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Something Is Seriously Broken

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Presented with no comment...

 

Courtesy of Brad Wishak of NewEdge

and then there's this... The other decoupling

*  *  *

And here is today's schizophrenia...

Stocks played catch down to bonds 3 times... (just look at the stock 'market' movements... do they look in any way normal?)

 

Driven by oil prices - today higher oil was a good thing, lower a bad thing again...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:04 | 5407850 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

The first rule of Ponzi is that there is no Ponzi.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:23 | 5407975 blindman
blindman's picture

never discuss the rules of ponzi.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:06 | 5407867 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

O O O CHOOSE (D), whenever you get this kind of a question on a Test you always choose (D).

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:27 | 5407872 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Crocodile jaws bithez!

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:06 | 5407879 limacon
limacon's picture

Either you are all seriously in the grey-goo , or the system is operating as it is meant to and discounting major new technogical deus-ex-machina expectations .

 

See

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2014/09/rogue-swan-tech.html

 

Hence the dramatic drop in oil prices , as majors try to offload an asset that will soon be rapidly decreasing . 

 

What you see is panic , not calculation . An Hysterical Focus on oil .

See https://www.academia.edu/8942403/The_Hysterical_Focus_is_your_friend_

 

It might be clathrates . And the Japanese are doing an all-or-nothing Energy Attack .

See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2013/04/petroleum-price-and-clathrates.htm...

 

 

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:07 | 5407884 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

This deserves an LOL

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:07 | 5407880 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Sure is nice of all the producers to lower their commodity prices during an economic boom.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:12 | 5407906 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

exactly

 

all part of some "grand strategy"

 

or not

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:08 | 5407889 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Diving oil prices can only mean one thing!  Obama has established WORLD PEACE...  He will annouce it right after the close today and before the voting machines open tomorrow.

 

Wednesday we all go back to warrring.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:13 | 5407909 Sick
Sick's picture

As all here know and understand, we (the people) are under attack and need to run from the false promises being made and into safety.  My holdings in PM's and mining stocks have tumbled but I am not upset or troubled for I see the game being played and will not play with the bad guys.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:13 | 5407912 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

it's called corruption at all levels

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:16 | 5407924 ekm1
ekm1's picture

NSA controls the computers where trading takes place and overrides everybody else at central command orders

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:15 | 5407925 1929agin
1929agin's picture

Revelation after Nov4.....

Where's the Ponz?

No Ponzi?

Market lifted in US markets and Japan, Europe still lagging, oh wait, that will be it after Nov4 "election" , Draghi steps up..

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:31 | 5408026 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

The Ponz jumped the shark......

Bubba says no QE for the Frogs, check to China.......

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:40 | 5408027 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

double

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:15 | 5407928 pendragon
pendragon's picture

free markets for free men

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:17 | 5407929 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

It used to be broken...now it's fixed

 

it's called DEEP CAPTURE

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:50 | 5408134 CHX
CHX's picture

DEEP CRAPTURE

 

fixed.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:16 | 5407931 SoDamnMad
SoDamnMad's picture

"Keep everybody busy and focused elsewhere while we "adjust" these voting machines."

the Diebold tech

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:18 | 5407942 reTARD
reTARD's picture

Did you all know? This economy doesn't require energy. It's all mental... fantasy.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:22 | 5407964 blindman
blindman's picture

http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/83609486f9/between-two-ferns-with-zach-...
.
STEVIE WONDER - Big Brother (Lyrics)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3cAsASTTdw
.
"Big Brother"

Your name is big brother
You say that you're watching me on the tele,
Seeing me go nowhere,
Your name is big brother,
You say that you're tired of me protesting,
Children dying everyday,
My name is nobody
But I can't wait to see your face inside my door

Your name is big brother
You say that you got me all in your notebook,
Writing it down everyday,
Your name is I'll see ya,
I'll change if you vote me in as the pres,
The President of your soul
I live in the ghetto,
You just come to visit me 'round election time

I live in the ghetto,
Someday I will move on my feet to the other side,
My name is secluded,
we live in a house the size of a matchbox,
Roaches live with us wall to wall,

You've killed all our leaders,
I don't even have to do nothin' to you
You'll cause your own country to fall
.
Dark Legacy: .....the nazis and fascists, etc ...
corporate monopolist dealers.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-NlJQJUUqR4

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:23 | 5407966 justmy2cents
justmy2cents's picture

Only god knows where this market is headed. I think an extreme move either up or down is coming and if it's going to be up it's going to be up for all the wrong reasons. Cash is most definitely king right now.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:24 | 5407980 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Who ever is manipulating Vix didnt get the memo today....  been a long time to see a 5% vix move on an interday half percent market....

