This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Everyone Do The Safe-Haven Scramble

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Always happy to look to the silver lining in markets, amid the total and utter carnage across global FX, commodity, and equity markets, there are a few markets benefiting from the scramble for a safe-haven. Gold (and Silver) prices, after dropping yesterday, has retraced all those losses and is up over $20 to $1215. Even more impressively, 10Y Treasury yields traded with a 2.00% handle (down 8-9bps today alone). Notably ultra-short-term US T-Bill yields have collapsed to zero with the Feb 2015s trading -0.5bps. Bunds are also bid (down 5bps) at fresh record-low yields of 56.6bps! While not a 'safe-haven" per se, JPY is aggressively bid also as leverage and risk unwinds carry trades and squeezes USDJPY lower (briefly touching 115.50).

 

 

And Bund yields push to new record lows...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:24 | 5557662 zeroheckler
zeroheckler's picture

Black Swan Song

(music, live performance)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MXTwb8Vp34

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:28 | 5557676 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

That's some gourmet chart porn;)

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:31 | 5557696 negative rates
negative rates's picture

There are no safe havens bitches, it's just trick juggling.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:31 | 5557698 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

That's some gourmet chart porn;)

 

Reminds me.....keep your damn hands off the Internet.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:32 | 5557703 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

"Order from the Fed to their trading desks"- SELL GOLD_BUY S&P FUTURES

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:01 | 5557871 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Nothing says "safety" like buying the shit out of Yen...cause Japan's economic performance is outstanding.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:25 | 5557670 spinone
spinone's picture

If you're going to panic, panic first.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:27 | 5557673 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

And I was laughed at when I suggested buying 30 year bonds when they were yielding 3% a couple weeks ago (Or was that days?  Things have been moving fast lately).

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:30 | 5557691 Coldcall
Coldcall's picture

bonds are the trade!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:31 | 5557702 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Until they are'nt.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:47 | 5557742 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Okay everyone, repeat after me:

Cash, Bonds, Gold.

 

[Rubles? Not so much...]

http://www.kitco.com/gold_currency/index.html?currency=rub&timePeriod=1y&flag=exchangeRate&otherChart=no

Ruble = 73.00/USD . Down another 10.7% today (It was 55 a couple days ago...)

P.S.: Oil = $53.76

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:55 | 5557828 ATM
ATM's picture

I think you got them backwards. Should be Gold, Bonds, Cash. and then Gold and Cash, Then just Gold.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 17:34 | 5560128 spinone
spinone's picture

and some lead and brass

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:40 | 5557744 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

Yep.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:31 | 5557695 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

You haven't seen anything yet as far as how fast things are moving.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:28 | 5557681 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

watching ES surge right now, you'd think thats the safe haven.  too funny.  this bubble is popping.  and will take a big dive at the open.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:27 | 5557682 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

Picturing my bathtub drain on an olympic size pool

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:27 | 5557684 Coldcall
Coldcall's picture

US dollar still reserve currency and that wont change any time soon, so¡reeeee

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:32 | 5557709 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Not in the western world, where debt is king.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:27 | 5558014 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

What do you think the US dollar is? It is an instrument of debt

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:29 | 5557686 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

But. But...

Rates will rise....

 

 

 

LOLOL!!!!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:33 | 5557707 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Stop teasing us......just stop it dammit!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:52 | 5557811 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Yellen: "Don't you guys make me raise rates!" "I swear to god I'll do it!!!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:31 | 5557704 thatthingcanfly
thatthingcanfly's picture

Is anyone else having flashbacks to September 2008, when it looked for a moment like the wheels of the global economy were about to fly off?

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:34 | 5557714 negative rates
negative rates's picture

They still are, just a little more time my friends.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:38 | 5557738 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

When the geniuses ban short selling again, like they did on 09/19/2008, I will.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:58 | 5557836 ATM
ATM's picture

The wheels are bigger and spinning faster now....

