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Uber's Guide To Tonight's Peak "Surge" Pricing

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Via Uber,

With more than two million rides tonight, we expect New Year's Eve to be our busiest night ever! Busy nights require surge pricing to get enough cars on the road and ensure you always have a reliable ride.

 

*  *  *

Always good to manage expectations. So The Bottom Line appears to be - get home by midnight to avoid being surge-priced...

*  *  *

Apart from in Spain...

  • *UBER TEMPORARILY SUSPENDS UBERPOP IN SPAIN
 

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Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:27 | 5608933 himaroid
himaroid's picture

Who is too drunk to drive before 3:00 a.m.?

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:33 | 5608952 AmericasCicero
AmericasCicero's picture

Ill be too drunk to drive at 3 PM

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:41 | 5608965 Rory_Breaker
Rory_Breaker's picture

I'm already too drunk to drive, it's 9 pm here

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:41 | 5608971 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

celebrated last night

it was great

no crowds

 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:58 | 5609022 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Hey, supply and demand.. real price discovery at work..

NOT state (city) dictated, exploitative crony and graft powered “regulation”

 And.. being out on the street in the city after 1 a.m. is by default, a risk situation in today’s modern liberal/progressive society.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 13:07 | 5609259 richiebaby
richiebaby's picture

Very risky yes. I also charge a $5 puke insurance fee upfront

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 14:16 | 5609564 Tarzan
Tarzan's picture

I couldn't agree more!!

What was the point of this story?  May as well have noted the price of Doritos is double that of store brand corn chips... Damn gougers!

Should the price of gas be the same year round?  Should every gas station in my town charge the same?  If I have 2 gadgets left and 10 customers wanting one, should I adjust the price to reflect the demand or maybe keep the same price for importunity and just have them draw straws?

If Uber shouldn't adjust pricing by demand, why should any commodity be priced by demand?  Maybe, to be fair, the Government should set the rates?

Are we for or against free markets?

Fair disclosure, I pay for my Golf habit by driving part time for Uber, and would not be tempted to drive tonight without a price increase!

Back to Bread and Circuses sheeple......

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 13:12 | 5609253 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Here is a practical man. I'll drink to you tonight, waiting 30 minutes for my drink behind mobs of hipsters and thug wannabes. Not that I like big crowds or paying up the ass for pissbeer at a nightclub, but that's what the millennial friends like. Happy New 2015 y'all. It's gonna be a propagandastic roller pooster to top 2014.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:46 | 5608987 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Thank God we are too old to have any desire to be surrounded by dozens, hundreds, or thousands of inebriated strangers. Good luck to all who are planning to venture out into the madness.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:18 | 5609081 PTR
PTR's picture

And to add to the revelrie, protests are expected in many cities.  This should get interesting.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:29 | 5608936 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Sharing a ride with a drunk stranger who's about to toss his/her cookies, lovely idea.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:29 | 5608941 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

How about public transportation?

Never mind...

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:33 | 5608951 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Fall in front of a train and you don't have to worry about being arrested for DUI.  That's a great idea.  I never thought of that.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:30 | 5608944 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

New Year's Eve AKA "Amateur Night".

 

 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:36 | 5608957 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

+100

 all the sheeps go out on New Year's eve, the prices triple too

 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:45 | 5608980 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Humans treat New Year's Eve like it's some life-changing event. If your life sucked in 2014 it will most probably suck even more tomorrow.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:03 | 5609037 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Yes but the suck gets to start all fresh again!

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:24 | 5609096 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

 +100

good laugh

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 17:03 | 5610263 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Every morning is a chance for the suck to start all fresh again.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:53 | 5609007 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

so then if we all do as they suggest and request rides "righ after the ball drops....or later" then won't surge pricing move to the new demand?

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:35 | 5608956 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

We need government involvement in this. It's obviously unfair that Uber is allowed to set prices based on demand! For instance, this means poorer people are more likely to drive drunk instead of taking Uber and get in wrecks, killing dozens babies across this great land. We need regulation to put an end to this nasty corporate price gouging.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:37 | 5608961 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I know you're kidding but somewhere there's a politician who is reading this and thinking "that's a great idea".

