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"Good News Is Bad News" Payrolls Reaction: Stocks Stumble, Bonds & Bullion Bashed As USD Surges

Tyler Durden's picture




 

After an initial "good news is bad news" kneejerk lower in stocks, USD strength (and thus JPY weakness) is providing the ammo to 'prove' this is good news, but problematically the bounce is fading (of course, there's a long way and a lot more VIX to sell to manage this narrative green). Oil is up modestly (growth?). Treasury yields are surging (10Y +7bps) and gold and silver and sliding...

 

USD & Treasury yields UP, Stocks and Gold DOWN

 

The reaction up close...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:48 | 5520092 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

USDJPY surging, paper gold crashing.

Hm.... where have I read that before?!? Maybe the other side of the trade isn't the Nikkei but USDJPY?

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:56 | 5520103 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Well that crushes exports this quarter

So Q4 GDP should be just super, right??

NOTT!

10 Year Treasury Chart:

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/10_YEAR/charts?ma=1&maval=50&u...

BUT THIS JOBS NUMBER IS JUST MOAR BULLSHIT TO BOOST PATHETIC HOLIDAY RETAIL SALES.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:56 | 5520138 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

This is the endgame.

IMHO, I don't think by the time the Q4 numbers will be out they still matter...

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:01 | 5520153 philipat
philipat's picture

OK so everything is looking great, so The Fed will definitely be increasing rates soon. Right?

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:10 | 5520202 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

US futures doing their best to make it look like markets will NOT be up 1% + today.....2080+ in the bag

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:14 | 5520222 max2205
max2205's picture

Relax. Everything is basically unch

 

TD......really?

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:07 | 5520180 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

I had the numbers in front of me that July 2012 was the end game of the EUR.  Then Draghi started flapping his lips, and suddenly, without him doing a thing, "Europe" "fixed itself." 

 

I imagine that this will be solved the same way. 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:14 | 5520219 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

Markets at all time highs

Unemployment headed for 5%

Gas headed for $2.00

 

 what a beautiful Movie lol, like I said the lies are geting bolder and bolder

 

 

 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:48 | 5520383 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

"The great enemy of clear language is insincerity. When there is a gap between one's real and one's declared aims, one turns as it were instinctively to long words and exhausted idioms, like a cuttlefish spurting out ink."

-George Orwell

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:05 | 5520177 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Eventually, all those paper claims are going to be "called in" and start seeking real assets.

 

From my perspective, the cheaper fuel costs have helped our bottom line for now, but I know that this is not sustainable.  TRADE is the only thing that matters in the world, period.  While there are many U.S. companies that do make real products.  The issue is, what percentage of the total GDP is this and what about the liabilities on the U.S. balance sheet?

Between the useless fucking SNAP babies and useless paper-pushing fucks in D.C. and Wall Street, it does not look good IMO.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:52 | 5520111 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Evil bastards. Stackers will have the last laugh however.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:56 | 5520139 Bosch
Bosch's picture

It will be a delirious one as you lie broke on your death bed, but last laugh none the less. 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:59 | 5520147 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

economy is kicking ass

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:04 | 5520170 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

No.

You're just a fucking idiot.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:11 | 5520199 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

economy is kicking ass

/sarc there fixed it for yah..

#onecigaretterevolution

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:10 | 5520196 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

No friend, that won't happen as we have plenty of physical non-PM essentials as well.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:59 | 5520416 Mr. Magoo
Mr. Magoo's picture

I think its time to short the yen build up some fiat and start more stacking

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:54 | 5520119 observer007
observer007's picture

EZB will buy Bond TRASH

for 1 Trillion from Jan.

latest:

http://tersee.com/#!q=ezb&t=text

 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:54 | 5520131 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Those FX moves are holding, not just knee-jerk, euro and yen crushed against $. This is some crazy sh!t

 

Occupy Wall Street denounces NBC's Peter Pan as tool of the oppressor:

http://tinyurl.com/lpbw3rf

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:00 | 5520095 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Moral hazard? Unintended consequences?  What are these things...

/s

All according plan.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:52 | 5520099 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Santa Clause is coming to Wall street. For the rest of us , it's the Grinch. 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:00 | 5520152 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Again,  so, same as it ever was then?

