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Mortgage Application Pipeline At America's Largest Mortgage Lender Drops To Lowest Since Lehman

Tyler Durden's picture




 

So much for the much hyped, if quite negligible, second quarter rebound in mortgage activity. After rates tumbled, and continued to tumble, there was some hope that at least the offset to the bond market screaming contraction and deflation (something even stocks have realized in recent days), would be more American's buying homes, which naturally means applying for mortgages. Well, that dead cat bounce has come and gone. As America's biggest mortgage lender, Wells Fargo, reported moments ago when it once again magically managed to report EPS and revenues which came right in line with expectations (of $2.11 and $21.2 billion), the US housing picture is once again the worst it has ever been (excluding those days around the Lehman bankruptcy when all of finance died for a few weeks).

Case in point: according to Wells Q3 Earnings Supplement, while Mortgage Applications declined from a transitory one year high of $72 billion in Q2 to $64 billion, this number is going far lower. The reason: Wells' Morgage Application Pipeline just tumbled back to $25 billion, matching the lowest number since Lehman, and putting an end to any debate about the state of the US housing market.

In short: the only people buying houses in the US now are foreigners laundering their illegal, tax-exempt profits (ever fewer) and those as close to the Fed's ZIRP as possible, and, of course, paying all cash. Everyone else: not so much.

 

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Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:19 | 5328220 Tin Hat Salesman
Tin Hat Salesman's picture

Great time to buy a house?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:20 | 5328225 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Always!

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:25 | 5328240 BKbroiler
BKbroiler's picture

I'm buying a foreclosure now, aka correctly priced home. 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:30 | 5328257 new game
new game's picture

nice

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:37 | 5328273 negative rates
negative rates's picture

The consequences of hyperinflation.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:42 | 5328293 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Time to draft Dick Fuld....now that he has a little experience under his belt.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:31 | 5328260 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

You sure about that ???? And I know those property taxes are not correctly priced, since they are above ZERO. 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:45 | 5328312 BKbroiler
BKbroiler's picture

Upstate NY has the highest property tax in the nation.  My property tax will be higher than my mortgage.  At least I'm educating the local kids, you know, that way they don't rob the place.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:18 | 5328452 pods
pods's picture

That was my fault. Got the hell outta there when we could.  Friends still up there talk about taxes. They were ecstatic to have their bill lowered from like $9k to $5k a year.  New construction is dead. Nobody can afford the taxes on a new place.

Every time we go back things are just a bit older than the last time we were there.  

pods

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:33 | 5328515 BKbroiler
BKbroiler's picture

Yeah, it's basically feudalism. And all those little towns are for sale by the acre now. 

At this stage, the only parties worth buying from up there are the banks... that is if you have the patience to wait for months and deal with brokers, inspectors, contractors, insurance agents, lawyers, appraisers, and the town idiots at the hall.  Also, the pace of business up there, as I've discovered, is excrutiatingly slow from somoene who is used to the NYC neuroticism. 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 11:38 | 5328834 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

pods: "Every time we go back things are just a bit older than the last time we were there."

Ah dude, that, alas, includes you.

http://www.lyricsmode.com/lyrics/m/mary_hopkin/those_were_the_days.html

Song runs through my head these days - lost my wife of 44 years in February.

Thu, 10/16/2014 - 18:31 | 5343981 Wild tree
Wild tree's picture

Nobody,

At least you have now SOMEBODY, to greet you and take you home to rest when your time here is done. Not mansion as the west tends to think from John 14, 1-2; but complete, and eternal rest from pain, worry, and tears. May God bless and keep you.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:20 | 5328460 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

BK, you got that right. I'm hoping to hear from the bank on a settlement today, a cash for keys deal on an inherited foreclosure (my childhood home, alas) that's been a tax-free, mortgage-free cash cow for over five years.

The bank, who shall remain nameless (coincidentally, also an "inheritor" of a failed lender) apparently will go to the ends of the earth to acquire uncontested title to a home appraised at $81,500 in 2009 and is likely worth less than $70K now with roughly $35-60K worth of repairs, upgrades and improvements needed.

Hey, it's only money, right? Taxes, even at the ungodly assessment of $81,500, are still upwards of $3000 per year.

It's time for this shitshow to begin unwinding. I'll be moving to farm country, with my own few acres, peace, quiet, couple of dogs, shotgun, silver, and my own food and water supply.

Next step is learning how to homebrew, then maybe build a still. Golly, I love nature and abhor what our bankster masters have imposed upon a once-free people.

Guillotines are too good for the scum of the earth, but, if need be, will suffice.

Markets appear to have already completed their dead cat bounce for the day. The Dow, as of yesterday, was off over 1000 points in three weeks. The CNBS crew is still cheerleading and will continue to do so until there's nothing left but a couple of bots trading the shells of former companies. It's a good start.

