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Low Liquidity Alert

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For anyone trying to trade today, this post is moot. For everyone else, when less than 1K ES contracts take out not 1, not 2, not 3 but 4 levels of order book depth...

Then one better pray that Waddell and Reed does not sneeze, and certainly not sell (or, gasp, short) anything in size or else...

Outraged by this outcome in a world in which billions of algos supposedly do nothing but "provide liquidity"? Then just dial 1-800-VIRTU.

 

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Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:12 | 5553866 db51
db51's picture

and this is bad for who?

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:14 | 5553877 readyforit
readyforit's picture

I'm buying Spirograph.

 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 17:26 | 5555286 Fidel Sarcastro
Fidel Sarcastro's picture

On several occassions today I saw less than 200 take out 4 price levels of the order book. That's fkg thin...like Calista Flockhart thin!

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:14 | 5553873 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Algo liquidity = plebian lube.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:48 | 5554040 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

I feel a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of Algos suddenly cried out in terror, and were suddenly silenced.  I feel something terrible has happened. 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:14 | 5553874 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Hence the reason why this bitch will vaporize when TPTB finally pull the plug.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:16 | 5553887 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Agreed.  It won't be a matter of "at what price?", there simply won't be anyone on the other side to trade with.  Just "gone".

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:25 | 5553936 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

That's when the HFT platforms go "bidless" exactly like they did in 2008.

That means a blank screen for those actually paying attention.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:37 | 5553992 Meme Iamfurst
Meme Iamfurst's picture

Jammie D's boys on Capitol Hill just fixed that problem for the banks, but not you.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 14:35 | 5554538 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

A Christmas miracle we could all hope for.....

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:17 | 5553895 ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

The Plunge protection team won't allow that.  

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:22 | 5553927 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

They won't be there. Mark my words, this won't end until there are thousands of points wiped out before you can blink.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:43 | 5554019 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

The billion dollar question is 'when'? er... trillion dollar

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 13:32 | 5554286 seek
seek's picture

The circuit breakers will trip in milliseconds this time.

The final market crash is going to be a staircase down, with the market open less than 10 seconds (maybe less than one) each day until it's over.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 14:35 | 5554542 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Yep and it'll be a joy to watch.....

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 20:02 | 5555998 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Doesn't even matter. Just reverse the trades on each exchange without appeal which best serves the money-masters and robs you of any profit you make. Already did that in 2012 with NASDAQ.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 13:38 | 5554309 malek
malek's picture

There going to shutter markets ("temporarily" of course, as in Cyprus' banks) before it reaches that level of drop

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:14 | 5553876 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Like in the movies when the front of the car is hanging over a cliff- "Don't anybody move an inch!  Don't even breathe!"

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 13:41 | 5554317 malek
malek's picture

And then a big seagull decides to land on the engine hood?

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:16 | 5553890 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

who the hell would try to sell 768 e-minis this time of year? it's only a $15T market cap index for god's sake

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:20 | 5553912 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Same reason the JGB secondary market goes days without a trade despite having 47 quadrillion Yen in notional securities value (I made that number up but it's probably about right) and is allegedly the second most liquid market in the world, aside from USTs.

 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:30 | 5553958 SimplePrinciple
SimplePrinciple's picture

It's the tail that wags the dog.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:35 | 5553987 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

that argument makes no sense. you can sell as many jgb as you can lay your hands to without moving the price one iota, so it IS LIQUID.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 14:38 | 5554552 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

To sell someone must buy and we're gonna run out of someone's sooner or later.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:17 | 5553900 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Water, water everywhere, but not a drop to drink!

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:21 | 5553913 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

That orange, purple and green chart means feck all to me but I do believe you that liquidity is non existant.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:29 | 5553953 fuu
fuu's picture

Each line left to right is a day of trading 10:00, 10:30, 11:00 etc along the bottom. You can see the color code legend on the right edge. Purple is 1/2010, red is 12/2014, black is today.

 

Bottom to top is trades per second.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:45 | 5554025 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

TY fuu, it took me a minute or two but it made sense after reading what you said.  It suddenly hit me "holy shit yea".

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:47 | 5554027 fuu
fuu's picture

Markets are now so efficient we don't even need to actually trade anything.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 14:31 | 5554530 PT
PT's picture

No point.  Everything is already priced in.
:P

 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 16:11 | 5554953 Muppet
Muppet's picture

What chart?   Ghostery correctly blocks crap from Google.   Next time, don't include a chart located on an NSA server.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 19:58 | 5555981 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

chart is https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B46IuCuIEAADVrd.png - not google - no reason ghostery should block this. Noscript let it through properly.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:23 | 5553923 T-NUTZ
T-NUTZ's picture

the MAUL is opening up.  who wants to go shopping?  hmmm??

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:24 | 5553930 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Green by 3:30. Any takers? 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:31 | 5553964 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Normally I would agree with you, but somehow this feels different.  Of course being wrong about market direction is what I'm best at.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:49 | 5553977 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Lot of panic to overcome for that, Mortimer (or is it Randolph?).  DJIA down 200 points from staged pre-market.  That, following a -315 on Friday. 

 

Lot of players taking close inventory of what they can liquidate to cover margins.  Leverage is a great as long as the levered thing goes up.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:31 | 5553967 BellevueTrader
BellevueTrader's picture

VIX is about to surge higher...We just Hindenburg'ed some folks.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:32 | 5553973 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

This is the thing ALGO wet dreams are made of.... They can stick it anywhere they want it....  Wonder who bought all that SPOs the other day......  they gotta be crapping...

 

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:49 | 5554043 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

I call this "vapor piss".

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 12:50 | 5554062 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 I'm lmfao at those idiot weekend warrior traders on Bloomturd threads that were calling for BTFD this weekend. I hope they ride the ship all the way down.

 Fucking rookies.

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 13:07 | 5554156 Banker Buster
Banker Buster's picture

I take it BTFD'ers are going all in on this dip.  If it works they make another 10 percent but if it doesn't they lose everything.  Risk/reward...ahh who cares, it works every time.  

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 14:01 | 5554402 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

WE desiccated some folks

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