This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Shifting Sands

Tim Knight from Slope of Hope's picture




 

Just as "orange is the new black", I think that "oil producers are the new gold miners." It doesn't sound quite as good, but here's my point:

I've written before about the failing shelves of support with various commodities. Silver led the way in mid-September......

1110-slv

Followed by gold a couple of weeks later.........

1110-gld

My premise is that oil is next in line. It sneaked an iota beneath its support recently, but my view is that there's a big swoosh forthcoming:

1110-uso

Thus, my zeal for shorts in the energy sector is stronger than ever. I show XOP below, but merely as a representative of the sector. I'm actually not that keen on XOP itself as a short (or XLE or ERX, for that matter). I am inclined toward individual energy-related shorts, because I think they're going to suffer the same gruesome fate as precious metals miners have. I view GDX as a sneak preview of what's coming up for energy companies.

1110-xop

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 11/10/2014 - 21:27 | 5434817 pachanguero
pachanguero's picture

the fundimetals can be good and it still can trade to 35 WTC

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 20:09 | 5434568 luna_man
luna_man's picture

 

 

When it comes to "shorting"...Any stock will do!

 

just place your "short" and wait

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 18:12 | 5434049 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

You could be right, but only one thing is certain, if you have physical oil at your disposal, you can actually get shit done.

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 21:17 | 5434794 Calling Elvis
Calling Elvis's picture

Good answer, right in my wheelhouse

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 16:54 | 5433772 brainlpb
brainlpb's picture

Where's support on XOP? Can someone zoom in more on that chart PLEASE! :-)

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 16:20 | 5433637 DeficitAlchemist
DeficitAlchemist's picture

Very late to the call:

 

Here is the clip calling Brent to $78 when still $105, Silver to $13 when $21.50 and Gold to $1019 when $1369, reactional response as we just have a last 10% left to the move.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WII14_XWUws

 

Done in first week of AUgust at Equity highs.

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 15:30 | 5433331 CapitalistRock
CapitalistRock's picture

You got all that from the charts?  I'm hearing a lot of this kind of talk lately and it's telling me that we may be at a bottom on the commodities, espeically gold and silver.

 

Mon, 11/10/2014 - 19:50 | 5434478 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

I'll take the other side...,

I'm starting to build my positions in them that have the largest proven reserves. Then I'll ride out the storm...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!