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Retail Rapture: UK Grocery Sales Drop 1st Time In 20 Years, Dollar General To Shut 4000 Stores

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For the first time since it began collecting data in 1994, Kantar Worldpanel, the market researcher, reported a decline in UK grocery sales by value, as The FT reports the biggest UK grocers were "losing market share hand over fist," as analysts warn "there are phoney price wars, and there are real price wars. This is a real price war." This comes on the heels of Goldman report claiming 20% of British grocers are surplus to requirements. But it's not just Britain... in the the cleanest dirty shirt world-economic-growth supporting decoupled economy of the USA, Reuters reports Dollar General may need to divest more than 4,000 stores to win approval from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission for its acquisition of Family Dollar.

 

As The FT reports, Britain’s supermarkets have suffered their first fall in sales in at least 20 years as lower food prices and a vicious price war cut the amount customers spend on groceries.

For the first time since it began collecting data in 1994, Kantar Worldpanel, the market researcher, reported a decline in UK grocery sales by value.
“There are phoney price wars, and there are real price wars. This is a real price war,” said Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar Worldpanel.

 

...

 

Britain’s big chains have pledged to spend billions of pounds cutting prices in an effort to stem the growth of German discounters Aldi and Lidl.

 

...

 

On Monday, research from Goldman Sachs said 20 per cent of UK supermarket space was surplus to requirements following the rise of discounters including Aldi and Lidl, the demise of the weekly shop and the increase in online grocery shopping.

But it's not just Britain that faces retail pressure... (as Reuters reports)

Dollar General may need to divest more than 4,000 stores to win approval from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission for its acquisition of Family Dollar Stores, the New York Post reported, citing two sources close to the situation.

 

Dollar General has agreed to sell up to 1,500 stores as part of its $9.1 billion offer. It approached Family Dollar shareholders with its offer directly in September after twice being spurned by its smaller rival.

 

The New York Post reported on Wednesday that Dollar General could be forced either to raise its bid again or to divest more than double the number of stores previously pledged.

Synergies?

*  *  *

But apart from that...escape velocity here we come.

 

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Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:10 | 5469075 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Home Depot is next

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:11 | 5469081 Latina Lover
Latina Lover's picture

Who except the brits would willingly eat their shitty tasting food? Can you blame them if they are eating less of the procressed crap that is called food in England?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:14 | 5469087 Killtruck
Killtruck's picture

Could someone explain to me why a private company needs to sell/close a portion of its business to win the approval of a governmental agency?

I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:19 | 5469100 Oquities
Oquities's picture

BOYCOTT MEXICAN GROCERS - PUT A BEANER OUT OF WORK!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:34 | 5469156 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's not so much a matter of how much the food costs, but the fact you won't be able to find any.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:13 | 5469334 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

"Food" is a misnomer when referring to British food. The Brits themselves even voted their tastiest national food to be Indian.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:41 | 5469486 free_as_in_beer
free_as_in_beer's picture

what ass hat decided to put these two stories together and try and make something out of it? 

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 12:04 | 5469870 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Wouldn't it be nice, if the headlines had some logical and honest connection to the stories?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:10 | 5469619 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Give me GMO or give me death....

Or was that give GMO and give me death?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:13 | 5469342 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

I go into Walmart and they are selling quality blue jeans for $12 / pair.

The last time I saw them at that price was in 1996.

We are going into a depression. 

There are Depressions, Great Depressions, then! there is a Obama Depression.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:27 | 5469723 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

That does it...I'm opening up the 1st "Nigger Nickel" store....

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:26 | 5469102 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Could someone explain to me why a private company needs to sell/close a portion of its business to win the approval of a governmental agency?

 

Cause the only entity that can afford a $35 steak is the government?

 

Then they'll give it free for someone that refuses to work.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:27 | 5469123 OW My Balls
OW My Balls's picture

I hear the government mule 'pre-tenderized' steaks are on sale.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:17 | 5469360 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

That is the big dirty secret to hiding cpi -

Prices on 'meat' haven't gone up. 

