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Stocks Give Up All Friday's "Jobs Data Is Great" Gains, Bonds & Bullion Bid

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Stocks were modestly weak overnight amid poor Japanese, Chinese, and European data, but as soon as the US cash markets opened, stocks surged higher algorithmically testing up to unchanged briefly for the S&P 500 and squeezing small-cap shorts (as usual).. until Europe closed. Stock started to lose steam but once Nasdaq and Russell broke red, programs slammed stocks lower and despite a late-day bounce, stocks gave up all the gains from Friday's "awesome jobs data" and then some with Trannies and Small Caps worst. Momo names all suffered - most notably TWTR & TSLA. VIX broke above 14.5 briefly, closing up 2.4 at 14.2. Treasury yields plunged 5-7bps at the long-end (1-2bps at the short-end) flattening significantly. Credit markets were clubbed - with HYG taking the brunt and ending at Bullard lows. Gold and silver gained solidly (as USD slipped 0.3% led by JPY strength) as copper fell 0.5% and oil price crashed again. Markets turmoiled notably into the oil pit close (margin calls) and stabilized modestly after... but the S&P 500 still closed below its 5DMA.

 

 

As we noted earlier, today signaled the 4th Hindenburg Omen in 5 days - quite a cluster...

 

Stocks were led by USDJPY apart from the US open to EU close period...

 

From Friday's payrolls print, all the major indices are notably red - led by Trannies (but but but low oil prices) and Small Caps (but but but growth)

 

On the day it's clear the ramp/squeeze early on getting the S&P briefly green and squeezing small caps shorts, then EU close, then dump, JPY-driven bounce...

 

VIX rose significantly today...

 

Credit markets were hit hard today - both cash and protection markets - and stocks caught down... Investment Grade credit rose a notable 2-3bps also.

 

Treasury yields plunged on the day...

 

As the divergence with stocks grows ever wider...

 

The USD slid 0.3% led by JPY strength...

 

Commodities was precious metals gains, copper down (China), and Oil battered...

 

Close up on oil the last few days - broken below dead cat bounce lows...

 

Definitley evidence of broad-based margin-calls and concimmitant impacts on other collateral being held around the Crude close.

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: Some credit vs equity food for thought... interest rates for corporate debt has already gone up!!

 

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Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:13 | 5529984 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture

Looking good for DOW 18K !!!

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:46 | 5530081 Ms. Erable
Ms. Erable's picture

Butbutbut... closed off the lows!

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 18:02 | 5530135 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

As Jeremiah Wright, that poor excuse for a preacher, would say:

"And the Chickens.... Have come home to ROOST!"

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:14 | 5529987 Tin Hat Salesman
Tin Hat Salesman's picture

Does a dead cat really bounce?

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:54 | 5530116 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

No. And please don't ask me how I know that.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:13 | 5529989 ZoroAustrian
ZoroAustrian's picture

US financials up again - give me a feckin break.  Paper is still beating the real in this recent turmoil.

 

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 18:07 | 5530150 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Yes, but eventually paper burns... the "real" just gets refined...

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:15 | 5529996 fooshorter
fooshorter's picture

concomitant

nice word to learn today! thx tylers.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:20 | 5530005 Realname
Realname's picture

Data is great...it give us chocolate cake!

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:19 | 5530008 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

BIS needed to see some down days so that the graphs look "normal."  You can baffle people with BS but charts of "market places" where a random group of people buy and sell anything should see sellers winning some days and buyers winning some days.  Mr. Yellen never studied probability and statistics at school or someone attended for her.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:25 | 5530027 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

speaking of NFP

 

and "adjustments"

 

payroll report has 2 surveys - establishment (the employment number reported) and household

november 2014 

establishment ... +321K

household ... NSA -270K; SA +4K

Table A-1

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.htm

 

compare that to november 2013

 

establishment ... +203K

household ... NSA +631K ... SA +818K

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_12062013.htm

 

WTF?

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:29 | 5530035 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

BLS = Bullshit Lying Statistics

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:31 | 5530045 Alea Iactaest
Alea Iactaest's picture

These days, charts are like paintings. Look at the chart for entertainment, but don't expect an accurate representation of reality. Of course some days are more Cézanne than Courbet.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:52 | 5530109 Wait What
Wait What's picture

... and recent oil charts are looking like Dali's Persistence. tick, tock, tick, tock, mutherfuckers.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:27 | 5530031 Meremortal
Meremortal's picture

It's amusing that the Tylers waste time analyzing all these markets that are rigged.

Complete with useless charts derived from the rigged data that everyone looks at and nods sagely.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:29 | 5530037 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

The Redskins suck ... what else am i to look at?

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 20:44 | 5530671 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

So apparently they want to change the name to "The Washington Skinheads." Still waiting on the feedback on that one though...

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 21:10 | 5530735 Realname
Realname's picture

What about those redskin peanuts? What shall the pc nitwits name them?    ??? Buehler...Buehler

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:33 | 5530046 MATA HAIRY
MATA HAIRY's picture

Why am I the only one who noticed that fed banker Lockhart's jawbone press release was release as soon as that flash crash started?

 

Obviously Lockhart had already written that jawbone and someone had set it up to be released algorithmically--as soon as the market had a drop.

 

 

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:51 | 5530103 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Jawbone of an ass is powerful mythological symbology going way way back!

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 17:34 | 5530047 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

LOL for the dead cat in the OPEC chart.

"Markets" = sector rotation and churn; making butter with other people's money.

Mon, 12/08/2014 - 20:51 | 5530689 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

God save Harold Hamm.

Yes, oil can go to zero btw.

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