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Ebola Fears Sends Price Volatility Surging In... Chocolate
The world's candy-makers are worried. As Politico reports, Ivory Coast, the world’s largest producer of cacao, the raw ingredient in all your favorite candy, has shut down its borders with Liberia and Guinea, putting a major crimp on the workforce needed to pick the beans that end up in chocolate bars. While Ivory Coast (which produces around a third of the world's total cacao beans) has yet to see a single case of Ebola yet, the price of Cocoa futures has become extremely volatile in recent weeks breaking notably higher than its normal range between $2000 and $2700 pere ton. Simply put - and not wanting to spread panic and fear - Ebola is threatening much of the world's chocolate supply.
Cocoa prices are surging and volatile...
Ivory Coast, the world’s largest producer of cacao, the raw ingredient in M&M’s, Butterfingers and Snickers Bars, has shut down its borders with Liberia and Guinea, putting a major crimp on the workforce needed to pick the beans that end up in chocolate bars and other treats just as the harvest season begins. The West African nation of about 20 million — also known as Côte D’Ivoire — has yet to experience a single case of Ebola, but the outbreak already could raise prices.
Ivory Coast, which produces about 1.6 million metric tons of cacao beans per year — roughly 33 percent of the world’s total, according to data from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization — closed its borders in August to Guinea and Liberia. More than 8,000 have been diagnosed with Ebola, and nearly 4,000 have died in those two countries and Sierra Leone. Next to Ivory Coast is Ghana, the world’s third-largest producer of cacao beans — 879,348 metric tons per year — or 15 percent of the world’s total.
Tim McCoy, a senior adviser for the WCF, said signs that Ivory Coast residents already are concerned were immediately obvious during his last trip to the country in September.
“Going into meetings where … you always shake hands and often times, with men and women, you do the cheek kiss thing … They weren’t doing that,” McCoy said.
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So while gas prices fall - providing consumers with modestly more money in their pockets - that other staple of daily life, the chocolate bar, is set to rise and eat through those savings...
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Perfect.. headed out for a Cafe Mocha .. from 2011http://hedgeaccordingly.com/2011/01/ivory-coast-tension-update-on-cocoa....
I thought Ebola only infected human beans.
These human thinkers are completely doomed.
Where's Billy Ray Valentine when you need him !
Where's James Earl Ray when you need him?
Thats the last thing we need. This idiot will go down as the worse, don't need some moron making a martyr out of him
The new product will be known as Chocobola. Just sniffing it will give you an out of this world experience.
"The new president will be known as Chocobola..." From a lost Bilderberger memo, circa 1963.
Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!
What's next, coffee?
Without caffeine, this country would not be safe for man nor beast.
Nah, we'll just start getting a chocolate ration, a la 1984.
Praise Allah that coffee also grows in S. America and the Middle East!
Sh!t just got real!
PMSing women without chocolate. An Extinction Level Event for horny males if I ever saw one.
IMO this latest 'world wide pandemic' is a fraud ( like bird flu, swine flu, HIV/AIDS, etc, etc, etc) but when chocolates at risk . . . The situation is getting serious.
http://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/category/ebola/
Yup, FAKE FAKE FAKE.
http://truthsector.net/2014/09/20/final-nails-in-the-ebola-scam-coffin-t...
(h/t omniversling)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZonCVRQ-2s
Go downvoters! Is that you, Nancy Writebol(a)?
No, it's the smart people like me. You get a downvote for being a retard.
None of those other things were fake.
Somehow ZH got infected with retards who call out every fact as a hoax. Odd.
Lack of chocolate.....elevating estrogen levels.....we're screwed.
The one thing we won't be is screwed.
WATCH THIS
Ebola Hoax: 100% REVEALED! CNN + NYT caught using CRISIS ACTORS! MUST SEE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZonCVRQ-2s
I watched the video. I can't say I'm convinced that Ebola is a hoax, but I'm wiling to consider it as a realistic scenario. Too many other hoaxes out there, all tribally perpetrated. Tribal journalists involved with ebola. Just trying to keep an open mind.
"Tribal journalists involved with ebola."
You mean there are other kinds of journalists? Well who'd have thunk?
Now this shit is getting serious......
And how is Belgium gonna buy all those monthly USTs, if they can't get Cocoa for Chocolates?
Dr. Evel will not be impressed. Paging Austin Powers, Austin Powers to the Pink Ericsson Courtesy Phone please.
Grande Mocha Ebola, please.
They closed their borders in August?
You mean they had more sense than our idiotic western governments who only know how to create deficits and threaten Putin ?
