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ISM Services Surges To 4th Highest On Record (As Services PMI Plummets)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On the heels of 5 months of weakness in Services PMI, and 2 months of weakness in ISM Services, it only makes sense that ISM's Services print would massively beat expectations at 59.3 (against 57.5). All ISM subindices rose - apart from employment (which dropped to 4 months lows)! Just 15 minutes after one survey indicates a drastic slowdown in domestic demand for services, another one says it has almost never been better...

Huge beat in ISM Services...

 

What a difference 15 minutes makes...

Here is the full breakdown of the components: magically, and totally unlike that "other" ISM, virtually everything improved except for employment, which as we now know, has been improving purely due to lower wages, something which in an objective world would impact manufacturing survey responses, if not in a goalseeked new normal.

This is what a selection of cherrypicked responses had to say:

  • "Business is good with new technology and products." (Information)
  • "General uptick in demand/spending." (Finance & Insurance)
  • "We are experiencing downward pricing pressures on the price of natural gas as a result of the lower energy prices being driven by OPEC’s lower oil prices." (Mining)
  • "Food cost continues to be a challenge due to cost of goods increases. Beef, produce and turkey markets remain high. Chicken, pork and eggs, although year-over-year are higher; prices have fallen from one month ago." (Accommodation & Food Services)
  • "Business is strong. Many new accounts want to be implemented before year-end so cost reductions can be included." (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
  • "We are looking forward to a strong holiday season." (Retail Trade)
  • "We are still seeing continued momentum month-over-month with the strongest area being government accounts." (Wholesale Trade)

Perhaps the only informative datapoint is that the saline IV solution shortage which started almost a year ago (as we reported previously) continues:

Commodities in Short Supply

  • Labor (3); Medical IV Products; and Medical IV Solutions (11).

As for Labor being in short supply, that should explain why real hourly compensation was just slashed lower and Q3 business and mfg wages were revised to negative.

 

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Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:12 | 5512441 order66
order66's picture

Translation: Stocks are cheap.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:28 | 5512470 The Merovingian
The Merovingian's picture

Exactly ... just more fodder for the Algos.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:36 | 5512499 booboo
booboo's picture

Funerals, cable installers and crazy pill suppliers?

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:14 | 5512446 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Didn't ISM and PMI have a nearly identical head-scratching divergence on yesterday's manufacturing data?

These guys really need to "harmonize" their seasonal adjustment methods because nobody can tolerate conflicting survey data.  (And FYI, I hate people who use the word "harmonize" in a business conversation.  It's gotten really annoying.)

 

 

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:13 | 5512447 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Dow to the moon! BTFATH because there are a lot more numbers higher than 17000 than there are lower

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:19 | 5512457 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Just huff down fifty thousand twinkies(tm) and projectile vomit it all on some television reporter. See if it's newsworthy.

Or you can just scream "burn the whole city down!" and then see if anyone even cares after that in fact does happen.

It's all good folks! Just billion dollar sports stadiums and State Mandated Sex Ed. All clear sailing from here to forever!

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:15 | 5512452 madbraz
madbraz's picture

if they handed Oscars to the most manipulated "indicator" out there, ISM would take all honors.  It's as if it was a number generated by an algo to serve an algo.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:43 | 5512517 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

Maybe Hawkins is on to something?

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:16 | 5512453 Boondocker
Boondocker's picture

If I thought any of these numbers were real and unmanipulated I might care.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:19 | 5512456 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture
Erwin Schrödinger, Bitchez
Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:24 | 5512464 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

More MBA's needed for Supply Chain Whore Houses .

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:26 | 5512468 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture
Sure, understanding today's complex world of the markets is a little like having bees live in your head. But, there they are.
Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:31 | 5512483 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Must be hard keeping all this disinformation shit together sometimes. 

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:34 | 5512492 youngman
youngman's picture

Somewhere in some coffee room of the ISM Services office there is a geek thinking to himself if he did something wrong....

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:50 | 5512559 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Yup, never been better!

Green shoots and mustard seeds!

Ignore that man behind the curtain and the flying monkeys!

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:53 | 5512570 deerhunter
deerhunter's picture

10.98 for a less than two lb chuck roast.  In 1971 as a bag boy at the local grocery store chuck roast was routinely on sale at .59 a lb.  I knew because with 7 kids in the family i would buy some for back home at that price.  4.98 a lb at Aldis is a very good price.  Minimum wage today 8 dollars an hour.  After taxes you can buy one lb or so of beef.  1971  minimum wage 1.65 an hour.  After taxes you can buy two lbs of beef.  There is no inflation however.  Good day all.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 12:32 | 5512769 yogibear
yogibear's picture

It's Barry's hope to control you and your change (currency). Control of the media to keep spewing no the inflation theme.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:54 | 5512582 deerhunter
deerhunter's picture

sorry my math off a few cents,,,,  just over 2 lbs meat for 10.98  price was 4.98 lb lb.

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 11:57 | 5512591 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

Just curious, is one produced via a gvt agency and the other via an industry group?

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 13:25 | 5513032 Roger Shermanator
Roger Shermanator's picture

I think we can all agree that every single bit of U.S. economic data is completely fabricated at this point...  so better buy moar stawks!

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 13:29 | 5513059 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

THey can Make the McMarket rally on any and all McData, right McMurphy?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLWzSGQAnSg

Wed, 12/03/2014 - 13:35 | 5513085 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

In case you missed it, Biderman (Trimtabs) jousts with LameScream media types:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTFvaWquyqA&list=UU_FouojmbzN_jwBVkroDQBw

I think Biderman should be offered an honorary "ZHd".

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