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UMIch Consumer Confidence Goes Euphoric - Highest Since Dec 2006

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The last time Americans were this full of shits and giggles was December 2006 - according to UMich latest survey of consumer sentiment. The indicator has risen for 5 straight months accelerating each time with the biggest surge since the mid-2011 US downgrade crash. At 93.8, smashing expectations of just 89.5 by the most since March 2013, for a 5-standard-deviation beat. Inflation expectations rose (as inflation plunges) and while both current and outlook indices rose markedly, it is the hope-strewn 'economic outlook' that exploded.

 

A picture paints a thousand words...

 

 

Biggest beat in 21 months...

 

A Euphoric Goldilocks Surge to 8 year highs...

 

We think this 140-character-or-less tome explains it all....

 

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Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:12 | 5544194 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

UMICH Pisani-ed some folks.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:13 | 5544204 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

They gots to be trippin'.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544234 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

The chemtrails and fluoride are finally kicking in.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:20 | 5544241 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

This explains that huge uptick in sales on Black Friday... Wait, What?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:24 | 5544251 TheAnalOG
TheAnalOG's picture

BUY BITCOIN!!

OH YEAH!!!

 

https://btc-e.com/

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:25 | 5544254 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's the low gas prices.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:27 | 5544280 sodbuster
sodbuster's picture

Just make it 100!!! Get it over with.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:42 | 5544348 onewayticket2
onewayticket2's picture

Coincides with the election to STOP the Obama destruction. This before boehner gave it all away.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:24 | 5544567 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

WOOOO!!!!  HOOOO!!!

FREE EBT FOR ALL!!!!!!

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 14:09 | 5545149 HardAssets
HardAssets's picture

Low gas prices & the fact that a lotta people save on fuel because they don't have a job to drive to ?

As long as Americans can charge the junk they buy in the malls, they remain blissfully ignorant. People are tortured around the world in their name ? Who cares, we have shopping, spectator sports, and online porn to amuse us.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:47 | 5544658 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

As soon as Bitcoin gets to $3 I'll buy a few.  In the mean time, let it continue to plummet!...

 

BTW - I am selling my newly minted SuperMegaBlasterCoins.  Yes, like Bitcoin, and the tens of other flavors of pretend money, I, too, came up with an algorithm to create my own crypto-currency.  SuperMegaBlasterCoins are stored on my smart phone.  Just send me $$$$ and I'll give you a coin number.  Speculate away!!!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:58 | 5544730 TheAnalOG
TheAnalOG's picture

We will line up and execute anyone not behind Bitcoin because they are fakes, fonies and Fed-collaborators.

SEMPER SATOSHI

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544235 Jeff the Terrible
Jeff the Terrible's picture

Take a second mortgage. There's equity in that house.

http://y2u.be/VI6tBwVjyOY

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:22 | 5544246 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

"They gots to be trippin'."  I want some of that.   Then I might be able to comprehend the BLS numbers.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:05 | 5544455 Ruffmuff
Ruffmuff's picture

UM is a bunch of pretentious fuckers, and you can be confident of that.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:03 | 5544765 25or6to4
25or6to4's picture

And I wonder if UM gets any federal funding for that research program.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:12 | 5544197 Space Animatoltipap
Space Animatoltipap's picture

In the Animal Farm everything is just fine. 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:12 | 5544198 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

I think I missed my stop...

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:19 | 5544233 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

This ride only has one stop.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:38 | 5544326 BandGap
BandGap's picture

This is like breaking up with a girl when you really don't want to break up. Just heading for another beat down.

Sentimental Journey.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUw125JMVFI

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:12 | 5544200 chunga
chunga's picture

c'mon choco-rations!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:13 | 5544202 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

The last time Americans were this full of shits and giggles was December 2006 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:16 | 5544211 BadDog
BadDog's picture

soylent green is people

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:15 | 5544212 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

of course confidence is higher, alcohol prices are lower!!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:16 | 5544214 Elliott Eldrich
Elliott Eldrich's picture

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't "consumer confidence" one of those uttterly useless pseudo-metrics that functions primarily as Purina Pundit Chow? 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:19 | 5544232 jcaz
jcaz's picture

Yep-   30 lucky people get this phone call- "So, how's things?"

That's it.

Let's build an entire economy on that.

Brilliant.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:42 | 5544338 freewolf7
freewolf7's picture

They're calling .gov workers.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:15 | 5544215 dbystrowski
dbystrowski's picture

This must be an inverse chart of reality. 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:30 | 5544266 SparticusUK
SparticusUK's picture

 This is your last chance. After this, there is no turning back. You take the blue pill - the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill - you stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit-hole goes.

 

 

....Should've took the blue pill, right?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:40 | 5544337 dow2000
dow2000's picture

I wish I had the option...

