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Is This Why Stocks Are Soaring?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

October 16: "Buyers beware, the bear market has begun":

 

The selloff in global markets is set to continue as a bear market takes hold "for a long period of time," according to widely followed investor Dennis Gartman, who warned investors not to go long on stocks.

 

"This is the start of a bear market," Gartman, the founder of the closely watched Gartman Letter, told CNBC Europe's "Squawk Box" on Thursday. "You stay in cash and you stay in short term bonds and you don't move out, this is a very difficult period of time and I'm afraid - and

 

I don't like to think about it – but this might be the very beginnings of a bear market that could last some period of time," he warned.

And first thing this morning:

As noted in the chart of the S&P at the upper left of p.1 this morning we were swiftly approaching the bottom of “The Box” that marks the 50-62% retracement of the recent sharp decline from the interim highs forged earlier this month. Given the manner in which stock index futures are trading rather briskly lower this morning as we write, it does not appear that we shall see the S&P futures trade into “The Box,” and that makes us all the more suspicious of share prices generally, for a market than cannot even retrace 50-62% of its previous weakness is a market that is weaker, internally, than it might at first appear. Worse, failure here suggest that a fully-fledged bear market has begun, for this would be a clear failure well below the highs of the last interim rally, with the lows of the last interim break having already been taken out to the downside.

And in chart format:

 

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Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:53 | 5359771 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

It's almost as if Gartman is the fat kid that everyone messes with. Like Yellen calls up Dimon and they laugh, "did you fucking see that?, LOL".

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:56 | 5359800 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Dennis Fartman = Tom Stolper v2.0

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:03 | 5359825 Hard1
Hard1's picture

You fool me once shame on you, You fool me 9.9999E99 times I am Dennis Gartman

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:10 | 5359852 Supernova Born
Supernova Born's picture

Gartman should make predictions on Ebola, hurricanes and give personalized assessments of lifespan for a fee.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:07 | 5360082 Leonardo Fibonacci2
Leonardo Fibonacci2's picture

All your doomsday crap and the markets are bullish!! WTF  I sold my GILD at $95 and its at $105.  You basturds! I knew i should have followed my instincts.  Zero H is right 1% of the time. Blahhhhh blahhhh blahhhh!!!!!!!!!!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:26 | 5360152 max2205
max2205's picture

As much as I don't read Phoenix Capital. ...at least they don't flip flop like a land Perch

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 17:06 | 5360870 rocker
rocker's picture

One could be very rich playing Gartman quotes as a contrarian indicator. His quoted timing is always wrong. Possibly on purpose !?!

 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:27 | 5360164 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Nahhhh...

You should follow the yellow lines in the nearest road to see where it goes!

Ta ta now..

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:09 | 5359855 Richard Chesler
Richard Chesler's picture

This man has all the qualifications to be part of the Obongo administration.

 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:48 | 5360017 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

<----   Gartman

<----  Cramer

 

 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 15:28 | 5360447 tempo
tempo's picture

Rebound partially Ebola relief, also China had good BS numbers. Its far from over to the downside, but the market has much less central bank support and will decline over the next 5 years back below 1000 IMO. 50 dma resistance and likely will not make ath before another selloff.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:05 | 5360071 Jahbulon
Jahbulon's picture

Gartman is going to go postal on TV one day......

I hope his people have enough sense to trade opposite of his recommendations.  Heck, I might subscribe and do just that.......

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 18:47 | 5361273 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

I agree with him sompletely; this is exactly what I've been trying to say here for a week now.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 18:53 | 5361293 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

It's a rally in a bear market. The real market movers own this bitch; they can just club it down like a baby seal with a baseball bat. and they will; soon.

Wed, 10/22/2014 - 02:02 | 5362388 CASTBOUND
CASTBOUND's picture

my neighbor's half-sister makes $71 hourly on the laptop . She has been fired from work for 9 months but last month her paycheck was $17975 just working on the laptop for a few hours. look at this site... www.job-reports.com

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:54 | 5359773 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

I think I am over these seemingly daily Gartman posts. Primarily because I am over looking at his face..we get it...he is a contrarian indicator.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:18 | 5359900 Fidel Sarcastro
Fidel Sarcastro's picture

aaahahahahaaaa! Gartman is such a f*cking tool!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:54 | 5359782 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

"Is This Why Stocks Are Soaring?"..........partially yes.........gartman is more connected than you think, he is being used as a contrarian market signal by his owners.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:23 | 5359922 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Gartman is not connected.  He is just a heard mentality moron.  He doesn't even have a system.  He trades 100% off of his emotions.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:54 | 5359785 gjp
gjp's picture

As reliable as when ZH posts about how the market is crashing.