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:28 | 5408009 Solio
Solio's picture

 

Where did all of the money and resources go?

The plan works perfectly?

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:29 | 5408015 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Nobody panic, just a rogue commodity Algo....  Its program will be terminated shortly....

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:30 | 5408018 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

Not broken. It is easily explainable as part of policy.

S&P is high as a gift to the elitists to make them feel wealthy and to defraud the non-connected who bet against the market.

WTI crude is down to give a break to the little guy in terms of gasoline prices so that they do not feel completely broke and discouraged at election time.

The 10 year yield is up a nominal amount that is part of normal noise. It serves no macro purpose at these levels.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:37 | 5408073 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

Also Saudi is trading with the US to keep oil low in exchange for US continuing to push against Asad and perhaps to get a pipeline to europe from Saudi.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:28 | 5408019 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

Not broken. It is easily explainable as part of policy.

S&P is high as a gift to the elitists to make them feel wealthy and to defraud the non-connected who bet against the market.

WTI crude is down to give a break to the little guy in terms of gasoline prices so that they do not feel completely broke and discouraged at election time.

The 10 year yield is up a nominal amount that is part of normal noise. It serves no macro purpose at these levels.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:30 | 5408020 Notsobadwlad
Notsobadwlad's picture

doop

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:30 | 5408025 limacon
limacon's picture

The Smoking gun of Clathrate mining .

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2014/08/horrific-methane-eruptions-in-ea...

 

See also 

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2014/09/rogue-swan-tech.html

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2013/04/petroleum-price-and-clathrates.html

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2010/09/mexican-gulf-oil-spill.html

 

Theyr'e using tailored archaeobacteria to release methane in a controlled fashion .

 

We're just seeing the leakage .

The Japanese Yen is going to laugh last .

 

This news is already breaking .

 

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:31 | 5408030 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

Tora! Tora! Tora!

 

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:35 | 5408052 BouncyTheWonderbunni
BouncyTheWonderbunni's picture

According to a article at Der Spiegel today the ECB is seriously fighting back door with the Germans to start QE in Europe their actually saying look it worked in the USSA. LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:41 | 5408094 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

It did wonders for the 1 percent...

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:35 | 5408056 IndianaJohn
IndianaJohn's picture

While Russia is building towards being the energy capital of the world.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:03 | 5408191 rejected
rejected's picture

What your looking at are virtual markets, computer simulated and manipulated by the wizards. The real market has been dead for years, God rest its soul. /Tin hat off.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:40 | 5408345 JR
JR's picture

The money tyrants are dealing in paper. The growth of civilization is based on things of value; otherwise it doesn’t grow.

America is a growth economy; it’s based on real production, real products, and the real value of goods and services. Otherwise, it won’t grow….

America's free enterprise supply and demand economy was never based on banking or accounting tricks. The stock market is up because of two reasons only: 1) the money the money changers have stolen from the citizens directly or indirectly, and 2) accounting tricks that make corporations look as if they’re making money when they aren’t.

In short, the banking sector is headed for collapse because it has taken on the economy; economic factors will, if necessary, force abandonment of the Fed and the current monetary system.

Will the international bankers back off? No! As outlined by Janet Yellen's recent remarks: the American Dream and the chances to get ahead are dead unless you are lucky enough to have been born with inheritance or, if you're poor, find some way of getting assets. And so, the tightening of the screws on sound money, retirees, savers, small businesses, and students and the middle class by the Fed will continue unabated for the benefit of the well-connected.

But I have news for Yellen; the economy is hard on her heels...

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:11 | 5408234 Moe Howard
Moe Howard's picture

When gold hits $1140 I am backing up the semi. I hadda dream.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:17 | 5408254 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

Is that gold line the Alligator Tongue?

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:40 | 5408343 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Fun to watch if you are prepared.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 17:46 | 5408371 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

I’m loaded up on marinade and am prepared to eat the neighbors first.  Canned goods last. 