Cocoa beans might be the new vector for ebola.
There goes the Swiss and Belgian exports...
Would you like some ebola chocolate after your Fukushima radioactive fish?
It's a good thing that the stuff that Americans shovel in their faces is almost all sugar and chemicals. The holiday feeding frenzy will go on unabated!
How long before Ebola gets in the chocolate?
Does the process of making a Snickers bar kill the ebola in the chocolate?
I'm wondering if the CDC will put strict protocols in place for chocolatiers.
everything looks like snickers with ebola
Is it racist if I refer to ebola as Jungle Fever?
...
if ebola could only be nigger selective, what a dream...
africa land for whites only... one day, maybe.
Go take your medication.
When I think of "hot & steamy", it isn't Africa I'm thinking about.
Unless that's her name. BTW, what street does she live on? Is she near that Canada guy?
Racism is whatever TPTB decide it is. So be careful.
Just told my Wife; she said the Hell with Silver: stack Chocolate!
Bars, rounds?
Bars, definitely bars! :>D
This is more proof that Ebola has the potential to change life as we know it. I mean everything, and then some!
But stay cool.
You stay cool, we are all doomed!
This is a nightmare of biblical proportions. Run don't walk to the nearest store panic is in order!
Who ya' gonna' call?
Most ppl won't get your humor, w/o the <sarc> tag.
I didn't think there was any real chocolate in M&M's, Snickers, or a Butterfinger.
Exposing The Ebola Hoax
The Elite's Plan For World Genocide By Vaccine
http://ebolahoax.com/
Interesting. Now get in line and take your medicine!
You must have taken a good hard look at the linked site in the 3 minutes between the time it was posted and your reply. You will probably line up to take their Ebola Rabies vaccine. Good luck, you're gonna need it.
West Africa isn't some abstract notion to some us. If your only connection to West Africa is through your parents' internet connection a lot things might be seem plausible. However, ebola is no hoax.
The only people in West Africa who have Ebola are the people who were given vaccines by WHO, Centers For Death Control, the NIH, and Bill Gates. Now they're blaming every flu-like symptom on Ebola, since they decided to kill large parts of the rest of the world, too.
Like I said...
You have a mighty high opinion of the capacities of the WHO, CDC, NIH, and Bill Gates to reach places without roads and people who never visit doctors in order to administer said vaccines.
I suggest that you ring up Doctors Without Borders (MSF) and run your hoax theory by them.
Are you sure the globalist NGO group, Doctors Without Borders , run by Bernard Kouchner, is totally above board? Many Africans would disagree with you. They believe it is a hoax, and they accuse DWB of actually spreading the disease, and they are running the globalist Big Pharma vaccine pimps out of town with machetes. The people aren't buying their story which is why the government started a public programming campaign called "EBOLA IS REAL!!!". Do some research. Or don't DYODD, and continue to spread false information that will hurt anyone who listens to you.
Exposing Ebola's Plan:
EXTREME AMPLIFICATION
Gimme chocolate!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WIKqgE4BwAY
WHO release: Pizza and pitta bread given to those diagnosed with ebola.
It's the only thing the nurses can get under the door!
Ebola smoothed new case rate (GN, LR†, SL):
11 Oct 14 - 158/day
8 Oct 14 - 146/day
7 Oct 14 - 135/day
5 Oct 14 - 131/day
3 Oct 14 - 132/day
Case Fatality Risk Estimate: 57%
Active Case Growth Rate: 4.0% per day
Health worker deaths/cases: 232/401 as of 5 Oct
Based on following data and estimates through 11 Oct:
http://www.mohsw.gov.lr/documents/SITRep%20149%20Oct%2011th,%202014.pdf
http://health.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Ebola-Situation-Report_V...
https://www.internationalsos.com/ebola/index.cfm?content_id=395&language...
http://www.ambafrance-gn.org/Ebola-point-de-situation-au-13,1013
† There is substantial under-reporting in the Liberian data.
Hitting the supply of chocolate?? For the first time this ebola thing is starting to worry me.
Estimated total cases (GN, LR†, SL):
10/15/14 - 10k
11/16/14 - 20k
12/18/14 - 40k
01/19/15 - 80k
Your estimates look very similar to mine
Projected GROWTH (probable+confirmed) cases | deaths as of 10/8/2014
10/15/14 - 10151 | 4553
11/16/14 - 20363 | 8728
12/18/14 - 40848 | 16731
01/19/15 - 81941 | 32071
f(x)=GROWTH(data[Cases];data[Days];D+K;TRUE)
D=Number of days after start of the outbreak
K=10 (=mean period of incubation?)