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:15 | 5544216 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

...and then came 2007 and 2008. Oh shit.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544236 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

stocks top when everything else peaks (except debt.  debt can never peak or keynesian fucks like krugman would be out of work)

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:16 | 5544220 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

+1 for the kool-aid image.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:24 | 5544252 Cangaroo.TNT
Cangaroo.TNT's picture

Afuckingmen to that!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:16 | 5544225 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Propaganda is information that is not impartial and used primarily to influence an audience and further an agenda, often by presenting facts selectively (thus possibly lying by omission) to encourage a particular synthesis, or using loaded messages to produce an emotional rather than rational response to the information presented. Propaganda can be used as a form of ideological or commercial warfare.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544227 Jameson18
Jameson18's picture

Who is the asshole that pays the Umich morons to do this research. I want them to pay me.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:19 | 5544230 bullet
bullet's picture

THE best graphic this year...

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544231 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture
UMIch handing out free blowjobs with every survey or something?
Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:18 | 5544237 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

Give me some of that KOOL-AID BITCHEZ

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:21 | 5544242 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

how embarrasing

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:21 | 5544243 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Then 2 years later muricans became broke as shit and have stayed there since.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:29 | 5544283 hootowl
hootowl's picture

Tyler......Why do you propagate this lying government  BS?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:00 | 5544435 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

For teh lulz, ofc.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:45 | 5544666 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

Same reason they would post every stolpher recommendation, and every time gartman opens his dumbass mouth on CNBC. We all know it's BS, but it is entertaining BS.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:16 | 5544507 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Why would you refer to a slap-down as "propagation?"

How about maybe saving your moral outrage for something real?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:22 | 5544249 MickV
MickV's picture

ssssuuuuurrreeee it is......

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:28 | 5544255 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

Wonder what the Christmas bonus payout to the University of Michigan alumni was for such extreme compliance in furnishing this report?

Hopefully enough for the Dean(s) of the school of Business and Economics and all their tenured profs to have a visit from Dom Perignon to go with the white truffles and fois gras?....

They earned it!!!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:37 | 5544300 hootowl
hootowl's picture

These lying imbeciles bring great shame onto a once-great institution.  The Michigan State Legislature should defund that institution until they expell the lying, amoral, tenured demons that are harbored there.

 

They sorely need to clean out that administrative and demonic professorial cesspool in order to regain even a small remnant of credibility.

Shame on the UMich.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:48 | 5544373 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

+100

Make that a reservation for a party of two!  My understanding is that the U.S. Army drop shipped a pallet of shrink wrapped $100 bills at the college of Engineering West Lafayette Indiana for the fine work they did on that computer simulation model for NIST.

University of Michigan has been trying to play "catch up" with them ever since.

For the fraud those two Big Ten schools have committed already they should make it a spectator event with money for the sheep to watch just like their football teams!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:02 | 5544746 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Same with almost all universities. Totally compromized by corproate money on the one hand and evil nation-wrecking Cultural Marxist academics on the other.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:26 | 5544257 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

When these Lies finally reach 'escape velocity'...   It seems the entire edifice is a smoldering deck of Lies.   Not to get all religious or anything, but the sheer level of Obfuscation coming out of officialdom (our public servant/leadership class) is at or approaching Biblical proportion.   I guess the cup of iniquity really must runneth over before the collapse...? 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:27 | 5544259 BudFox2012
BudFox2012's picture

Of course the University of Michigan is optimistic.  Housing prices have doubled in Detriot in just a month.  You used to be able to get a burnt-out shell of a house for $5, now it will cost you $10.  See, the economy is booming!

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:26 | 5544260 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

"A festivus for the rest of us."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R60z_7vZ0YI

 

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:06 | 5544454 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Yeah, brain-dead TV shows will help...

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:24 | 5544900 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

Long oil huh. Sorry about that. Dooooshbag.

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:27 | 5544264 wissen dass scheiBe
wissen dass scheiBe's picture

Here in michigan, spending, retail and otherwise, has stopped.  Low gas prices have equated to NO increase in discretionary spending.  Good case in point, local ace hardware stores have been carrying craftsman tools. (Prepping for the end) Kmart/sears have always been good bellwether for state economy.  

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:26 | 5544270 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Gallup consumer spending has been dropping. Maybe its the free phones..
. http://www.gallup.com/poll/112723/Gallup-Daily-US-Consumer-Spending.aspx

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:33 | 5544301 aztrader
aztrader's picture

Must be calling all those wall streeters who just got their bonuses.......

