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Japanese Trade Deficit Streak Hits Record 44 Months, Yen & Stocks Decoupling

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While hopes of the J-Curve recovery in the deficit are long forgotten in the annals of Goldman Sachs history, silver-lining-seekers will proclaim the very modest beat in tonight's Japanese trade deficit a moral victory for a nation whose economic data has been nothing but abysmal for months. However, the near $1 trillion Yen deficit is the 44th month in a row as exports to US and Europe rose modestly in Yen terms but dropped to China and US in volume terms. USDJPY continues its march higher (now 118.25) but, unfoirtunately for Abe's approval ratings, Japanese stocks continue to languish an implied 1000 points behind - unable to break back above pre-GDP levels... as faith in Kuroda's omnipotence falters.

44th month in a row...

 

And the currency and stocks are rapidly diverging...

 

Charts: bloomberg

 

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Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:21 | 5467693 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Welcome to Japan's looming Depression.

Currency debasement, purchasing power debasement, complete loss of faith in BOJ & elected officials, massive Yen printing & government debt monetization, the highest debt on a GDP basis (nearly 260% now) of any developed economy, and insane people (i.e. Paul Krugman) advising Kuroda.

Good luck, Japan.

Krugmanomics FTMFL.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:21 | 5467706 suteibu
suteibu's picture

You mean ongoing as in 2+ decades.  They've been very good at covering it up until now.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 04:03 | 5468757 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

118.6 to $

sweet

 

 

 

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:26 | 5467722 kowalli
kowalli's picture

You can change Japan for USA and it is still true

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:51 | 5467796 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

Friedman advocated increasing the monetary base (debasement) not Krugman.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 21:00 | 5467826 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

What in the fuck are you talking about? How many articles do you want me to link you to where Krugman supports abenomics?

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 21:13 | 5467865 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Don't mind him. He was trained to be a village idiot and was a natural

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 22:02 | 5467937 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Krugman has been advising Prime Minister Abe & Kuroda all along:

"Paul Krugman last week met with Abe..." November 12th

http://washpost.bloomberg.com/Story?docId=1376-NEVBB36JTSEO01-66Q4QOP3H8...

Abenomics IS Krugmanomics.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 22:56 | 5468164 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

It's really simple- the world is in a sea of debt and broke.

There is only one thing to force all governments to do - deleverage (aka default and cancel)

People should be taught not to lend the government money to begin with.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 23:20 | 5468257 stewie
stewie's picture

Governments shouldn't be allowed to borrow money.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:29 | 5467700 suteibu
suteibu's picture

A lot of stories about Japan today.  The Diet is out on Friday.  Now Abe is catching hell for the cost of the snap election, Y60 billion, as a waste of money.  Maybe people are figuring out that the solution is to have no government.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:29 | 5467732 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

Maybe people are figuring out that the solution is to have no government.

Hows that working out in Somalia?

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:48 | 5467791 suteibu
suteibu's picture

Not necessarily advocating, just pointing out the irony of wanting to get rid of the current government and not wanting to pay for the election of a new government.  That said, given the slate of people who are likely to step into power, it seems understandable.

As for your trite reply, Somalia is not Japan.  Local government in Japan would do just fine without central planning.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 21:17 | 5467875 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Why do you village idiots keep parroting that lie? Somalia is a parliamentary republic and has a president and prime minister. Their government us dysfunctional. I doubt the Japanese would start pulling out guns and killing each other if the government collapsed

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 01:18 | 5468547 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Don't bother trying to talk sense into a nanny state deadbeat

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 04:07 | 5468758 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

politicians and political parties collapse in japan; but the 'government' won't.  there will always be an eledted shogun figure head

 

 

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 21:18 | 5467885 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Why do you village idiots keep parroting that lie? Somalia is a parliamentary republic and has a president and prime minister. Their government is dysfunctional as is their entire society. II doubt the Japanese would start pulling out guns and killing each other if the government collapsed

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 20:37 | 5467753 ClassicCommodity
ClassicCommodity's picture

I'm still surprised this has been going on for so long. Truly amazing.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 22:23 | 5468049 Bindar Dundat
Bindar Dundat's picture

If they can do it for twenty years we should be able to hold on for another fifty years at least

This will disapoint the doomsayers but it is the UGLY truth.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 21:13 | 5467867 QQQBall
QQQBall's picture

So much for the export miracle.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 22:05 | 5467984 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Geez this is like watching what will happen to us beforehand. Sort of like being on death row and watching the executions take place ahead of you.

More popcorn please.

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 23:22 | 5468261 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

Abe doesn't understand cheap yen doesn't always improve their exports & economies. There are somethings called Korea, demographic, fukushima, energy imports, nationalism, .....

 

Wed, 11/19/2014 - 23:51 | 5468349 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

'Tis but a scratch.

A scratch? Your arm's off!

What's Japanese for: "I've had worse."

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