Let's get the party started.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:43 | 5328570 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Wow, what a rip-off on that tax bill.  $70K with a $3K tax bill?  A property in need of repairs, which you're willing to do, hell, they should cancel your taxes just for doing that.   Parasites.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 12:02 | 5328941 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Just pick the right place, 'cause you have the right idea.

I moved onto my 43 acres 40 years ago, built up the place pretty good over time, never went into debt to do it.

Taxes now $1700 a year on an off-the-grid (27 solar panels), reasonably middle class home I built myself (with a little help from my friends and neighbors), two-car garage with electric, remote control doors (wow - uptown), wood and metal shop, flush toilet (wow again), studio for wife (now being turned into apart,ment by my daughter), fenced (electrified) 2 acres around house to keep deer out (but alas, not bear), gravity water, southern exposure; all the comforts of home - and 43 acres of mixed hardwood/softwood forest wrapped over a ridge in northern CA. Paid $12,500 for the land in 1971, now appraised at ~$215,000. assessed at $22,915. (Dope country -  but I don't grow.)

Buy and hold can still work in more or less 'real' markets.

The trick, of course, is to not consider a house/structure, or land you buy to live on, as an 'investment'. Suckers game.

Buy it with the idea, belief, long-run gut-level knowing that it is your home. Different mindset altogether.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 13:22 | 5329268 sylviasays
sylviasays's picture

"...43 acres of mixed hardwood/softwood forest wrapped over a ridge in northern CA."

Californians pay the second-highest taxes in the nation, beat out only by New Yorkers.

http://articles.latimes.com/2014/mar/20/business/la-fi-mo-taxes-states-2...

 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:37 | 5328532 j0nx
j0nx's picture

Move. Communist states gonna communist.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:36 | 5328267 nuclearsquid
nuclearsquid's picture

I just offloaded my house, and I am renting.  I bought it two years ago, and I am walking away with 82 pounds of silver, despite a declining market.  I couldn't feel more free.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:39 | 5328279 new game
new game's picture

landlord may be happy to take rent in the form of silver(soon). nice play, hmmm. so i can convert my equity to gold or silver too?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:40 | 5328290 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Lead & copper work great too.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:46 | 5328580 palmdetroit
palmdetroit's picture

With lead , you can farm silver and gold whenever you need

 

PHs - only up 1000% this last 40 days... leverage 'bitches http://phstones.com/mobile.php

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:46 | 5328318 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

Avoirdupois or troy?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:30 | 5328496 MonkeyKnutz
MonkeyKnutz's picture

Seeing how your a Goonerment employee, I will do the math for you: 82 lbs. Troy would equate to 89.9655 Avoirdupois.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:57 | 5328640 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

Yes, I know that. I was just inquiring how HE was measuring his pounds.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 11:19 | 5328750 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

opps, duplicate.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:46 | 5328584 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Except that rents are so high since many want out of owning.  Maybe you found a good deal, but they are harder to find than last year (I've been vaguely looking).  

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 13:58 | 5329503 PTR
PTR's picture

82 pounds, eh?  Sounds like you need to rent a boat for a day on the lake.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:20 | 5328223 cwwang
cwwang's picture

Go America!  As others would say, land of opportunities.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:40 | 5328286 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

They forgot to tell you, opportunities for whom exactly.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:08 | 5328228 junction
junction's picture

Someone just bought two adjoining apartments at 15 Central Park West in Manhattan for $25 million.  Things aren't so bad if you are rich. 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:17 | 5328444 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

At least they'll have to pay taxes on that purchase.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:22 | 5328229 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

How can that be when unemployment is 5.9%?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:44 | 5328303 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

That's just the numbers they put out for the Dancing with the Stars crowd.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:48 | 5328320 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

Boy, that was a good one last night!

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:14 | 5328435 Dr Strangemember
Dr Strangemember's picture

Today's unemployment rate is based on a much smaller denominator than in the past as the Obama Admin continues to remove "long term unemployed" from the overall labor force (still unemployed, but no longer counted for some reason).  Additionally, many of the jobs that are added are low quality, low paying jobs vs the jobs that were lost in the past recession.  

So as you can see, the numbers don't tell the whole story.

 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:45 | 5328591 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Everybody must be hoarding their massive cash holdings.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:22 | 5328233 viedoklis_lv
viedoklis_lv's picture
Saudi Arabia's Oil Price 'Manipulation' Could Sink The Russian Economy Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-saudi-arabia-and-oil-prices-2014-10#ixzz3G7pXwp4t http://youtu.be/T9MT8xf8BQ8
Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:40 | 5328291 Miketheterrible
Miketheterrible's picture

Besides that article being nonesense, your fixation on anything bad happens to Russia makes you look foolish, especially when you take this drivel to comment section of an article that has nothing to do with Russia.

