bread but the house still trades for 100,000 loaves (omitting risks and carrying costs like it becoming a Detroit house, property taxes, maintenace) then I could sell the house for $500k devalued dollars, pay off the 100k loan and come out 400k or 80,000 loaves ahead. For me it all comes down to the real bread when figuring out values because people using real bread is pretty constant.

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