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 20:14 | 5408793 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

My strategy as well.  I'm hoping Michelle's lunch program adds an organic flavor, but I recognize a good fat layer keeps the meat moist.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:01 | 5408415 Madcow
Madcow's picture

you mean collapsing global trade and commodity prices aren't always good for stocks? 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:02 | 5408417 venturen
venturen's picture

market goes up when full stealing is in effect...if middle class is allowed to have money...the market goes down. Simple!

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:08 | 5408428 Madcow
Madcow's picture

Collapsing global demand and economic activity should be bullish for stocks ... because ..  

?

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:09 | 5408433 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

Adam Smith (remember him? Author of The Wealth of Nations) looked for inflation or deflation in the price of corn denominated in silver, which just so happened to be the coin of the realm.

Well, were he around today and saw both silver and corn prices collapsing, but corn falling faster, he'd likely advise buying silver, because it will just buy more and more corn down the line. I'm sticking with him. Screw Keynes and all the other assholes that came after him - Yllen, Bernanke, Greenshit, etc.

Also, this just in, if the Republicans take control of the Senate tomorrow, look for new highs in stocks Wednesday, just because rich, fat-assed banksters like rich fat-assed, criminally-inclined Republicans better. And, like why dogs lick their balls, because THEY CAN!

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 20:12 | 5408785 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

RIP, Jerry Goodman.  The curmudgeon remains insightful.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 22:39 | 5409230 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

The price over spot for SEs is $2.159.

 

Last week the premim was about $2.41. 

 

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:23 | 5408471 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

$1 in QE for every $0.01 in economic growth.

Good job Fed.

This is just a guess, but it must be close?

Before & After Buyback Fraud.

 

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:41 | 5408525 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I've read where the QE economic growth actually turned negative some time ago, but then saw something akin to your very low + estimate. Either way, we are a long way from the days of getting + $5 of economic growth from $1 of stimulus. Too much fat lazy debt soaking it all up.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:25 | 5408481 Magooo
Magooo's picture

Nothing is broken -- it's just that we are running out of cheap to extract oil:

 

THE PERFECT STORM (see p. 59 onwards)

The economy is a surplus energy equation, not a monetary one, and growth in output (and in the global population) since the Industrial Revolution has resulted from the harnessing of ever-greater quantities of energy. But the critical relationship between energy production and the energy cost of extraction is now deteriorating so rapidly that the economy as we have known it for more than two centuries is beginning to unravel. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/files/2013/01/Perfect-Storm-LR.pdf

 

OIL BECOMING TOO EXPENSIVE TO EXTRACT

It emerged this week that the drilling of wells in the North Sea has crashed by around 50% this year, compared to the year-ago period. The reason for this is simple: the cost of extracting oil in North Sea has quintupled over the last decade, discouraging companies from investing within the region.  http://www.fool.co.uk/investing/2014/07/18/surging-north-sea-project-costs-are-putting-the-regions-future-at-risk-tullow-oil-plc-premier-oil-plc-xcite-energy-limited/

 

Oil and gas company debt soars to danger levels to cover shortfall in cash

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/11024845/Oil-and-gas-company-debt-soars-to-danger-levels-to-cover-shortfall-in-cash.html

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:55 | 5408563 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Oil and gas will very much receive a bailout.  Even if it means killing bankers.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 18:27 | 5408487 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Is it too late for banking reforms?

Austerity will work.

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 20:37 | 5408864 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

After-Fiat epoch (AF).

We will move into their empty banks, and store our Gold there.

Sure beats building your own mansion.

Maybe the guards will still be there...

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 20:03 | 5408763 smacker
smacker's picture

Looks like the -1 freak is doing its thing...

{sigh}

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 20:28 | 5408843 JB
JB's picture

Silver is $16/oz.

 

BUY THE FUCKING DIP, BITCHEZ!

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 21:16 | 5408976 Penniless Spectator
Penniless Spectator's picture

Didit

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 22:58 | 5409304 Tom Green Swedish
Tom Green Swedish's picture

if dollar decouples from interest rate it will completely defy all logic.

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 23:04 | 5409320 Spine01
Spine01's picture

Simultaneous inflation and deflation is called INEQUALITY.

Inequality increases the purchasing power of the rich, so high quality goods and services experience inflation due to higher demand, while it decreases purchasing power of the poor, thus decreasing the price or the quality of the lower priced goods, creating direct or overt deflation respectively.

This behavior can be studied using economies that have a high inequality index, like Argentina and looking a the bimodal distribution of the prices of the same goods. For instance a litter of champagne can cost either 5 dollars (cheap garbage type champagne) or 5000 dollars, for a bottle of high quality champagne.

