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For Bond Shorts, The Pain Has Only Just Begun

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Speculative short positioning in 10Y Treasury futures, according to CFTC, is at its highest since 2007 as traders added to shorts last week. Net positioning in 10Y Treasuries overall is its most short since June as shorts piled on in the last 2 weeks by the most since the Taper Tantrum.

 

 

Net positioning

 

with the last 2 weeks shorts piling on the most since the Taper Tantrum.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:52 | 5333615 ifishivote
ifishivote's picture

Dow will be up big at the close

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:57 | 5333663 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Just wondering how many margin calls are coming in right about now?

 

Elsewhere: liberal actor Brad Pitt says he's owned guns since kindergarten! http://tinyurl.com/jvryxft

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:33 | 5333942 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

I'll buy the TBT when 10yr at 1%.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:57 | 5333678 Technical Difficulty
Technical Difficulty's picture

Covered my equity shorts shortly after open. Something doesn't smell right about that opening puke...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:04 | 5333741 NYPoke
NYPoke's picture

Yep.  Rip snorter of a bounce would be appropriate right here, though hardly a lock.  Closed some options, not long after the close.  See if we can get a good re-short entry in the next couple days.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:08 | 5333786 Technical Difficulty
Technical Difficulty's picture

Agreed. Live to fight another day :)

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:51 | 5333617 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

I wonder how many 401k related bond funds were short?  Bend over sheeple, the Fed is probing you again.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:52 | 5333633 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Bond shorters please proceed to the slaughter haus in an orderly fashion...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:54 | 5333645 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

The shorts have sharted in the shorts.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:51 | 5333620 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Hmmm.  I don't know about that the way the USD is imploding right now.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:55 | 5333657 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Less USDs mean they buy more stuff.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:52 | 5333625 new game
new game's picture

oh, the pain. fugly and fast...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:54 | 5333641 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

10 YR back above 2. Gotta believe the Fed was in there selling bond inventory and buying stocks.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:59 | 5333687 Boston
Boston's picture

The Fed?

Nah, it was me....unloading all the 10yr paper I bought in September between 2.55% and 2.65%.

I'm not kidding.....

 

PS. But I must admit, it wasn't me buying the equities. Need to see another 40% off before I start nibbling.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:06 | 5333764 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I'm rotating out of paper bought in January and moving into energy positions.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:08 | 5333784 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Like long WTI?

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:15 | 5333842 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

You should have listened to Econ Matters.  You could be fixing to harvest a huge tax loss right now.  

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:54 | 5333648 jm
jm's picture

Time to close 30Y long.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:57 | 5333671 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

"Ow my balls!"

said, David Tepper, and every sell side analyst and MSM toady who panders to them.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:11 | 5333804 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see that Tepper has front-run this shit yet again.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:56 | 5333673 new game
new game's picture

is the last arrow broken?

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 09:57 | 5333685 Madcow
Madcow's picture

Don't expect more "QE" -   At this point, its easier for the Fed to just step aside and let the global economy collpase. That way, the bankers get to seize all the homes, factories, family businesses, city parks etc across the globe. 

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:01 | 5333706 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Could be but also if the markets crash this time, folks might not be coming back to it.

All the kings horses and all the kinga men.. Couldn't put Humpty together again.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:00 | 5333692 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

The Criminal Psychopaths will blame the economic meltdown on Ebola, institute Martial Law (FEMA Camps) in order to save the public all while saving their collective asses & buying up what's left of the world economy pennies on the dollar or just outright seize it via Criminal Executive Orders.

Problem, Reaction, Solution. All done by design, all done by Agenda.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:07 | 5333763 falconflight
falconflight's picture

Martial law long term would be the best opportunity to separate the fascists/socialists/junta/sheeple M Effers from the even nominally constitutionally oriented people.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:07 | 5333769 new game
new game's picture

not at all far fetched. just get in their shoes and think...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:14 | 5333830 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

Obola makes the perfect cover. The virus isn't spreading quickly enough. It gives the Criminal Psychopaths more time to gage the public's reaction & more time for the Elite to readjust & plan accordingly. The Psychopaths have historically been very methodical.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:22 | 5333884 new game
new game's picture

if we meet, don't shoot, i could be of great help!

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:25 | 5333893 new game
new game's picture

pack of wolves, some day soon...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:05 | 5333758 Spungo
Spungo's picture

I really hope Peter Schiff wasn't one of the people shorting treasuries. He can be completely right about the overall economy but still be dead wrong when it comes to predicting how people will react. People don't see gold as safe. They see treasuries as safe. Gold, for most people, is a speculation.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:09 | 5333788 new game
new game's picture

bingo, exacto knife cutting ass right!

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:08 | 5333790 Calculus99
Calculus99's picture

They're starting to lose control, some crazy moves happening right now across the board.

As someone said here - Never forget that central planners are masters at backing themselves into corners...

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:17 | 5333847 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

yep ... why they must end QE

 

aside from taking good collateral off the field of play ... FR owning such a large portion of the long end will mean much greater volatility as large buy/sells are placed.  

 

Hard to plan/hedge when rates are moving all over the place

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:12 | 5333797 Ghostdog
Ghostdog's picture

5 dollars to anyone who can accurately guess the total volume of urine that has gushed out of Heir Yellen's, pantaloons?

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:13 | 5333827 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

10Y already bounced...that didnt take long

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:20 | 5333870 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

hope so ... would like to reload

 

my core long bet still intact

 

we'll get to 1% sooner or later ... but hope not too soon ... enjoying the income and hitting my target will mean clearing out

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:15 | 5333841 JRobby
JRobby's picture

They believed that "rates going up soon" hoax!!!

DEFLATION

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:41 | 5333989 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Bullshit.  Deflation is a fucking myth so long as you have 7+ billion people and growing all competing for the remaining energy and resources to sustain a higher standard of living.

 

 

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 10:27 | 5333909 Billy Shears
Billy Shears's picture

Never been a better time for China to sell "some" of their pile of Treasuries. Convert into "King Dollar" and buy the "barbarous relic" with both monkey hands and feet....

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 11:25 | 5334243 Otto Zitte
Otto Zitte's picture

Another first term bailout coming. If there's anything left.

Wed, 10/15/2014 - 11:52 | 5334396 cwwang
cwwang's picture

Maybe this is why Gross got out and decide to start afresh?  He knew the exit door is too small.

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