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"It's Different This Time" Japanese Stock Market Swing Is Fastest Ever

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In the space of the last 3 weeks, Japanese stocks have swung from the most overbought in 18 months to the most oversold in 3 years to the most overbought in 18 months again. This is the fastest and most violent swing in TOPIX on record as ever-more-desperate hot money chases central bank actions around the world. As Bloomberg reports, “Japan is a very unnerving market because it behaves like an uneducated brat,” said Mikio Kumada, Hong Kong-based global strategist at LGT Capital Partners, which manages about $50 billion. Following the double-whammy of GPIF allocations and BoJ expansion, he warns "you don’t know what it’s going to do in the next moment and in many ways it’s unpredictable."

 

The fastest swing on record in Japanese stocks...

 

Beware though:

“The main trades are coming from the short-term investors,” said Nomura Holdings Inc. senior strategist Hisao Matsuura.

 

“Volume is high because the short-term investors are trading on momentum.”

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Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:11 | 5424084 venturen
venturen's picture

print it and they will come!

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:19 | 5424111 jefferson32
jefferson32's picture

Shit is hitting the fan on November 18, 2014. It is already well ordained. Here is a 11-day advance heads up. Oh, and November 18 is "occult day".

 

 

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:45 | 5424210 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Can you say "Manic Depressive" in Japanese?

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 14:30 | 5424390 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

The funny thing is while everyone is wetting themselves ovrr the booming japanese stocks the japan etf are flat

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 14:57 | 5424547 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Print faster and more until she blows.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 22:24 | 5426215 motor_angel
motor_angel's picture

my roomate's step-mother makes $75 hourly on the internet . She has been without a job for 5 months but last month her paycheck was $20377 just working on the internet for a few hours. Get More Info... www.Yelptrade.com

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:13 | 5424089 maskone909
maskone909's picture

investors dont trade on momentum.  traders do. so basically their entire market is made up of people who dont give a shit if it goes up or down.  not a good place to put your life savings ms watanabe

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 14:31 | 5424375 JuliaS
JuliaS's picture

In physical terms a market is like a bucket. Fresh supply of blood and sweat is added in little increments, and a bunch of vultures are standing ready to collect spillovers when the bucket is shaken.

Nikkei's a day-trader's paradise. In "bucket" terms, it's an equivalent of Michael J Fox having a coffee. If one's knows how to augment currency risks out of the equation. There's enough currency crunch going on that disasters (that are frequent) typically cause short term spikes and good exit positions...

... all is good until the bucket falls flat on its side. Then all bets are off.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:15 | 5424097 darteaus
darteaus's picture

In my experience, volitility preceeds a crash.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:26 | 5424132 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

funny, in my experience ... a few shots of tequila precedes a crash ...

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:33 | 5424156 Its Only Rock N Roll
Its Only Rock N Roll's picture

phase transition

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 15:21 | 5424658 DavidC
DavidC's picture

precede, not preceed.

DavidC

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:19 | 5424108 jefferson32
jefferson32's picture

double post (sorry)

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:18 | 5424109 Racer
Racer's picture

Pension funds are 'invested' in THAT?  I would be seriously worried if mine was!

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:22 | 5424122 Glass Seagull
Glass Seagull's picture

 

 

Volume is high because BOJ is buying.  Nomura still trying to make us believe in the retail story.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:33 | 5424154 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

I think the BoJ is the day trader.  If that hypeeinfaltes destroying the quadrillions of debt associated with that currency that will blow a hole in demand.

A HUGE hole I might add.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:22 | 5424125 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

and when it goes down AGAIN ... will Kuroda be able to muster a 5 -4 vote AGAIN?

 

 

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 13:30 | 5424146 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Stock markets have become video games

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 14:07 | 5424296 Irishcyclist
Irishcyclist's picture

The drowning person bobs and ebbs - fluctuates - as they try to stay afloat way before sinking. They thrash more and more wildly as they realise their inevitable fate.

Ultimately they are doomed.

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 14:55 | 5424535 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Japan is a zombie financial system now.

Like a car moving with parts falling off. The BOJ say push the accelerator down and go faster until either the wheels fall off or it goes off the cliff. 

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