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Something Is Wrong With This Chart

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Israel's leader Benjamin Netanyahu said this morning "we will rectify this absurdity." We suspect he was talking about this chart!!

November saw the largest MoM rise in US New Home prices ever... ever! to an all-time record high $305,000.

Presenting: the Average New Home Price, try not to laugh:

Zoomed in:

and zoomed out:

 

And even Median is absurd...

Chart: Bloomberg

Does US Macro data have any credibility left at all after this?

*  *  *

Some context for this insanity, thanks to Logan

 

 

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Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:15 | 5491008 coulous
coulous's picture

Inflation begins   buy the FATH

Has Fed begun to buy directly ....

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:18 | 5491014 cro_maat
cro_maat's picture

Deflation continues.

Housing bubble gets further blown.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:22 | 5491043 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

This is not rigged and clearly sustainable. 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:28 | 5491058 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Fucking hilarious!

NOW GO OUT AND SPEND, SPEND, SPEND SHEEPLE CAUSE YOUR HOUSE IS WORTH EVEN MOARRRRRRRRRRR!!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:29 | 5491072 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Still waiting for George Bush to send me another $320 check. 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:00 | 5491210 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

With all the hot Chinese money flowing into the high-end market I can see why the Average price is $401,000, but the Median is at $305,000???!!!

 

I call shenanigans

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:03 | 5491225 espirit
espirit's picture

Chart porn before Turkey porn.

Yaaaa...

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:15 | 5491274 Richard Chesler
Richard Chesler's picture

Does US Macro data have any credibility left?

As much as Obongo's birth's certificate.


Wed, 11/26/2014 - 14:14 | 5491558 max2205
max2205's picture

Housing the new momo?

 

It's not just for breakfast anymore

 

Please fund my exit to Costa Rica! 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 18:50 | 5492355 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

Fed aint buying - not realestate directly, anyway - this is another case of rubbery figures

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:01 | 5491220 runswithscissors
runswithscissors's picture

"I screwed you all...but thank you for blaming it on the black guy " ~George Bush

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:15 | 5491276 rlouis
rlouis's picture

Bill Clinton? The first black president, the one who signed the repeal of Glass Stegal, and signed NAFTA, that black guy? The one who's wife the democrats want for the nation's first gay president?

And that's saying nada for scull and bones frat boy George.

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:58 | 5491485 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

Wilson? The first progressive president, the one who signed the Federal Reserve Act and the 16th Amendment that began the confiscatory Federal Income Tax in 1913; that progressive president?

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 17:32 | 5492195 TheGreatRecovery
TheGreatRecovery's picture

Not disagreeing with you, but my understanding is that Teddy Roosevelt, after making the unfortunate promise not to run for a second elected term, and after making good that promise by supporting William Howard Taft as the Republican Party candidate in 1908, became unhappy with Taft, especially on environmental matters.  Roosevelt ran against Taft in the Republican Party primary in 1912, but the Republican National Convention chose Taft.  Another unhappy Republican was forming the Progressive Party, and Roosevelt got its nomination, So Roosevelt (Progressive Party) ran against Taft (Republican Party) and Woodrow Wilson (Democratic Party)  in 1912.  Wilson got 42% of the vote, Roosevelt 25%, and Taft 23%.  Wilson became President. 

Wilson was the Democrat, and Teddy Roosevelt was the Progressive.

I don't think the 1912 platform of the Progressive Party included the creation of a Federal Reserve Board.

The reason I blather on about this is that I see a similarity today between the MSM's use of the word "progressive" and the MSM"s use of the word "Tea Party".  It seems to me that the MSM uses both words to mean pretty much what suits the MSM, and what suits the MSM is to attack anyone who is not Democratic Party or Republican Party.  That's important to me because, to me, "Tea Party" means Dr. Ron Paul, and I think Dr. Ron Paul is important.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:20 | 5491301 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

You must be the slow one in the family everyone mumbles about.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:43 | 5491420 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

SEE! Your house is worth a fotune!  your RICH!  Again!....now go Spend Spend Spend....PLEASE...for the children....and my bonus

 

Execs all over the country

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:17 | 5491020 Neverstopprintingme
Neverstopprintingme's picture

that is not inflation...that is levered up asset bubble.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:58 | 5491205 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Average household income = $50K

Average home price = $400K

 

Is there a disconnect somewhere?

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:48 | 5491443 kowalli
kowalli's picture

nope, you should take another credit

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 14:19 | 5491571 max2205
max2205's picture

Sorry, you need to use the avg income

Of those that can buy a house

 

~$120k

 

Makes perfect sense now.  Undervalued

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 17:30 | 5492200 TheGreatRecovery
TheGreatRecovery's picture

So is someone buying houses for $400k and renting them to the families that only make $50k a year?  Those families, of course, can't possibly pay $4k a month rent.  So what are County Property Appraisers putting on their worksheets for "rentable value", which I heard was one of the three ways they are "supposed to" check the value of houses?

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:50 | 5491447 kowalli
kowalli's picture

-

Thu, 11/27/2014 - 09:23 | 5493677 thestarl
thestarl's picture

40 yr mortgages

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:29 | 5491064 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

FED is an indirect purchaser using our money.