When the people cannot afford steak they eat hamburger.

When the people cannot afford hamburger they eat chicken

When the people cannot afford chicken they eat beans

See! Everybody is still eating 'meat' and the cost hasn't risen!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:58 | 5469574 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

The cost of chicken really hasn't risen much...  still holding strong at ~$2/lb locally.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 12:47 | 5470014 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Wow, that brings up some memorable Orly/akak debates.

That is the price for factory farmed, arsenic laced, superbug laden " chicken" consume at your own risk.

Miffed;-)

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:12 | 5469636 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

We have been into the pink stuff for a long time now.  

We went beyond the meat moniker a long time ago.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:42 | 5469178 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

It must pass the vote of the Board of the Fascist Corporations.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:20 | 5469370 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Gotta protect the larger retailers that contribute more to the political coffers...

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:15 | 5469652 rejected
rejected's picture

I'm guessing,,, Repeat, I'm guessing that they're trying to prevent the buyer from just shutting down all of the victim stores as soon as the purchase goes through.

There used to be Zero's that could answer that far better but many of them are gone. Hedge has changed quite a lot in the past couple of years.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:43 | 5469790 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

This is criminal.  Government needs to approve for "anti-trust"reasons.  Basically, laws created 100 years ago to prevent big business from monopolizing certain industries.  The concern is that two, or several, dollars stores merge and it is "unfair" to consumers.

Well, how about Amazon.com?  Wal Mart? LOL  Last I checked the government is not looking to split them up.

Government is the problem, everywhere, period.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 14:40 | 5470495 aempirei
aempirei's picture

Could someone explain to me why a private company needs to sell/close a portion of its business to win the approval of a governmental agency?

 

It's rather simple - Dollar General isn't private, they are publicly traded. Lay off the crazy pills. 

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:20 | 5469103 DavidC
DavidC's picture

The UK isn't a country of WalMarts or Oreo cookies (yuk) or Twinkies (yuk squared) yet.

DavidC

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:22 | 5469105 philipat
philipat's picture

You mean like McDonal;d's? ANNN STuuuf?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:19 | 5469371 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

You do know it's impossible to get food poisoning from a McDonalds?

:)

Yes it's true because they don't make or sell food!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:35 | 5469158 Drummond
Drummond's picture

Steady fella!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:21 | 5469381 Eirik Magnus Larssen
Eirik Magnus Larssen's picture

Heh. This is very true, actually. The last time we were in England was when we went to Ramsgate for a week. The only good meal we had in that entire period was at an Italian restaurant.

Britain isn't noted for its culinary delights.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 13:07 | 5470100 KanKhaderKhanKan
KanKhaderKhanKan's picture

Not that I wish to get in a pissing contest but on the whole British food standards are slightly higher then American ones and Britain. Btw could any American tell me what portion of what they call 'candy' has actual cocoa in it?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:17 | 5469096 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

short beans and franks

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:24 | 5469112 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Central bankers decided to save the 1% and wipe out everyone else. How would any of these chains survive that?

 

CNNer's bizarre Cosby penis chomp interview seems to make Rush blush:

http://tinyurl.com/mgecrm9

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:35 | 5469159 zerozulu
zerozulu's picture

Time for penny-store

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:36 | 5469162 zerozulu
zerozulu's picture

Wait-a-minute, JC-penny is closing too.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 12:02 | 5469861 GrowerJohn
GrowerJohn's picture

The retail hits keep on coming!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:18 | 5469367 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

What are you trying to say?  Home Depot exports of Sawdust will decline when Dollar Giant closes?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:22 | 5469391 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

It's taken 10 years, but Home Depot has finally generated the same number of dollars in profit that it had in 2005.  

A long time coming, dontcha think?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:56 | 5469838 GrowerJohn
GrowerJohn's picture

A lot of people hope you're right.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:14 | 5469076 Latina Lover
Latina Lover's picture

Winston  Churchill, when asked why the british cuisine was so bad, replied  that our soldiers can fight anywhere in the world and live off the local cuisine.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:10 | 5469078 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

All this news lately , is oh so DEPRESSING. 

