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Stocks, Bond Yields Drop After Rosengren-IBM-Oil Triple-Whammy

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As futures opened last night, it was all looking so bright as the 'rebound' extended and every knife-catching "in it for the long-run" manager was proved 'right'. Then Eric Rosengren pissed in the punchbowl - explaining QE will end in October "unless somethinh dramatic happens" - somewhat taunting the market to crash to ensure the Fed keeps the party going. Markets leaked lower and then came Big Blue which slammed futures lower. Oil prices are falling once again this morning, ECB's bond-buying was a disappointment, and USDJPY's fundamentals hit an air-pocket. Having retraced perfectly 50% of last week's losses, the S&P 500 is fading at the open...

Rosengren started it... IBM didn't help...

 

and Oil weakness is not helping...

 

Treasury yields down 2-3bps...

 

Of course its all about fun-durr-mentals....

 

Of course, it wouldn't be the HFT-dominated US equity markets without a morning ramp to VWAP (enabling all those institutional sellers to get out) - but once again bonds and carry ain't buying it...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:42 | 5354805 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

I will be waiting for Rosengren to say we need more QE in say, a couple of days. Fed bastards

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:42 | 5354806 agstacks
agstacks's picture

timed the bottom again perfectly, Tylers

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:48 | 5354813 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

So people are using Gartman to time the tops and ZH/Tylers to time the bottom now??

BTW, this morning rebound aint gonna hold imho.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:04 | 5354858 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

over a b of POMO today and tomorrow, in this thin a market, with APPL on deck tonight, i think today is modestly green (unfortunately).  I expect APPL to puke in the punchbowl though....

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 12:34 | 5355362 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Very thin market but the sheep are being herded where they need to be for fleece collection.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:46 | 5354812 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Only one I'm seeing down right now is the Dow, thanks to it's heavy IBM weighting.  RUT, treading water.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:54 | 5354827 RobD
RobD's picture

Hmmm, time to throw IBM under the bus and kick them out of the DOW.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:30 | 5354922 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Absolutely.  The Dow is the biggest actively-managed passive index in the world.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:49 | 5354816 Jahbulon
Jahbulon's picture

It is clear the Fed has no idea what it is doing.  They are acting like a skitzo............

I use to think they were making it up as they went along, now they just seem corrupt and incompetent. 

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:51 | 5354817 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

You're right, and I don't know how they can claim "guidance" with a straight face in this scenario.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:15 | 5354884 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

That is why Gramma Yellen was installed. You can't verbally punch an old lady now, can you?

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:36 | 5354951 StupidEarthlings
StupidEarthlings's picture

Well..I think we could make an exception in this case.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 12:35 | 5355368 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Define 'lady'...

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:48 | 5354920 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I disagree, I think they know exactly what they are doing and the key word in your statement is "acting". Look at what they have accomplished , The cost of borrowing to .gov is virtually nothing, they've shaken out a lot of speculative positions by jawboning, and they drive the "market "higher by luring in shorts with their "skitzo acting". The merits of the fed are another discussion, but to me it's clear they know exactly what they need to do to advance their,an their owners, agenda.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 15:05 | 5356073 Midnight Rider
Midnight Rider's picture

I agree with you that they know exactly what they are doing. Unfortunately what they are doing is going to implode at some point, just as every other bubble blowing scenario in history has. That can is getting pretty dented.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 15:45 | 5356263 Midnight Rider
Midnight Rider's picture

Just to clarify, many equate "knowing what you are doing" with doing something successful. Unfortunately, what the Fed is doing will not be successful when all is said and done. The ultimate implosion of the latest bubble will be spectacular and they will not be able to control the aftermath. Reality will set in, it's just a matter of time. They are buying time, but each round is having less and less impact. Debt continues to grow at a much faster rate than economic activity. It cannot go on forever. There is no perpetual motion machine to come to the rescue.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:52 | 5354819 TheEndTimes
TheEndTimes's picture

Wow its almost 10am and still no article today about how the end of the world is here because 3 people have ebola?

