This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

No More "Considerable Time" - Meet The New, "Patient" Fed

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With expectations that the FOMC would drop "considerable time," ignore foreign market instability, and shrug off HY credit's demise (as they had previously said it was a bubble), the members did not let anyone down...

  • *FOMC SAYS IT CAN BE 'PATIENT' IN APPROACH TO RAISING RATES
  • *FOMC DECLINES TO MENTION RECENT GLOBAL MARKET INSTABILITY
  • *FOMC SAYS PATIENT APPROACH 'CONSISTENT WITH OCT. STATEMENT'
  • *FISHER, PLOSSER, KOCHERLAKOTA DISSENT IN FOMC DECISION

For the 3rd FOMC meeting in a row, equity markets have surged (and decoupled from bonds); we will soon see if history repeats a third time.

Pre-FOMC: S&P Futs: 1988.00, 10Y 2010%, Gold $1195, WTI $57.50

 

What happened the last 2 times...

 

The Fed goes on to say...

  • *FOMC SAYS JOB MARKET UNDERUTILIZATION `CONTINUES TO DIMINISH'
  • *FOMC SAYS LABOR MARKET `IMPROVED FURTHER'
  • *FOMC SEES INFLATION RISING TO TARGET AS LOW OIL IMPACT FADES
  • *FED SEES JOBLESS RATE AT FULL EMPLOYMENT BY LATE-2015
  • *FED SEES 2015 GDP GROWTH OF 2.6%-3%, UNCH VS SEPT. EST
  • *FED SEES INFLATION AS LOW AS 1% IN 2015 VS 1.6% IN SEPT. EST.
  • *FED SEES 2015 JOBLESS RATE 5.2%-5.3% VS 5.4%-5.6% IN SEPT. EST
  • *FED MEDIAN FED FUNDS RATE 2.5% END-2016 VS 2.875% SEPT. EST.

*  *  *

And the redline from October:

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:04 | 5564089 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

PAAARRRRTTTYYYY!!!!!!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:07 | 5564103 noben
noben's picture

You bet your Ass(ets)! 

With Russia caving* on E. Ukraine, and its central bank (CBR) coming out of the closet as a Redshield org*, it's... "Party On, Wayne!"

* http://rt.com/news/215047-pentagon-confrims-nato-buildup/

** http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-12-17/russian-central-bank-releases-7...

p.s. My price of Libertarian Hopium just doubled, as it's on backorder.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:07 | 5564119 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

"PATIENT"????!!!

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

I call your "Patient" and raise you a "TRIPLE DOG DARE YA"!

Yellen CAN'T raise rates and she knows it....

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:08 | 5564123 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

'Patient' like you have to be when you have a runaway nuclear reactor.

 

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:11 | 5564136 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Burn this bitch down!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:15 | 5564180 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

his brow was sweating as he lifted his royal head up from the chopping block. the glint of light from the executioner's ax stunted his arrogant gaze. the audience clammored and mumbled off with it.  said he: "can't we be a little patient"? 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:17 | 5564181 knukles
knukles's picture

So, nothing's changed except the sophistry and platitudes
A synonym here and a synonym there and pretty soon you got a whole new paragraph with no meaningful difference

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:23 | 5564255 taraxias
taraxias's picture

+ 1000

 

Nicely summed up, knuckes,this is exactly where we are at now, nothing but sophistry and platitudes. 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:28 | 5564285 Fun Facts
Fun Facts's picture

They need more time for the CNBC propaganda arm to round up more greater fools to be the bag holders.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:31 | 5564305 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

I see Fisher (hawk) is now on the same team as Kocherlakota (dove).

Nice work Team Fed!!!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:43 | 5564398 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

If they raise rates, .gov defaults and the curtain is drawn on this whole sharade.

The animal has been shot and is dead.  There's just some nurve impulses still causing a twitch.  How long the twitching lasts in anybody's guess.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:26 | 5564137 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

*FED MEDIAN FED FUNDS RATE 2.5% END-2016 VS 2.875% SEPT. EST.

 

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

[takes breath]

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BY 2016 the National Debt will easily exceed $20,000,000,000,000.00.

If the Fed Funds Rate goes up to 2.5%, the 10-Yr will be around 5%.