FED gives free money to Banks > Banks make bad loans raking in fees and +4% more than you can get on your savings > Treasury sells unpayable treasury debt to Chinese > we buy plastic crap from China where all our jobs went > Chinese oligarchs buy U.S. Real Estate.

Unpayable debt rentier society debt serfdom plantation police state ponzi house of cards masquerading as a free society.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:55 | 5491188 yrad
yrad's picture

That last chart looks like a MetLife Sperm Whale. Plug?

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:16 | 5491011 cro_maat
cro_maat's picture

China's collateral getting a revaluation.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:18 | 5491015 youngman
youngman's picture

those Chinese sure know how to buy a home....

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:18 | 5491028 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Housing bubble 2.0, Tech Bubble 2.0.

American exceptionalism at work!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:20 | 5491032 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

cough ... chinese ... cough

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:54 | 5491186 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Chinese are only buying in SF and NYC areas. No way they can push home prices up that much. Absolutely fraudulent numbers. The average household income would have to be $150K for the average home price to be $400K. 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:20 | 5491033 coulous
coulous's picture

looks like zimbabween dollar price or 1919 reichmarks ...

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:32 | 5491357 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Reichsmark inflation didn'T get out of control until 1923.

 

Just FYI 

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:23 | 5491048 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Figures lie and liars figure...

same as it ever was...

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:25 | 5491049 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

so higher prices explains why new home sales are down, because they are less affordable.   So that's how economics works!

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:26 | 5491052 10mm
10mm's picture

Over priced shit.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:25 | 5491057 The Fonz...befo...
The Fonz...before shark jump's picture

only with the assumption that every illegal that Obama lets into the country buys a house immediatley could these numbers be true....

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:54 | 5491190 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Along with the assumption that the illegals are making $150K per year

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:06 | 5491240 espirit
espirit's picture

This is an Arabic Chart thingy.

You turn it upside down, and read from right to left.

Win, win.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:30 | 5491080 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

Wtf

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:32 | 5491083 Glass Seagull
Glass Seagull's picture

 

 

Maybe the foreclosure/short-sale transactions have been kept from skewing the avg price lower with 1031 exchanges where banks simply swap gently-used ipads for homes?

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:34 | 5491088 Jonathan Equine...
Jonathan Equine Phallus's picture

There's a lot of Chinese and mega bank money behind these prices!  I wonder how much of this is P+S for tax reasons...  worth looking into, maybe.  That's quite a spike, even in this Through the Looking Glass era of metrics.


Bibi was probably talking about there still being a few indigenous types living in East Jerusalem.   

http://www.al-bushra.org/jerusalem1/jerhist.htm

 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:34 | 5491094 wagthetails
wagthetails's picture

Because the only people buying homes are the top 10%, and so, higher than average...botton 90% are more and more renters. 

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:45 | 5491137 RagnarDanneskjold
RagnarDanneskjold's picture

Bingo. If the data is real, most of the market went bye-bye in November.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 14:15 | 5491561 redd_green
redd_green's picture

Foreign billionaires.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 16:17 | 5491962 zipit
zipit's picture

Sales volume figures, please.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:40 | 5491121 venturen
venturen's picture

So that is what happens when you print $10 Trillion more!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:45 | 5491136 walküre
walküre's picture

This chart and the GDP bullshit coupled with the spending that went into the economy may deliver the narrative for the Feds to start raising rates.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:50 | 5491168 omi
omi's picture

Permabears - always butt hurt.

 

I repeat. 

Permabears - always butt hurt!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 12:57 | 5491201 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Suckers - always born.

 

I repeat. 

Suckers - always born!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:14 | 5491265 darteaus
darteaus's picture

Barry sold the White House in China, and that spiked the average.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 13:21 | 5491307 rlouis
rlouis's picture

Local resale homes languishing, one pulled from market, another recently took a 3% price reduction.  The one that reduced price was only 92% of the 2006 high before, now 89%.  But seasonal adjustmnents will make it OK.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 14:14 | 5491557 redd_green
redd_green's picture

Foreign money literally pouring into US real estate.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 15:32 | 5491836 OpenThePodBayDoorHAL
OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

People are so lame. When I hear "London house sells for $150 million", I think "that means the money's not worth shit, asshole, it's confetti". I mean how obvious can you get. Various assets filling the role of proto-currencies, land, stocks, houses, all because "the money is no damn good" (and the rent is too damn high)

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 15:30 | 5491827 robnume
robnume's picture

Something is wrong, alright, and it's always Netanyoohoo and the feral Knesset. Oh, I left out Likud! How stupid of me. And now Egypt is going to "protect" Israel from those ever pesky Palestinians? Al-Sisi: Get the Fuck Off of My Planet! And take Netanyoohoo and all the crazy orthodox Israelis with you, please!

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 17:29 | 5492201 blindman
blindman's picture

flash blast, smash crash, data bris
clean up and flesh mash, mish mosh.

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 22:00 | 5492910 theyjustcantstop
theyjustcantstop's picture

the chinese will buy these $400,000.00 dollar houses in these nice neighborhoods, all up, and down the coast, section 8 them, those newly amnestied are famous for 6-8 families in one house.

the chinese asked, i can buy a house, and american tax-payers will pay for it, get me more listings.

i'm sure the good people of san fransico would love to see their neighborhoods look like more of a microcosm of america.

 

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