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:25 | 5558013 thatthingcanfly
thatthingcanfly's picture

...bigger and faster, you say? SWEET! That means more gooder-er!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:33 | 5557706 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It's pretty bad when 2.11% on ten year fiat is considered a safe haven.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:36 | 5557721 negative rates
negative rates's picture

After that 30 year 15% bender they got paid for, anything looks good.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:35 | 5557724 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

the worst fiat,

  except for all the others.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:52 | 5557799 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Once the Laundry has burnt down, does it really matter which shirt was the  cleanest ?

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:51 | 5557804 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Once the Laundry has burnt down, does it really matter which shirt was the  cleanest ?

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:37 | 5557727 max2205
max2205's picture

German 10yr is .6%   fear

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:38 | 5557736 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Yep, and it's hard o believe but we will be there eventually.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:34 | 5557717 mattgallis
mattgallis's picture

annndddddd ZH called the top...

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:34 | 5557718 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

"What's with this busy signal, Janet? Never got one calling Ben! Hello? Hello?? H-E-L-L-O???"

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:39 | 5557740 SilverIsMoney
SilverIsMoney's picture

PPT already selling Gold to cap the rally.... Oh well... Me thinks they're gonna have their hands full in about an hour with equities. Bahahaha! Burn baby burrrrrn!

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:47 | 5557770 youngman
youngman's picture

If you live in one of these countries whose currencies are tanking.....you might be a little scared...in fact a lot scared....I bet Swiss bank accounts are filling fast right now...

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 09:55 | 5557821 Spungo
Spungo's picture

"Picturing my bathtub drain on an olympic size pool"

Picture a butthole at the Tony awards

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:08 | 5557909 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

to my eye, this decline looks very very similar to the october decline.   were about 1/2 of the run off the october low.    muppets need one more good lesson to learn to never ever sell.    cue the ramp, cue the oil stablization, cue the 'rise in rates from 2.00 to 2.1,  get those bonuses locked in boys, 2015 were gonna change directions.

 

 

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:15 | 5557941 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

$400 circut breaker needs to be $4,000.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:31 | 5558046 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

Eat shit and die

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 10:50 | 5558163 Temerity Trader
Temerity Trader's picture

The ball is clearly in the Fed’s court. It is up to them to aggressively intervene and restore confidence in the broken markets. If they fail to act quickly, the sheeple will panic and the bottom won’t be reached until Dow 6k-7k, or lower. The true value of the Dow in a no-growth economy, burdened with ever-expanding welfare rolls, is so low that the damage will be permanent. The Fed has “guaranteed the markets and now must make good on their pledges. First by jawboning, then by direct through their proxies, futures and ETF purchases. There is no other way. The ‘New Normal’ requires full-time Fed bank support of asset prices. Housing is coming apart too, and near-nothing down loans are happening again, which completes the cycle. As home prices tumble and people walk-away, it will spread. Car sales are now 95% dependent upon liar sub-prime loans, and nothing down. Do or die time for the Fed bankers.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 13:42 | 5559004 Baa baa
Baa baa's picture

It would appear the fed has produced sufficient smoke and mirrors while Martha polishes...

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 11:51 | 5558439 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

So yesterday's buzz that China is dumping bonds, is wrong?

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 11:51 | 5558443 Conax
Conax's picture

January 1, 2014 gold was at about 1220, silver at 19.90.

They are furiously holding gold below that line.  It must not show any strength for the year. This is very important to the pricks running the shit show, may they all get the clap.  The fact that China and India are acquiring all of 'our' gold at fire sale prices doesn't matter in the least. The US will be stripped of everything of value and dumped in the alley as the tribe pulls up stakes and heads off for Asia.

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 12:23 | 5558568 Chat_noir
Chat_noir's picture

remove that article, its too old.

Silver -4.79%. it will be the next "halted until further notice" market after the Ruble

 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!