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With Bond Traders Away... VIX-Buyers Will Play

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As one would expect with half the market away, US equity volumes were terrible (but fiunnily enough not much worse than yesterday) with most major indices trading in a very tight range around unchanged. Overnight strength in stocks on the back of USDJPY's momo ignition after Reuters headlines on Japan tax delays. Trannies, however, surged out of the gate, stalled into the European close, tumbled on oil weakness, then rallied back in the last hour - amid now news. Treasury futures were very quiet and went nowhere. The real story of the day was in the FX markets, which saw notable USD weakness led by EUR and AUD strength, and a late day rally in JPY (USDJPY tagged 116.00 stops then faded... that's 8 handles in 9 days). The USD weakness - which started around the European close - sparked a rally in copper, gold, and silver (and gold miners surged). Oil prices tested cycle lows before also bouncing back in a v-shaped recovery to close higher. Despite early intraday record highs in Dow and S&P futures, they ended practically unchanged as VIX was notably divergent. Late-day panic-buying lifted the Dow (+0.007%), S&P, and Russell 2000 green.

 

Spot the US "holiday" in trading volume.. (Spoiler Alert, you can't! Yesterday's volume was just as shitty as today's)

 

Notable decoupling between stocks and VIX today...(that started late yesterday)

 

Today's cash market trading was very narrow ranged - except for Trannies...

 

Homebuilders were the big winners, because why not...

 

But notice the price action since Payrolls... with the huge relative spike in NKY from the overnight Reuters headlines...

 

Does the strength in financial stocks look sustainable? Because the credit market's opinion of US financials remains less than exuberant (of course, yet another round of fines for FX rigging this time are due tomorrow)

 

The USD weakened notably, giving up all of yesterday's gains back to unch on the week...

 

USDJPY tagged 116.00 stops then faded... (that's 8 handles in 9 days) and NKY is still decoupled though beta was high today

 

The USD weakness today prompted commodity buying pressure (but we note oil prices initially dropped on the move before catching up)... this is commodity performance post-Payrolls...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: BABA had its worst day since IPO...

 

 

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Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:07 | 5437859 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

how patriotic

 

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:10 | 5437863 ZoroAustrian
ZoroAustrian's picture

The perpetual (torture) motion machine rolls on

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:09 | 5437871 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Another day, another new all time closing high.  Now its time to ramp them in the post market and set the tone for tomorrows new new all time high.

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:16 | 5437877 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

closing the DJIA green to honor all the idiots and/or involuntary conscripts who have risked their lives for no good reason since 1812...'Merika, fuck yeah!

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:12 | 5437879 Rainman
Rainman's picture

I don't hope for much but when I do I hope every single BABA investor gets rightly farked in the arse !

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 18:42 | 5438202 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

Even the ones that shorted the stock? Ouch...

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:17 | 5437892 The_Dead_Bear
The_Dead_Bear's picture

When will be the next time that we don't get a new all-time high ?

Tomorrow ? In 5 days ? Next year ?
Never ?
We cannot anymore experience a day which would not be a new all time high ???

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:21 | 5437904 jim249
jim249's picture

I think the American people should show their appreciation to the Fed for all they have done to make sure the rich get richer and the rest of us get the shaft by boycotting the Christmas selling season. They might just need a wake up call.

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 17:39 | 5437962 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

It's the HOLIDAY selling season... get with the program, Christ has been boycotted for decades

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