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:36 | 5608962 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

WTF are you doing here @ ZH with this statement: "We need government involvement "

 you need to stick to CNN or wake the fuck up


Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:52 | 5608999 McCormick No. 9
McCormick No. 9's picture

Tips on how to recognize sarcasm without a "sarc" tag:

1. It's all about context. Who actually trolls ZH with demands for "more government involvement"? Answer: no-one.

2. Outrageous language that doesn't make sense: "Obviously unfair... to set prices based on demand" ... do I really need to parse this for you? It is the first rule of economics that rising demand raises prices. To say that such a law is "obviously unfair" is ludicrus, and therefore, humorous, because sane people don't make such statements. But insane people have no sense of humor, and therefore take everything seriously.

3. Illogical logic: Moving from a premise to an outrageous conclusion by means of huge leaps of logical fallacy is always funny, even when it is done in seriousness. Dead babies as a result of Uber's surge pricing is just such a humorous illogical leap. The real humor here is that you cannot see the humor in this.

4. I am tempted to write something serious and logical, and then put a "sarc" tag on it, just to fuck with everyone's head. Sarc tags are for pussies.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:18 | 5609079 alt.hedge
alt.hedge's picture

+1000

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:22 | 5609092 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

yup i did forget /sarc lol

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:33 | 5613829 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

removing / refusing '/sarc' is a standard IQ test on ZH.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:01 | 5609027 agstacks
agstacks's picture

"killing dozens of babies across the great land" isn't sarcastic enough for you? 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:50 | 5609180 upWising
upWising's picture

Our visitor, Mr/Mrs/Ms/Miss/Dr/Rev DOLLAR is stuck, so I am here to help::

 

On the little table in front of you, you will find a box of colour crayons and a piece of paper.

Take any crayon out of the box.  Any colour will do.  You may use either end of the crayon.

Stick your tongue between your teeth, clench down and concentrate real hard.

Now pick up the crayon and connect the only two dots on the paper.  Try not to drool on the paper.   (Don't forget to concentrate real hard, but not so hard you poop your diaper.)

There.....you did it.

Welcome to Sarcasm-stan.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:45 | 5608984 Catullus
Catullus's picture

You missed the "unfettered" word. That's the omg code word. Then the OMGs come out and start demanding things.

Just start using it, it's hilarious how outraged people get.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:03 | 5609035 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

"unfettered banker access to consumer wallets, savings, and safety deposit boxes"

Actually that one's not so funny.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:57 | 5609015 zwanderer
zwanderer's picture

Just imagine how many babies will be dropped from incubators because of Uber...

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:37 | 5608964 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Supply demand, except for Spain.  They are going to walk everywhere.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:40 | 5608967 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

There is nothing like ripping your customers off -- then wondering why you are going out of business.  Excessive late fees put many video rental stores out of business and hastened the transtition to on-line content delivery.  High ticket prices are killing baseball, as families (and hence the future fan base) can no longer afford to go.  $100 fees for a 5 mile ride will mean the last ride for that particular customer.

 

Maybe Mickey D's can double the price of Big Macs between 11:00 AM and 1:00 PM?

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:21 | 5609050 Catullus
Catullus's picture

You sure about that video store analysis? Because redbox still charges late fees and those things do just fine.

Maybe it's because no one needed to waste the money on expensive leases, pay the twerp minimum wage to run the store and pay the franchising fees to run one. Oh and continuously have to purchase new videos to have enough stock to rent out. That seemed like it hastened their demise.

Just like it doesn't make sense to pay the cool $900k for a taxi medallion, licensing, fees, insurance and maintance of a desperate vehicle only used as a cab.

You want to bring a drunk girl home from NYE? Ask if she wants to take the bus. Or better yet, walk in her heels she's been wearing for 6 hours. It's a holiday for single people to get laid. Hedge accordingly.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:08 | 5609051 Duty Chief
Duty Chief's picture

Please clarify what constitutes a "rip-off".  Seems like a fairly straight forward exchange of service for a fee.  If $100 is too much, walk.  No one is entitled to a drunk night out.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:23 | 5609099 agstacks
agstacks's picture

The War on Women™ continues...

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:43 | 5608976 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Let's see I'll be pulling into NYC just before midnight. Not my decision. The wisdom of an older brother.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:04 | 5609039 himaroid
himaroid's picture

I am dodging my brother in law this year.

A couple of New Year's ago he talked me into walking six miles with him to get home.

He brought it up at Christmas, like he wants to make it a tradition.