At that rate, interest on the debt alone will cost $1 trillion and consume about 1/3 of the federal government's budget.

Can't happen.

We are Japan...

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:44 | 5564401 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

We accomodated some folks.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:13 | 5564143 max2205
max2205's picture

It hard

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:16 | 5564183 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

Auntie Janet will have broken the Thesaurus by the time she actually raises rates. How many synonyms for "Patient" are there?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:34 | 5564330 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Just look at the Neanderthal bone structure on those Jaws

Mario, is jealous

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:54 | 5564120 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Boy, I'm telling ya, shortly it surely is going to suck to be us...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:12 | 5564135 power steering
power steering's picture

The old reliables" Jim Cranium called the bottom in oil yesterday pre market when he said "oil will have trouble holding $52" and Russell Napier confirmed this an on ZH this morning when he called for $25 oil. Ned Davis Research confirms the fools in their hubris!!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:08 | 5564117 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

There's the stops on a lot of shorts hit...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:09 | 5564133 brockhardman
brockhardman's picture

This market is a farce in and of itself.  Stack physical.  The paper price means absolutely nothing until the dollar collapses.  So, pretty soon.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:16 | 5564170 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

Now at 2011. The mind boggles.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:06 | 5564091 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Santa Yellen is coming to town..... Santa Yellen is coming to town,,,,,, Santaa Yellen is cooomiiiinnngggg tooooooo tooowwwwn!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:03 | 5564092 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

Mr. Yellen..........making old ladies poor at his whim.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:03 | 5564093 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

MOAR NIRP/ZIRP

SURPRISE!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:05 | 5564094 SilverIsMoney
SilverIsMoney's picture

When are the sheep going to figure out they will never raise rates? Will they ever?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:11 | 5564139 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

BREAKING NEWS....

death to the MoneyChangers.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:51 | 5564447 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

You know the sheeple are fast asleep when TPTB can flat out admit that they want inflation and.......crickets.

Hey, uh, we want prices to go up...for your own good.  Got it?

Got it.

Excellent.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:07 | 5564096 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

Loser, coward, pussy, chicken, sissy, ....

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:12 | 5564149 johnvallo
johnvallo's picture

that's an insult to losers, cowards, pussies, chickens and sissies everywhere. 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:05 | 5564097 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

"The recovery is here and the econmy is doing better..." so why not raise rates 0.25%?

Oh wait...because it would cost the banks that much more to get free money from the Treasury back door.

PONZI!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:14 | 5564124 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Because I have a sandwich bet on the line that fed funds will be under 1% by year end 2016.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:19 | 5564200 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

Hopefully a Reuben?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:53 | 5564461 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

One of these would be fitting, considering the subject matter here http://forward.com/articles/153533/-jewish-sammies-to-die-for/

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:09 | 5564100 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

That's what Viagra does too.

But actually, "can be patient" is closer to raising rates than "considerable time," right?  So why is the market happy about rates rising sooner than later?  Knee jerk reaction I would say. 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:16 | 5564174 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Because if equity markets go down more than 5% the FED will bring back "considerable time" and buy every derivative under the sun.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 16:11 | 5564563 Cheduba
Cheduba's picture

So very sad and depraved that billions of lives and the entire global economy are so heavily reliant upon the grammar used by one person.

Complexity breeds fragility.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:04 | 5564101 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

So we don't need HilsenGREEN today?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:04 | 5564102 becky quick and...
becky quick and her beautiful mouth's picture

'mo money! 'mo betta! 'yo momma!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:08 | 5564105 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Amazing how certain persons knew so far ahead of time that "patient" would be the new watch word

All of the words and phrases to describe Fed varying view, but "patient" was bandied about as a certainty

So are we talking about about patient, as in sick economy?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:06 | 5564114 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

It's ironic that an old jew plays Santa every year.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:17 | 5564184 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

and the animated classic "Santa Claus is Coming To Town" was written and produced by two jews...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:08 | 5564116 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Markets went vertical right before the release...nothing to see there. Move along

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:27 | 5564289 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

I was watching the 1-minute chart of the S&P 500 on Schwab's StreetSmart Edge® trading platform right before the Fed release at 2:00 PM.  As per what I saw in the chart, the S&P 500 shot up from around 1994.75 to around 2005.5 between 1:58 PM and 2:00 PM.  The slope upward became very steep as 2:00 PM approached.  It was quite a spurt...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:12 | 5564121 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

and Putin raises 7% interest rate in one night not even saying a word ... Russians don't mess about...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:09 | 5564127 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

what a great country...
what a great economy...

bullshit.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:08 | 5564129 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

Must be bullish for something.