Sources:
http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/disease/ebola/en/
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/
http://office.microsoft.com/en-gb/excel-help/growth-function-HP010342562...
At the risk of giving a few (many?) ZHers a Math-headache -- no, not a Meth-headache -- try reading up on the math models used in Epidemiology.
There are tons of useful sites, if you begin with a simple word search... e.g. "mathematical models of epidemics". If you have the time and inclination, have fun making some Excel models.
p.s. It would be useful to hear from Miffed Microbiologist on this. Miffed, wherefore art thou?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-29/no-america-isnt-communist-its-o...
Short term predictions based on iterated, discretized version of the Pearl-Verhulst logistic process fitted to data from past four weeks:
K = 20000000
r = 2.2%/day
where P << K/2
P(n+1) = P(n) * ( 1 + r * ( 1 - ( P(n) / ( K - P(n) ) ) ) )
Results thereof posted earlier. Graph of same:
http://i.imgur.com/8pOnZzq.png
Chocolate shortage....first world problems...
http://olduvai.ca
I knew it....Big Chocolate is behind the hype and exploitation by Big Media, at the behest of Big Government, of the ebola outbreak.
Dammit
Edit...not a slam at ZHers....really a comment on how 'they're' all in it together against 'us'.
Lenin seems prescient...."The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them"
PS I ain't no commie, but in this case he's right.....even a blind squirrel can find a nut every now and then.
The President looks like he has ebola.
The President IS ebola....can't get rid of him, he infects and kills everything he comes in contact with....
Wait until it's mainstream in the US and Europe. Airlines, trains, restaurants close.
glad I got my shipment of 85% Cocoa Bean chocolate imported from England before this mess.
Prez Barry Chocobama will solve this problem between playing golf and shooting hoops....
For those that think this Ebola thingy is a hoax, bleeding out your eyeballs and your ass is no joke...
While in the tropics, I did not contract a hemorrhagic fever but I did come down with something that made me wish I was dead...
Gawd. There IS a cure for ebola. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC443262/
http://benthamopen.com/toglyj/articles/V005/SI0001TOGLYJ/19TOGLYJ.pdf
http://jvi.asm.org/content/86/5/2809.full
http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1992-05-07/news/1992128004_1_mucin-flu-...
That's okay. We already know you still suck on your mother's tits MR. I Incite Panic sock puppet master.
If you are going to be insulting, make it funny. The mother's tit sucking thing is stale.
Take some lesson's from that troll that posts a monkey raping a dog as his avatar, you know, the one that pretends to be from India, Bang Galore or something.
Now, you have been insulted.
apropos of little - that Dallas nurse is incredibly hot...
http://www.sfgate.com/news/texas/article/Doctor-gives-blood-for-Ebola-in...
I would go with "cute" or "adorable." Easy to hate on Duncan, he was a liar who brought the disease with him. This one, us moms can imagine this is our daughter pretty easily, and you males, well...
I now understand your screen name. You could have been a cock chasing female (The woman in the avatar could have been crusading for some phallus). Now I know you to be a cock driven male. I am only a little disappointed. A woman coming on here and acting all predatory towards the men would have been the bomb!
Who said this?
“I was part of a ten-person team at a Human Genome Project that weaponized diseases to fight weaponized diseases. Pathogenic micro-organisms fought pathogenic micro-organisms: Fight fire with fire. Interdepartmental drinks were held, relationships made, information shared. I’m keenly aware of all the details behind the fail-safe delivery systems to kill every living person on this planet. I believe that with a little tweaking of the terminals in DC we can flip the Script.”
I'm not saying that this is the case, but (knowing governments, the MIC and the Pharma industry) it is not outside the realm of Probability (not just mere Possibility) that this was a Field Trial that became a tad too successful (an accident), or was a deliberate event by one of the very few countries who have the Bio-Tech to mess with this type of virus.
Alternatively, "not letting a good crisis go to waste" (Rahm Emmanuel's advice to Obama a few years ago), human nature being what it is, it is also not outside the realm of Probability that some Jihadist terror group decides/decided to have some infected people fly to the US, the EU or to Israel -- before they start showing symptoms -- and become quite literally The Walking Dead.
I thought the whole dramatic lead up to him saying this was a little lame. vague referecnes without really saying anything. Maybe they are just laying the thread. WD
Stacking Hershey Kisses bitchezzz!
Do those have chocolate in them?
Don't stack too well.
Here comes the squalene with a kiss
If this doesn't create wide scale panic, nothing will! Those gubermit fuckers are sneaky.