It was cheap though.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 14:41 | 5609645 Duude
Duude's picture

Tell him to hit 24 hour fitness.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:54 | 5609009 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Just stay home. I stopped going out in 1993 (US). It's not worth it. Don't even watch the ball drop on network cable TV, just another day for me. My last celebration was 1997 in Luxemburg. Great people, fireworks, and the rental car broke down [POS Peugeot started again after several hours later]. That was the last time going out on New Year’s Eve.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:54 | 5609010 Pantalone
Pantalone's picture

The rape curve is steep.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:03 | 5609038 McCormick No. 9
McCormick No. 9's picture

...but only because the price of hookers and blowjobs surges just before midnight on New Year's.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 13:45 | 5609013 silentboom
silentboom's picture

It's sad that Uber has to put out these notifications since many of their customers and the news outlets who seek to destroy them report basic supply and demand fluctuations as price gouging and expect magical fucking fairies to provide cars and free rides in even the most demanding of situations.  On a side note, I wish they wouldn't donate one fucking cent to the neoprohibitionists over at MADD, they are just a bunch of rotten cunts who take advantage of families in their most vulnerable times.  Happy New Years.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:57 | 5609016 The_Virginian
The_Virginian's picture

Why does ZH continue to bash Uber's application of pricing through supply and demand? This is called a "market." You can't bitch about the central bankers destroying the price mechanism in markets, and then continually shit on a company that's actually trying to use the price mechanism to get resources where they're in the highest demand. 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:02 | 5609029 McCormick No. 9
McCormick No. 9's picture

How does Uber set these price surges ahead of time? Maybe it is an algorythm? Is Uber just warning people or do they actually design in the surge?

If they are actually pre-setting the surge, then Uber is no different than the The New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:15 | 5609069 Suisse
Suisse's picture

I would imagine they can model prices based on demand experienced in previous years.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:55 | 5609977 Freddie
Freddie's picture

Do you mean that algo, robot software could actually cheat people?  Shocking!

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:24 | 5609100 Atomizer
Wed, 12/31/2014 - 17:07 | 5610276 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Uber is an internet taxi dispatch service with a stupid pricing algorithm. Big fucking deal. It's a piece of shit internet scam, that's why it's fun to make fun of them. They are the Pets.com of the 2010 decade.

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:29 | 5613823 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

How is it stupid? If demand goes down the cost goes down. Immediately. Plus there's notifications. Plus multiple prompts to ensure no accidental acceptance of the price quoted.

That sounds really smart to me.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 11:58 | 5609024 McCormick No. 9
McCormick No. 9's picture

I wonder what the surge will be in cocaine and ecstasy prices in the hour to two hours before Midnight? All savvy drug dealers who are also ZH readers take note of this opportunity!

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 12:16 | 5609070 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

all "savvy" drug dealers don't need ZH or any other news outlet to know when their surges are.....they know exactly how to control inventory

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 13:01 | 5609237 ali-ali-al-qomfri
ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

Uber-Duber is in beta; smoked too much? Uber-Duber - for high rollers.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Happy New Year ZH & Hedgers

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 14:27 | 5609596 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Uber is drawing some evil looks from entrenched taxi services and their political allies in city governments. Taxi services provide lots of liscense fees and taxes to local politicians to spend. And Taxi services grease the politicians with campaign money and bribes.

This is why I expect a full court attack on Uber coming. Not just the small attacks that have already happened, but maybe bringing in the big guns in Federal Government to wage war on freedom, small business and capitalism.

The internet brings with it a great wave of freedom in information, cutting out the Main Stream media, and a huge wave of small business freedom that threatens corporate entrenched business. Both are used to power, power that buying politicians gives them. Yet the internet economy can step in between customer and small business with direct links, cutting out the Middle Man. SInce the dawn of history, the Middle Man has gotten most of the wealth. Producers and customers both get fucked by the armies of middle men who get inbetween the producer and customers and extract what amounts to a heavy tax on all transaction. The same holds true for news and inforamtion. The Media takes real news, and twists it to conform to government's desires, then spews it out on corporate media to the people, who have their minds polluted by distortion and lies.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 17:08 | 5610282 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

I agree in principle with what you are saying, but unfortunately Uber isn't going to be the one to take the licensed taxicab companies down. Because Uber is kind of a piece of shit.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 14:37 | 5609639 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Haha...peak hours are after the parties end and the bars close!

No profitable goods production.  No investment opportunities.  Fake EVERYTHING.