The novelty for the USA is that this phenomena wasn't observable when our middle class was large and strong, but now... It is there for all to see...

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 00:28 | 5409503 polo007
polo007's picture

According to Sprott Global Resource Investments Limited:

http://sprottglobal.com/thoughts/articles/what-greenspan-latest-talk-means-for-gold/

Friday, October 31, 2014

I traveled last week to the New Orleans Investment Conference, previously known as the ‘Gold Show.’ Jim Blanchard, a man known for promoting the right to own gold during the Nixon era, started the conference in 1974.

Early on, the conference was a gathering place for investors in precious metals. Speakers such as Rick Rule broke out into the investment scene through conferences like this one.

I’ll report later on the many speakers who attended the conference - and try to boil down some of the salient points from the highly valuable conference (attendees took nearly a week away from their regular lives to attend).

For now, I’ll confine myself to the headline speaker of the show – former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan – and what his comments could mean for gold investors.

We did, though, learn a few important things about the Fed.

First off, Greenspan claims he has always remained true to Austrian economics and the principle of sound money. He fell into his role as Fed Chairman purely by accident, he claimed, and what he did there, he did it because he had to.

He explained that the capital needs of the Federal government were so massive that the only way to prevent disaster for the rest of the economy was to keep feeding the beast with cheap money. If the Fed hadn’t created and circulated new money, the Treasury’s insatiable demand for capital would certainly have ‘crowded out’ the rest of the economy, wrecking the entire private credit system.

Political realities, he explained, in the form of entitlement spending and off-balance sheet obligations of the US government, trump the need for sound money every time. It wasn’t his fault – that’s just how the system works. It’s set up to redistribute income from savers, who lose income because of low interest rates, to spenders.

In other words, Greenspan was a man who was forced by circumstance to go against his beliefs. Coming to the show, I had expected to disagree with Greenspan, but what I found was that the Fed Chairman was saying exactly what we have believed all along. Sound, stable currency is incompatible with the welfare state. Greenspan may have slipped away from the path, but he’s a great spokesperson for our message.

The Fed is unlike any other business in the world. It’s the only one that we know of that literally creates ‘something from nothing.’

The Fed wills new currency into existence, which it can then ‘sell’ by charging interest. Every dollar comes into existence as a debt due to the Fed; the more dollars are out there, the more money the Fed makes. The interest it receives is ‘pure profit.’ So it’s no surprise that as the government’s demand for capital has increased, the Fed has ‘accommodated’ that demand. Even if the Fed has to lend the government the money to pay its interest, that new money costs nothing to create, and it adds to the bottom line.

We did get one striking admission out of Greenspan. The Fed is not independent of the government, he said, calling suggestions to the contrary ‘naïve.’

Greenspan didn’t speak much to role of the Fed. He didn’t talk about inflation targets, or comment on how the Fed could help grow the economy, as he would have if it had been a New York Times interview I’m sure.

Hidden in his answers, however, was a big prediction for how the Fed will likely act in the future.

It’s not about juicing the economy or keeping the currency stable, although those are certainly justifications that are used.

The truth is, the Fed is merely adjusting supply to meet demand. That’s what he meant when he said that the Fed had to increase the supply of debt to avoid the private sector being ‘crowded out’ of the market.

Its mission isn’t to keep the currency stable, it’s to help fund the spending of the US government, and to defend the banking system.

This suggests that as long the US government resort to high levels of debt, the Fed isn’t likely to decrease the supply of money.

Greenspan might have an inkling of something he’s not telling.

Here’s what the former Fed Chairman had to say about the direction of gold and interest rates:

“Gold – measurably higher. Interest rates – measurably higher.”

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 11:24 | 5410457 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

There you have it from Professor Bubbles himself... WTF,  Sprott is always searching for reason for gold to go up,  very desperate if they are quoting that quack. They won't ring a central Bankers Bell at the bottom for Gold.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 02:26 | 5409665 hedgiex
hedgiex's picture

It is the unprecedented collapse of price discovery in markets and the disconnect of market prices with real economies.

Yet muppets still not getting it by spewing trillions of words in arguments of correlation and causation.

There is no law that paper prices should reflect physicals now and in the coming days. Only the volatility is welcome by traders and their algos.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 11:17 | 5410434 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

RIGGED response to broken foundation, tipping point to follow.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!