 

get it together tyler's i need my morning entertainment!

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:57 | 5354833 RobD
RobD's picture

Heh, Fox was saying that the Nurses BF was showing symptoms, they must have the only source as I don't see it being reported anywhere else.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:57 | 5354838 LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Fuckin' spot on bro.

Im not even getting any meaningful ad banners this morn.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:54 | 5354823 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

MOAR FED WHIPSAW BIRTCHEZ

unless something dramatic happens.

i'm sure the above statement is in reference to unemployment. [/SARCASM]

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:55 | 5354828 FuzzyDunlop21
FuzzyDunlop21's picture

We opened green so we'll definitely close green, ppt should be able to handle that. 

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:56 | 5354835 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

You cannot concentrate upon the US Economy to determine what actions the FED will or will not take.  The FED is much more an international organization than the CFR.  While America is economically weak, the US Dollar still rules the world.  It rules the world as a political entity and operates in clandestine ways to support various political aspirations around the globe.

Money creates everything political, and everything created politically requires more money.  Money creates nations and sustains unpopular and popular political groups which favor the whims of the central committee of those who orchestrate the missions and favor the positions of various groups who may conflict in ideologies, but consume assets or oppositions which create vacuums which must be filled with money or power at the discretion of the void-fillers.

The facts which reveal themselves via charts and graphs data sourced in business transactions or financial requirements are the marionettes dancing to the strings being pulled.  Those strings represent the true missions of the FED and all central banks, because all central banks are merely branches of the FED.

So, what are the whims and visions of the FED?   What are the aspirations of the FED vis-a-vie the world stage and its role as king maker?  In a nation of political correctness and identity politics, suborned to international law by its Supreme Court, it is unreasonable to assume ethnic and foreign alliances do not have a heavy hand upon the levers of money creation and distribution.

The gaming table of the FED is the intricate intertwining of trade agreements and military alliance support treaties, which make up the mosaic of the fabric woven by those with influence upon the FED, if in fact; not direct involvement.

One cannot imagine oneself as capable of foreknowledge of the whims and thoughts of the persons who make up the FED.  Further, because one cannot attend the debating sessions where policies are made, there is no way to know who the power personality is and the agenda embraced by that entity.

One can only assume and therein is the rub.  We assume based upon what we are told and they operate upon that which is hidden.

I am not saying that it is bad (I don’t believe it is good), I am just saying that it is unknowable.

When the very name of an organization is carefully orchestrated to deceive – it is not a positive beginning.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 09:57 | 5354836 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

As the money comes out of stocks to buy the bonds that QE had been purchasing, the pain willl be too much for many to bear for thos highly leveraged.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:02 | 5354846 Kina
Kina's picture

I don't get the infants that come here only to whine and squeal over ZH like suckling piglets.

 

Listen, if you want your warm-milk-masturbation don't come to ZH, go to Marketwatch or something.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 10:56 | 5355016 syntaxterror
syntaxterror's picture

QE NEXT (ie. QE 4 or is it 5) = Fed directly buying shares of IBM, GOOG, AAPL, TSLA, NFLX, AMZN, FB, BABA, and TWTR.

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 11:05 | 5355051 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Not one but potentially two playable moves upcoming but I'm such a big dummy with this shit neither will probably happen.

Intervention can change everything full caveat as usual.  If no legit action above 1895-98ish then target set at 1800ish.  From there a momo-monkey party to 1900ish.  Jawbone/literal scam intervention needs to push it above 1925ish to keep the dream alive.  They know this fwiw. 

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 11:09 | 5355068 Hal n back
Hal n back's picture

it would  be qe infinity. Or a need to change the name.

syntax-how do you know the fed is buying stocks directly? probably indirectly but not directly.

 

Mon, 10/20/2014 - 11:13 | 5355083 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Fed now assigning members hourly appearances to go out and good cop-bad cop this shitshow market until every last penny has been steamrolled.

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