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High-Yield Credit Crash Accelerates

Tyler Durden's picture




 

High-yield energy bond spreads are crashing-er. Up 15bps to 880bps today, these are record wides and massively impact the economics of these firms - no matter how much investors want to ignore it. This is contagiously spreading across the broad high yield and even investment grade credit markets as high yield bond prices crash below the mid-October Bullard lows...

 

HY Energy risk is exploding...

 

And that is contagiously infecting the entire credit complex...

 

Now we will see what BlackRock's liquidty fears really amount to.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:49 | 5532294 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

So "markets" are going to be allowed to function now?  I don't think so. Get in there and buy Kevin buy!

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:52 | 5532311 pendragon
pendragon's picture

bargain hunters

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:53 | 5532319 Frolf
Frolf's picture

Falling knives.

forks. spoons.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tOW5eljyjms

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:02 | 5532357 max2205
max2205's picture

This is only a drill...I repeat,  this is only a drill

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:00 | 5532354 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

BREAKING: PUGSLEY DEAD OF HEART ATTACK @ 59.

 

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:06 | 5532374 Hulk
Hulk's picture

link Por Favor...

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:00 | 5532353 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I hate Kevin.  He is such a douche.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:51 | 5532303 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

the fat cow needs to push away from her 2nd buffet of the morning to reassure investors the fed will continue to rape and pillage the bottom 99%, via money printing, when the time is "right".  ie, when the peasants dump after losing 40% of their "money".

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:49 | 5532305 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Still not low enough.  I used to buy JNK for 36-37 or I didn't buy it (38.69 now).  And the dividend was a lot higher than it is now.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:52 | 5532309 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Knives falling everywhere.

Don't try to catch 'em.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:57 | 5532342 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

That's the fed's job.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:23 | 5532470 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

The Fed will do it when there is blood flowing everywhere in the streets. Until then, kiss your money good bye muppets!!

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:53 | 5532317 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Crude can not catch a break....looks to be heading lower again today.  

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:58 | 5532343 madcows
madcows's picture

the 10-yr is still at 2.2.  it was a 1.6 two years ago.  bonds have a long way to fall.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 10:57 | 5532344 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture
Abercrombie CEO Mike Jeffries to retire

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/abercrombie-ceo-mike-jeffries-to-retire...

 

That make two ship jumpers today

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:04 | 5532367 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

They took the Abercrombie and Fitch brand and milked it by turning it into a teen fashion chain.

Good luck reversing that...

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:18 | 5532442 yogibear
yogibear's picture

"Abercrombie & Fitch"

Talk about it's products being way overpriced.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:27 | 5532504 Alea Iactaest
Alea Iactaest's picture

Hard to believe how far A&F moved from its original hunting/safari roots. That NYC store was amazing.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:01 | 5532360 artytom
artytom's picture

Nice to see that gold and silver are responding to this. Clearly there is some pulse left in the real world.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:18 | 5532447 fuu
fuu's picture

It starts looking attractive when the other bullshit collateral is no longer accepted.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:29 | 5532518 Alea Iactaest
Alea Iactaest's picture

$1232 smells like a short sqeeze, not a flight to safety.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:02 | 5532363 ukspreads
ukspreads's picture

"V" shape recovery in indices has already begun - 

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:09 | 5532399 blaireauhedge
blaireauhedge's picture

Yep. Dow green by 2:00pm ET.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:11 | 5532406 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

yep. if i had any balls i would btfd right now.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:23 | 5532474 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

This is going down a few more percent today.  It will set up a santa claus.....

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:05 | 5532371 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

funny seeing treasury yields track hy prices, lulz on that

Ode To A Small Lump Of Green Putty I Found In My Armpit One Midsummer Morning [/Grunthos the Flatulent]

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:19 | 5532451 fuu
fuu's picture

I would have never taken you for a Adams fan.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:39 | 5532570 McCormick No. 9
McCormick No. 9's picture

Treasuries simply lag. Treasuries drop because of flight to safety. Same reason PM's are up.

I know I like to trash PM's, but maybe I'm changing my mind.

Back to bonds, let's just take a mythical, hypothetical, this-could-never-happen-in-real-life scenario. Let's just say, in some parallel universe, that crude prices fell, and risky, expensive to get oil production funded by risky, high yield (junk) bonds, sold by the genetic descendants of Michael Milken and his ilk-en, start to look risky-er. Let's say in this impossible scenario that simultaneous events in other parts of the world make their (Chinese) and (Greek) bonds look risky too, and bond prices start falling in several places at once, sort of like a simultaneous spontaneous combustion process in a vast empty warehouse full of greasy rags.

In this dark fantasy (which could never happen here, on this planet), how long will it take before a junk bond contagion spreads to... well, is there such a thing as a real, honest to god, triple A bond? Aren't they ALL junk bonds? So, what are the vector paths of the contagion? How does HY-ebola spread to the greater bond market? Are HY and other bonds connected by derivative trades, or by some sort of carry? I am not a trader, so I don't know the answer, but common sense tells me that if HY goes south, then the rest of the bond market is tied to that engine block by some kind of rope.

WHAT IS THE ROPE MADE OF? I humbly await an answer.

But, also in the spirit of humility, it looks like gold is going to the moon. Good on ya, stackers, it looks like I am to be proved wrong by your faithfulness.

#9 out

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:06 | 5532376 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

I love CURRY TRAY.

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 11:15 | 5532426 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

So that big dummy credit market (like me a big dummy) says Crude will be 40ish and below for potentially quite some time but, but, but the financial media keeps saying how great everything is. 

Let's cut to the chase:  what position does Gartman have on Crude currently?  I'm such a dummy I need some help from Gartman and Cramer. 

Tue, 12/09/2014 - 12:20 | 5532758 Prober
Prober's picture

Shale boom go bye-bye !

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