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:37 | 5544321 richiebaby
richiebaby's picture

I'm extremely confident even though I'm extremely broke

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:40 | 5544333 I woke up
I woke up's picture

Survey was likely done in the 202 area code

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:08 | 5544474 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I was thinking Detroit and their bankruptcy exit euphoria.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:26 | 5544904 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

So profound of you doooooshbag.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:41 | 5544336 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

U-Mich should be ashamed of themselves.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:40 | 5544341 theyjustcantstop
theyjustcantstop's picture

you thought the bs, good news that america is turning a new page on that nasty, pesty bad financial snap, (and to prove it, everyones getting richer, due to lower gas prices), was a waste of pravdas time.

when you control communications you control people, thats what hitler thought, he may of been right.

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:40 | 5544342 CoastalCowboy
CoastalCowboy's picture

They oversampled the poll with union Longshoremen with their end of year bonus and the loot they steal from the shipping containers in hand.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:42 | 5544345 russwinter
russwinter's picture

Aunt Millie hasn't opened her month end junk bond statement yet. 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:44 | 5544358 Caleb Abell
Caleb Abell's picture

It's nice to see a report from an organization, like UMICH, that really knows what they are doing.  

 

Anyone with eyes can tell that UMICH is right on the money and consumers have a lot of confidence.  It's easy to see from the long lines of shoppers that extend all the way out of malls and stretch around the block.  These folks are eagerly waiting to make the many purchases they plan for the holiday season.  By golly, I was at the local mall and they were installing extra cash registers to help with the unexpected flood of shoppers.

 

The smart play is to sell your gold and buy stock in retailers.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:12 | 5544492 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Here in State U. town, the shopping center parking lots are packed.

Student loan bubbles, FTMFW!

As an added bonus, Obummercare money is flowing too!

God bless us, everyone!

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:27 | 5544916 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

State U town explains it all.

Bless this a$$wipe.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:20 | 5544538 Kprime
Kprime's picture

or cash register manufacturers'

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:44 | 5544363 Usurious
Usurious's picture

i'm confident that things will get much worser.........

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:45 | 5544367 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

NYT catches up to ZH... http://bit.ly/1IHIsPp

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:20 | 5544537 gaoptimize
gaoptimize's picture

I'm glad the NYT decided to print some raw truth.  The (lack of) employment trends they discuss in their article are amplified in a 2-part Breitbart article:

http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/12/04/The-Sexodus-Part-1-...

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 22:15 | 5547155 kareninca
kareninca's picture

wow that was depressing

the comments were depressing, too

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 11:49 | 5544385 eddiebe
eddiebe's picture

How ya doin? Just great, you?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 14:00 | 5544434 hootowl
hootowl's picture

When you mention Boehner, my mind flashes a picture of a pile of rotting, dead, Demoncrap lying in the dirt.  It should be shoveled back into the cesspool from which it was dredged......immediately.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:03 | 5544449 goosee
goosee's picture

Confidence in crude drop?? Since most big consumers are now eating their hedges it'll be a cold day in hell before we see any good in it. We have fostered a nation of idiots, or at least one states worth.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:06 | 5544461 goosee
goosee's picture

Did you ever hear about the guy that was so stupid even the University of Michigan noticed?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:06 | 5544463 Goldbugger
Goldbugger's picture

U-MICH survey is Bullshit. Here's how it works. And in know this from a very reliable source who worked for the  U a few years ago. Basically my Friend called CEO's from a list of companies, same list every month and would ask them canned queestions on how THEY FELT about their company and the economy. THEY are NOT FUCKING calling random people and asking them if everthing is GREAT! ANOTHER BULLSHIT CONFIDENCE REPORT>>> CANNED BASED ON CEO's OPINIONS.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:11 | 5544496 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Translation: Problems are all fixed muppets, just buy stocks so we have our mega-year-end bonuses.

- Wall Street

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:38 | 5544627 Kprime
Kprime's picture

Next week updated GDP will show a 12% surge in growth.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:48 | 5544691 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

And a few weeks later quietly reduced to 0.12%.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:43 | 5544652 ali-ali-al-qomfri
ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

 

oh the euphoria as a kid waiting to ride the Monster,leaning back ratcheting up to the peak and the feeling of weight being lifted as you come over the top, your hands clench the bar even tighter.....because you are going down.

all along you were anticipating the drop and then when it really happens...

 

kinda like that....

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 12:49 | 5544698 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Did MIchigan just legalize crack cocaine and half of the population are now high?

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:01 | 5544753 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

This one is a no brainer. Gas prices falling will put a smile on my face every time.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 13:40 | 5544986 mendigo
mendigo's picture

Clearly the homeless and under employer should rejoice and migrate to Lansing

 

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 14:07 | 5545142 Lmo Mutton
Lmo Mutton's picture

PLUS a gazillion for the increased graphics on the charts.
South Texas needs moar pix with crayons and stuff.

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 14:18 | 5545143 Lmo Mutton
Lmo Mutton's picture

Dupe.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!