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:18 | 5564188 actionjacksonbrownie
actionjacksonbrownie's picture

For gold, it is Neutral-Bullish-Bearish-Bullish-Bearish-Bullish....

 

all in the span of 5 minutes lol

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:27 | 5564273 SilverIsMoney
SilverIsMoney's picture

IT IS SO FUCKING OBVIOUSLY MANIPULATED!

-SPIKES $7 FROM 1195 TO 1202 AT 1:01

-CRASHES FROM 1202 TO 1186 BETWEEN 1:02 AND 1:04

-SPIKES $16 FROM 1186 TO 1202 AT 1:05

-NOW BEING GRINDED BACK DOWN BELOW $1200

FUCK THIS SHIT I'M GOING TO SEE THE HOBBIT...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:29 | 5564294 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

hey brotha...
i feel ur rage...
but u and i r right...
and this will be proven very shortly...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:36 | 5564335 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

Who cares?

Honestly?

If I printed a currency... Let's say I called it the 'Doobie' ... would you care how many of them it took to buy an ounce?  Would it really matter?

The difference between a Doobie and a Dollar is:

- One Legal Tender law.

- 18 Trillion in unpayable debt

- 250 Trillion in unpayable future liabilities.

- a pre-existing symbol  "$"

 

Get it?  Who cares how much toilet paper pays for an ounce?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:39 | 5564361 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

tranquillo hombre..

we on the same team.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:09 | 5564131 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Free. Fair. Efficient. Markets.

Holla.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:11 | 5564134 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

The Patient is DEAD !!!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 16:09 | 5564213 knukles
knukles's picture

He's dead, Jim
Ohurah stinkypants sweetheart baby doll, send a message to Star Fleet for me.  Emergency Highest Priority.  Quote, none of this shit would be happening if you'd get them any other color shirts than red, end quote.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:12 | 5564140 zappafan
zappafan's picture

Fed assclowns fold!  Film at 11.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:11 | 5564141 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

I'm sick of meaningless words ....

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:13 | 5564144 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Mr. Janet Yellen is determined to force you to sell your PMs & buy Alibaba!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:14 | 5564150 venturen
venturen's picture

just be done with....and say FOREVER! 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 16:01 | 5564526 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

That would immediately end all of the insider trading where people who are connected make millions in nanoseconds.

The show must go on.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:16 | 5564153 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Everything is fixed with one word

What's next? Pensive?

WTF

Break out your thesaurus and you can write the Fed excuse for the next 20 meetings

contemplative adj. deep in thought dreamy adj. illusory, romantic meditative adj. contemplative melancholy adj. depressed, sad moody adj. crabby, temperamental philosophical/philosophic adj. thinking deeply, rationally
Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:13 | 5564159 mtndds
mtndds's picture

BULLISH!!  keep the partay going!!!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:14 | 5564160 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Hope you all bought the dip....this bitch is goin up from here.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:14 | 5564162 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

So they basically didn't say shit.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:15 | 5564165 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

SO THESE BASTARDS TELL US ALL THE TIME HOW THE ECONOMY IS IMPROVING TIME AFTER TIME, AND YET, THESE MOTHER FUCKERS R SO SCARED TO RAISE INTEREST RATES EVEN SO SLIGHTLY.

 

THE FACT THAT THERE ARE MANY SHEEPLE WHO BELIEVE THESE FUCKS OUT THERE MAKE ME SICK.

 

FUCK THESE BASTARDS AND EVERYONE INVOLVED IN THE FED/ BANKERS/ MONEY CHANGERS. DIE DIE DIE

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:15 | 5564173 ptoemmes
ptoemmes's picture

Patient Fed - are they sick?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:24 | 5564205 kowalli
kowalli's picture

if you can't raise rates- well then your economy is dead

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:18 | 5564206 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  One has to wonder at what point the markets which are "priced to perfection" start seeing these vagueries from the Fed. as a harbinger of something more ominous on the horizon.