 

Your credibility then stops here.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:22 | 5328234 saveUSsavers
saveUSsavers's picture

But Kunt Yellen says mortgage credit is "restrictive" ! Translation: " Got subprime auto bubble but need subprime housing boom again"

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:11 | 5328417 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Correction:  "...that Cunt Yellen..."

HELOC bubble being inflated alongside the auto and student loan bubbles.

Wall Street has "diversified" since 2007, with the FED at their back.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:23 | 5328235 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Apparently, interest rates are just too high.  Or everyone has become independently wealthy from the stock market. Or both.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:35 | 5328268 saveUSsavers
saveUSsavers's picture

Or MEDIAN wages haven't risen in decades.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:46 | 5328594 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Quiet.  You're ruining the fantasy.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:26 | 5328243 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

My Depression-era Grandfather used to tell me stories about how cheap things were in the Great Depression.  Loaf of bread for a penny.  Houses going for a few hundred dollars, etc.

I asked him why he didn't buy any of that stuff.  He said "Son, you don't understand.  No matter how good the deal is, if you don't have the scratch, you ain't buying it."

I'm really glad I got those kinds of stories first-hand or I might be a little confused about what's happening in the economy these days. 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:30 | 5328258 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

The only substitute for experience is someone else's.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:27 | 5328245 tedstr
tedstr's picture

We now return you to the housing dead cat bounce which is already in progress

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:28 | 5328250 therearetoomany...
therearetoomanyidiots's picture

This is supposed to be a happy occasion. Let’s not bicker and argue about who killed who.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:31 | 5328251 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Obama-mortgage?

Use your Obama-phone to get one.

Buy foreclosed houses right next to the FEMA camps for Ebola patients....  

Tent cities provide individual isolation units...

Fun times in the big city...

 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:35 | 5328266 q99x2
q99x2's picture

In a few weeks Dallas property should be pretty affordable--for the homeless and illegals.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:45 | 5328314 venturen
venturen's picture

you mean just because incomes are going down and homes prices are being driven higher by the .00001% with free FED money...that people would stop buying homes?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:12 | 5328423 junction
junction's picture

No, because if Ebola spreads down there, prepare for a "Night Of The Living Dead" scenario.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 09:48 | 5328322 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

how is the cardboard market doing? any upswing in materials, signaling an increase in shacks?

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:00 | 5328371 steveharless
steveharless's picture

Las Vegas Has plenty of over priced new homes....ask the builders....there is a huge amount of model homes for sale...I WONDER WHY???  <end of sarcasm font>

 

 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:11 | 5328422 auntiesocial
auntiesocial's picture

the prices should start to rise and lower with Lake Mead. but you aren't supposed to live in Vegas in the first place... 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 12:50 | 5329153 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

I have a cousin who is bound and determined to purchase lots in and around Las Vegas for up to 30K per lot (no home, just the land) as he thinks that the housing market is coming back.  

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:10 | 5328418 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

It will fly in 6 months as people rush to refi with 2 percent 30 year mortgages....

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:13 | 5328432 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

Following your Ebola diagnosis, meet with your local realtor, give him/her juicy kiss.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:46 | 5328595 Thalamus
Thalamus's picture

Sold my house too and effectively converted it to silver.  My rent sucks but I'm waiting patiently for the big reset where I can buy my wife a big farm with a white picket fence.  That's if we outlast the zombies and plagues.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 13:55 | 5329484 83_vf_1100_c
83_vf_1100_c's picture

"Sold my house too and effectively converted it to silver."

Bold move. All your eggs in one basket huh? We just paid off (early) the 15 yr mortgage on our home. Have a home in NC for sale, slow sell. May trade up and farther out of civilization in a year or three. I am here to tell you it feels good to own my home. Taxes, insurance, zombies, ebola plague, etc notwithstanding.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 10:57 | 5328644 nightwish
nightwish's picture

A house is not a suitable investment in one's future. Who wants to get wrapped up with a costly home mortgage when we should be looking for a suitable cave, and spending on armaments, ammo and long shelf life canned goods? This world is going to hell in a handbasket. Property can be easily confiscated, along with its dubious owner if need be.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 14:01 | 5329516 83_vf_1100_c
83_vf_1100_c's picture

  Decent plan with one fatal flaw. Hot chicks don't generally dig caves.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 11:13 | 5328718 rwe2late
rwe2late's picture

Foreclosure and a lifetime of debt ?

Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.

By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.

http://news.yahoo.com/americans-face-post-foreclosure-hell-wages-garnish...

 

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 12:05 | 5328954 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

I'm looking to buy.

Been wathcing Zillow intensely for the last several months.

Prices have moved in the area that I am interested in.

DOWN.  

Pretty much every single month.

And the good news is that we are entering the slow RE reason.

Wish me luck.

Tue, 10/14/2014 - 23:24 | 5332086 Otto Zitte
Otto Zitte's picture

America's illegal aliens thank you for America's ghost cities, which they helped build, wiith taxpayer money and subsidies. Under the table, of course.

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