No wonder alcohol drives the US economy.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:17 | 5609700 besnook
besnook's picture

taking advantage of shortages of goods used to be called price gouging and is the reason real taxis have meters. demand pricing is gouging.

do they raise prices when the supply of drivers is short during normal business which also creates a demand imbalance?

sounds like most of you guys advocate selling bags of ice for 100 dollars/lb after some natural disaster, supply and demand afterall, right?

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:26 | 5609828 silentboom
silentboom's picture

Exactly, seems like you might be getting it.  As the price necessarily rises for items such as generators after a disaster, more people find ways to provide generators to the people who need them, sometimes driving from other states to sell their rarely used one.  Price controls cause surpluses and shortages.  During Sandy people were selling gasoline on craigslist and hand delivering it to people who needed it more then they did, circumventing the laws created by the economic morons in charge that created 10 mile long lines to gas stations and rationing in the typical Tsar way.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:49 | 5609950 besnook
besnook's picture

i have now experienced two devastating natural disasters. in both cases, good samaritans thwarted the gougers by providing neccessities at cost or as donations. there were hundreds of other people willing to take advantage of the supply/ demand imbalance. while some made a few bucks, several more were looted when people found out they were price gouging because of the situation.

what will be the backlash for uber when people find out they price according to acute demand. disney tried it with soft drinks during the hottest part of the day. when people found out the price for the same thing was not the same as it was just a coupla hours ago they stopped buying soft drinks altogether  because they felt ripped off. will the same thing happen to uber?

uber forgot the customer determines the price not the vendor. uber may have just done the cab industry a huge favor.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 19:19 | 5610699 senjohn
senjohn's picture

I agree with your comments. I was interested to see what people said about Uber's pricing because the Tampa paper this morning reported that a couple was charged $97.10 (10 times the normal rate) to go about 3.4 miles. Yes, I know they agreed to it but there are regrets the next day. They said they would stick to Lyft, who caps the top rate at 4 times the regular rate. I will probably not take either one of them and if I could short Uber's stock, I would.

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:29 | 5613821 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

That would be a poor choice several times over for you.

The alternative with a capped price is a capped supply of drivers. If you're not willing to pay you get no ride. Uber is called when other cabs are too pricy (most of the time) or unavailable (frequently).

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:26 | 5613819 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

"good samaritans thwarted the gougers by providing neccessities at cost or as donations"

Your reliance on charity of others in hard times is foolish. And by the way nothing about dynamic price-rises denies the ability for the uber driver him/her self from using their own phone, in charity, to add a fare-split and cut some of the cost. Or just take cash out of his/her pocket and hand it to the passengers after accepting the ride & paying via the app.

You seem to not think at all about this yet act as if you've given it deep, credible thought. You haven't.

The customer is determining the price as Uber 100% is aware and supporting which is why when less customers are asking for Uber drivers the price automatically drops.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:47 | 5609929 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

"Price-gouging" is a governmet-created fictitious "crime".  (I too do it in a heartbeat whenever I can because I'm in business, not charity...) 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 15:57 | 5609982 besnook
besnook's picture

how much business do you think you will get with a reputation for price gouging? is it worth it?

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:24 | 5613815 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

It is worth it. Without the adjusted rise the business drops to 0. Zero. No drivers. That means zero revenue.

Thu, 01/01/2015 - 23:24 | 5613814 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Uber explained it very well on their conference press calls: if the price doesn't go up and there's no more drivers on the road you get NO cab at any price. If the price goes up maybe you get a cab. Remember, given the available pricing & non-Uber cabs you have a limited supply & no incentive for any additional drivers.

No matter how bad you want a cab at a fair price you always get no cab at any price if there are no drivers on the road available. Increasing price is one way to encourage people to get out there. Allowing fare-splitting is a way to drop the cost-per-person for sharing a ride.

I have no idea how you are on Zerohedge and don't understand this. If you're not willing to pay there are no drivers for you. Same as if the price is fixed, supply is fixed (cab taxi commission rules in a city) and they are all busy. You CAN'T pay more so you get NO ride. Same as if they show up and you refuse to pay the full amount: if the driver knows in advance you can't afford the ride you get no ride.

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 16:14 | 5610052 Jim Shoesesta
Jim Shoesesta's picture

I just let my wife fly me home on her broom. 

Wed, 12/31/2014 - 17:10 | 5610293 Buckaroo Banzai
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ZH Comment of the Day.

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