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:05 | 5520174 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Santa Claus hasn't left since November 2012.  Up and to the right, in a nearly uninterrupted straight line.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:07 | 5520190 FrankieGoesToHo...
FrankieGoesToHollywood's picture

Kids always want bigger presents than last year.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:51 | 5520105 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Kevin Henry's got this.

3:30 est

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:52 | 5520112 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

which futures are you watching exactly?

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:53 | 5520118 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Look at table A-1 not seasonally adjusted. Size of laborforce declined. Participation rate and emp to pop ratio declined. Now go look at table A-9 down at the bottom, part time vs full time. Full time dropped and part time rose. The internals are very ugly.

 

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:55 | 5520133 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

algos; internals LOL /s

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:56 | 5520130 samcontrol
samcontrol's picture

don,t care silver bottomed..

Been saying that since 20 ...

I hope silver bottomed

Fixed it for me!

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:56 | 5520135 Kolchak
Kolchak's picture

USD surges, now theres something you hear everyday. kind of like when a hooker tells you you were great.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:59 | 5520146 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

They always say that to me.

Wait...

 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:21 | 5520242 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

So if a big tip buys accolades from a hooker but the US government tells me I'm doing great for free..?

#onecigaretterevolution

 

 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:58 | 5520140 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

S&P drops 2 points for a microsecond. The horror, the horror...

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 09:59 | 5520149 AdvancingTime
AdvancingTime's picture

 In addition to manipulation by the government-financial complex other forces are converging to further distort and disconnect Wall Street from the American economy. Why American equities continue to rise is very important, more is at force here than the usual causes which might include a pre-election and post-election rally. This is more than the continuation of a double down and let it ride mentality that has been ratcheting the market higher while reenforced by media hype.

Most analysts agree that money from countries with weakening currencies is flowing out of the troubled areas and the U.S. is receiving most of the benefit. The Japanese as well as many Chinese and Europeans know with so much money floating around and few safe harbors America is becoming the most comfortable option for temporary investing their money. More on why this should be viewed as a sign of massive instability rather than a reason to celebrate in the article below. Thing could turn ugly very fast.

http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2014/11/why-american-equities-are-rising.html

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:00 | 5520151 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

notice that bounce in the S&P500?  that you yellen?  fkg douche bag!!

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:03 | 5520168 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Nothing left to do now, just dress Yellen up in a Flight suit and declare Victory.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:12 | 5520214 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

Dead cat's bounce.  Fat Federal Reserve banker .. not so much

#onecigaretterevolution

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:04 | 5520165 I am Jobe
Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:14 | 5520218 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Krugman salivates over that kind of story.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:04 | 5520167 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

lolololololololololololol oh and a lmfao! It will be Dow 20,000 by christmas!

 

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:03 | 5520171 aliki
aliki's picture

starve a man long enough, and a saltine tastes great.

anyone else remember when we used to print 400k-500k per month on average? now 321k is being championed as a "great #"

well, their all out of excuses now to NOT raise rates (according to the data they track) but im sure they'll think of some reason to keep financing our national debt & future deficits

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:10 | 5520193 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Long time ago, an old girlfriend left town on business after instructing me to take good care of her finicky ass cat.

When the sweet little pussy got hungry enough, he ate some collard greens i finally fed him.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:05 | 5520175 stant
stant's picture

Oh goody the disabled vet standing out in the rain by the wallmart yesterday might get a break other than the cash I had on me. I live in a fairly wealthy rural old$ town , you just don't see that here until now

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:13 | 5520189 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Pass the VOL, this shit got old four years ago.... What would the ALGOs do if if the dollar,oil, and stocks reverse on this "great news".

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:08 | 5520188 CHX
CHX's picture

What shyte show. SOS over and over again, kinda getting old.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:11 | 5520206 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Au hammered...but it took a little longer this time...

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:17 | 5520228 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

"As directed, I used my pen and phone and killed some dollars.

Sorry, but it's all PT work and EBTs from now on."

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:19 | 5520232 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

None of this shit makes any sense to me the economy sucks. Everyone I talk to is feeling a sense of gloom and doom why is that. Its Christmas in America and it feels like shit. I pray for our country

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:24 | 5520261 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

If "the Market" believed the numbers oil would rally 6 or 8 bucks today.

Fri, 12/05/2014 - 10:41 | 5520337 Bopper09
Bopper09's picture

Maybe JP morgan had a fire drill this morning.  Don't worry, markets will bloat themselves to infinity.  Endless fake money and computer programs will ensure that.

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