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:53 | 5469106 duo
duo's picture

Since 75% of grocery sales in the US are EBT, it can't happen to us, right?

Edit: Correction. WMT's grocery sales.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:51 | 5469535 Wahine
Wahine's picture

Food stamp cuts are hurting profits.  3 Winn Dixies closed in my city

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:25 | 5469108 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

is oh so DEPRESSING. 

 

Just don't forget our motto.....YES WE CAN!

 

Fess up.....you feel a little better now......don't you?

 

In an emergency.....break the glass.....and just hit the blame Bush button.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:12 | 5469084 stant
stant's picture

Bloody hell . Bitchez

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:16 | 5469092 homiegot
homiegot's picture

This is the harbinger of collapse.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:16 | 5469093 Seahorse
Seahorse's picture

Long dollar stores and pound shops..

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:29 | 5469132 OW My Balls
OW My Balls's picture

So if Dollar General & Family Dollar are coming together, does that mean the prices just went up to $1.98?

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:31 | 5469139 wedderburn
wedderburn's picture

"divest" does not mean "shut"

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:33 | 5469151 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Suppliers are reducing output, as I predicted

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:40 | 5469173 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The two Dollar stores are merging in order to eliminate competition between them. The 1500 stores being closed are likely ones in proximity (duplicates). Even if they 'divest' 2500 more stores on paper, those stores are either going to be shuttered or turned into yoga studios. They won't become 99 cent stores run by someone else.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:44 | 5469184 richiebaby
richiebaby's picture

Most older Dollar General and Family Dollar stores are cheap metal buildings built on cheap land for $250k. Even their new format brick/cinder block facade with a metal building are cheap. DG was already planning on shutting down a few thousand stores when the leases ran out and moving to a better location nearby or moving on. Chances are Family Dollar already has the better location

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:45 | 5469187 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

Big Box stores and malls will largely disappear by 2020; they will be converted to refugee camps under DHS

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:32 | 5469439 SilvertonguedAngel
SilvertonguedAngel's picture

Going out to shop is becoming akin to sightseeing in Ferguson.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 09:49 | 5469201 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

Aldi and Lidl are awesome.

As for the major chains, fuck them and their rip off overpriced shit.  Glad ta see ya go, muthafukkas.

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:04 | 5469276 Youri Carma
Thu, 11/20/2014 - 10:08 | 5469306 limacon
limacon's picture

The real business is elsewhere .

You are about 3 times richer than you think .

 

See

 

https://www.academia.edu/9405720/The_Economics_of_Disrespect_Update_I

 

or

 

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2014/11/the-economics-of-disrespect-update...

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 11:38 | 5469769 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

"Britain’s supermarkets have suffered their first fall in sales in at least 20 years as lower food prices and a vicious price war cut the amount customers spend on groceries."

 

This is it, right here.  This will ultimately be the downfall of easy currency and low interest rates.  In the beginning, it is fantastic and you have seen cyclical business like housing (even though still well below peak levels), autos, durable goods, etc. do well.  And, the stock markets of course benefit.  Not that things have been great economically, but better than they would have been otherwise.  The problem is on the other end of this.  Easy currency, low rates, propping up businesses, buybacks, dividends.  All of these create additional competition and ultimately "vicious price wars".  Additional restaurants, rental housing, retail stores, etc. etc.  This is what will bring profit margins down dramatically and bring Keynesian economics to it's knees.

Here is the kicker.  More easy money will then only add fire to the flames.  Sound money, letting businesses fail, normalized rates, etc. will be required to regain pricing for the businesses that come out the other side.

 

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 14:50 | 5470534 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

I kneel at your alter, oh wise one.  SPOT ON!

Thu, 11/20/2014 - 12:17 | 5469908 10mm
10mm's picture

Dollar Tree is the only true Dolla store.

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