  At some point the markets will want to put a discount on instability and the hindsight gained from the money printing failure.

 I call it the Draghi effect. The jawboning and paper printing become exponentially less effective every time they're extended.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:27 | 5564261 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

2015 is the Shemitah (sp) year....every 7years the tribe must relinquish debt by tribal customs. 2015 IS THE YEAR to watch your financial ass.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:20 | 5564217 wmbz
wmbz's picture

When you are king things are always the way you want them to be, even if in reality they are not. "It is, because I say so"

Screw the serfs as long and hard and as often as you like, what the hell are they going to do about it? They have no voice in the matter.

We are past the point of no return. The un-fed will keep pushing on the string until it becomes a coiled mess.

"Ain't no stopping us now.. We're in the groove"

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:20 | 5564234 Billy Sol Estes
Billy Sol Estes's picture

Gold soars up $5, right Goldcore?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:22 | 5564249 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Dat Russell Doe

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:23 | 5564236 SilverMoney1
SilverMoney1's picture

Considerable Time IS IN THE DOCUMENT.


The Committee sees this guidance as consistent with its previous statement that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program in October


This title is MISSLEADING!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:42 | 5564375 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

hence the jubilation

Janet aim to please

you like happy ending?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:22 | 5564245 yogibear
yogibear's picture

It's stuck it can't raise rates.

This party goes on until the roof caves in.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:26 | 5564268 sosoome
sosoome's picture

We underutilized some folk

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:27 | 5564279 Tigg47
Tigg47's picture

I am bullish on pitchforks and guillotines.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:28 | 5564281 FlSapo
FlSapo's picture

Patient as in , its coming off life support and going to die!

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:28 | 5564284 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

Looking at the balance sheets of the biggest banks - Fed owner bank's biggest debtors, and the Fed owner banks themselves - who will lay odds on a credit collapse within six months of the first rate hike, no matter how small, no matter what they subsequently do?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:28 | 5564295 SilverIsMoney
SilverIsMoney's picture

GOLD IS SO FUCKING OBVIOUSLY MANIPULATED!

-SPIKES $7 FROM 1195 TO 1202 AT 1:01

-CRASHES FROM 1202 TO 1186 BETWEEN 1:02 AND 1:04

-SPIKES $16 FROM 1186 TO 1202 AT 1:05

-NOW BEING GRINDED BACK DOWN BELOW $1200

FUCK THIS SHIT I'M GOING TO SEE THE HOBBIT...

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:35 | 5564332 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

Fuck worrying about the paper price.

I know exactly how many ounces of silver and gold I have.  The same as it was yesterday.

Stack on

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:36 | 5564344 Roger Shermanator
Roger Shermanator's picture

Watching the daily manipulation price action in the paper spot price of gold here... they really do not want gold going over $1,200/oz.

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 15:50 | 5564437 cn13
cn13's picture

QE will never end.  It will always be present from here on out as the FED knows the markets (I hate using that outdated term) are totally dependent on outside support.

What will finally take the markets lower will be a loss of confidence.  And I think that point is coming up much sooner than many think.

The recent meltdown in the crude oil market and the resultant losses in the junk bond market will be huge.  This is a symptom of low interest rates and malinvestment, one of the first negatives we have seen since the FED began the Grand Experiment in 2009.

The energy losses for the banks may not as big as subprime in 2008 but who really knows?  The dust hasn't even had a chance to settle.  Now you know why the Banksters were so eager to get a derivative exemption from Dodd-Frank over the past weekend.

Congress is so corrupt they don't even care anymore what the American people think.  And just a few weeks after reelection.

Sad days for Amerika.

 

 

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 16:01 | 5564514 Pseudonymous
Pseudonymous's picture

Patient? Like a terminally ill cancer patient?

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 18:03 | 5565286 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

FOMC SAYS IT CAN BE 'PATIENT' IN APPROACH TO RAISING RATES

They are a  "Patient" in a rubber room wearing a straitjacket ready to do harm to themselves and anyone who gets near them who also happen to have a briefcase with code(s) to launch Armageddon if they don't get what they want!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!