Nasdaq down 8% in 5 days, bounces 6% in the next 5.  Fundamentals indeed.

US stocks outperform rest of the world by 11% year to date, 80% since the 2008 crisis.  60% of global market cap, insatiably consuming the rest of the world's resources and manufactured goods all the while.  Nice trick if you can pull it off.  Exorbitant privilige for the win.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:56 | 5359797 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Best con ever!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:06 | 5359840 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

"US stocks outperform rest of the world by 11% year to date"

It's called the FRBNY, yall should get one, they're nice.

"60% of global market cap, insatiably consuming the rest of the world's resources and manufactured goods all the while."

The US produces debt. Do we have to do EVERYTHING??

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:14 | 5360109 jcaz
jcaz's picture

gjp-  catching on yet, genius?   Duh.........

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:55 | 5359799 aliki
aliki's picture

im gonna take a shot and said he hedged that call 3-for-1 with short-duration calls he planned on ripping off just as soon as we got to the top-end of the newly established down-trend we have begun forming.

except, oooops, he forgot to say that at the time he made the "call"

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 12:57 | 5359807 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell&#039;s 2 hearted's picture

does his mommy know he doesn't shave?

 

imagine she's appalled if she did

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:03 | 5359829 Fred Garvin
Fred Garvin's picture

Gartman, do you ever get of tired of being wrong?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4VFjs--hP18

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:06 | 5359847 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

I think the real discussion should be whether this is a market at all.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:17 | 5359890 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

What's there to discuss? Anyone but an idiot should see its just a completely rigged hand-held shitshow.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:09 | 5359857 homiegot
homiegot's picture

Gartman!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:10 | 5359859 WTFRLY
WTFRLY's picture

US Citizen, Press TV reporter dead in car crash near Syria 2 days after Turkey calls her a spy

http://wtfrly.com/2014/10/20/us-citizen-press-tv-reporter-dead-in-car-cr...

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:37 | 5359971 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Magnetic trees again!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 16:09 | 5360607 Bryan
Bryan's picture

Dang Ahmed... where did I put that nail gun?  Ah... just crash the car into a tree then.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:14 | 5359878 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Guess no one told him about the $200 billion per quarter? PRINT TO INFINITY AND BEYOND!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:13 | 5359884 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

No way this guy could be this wrong all the time, he's an operative....has to be.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:26 | 5359928 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

good point, even a broke clock is right twice a day.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:19 | 5359908 tedstr
tedstr's picture

DJIA is bouncing off the 50% fib retrace as we speak

 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:29 | 5359925 wswarrior
wswarrior's picture

IBM, Mcdonalds and Coke all stink up the joint over the past two days, and apple reports solid numbers as expected and the S&P is up 45 points in less than two trading days.  It's amazing the tight range that stocks trade in after ramps given that the S&P generally stays within a five point trading range following the ramp sessions.  If humans were trading, they would take some profits.  It shows how the market is driven entirely by liquidity, and it doesn't even function like a market anymore.  

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:29 | 5359936 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Muppet-TV, LOL.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:34 | 5359956 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Golly, he seemed so sincere. 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:34 | 5359959 vegas
vegas's picture

"Creating capital losses for you now, and well into the future." Thank you for your support - Dennis & Tom - Gartman & Stolper

 

www.traderzoo.mobi

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:35 | 5359968 gdiamond22
gdiamond22's picture

Gartman - such tool. That was the bottom to buy for a run to 2200 SPX at a minimum.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:38 | 5359979 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Should Gartman have a crystal ball because he's so accurate at being so wrong all the time... perfectly opposite ... or a jester's hat?

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:41 | 5359988 johnjkiii
johnjkiii's picture

Opinions are worth what you pay for them. This mutt charges people money for this sage advice.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 13:52 | 5360025 joego1
joego1's picture

I say cash, pm's and stuff you can use. Don't need no stinkin debt.

 

--Permabear Joego

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:00 | 5360051 nakki
nakki's picture

Paging Dick Bove Paging Dick Bove 

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 14:34 | 5360209 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

S&P 2500 coming soon to a theater near you.

Tue, 10/21/2014 - 15:53 | 5360541 Bear
Bear's picture

Didn't he make the same statements at ES 1300?

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