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The Dismal Earnings Outlook In A Chart Even Bob Pisani Can Understand

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Having destroyed any remnants of the "it's earnings that matter" meme, we thought the following chart would clarify just how bad the outlook for Q4 EPS is. As Factset notes, "the decline in the bottom-up EPS estimate recorded during the course of the first month (October) of the fourth quarter was higher than the 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year averages." That is not a 'good' thing..

 

h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer

 

Though one wonders what reality stocks will move on as "Earnings don't matter (anymore)"

Fundamentals or Central Bank liquidity!

 

and haven't done for a long time...

 

Charts: Citi, Factset, @Not_Jim_Cramer

 

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Tue, 11/04/2014 - 18:52 | 5412344 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

It's dotCom 2.0.  When price action is up, who theF needs earnings?  When it crashes then ppl will start to discuss it.  'Till then, matters not.

 

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:04 | 5412378 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

"I'll only get out when Wall Street starts selling tulips." - Cramer

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:12 | 5412399 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

Was just thinking about that.  Tulip bulbs on sale here and will likely grow by spring.  (green shoots, Anyone remember that one?  Green shoots?)

Holy shite.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:15 | 5412407 knukles
knukles's picture

Steve:  Well, whatchu tink, Bob?
Bob:  Uh, I donn unerstann

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 20:18 | 5412582 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Bob & Steve? 

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:17 | 5412412 spinone
spinone's picture

The this cycle is over when there is REVULSION.  Can you imagine people who are revulsed by the idea of buying stock?  People swearing they will never buy stock again, ever for their lifetime?  And will teach their children to never buy stock?  Zerohedge website shuts down for lack of interest.  Thats when you know this is over for good.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 20:00 | 5412544 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

What a beautiful day that will be.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 23:06 | 5413105 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

I'm hoping to see a day when companies will flee from Wall Street, preferring to keep their profits and invest in their companies, instead of enriching shareholders.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:16 | 5412415 ACP
ACP's picture

Soooooooooo, the gist of this article is that we should expect S&P to be 2500 by March?

 

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:07 | 5412381 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

It's also housing 2.0. When price action is up, who theF needs tenants?

It's as if each on its own wasn't enough, so they decided to try both at once.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 23:07 | 5413108 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

What about student loans, subprime housing, subprime autos, and Mazerati?

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:43 | 5412491 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Notice how the MOMOs keep blowing up after earnings? Reminds me of 2000. Today it was Priceline.

 

Slacker Senator Cory Booker goofs around on Twitter while coasting to re-election victory:

http://tinyurl.com/qb2gllp

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 18:52 | 5412345 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

it's so funny how we have the bullard line of demarcation on all the charts now.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:17 | 5412413 Stained Class
Stained Class's picture

Last time got us a giant run in bonds, no money down.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 18:57 | 5412349 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Georgie, Obola Putin pie. 

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fHPBr6-sTQ8

 

I think the girls are gonna cry. 

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 18:59 | 5412368 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

fear not  - Gay Bob will be back out there tomorrow with his pom poms and make-up 

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:02 | 5412375 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

When Bullard was a tot, he asked his 3rd grade teacher "What should I be when I grow up?" and she replied:  "Duh !  Your name begins with 'Bull', doesn't it?  Then, you should join the Federal Reserve, of course!"

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:08 | 5412386 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

If not for a continued lineup of stock buy backs by comany after company at near zero interst rates these earnings would already be in the gutter.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:22 | 5412430 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

Pretty F'd up when stawks are considered safer than bonds and capitulation lines can be traced to a Fed pie hole.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:31 | 5412449 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Thanks for that headline - Bob Pisani has the prayer book of the "Holy Church of the Sepulchre of Debt" memorized:

  1. "Lower gas prices means increased consumer spending."
  2. "Stock buybacks are good for the economy."
  3. "The FED does not prop the markets."
  4. "Lower rates are good for savers."
  5. "QE boosts employment."

I know there are more, that's just the short list.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 20:20 | 5412586 Pareto
Pareto's picture

Bob Pisani can go piss up a rope - he's dead wrong and Herbalife demonstrated just how wrong he is.  Stock buybacks based on debt only work if there is growth.  And no economy means no growth - all else equal.  As ZH pointed out here http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-03/devastation-follows-when-stock-..., yesterday, it works well until it doesn't or, until earnings do not support the asinine decision of buying back equity with debt.  Chapter 11 is closer to Herbalife than longevity.  the irony.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:45 | 5412497 BouncyTheWonderbunni
BouncyTheWonderbunni's picture

Fucking awesome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! God I love this country!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

Did you guys watch that C*** abuse Peter Shiff last week?

 

I love the part when she actually said who cares if it's all fake buy stawcks! and she was dead serious

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 19:49 | 5412508 besnook
besnook's picture

who cares why it tracks that way now. the quants have it correlating someplace else so that is the way it is. if you look at the chart from the point of diversion it is bullish!

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 20:00 | 5412537 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Equities follow buybacks instead of earnings.

The more a company borrows to buyback its stock.

The more it is rewarded by the banksters.

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 21:18 | 5412782 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

If BAD is the new GOOD then from what i see here we're over-achieving! I dare anyone to fault my logic. s/

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