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Visualizing The 8-Year Evolution Of The-Last-Second-Of-Trading Panic

Tyler Durden's picture




 

By now, every trader who watches markets every day is acutely aware of the increasing concentration of massive amounts of volume in the last second of the trading day. Here is 8 years of the last few seconds of the trading day and how 'efficiently' it has evolved...

 

 

h/t @NanexLLC

 

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Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:15 | 5510480 fibonacci's claus
fibonacci's claus's picture

i call shananigans

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:18 | 5510484 observer007
observer007's picture

plunge protection team

See

PLUNGE PROTECTION

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:23 | 5510508 wee-weed up
wee-weed up's picture

Yep, a free... fair... and efficient Market!

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:27 | 5510521 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

What's just as impressive is how volume has died over 8 years.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:51 | 5510597 franciscopendergrass
franciscopendergrass's picture

Who needs volume if we have central bank liquidity.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 19:13 | 5510670 Fidel Sarcastro
Fidel Sarcastro's picture

Sorry guys but there's no "ah-ha!" moment or "gotcha" HFT moment here.  At 16:00pm New York closes but Chicago is open until 16:15.  So about one min before the NY close, we see huge size and (mostly) ZERO price movement because of position squaring. Maybe the algos are all waiting until then these last few years to now...because everyone else is too...so liquidity is at its highest.

 

It's just position squaring --- no scam, no bullshit, no cheating...and no need to call the CFTC.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 21:10 | 5510959 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

Would calling the CFTC to report fraud be more/less/or equally effective to dialing 911 during the Ferguson riots to report a small business on fire?  Fucking .gov.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 23:52 | 5511403 Excursionist
Excursionist's picture

At best this is an incomplete explanation.

I've observed 15:59 EST volume spikes in many individual equity names and not in just SPX futures.  But.. to your point, the price movements associated with these end of day volume spikes have almost always been negligible.

 

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 22:05 | 5511085 Catflappo
Catflappo's picture

Not sure why the market is open for the first 6 hrs and 25 mins each day?

Why doesn't everyone just put in VWAP orders at 1555 EST and be done with it?

Oh.... that's what DOES happen?   

Oh.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:16 | 5510482 The_Dead_Bear
The_Dead_Bear's picture

Incredible ! Now we get images behind the words...

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:22 | 5510502 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

kinda kills the 'fat finger' theory

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:22 | 5510504 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

exceedingly bullish!

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:25 | 5510505 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

All of this bullshit is self reinforcing too since the algos train on history. If trends start to break the machines are going to go berserk.

My love for you is ticking clock...

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:24 | 5510510 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

"To the Moon Alice!"

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:24 | 5510511 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

"TURN THOSE MACHINES BACK ON!"

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:30 | 5510527 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Stinking proof of high level deceit. A few pennies here, a few pennies there, next thing you know your gold is gone. Sense? Not for the Muppets!

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:54 | 5510606 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Took me a minute to figure out that the color scheme was time, going from orange to blue.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 18:59 | 5510620 lim
lim's picture

Your resistance only makes my genetalia grow longer and harder!

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 19:33 | 5510728 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Blatant in your face market rigging, baseball and apple pie.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 19:41 | 5510743 mcsean2163
mcsean2163's picture

Algorithms closing up shop for the day. Who cares?

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 19:58 | 5510776 Burticus
Burticus's picture

Thats some pretty high frequency and amplitude in the last 5 minutes on that action video chart and it's growing over time, presumably relative to central bank intervention.  Too queer to be ignored.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 19:59 | 5510778 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Harvard professors lie.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 21:55 | 5511069 venturen
venturen's picture

no you are just stupidity...they said so. 

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 20:08 | 5510794 Spigot
Spigot's picture

Did they finally figure out how to stuff the final quotes? I've been doing final bids 2 seconds before closes (manually) fo.rev.er

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 20:32 | 5510848 Racer
Racer's picture

'They' only work one second a day for millions a year.....

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 20:35 | 5510859 Racer
Tue, 12/02/2014 - 21:49 | 5511057 romanko
romanko's picture

Isn't this just the old fashioned "banging the close"? Happened in the penny mining stocks, always was someone needing to sell 1 share at the last second to knock the price down a notch, somethings never chanfe

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 22:29 | 5511174 kelley805
kelley805's picture

Dude, Have you heard of the book, "Flash Boys" by Michael Lewis?

Here is why markets love to close at 4 PM.

http://michaelekelley.com/2014/11/12/why-stock-markets-and-forex-are-not...

Good luck.

Tue, 12/02/2014 - 22:37 | 5511200 DarkLordofSadNews
DarkLordofSadNews's picture

not forget the last 1 share trade of companies at a lower/higher  price to tempt sheeples 

 

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 03:06 | 5511645 enloe creek
enloe creek's picture

Ah,  you gotta start accepting the fact that you are no longer a human with rights or a life of your own. You are a cell in an organisim . your fate is decided by faceless machines and you can not escape it. Your money is not money your wealth is not wealth your world is not your world and your future is not your future but what they say it will be and you can not escape it.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 10:45 | 5512339 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

Maybe its just open end mutual funds.

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