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From "Ho Ho Ho" To "No No No"; Santa Claus Rally Goes Negative

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The Santa Claus rally, coined by The Stock Trader’s Almanac, is the performance of the S&P500 in the “last 5 trading days of the year AND the first two of the New Year." That means this year it is the performance from the close on 12/23. This morning's USDJPY-driven (home-prices helped) weakness has sent the Dow and S&P 500 into the red - extinguishing (for now) the gift that Santa left...

 

 

The only thing holding stocks up for now is 119.00 USDJPY

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:35 | 5605067 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Wake me when it's down 12,000 points.  Trust me, the lifts at Deer Valley are still packed.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:49 | 5605121 runningman18
runningman18's picture

In such a universally manipulated market, 120 points may well as be 12,000.  The more frequent these events after such a long period of constant fiat fed gains, the more clear it becomes that the PPT is losing its grip, or just pulling the plug altogether.  It's sad but some people really do believe the fantasy will go on forever.  All bubbles pop - end of story.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:59 | 5605145 pods
pods's picture

I think we are past the point of the PPT.  So much GD fiat has been created this thing is now self sustaining.  Basic rent seeking of skimmed fiat.

That is why this thing isn't falling 500 points.  It is not the PPT. It is the fact there is fiat oozing out of everywhere and people are plugging it wherever they can.

At this point, people could be eating each other and you would still see news reports of how well things are and the DOW is up 200 daily.

Shit's all make believe at this point.  Like monopoly.

Look at the FRED charts long term.  What went on in 2008 was the event horizon. Now the rules of reality are suspended.  Anything that happens does so just because it can.  No other reason.

pods

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:18 | 5605214 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Looks like lumps of coal this year....

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:41 | 5605295 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

In 2007, the profits of the DJIA were up 11.69%. It was at least the third straight year of double digit profit growth.  It was easy to understand how they thought the weakness in Real Estate would not sent us into a recession.  Wrong, but easy to see how they would have been overconfident.

THe next year profits collapsed

In 2014, the profits of the DJIA will be up about 3.36%.   We have not had double digit profit growth since 2011.

There's no excuse for the overconfidence this time.  There are not the years of reserves to use for what is coming.

Nearly every indicator around is showing if not negative, then confusing results.

The CONfidence game that has been this recovery is nearly over.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 13:36 | 5605482 runningman18
runningman18's picture

The PPT didn't go away, it just went public, and again, all bubbles pop.  Reality can be hidden for a time, it cannot be suspended.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 14:34 | 5605674 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

btfd

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 14:36 | 5605686 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

btfd

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:35 | 5605071 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

omg now it's really time to btfd

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:38 | 5605080 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Inconceivable. 

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:39 | 5605088 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Bottom is in. Merry Christmas everybody.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:47 | 5605115 blaireauhedge
blaireauhedge's picture

Yep. Indices already rebounding.

I come to ZH for the comments. The blog itself has lost all credibility.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:00 | 5605148 blaireauhedge
blaireauhedge's picture

Ah ah. Junk away. It's a fact, markets started rebounding as soon as ZH posted their "end of the world" update.

We'll probably be in the green in the next hour or so.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:06 | 5605167 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

OK, you've been junked

Now bend over and spread em..

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:37 | 5605274 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Why. Are you going to check for junk in the trunk?

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:07 | 5605172 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

"There's never been a better time then now to ...."

 

u no the mantra ....

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:41 | 5605091 blaireauhedge
blaireauhedge's picture

ZH doing it again. The market's been open for what? about an hour?

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:44 | 5605103 Neverstopprintingme
Neverstopprintingme's picture

exactly.  everything will finish up today.  just like it has for 6+ years.  nothing on the horizon is going to change buy the dip until there is social unrest causing the BOJ and FED to stop buying equities or equity derivatives.  Now the ECB is getting in on the racket too, so we'll just go even higher.  

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:43 | 5605097 alexmark2013
alexmark2013's picture
Buying Monetary Insurance - Ronald Peter Stoeferele Of Incrementum And Gordon T. Long http://investmentwatchblog.com/buying-monetary-insurance-ronald-peter-stoeferele-of-incrementum-and-gordon-t-long/
Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:48 | 5605116 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

The 1% isnt finished owning it all yet, btfd.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:51 | 5605125 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:53 | 5605130 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

But Podemos activists say the mainstream parties are missing the point: their group offers not just new personalities and a new policy mix, but a whole new way of thinking about politics, giving greater voice to ordinary Spaniards who feel ignored by a political class derided as "la casta" or "the caste".

Podemos has set up hundreds of local assemblies known as "circulos" across the country, staging unruly weekly meetings at which Spaniards can vent the anger built up during worst economic crisis since World War Two.

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/rise-spanish-populists-overturns-two-party-sys...

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:53 | 5605131 Racer
Racer's picture

Santa claus is fake just like this "market", so a very appropriate association!

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 11:57 | 5605137 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

quick!!! roll out that little female elvin troll to keep saying the word "patients"

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 12:00 | 5605140 jubber
jubber's picture

USJPY up 40 pips since this piece...55 now

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 13:36 | 5605471 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

ZH please send me a text before you post these market bottom indicators.

 

I'd love to buy this premium service.

Tue, 12/30/2014 - 14:05 | 5605569 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Today was a great day to buy ahead of the January effect.

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