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Is Citi The Next AIG?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Earlier today, when we were conducting a routine check with the Office of the Currency Comptroller's on the total notional amount of derivatives held at the Big 4 banks in the context of the "JPMorgan break up" story, we found something stunning: using the latest, just released Q3 OCC data, JPMorgan is no longer America's undisputed derivatives king. Well, it still is at the HoldCo level, where it is number one in terms of notional derivatives with $65.5 trillion, but when one steps a level lower, namely the FDIC-insured commercial bank (the National Association or N.A.) level, something quite disturbing emerges. This:

As the chart above, which references Table 1 in the Q3 OCC report, shows Citigroup, or rather its FDIC-insured Citibank National Association entity, just surpassed JPM and is now the biggest single holder of total derivatives in the US. Furthermore, as the charts below show, while every other bank was derisking its balance sheet, Citi not only increased its total derivative holdings by $1 trillion in Q2, but by a whopping, and perhaps even record, $9 trillion in the just concluded third quarter to $70.2 trillion!

 

Here is Citi in context:

 

What is the reason for the surge in total derivative exposure? was it futures, options, forward or CDS? Neither. The answer: OTC traded swaps...

 

... which soared by $5 trillion in Q2 and over $8 trillion - or a massive 20% in just one quarter - in Q3 to a whopping $49 trillion, $16 trillion more than the OTC swaps held by JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs, and more than double the swaps held by Bank of America!

 

And that's not all: perhaps what is most bizarre is that Citigroup is the one bank whose HoldCo holds less derivatives, or $64.8 trillion, than its FDIC-insured N.A. OpCo which has $70.3 trillion in derivative notional exposure. For those wondering: this was not the case in the second quarter when the HoldCo ($61.8 trillion) held more derivatives than Citi's FDIC-insured bank ($61.1 trillion).

Then we started thinking:

Citigroup... swaps... Citigroup... swaps...

and a lightbulb click, because we remembered that it was none other than Citigroup that crafted the legislation on the swaps push-out provision which passed Congress without nary a peep from either side of the aisle, and which put taxpayers on the hook for FDIC-insured derivative exposure - and in Citi's own case a soaring $70 trillion as of September 30, 2014:

 

Screen Shot 2014-12-05 at 3.32.12 PM

We also revealed that, not surprisingly, the main backer of the bill is notorious Wall Street puppet Jim Himes (D-Conn.) the man BusinessWeek branded "Wall Street's Favorite Democrat" who also happens to be a former Goldman Sachs employee.

 

And yet, despite all these critical recollections, many questions remains, such as:

  • Why does Citi's FDIC-insured bank suddenly have more derivative notional exposure than its HoldCo: something which is generally without precedent?
  • Why, when every other Big 4 bank is derisking its balance sheet and reducing its derivative exposure in light of far more stringent capital requirements, is Citigroup adding to its derivative notional and swap exposure at an unprecedented, feverish pace, which saw the bank boost its OTC Swaps holdings by 20% in just one quarter?
  • When Congress was voting for the swaps push-out legislation, the Q3 OCC data was not yet publicly available. Was anyone in Congress aware that some $9 trillion had been added to the tally of taxpayer insured derivatives held at Citibank NA as of September 30.
  • What is Citigroups and Citibank's total derivative and total swap exposure as of December 31, and has it continue to soar at a rate of roughly $10 trillion per quarter?

And perhaps most impotantly: what is the underlying trade that requires Citigroup to keep adding to its swap exposure at a time when increasing volatility is forcing all other banks to unwind swaps in order to minimize VaR and be in compliance with Fed capitalization requirements?

And then another lightbulb went over our heads: the last entity to do this was, drumroll, JPMorgan, in early 2013, just before its London whale trade imploded and when the bank's attempt to corner the IG9 market failed miserably but not before JPM's CIO trading desk doubled down, then doubled down again and doubled down some more taking their total derivative exposure to several hundred billion... before it all came crashing down.

Now, we are not saying Citigroup is in the same boat as JPM's infamous CIO which led to congressional hearings and what not - especially since $250 billion was manageable; $50 trillion will not be - but we do wonder: just what is going on behind the massivaly margined scenes if Citi is following every page in the London Whale book and on top of everything it also had to lobby and petition Congress to change the law just so whatever it is that Citigroup is doing, it could continue to do, and what's more: with explicit taxpayer-funded backing.

Which leads us to the final question:

  • Is Citigroup about to become the "New Normal" AIG?

Source: OCC

 

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Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:47 | 5624296 Madcow
Madcow's picture

We're going to need a bail-out to bail-out the bail-out. '

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:48 | 5624315 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Saw it in the excellent documentary linked earlier by Escevara (sp) via Meofbills (sp)...

Value of institutional real estate in Japan went from 14 trillion yen in 1969 to 2,000 trillion yen in 1989.

That bubble burst, a long time ago and Japan is still (barely) trudging along.

Point being that between so many variables (set up to be exactly that way) in the global financial world, coupled with laws and controls in very few hands, this game of NUMBers can be played for a loooooong time yet.

Something tangible has to give for real change to emerge.

Like the rending of social fabric (underway globally), the bleakness of constant war, especially in certain places...

watch this, it is fractally applicable world over.

Heard another excellent little soundbite somewhere...

The future is here now, it is just unevenly distributed. Ponder that ;-)

The Princes of Yen:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5Ac7ap_MAY

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:22 | 5625103 risk-reward
risk-reward's picture

Princes of Yen = intertesting flick.  Thanx, ROI

Tue, 01/06/2015 - 00:19 | 5626778 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Just passing the love I get from ZH comment school :-) You are welcome.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:30 | 5625602 DollarMenu
DollarMenu's picture

Thanks for the video link ORI.

I did not know that the records for the ECB were 'immune' from search by ANY police or investigative body.

 

Tue, 01/06/2015 - 00:20 | 5626787 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Most of us "know" what is in that film, yet, I watched in mostly shocked silence....

People don't matter....such a strange world money hath wrought....

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:56 | 5625675 Bioscale
Bioscale's picture

Thanks for the Princes, never heard of Richard Werner.  A deep look into the banksters' kitchen how they have been cooking Japan since the WW2.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:49 | 5624317 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Fucking die already, will ya?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:50 | 5624318 kowalli
kowalli's picture

one of this megabanks will go down

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:53 | 5624345 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

Exactly

 

all along i had no doubt we would have another financial crisis ... and taxpayers on the hook ... again

 

but to (politically) appease the masses 1 or 2 would have to be taken down (B of A at the top of my list ... HQ'd in charlotte ... not part of the inner club)

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:35 | 5624607 DonutBoy
DonutBoy's picture

Not without taking all of your taxes paid, your social security, your 401K, and your IRA - or should I say MyIRA

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:51 | 5624326 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

When does a number become so large it no longer represents anything?

If you add up the gross worth of all the counterparty’s, is it more or less than 70 Trillion?

If not, then the large number no longer represents anything, it represents nothing of value.

At least in percentages.

So, 1% of 70 Trillion is 700,000,000,000 BiLLION!

Now that’s a big number that represents something.

 Something no one has to pay a gambling debt.  

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:46 | 5624649 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

No, it's 700 BILLION

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:20 | 5625090 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

The numerical representation was for effect; not textual accuracy.

However, your point is well taken.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:51 | 5624329 you enjoy myself
you enjoy myself's picture

what's wrong with the other banks that aren't going balls to the wall?  when the game is heads-i-win tails-you-lose (citi will never be allowed to collapse) then it's almost a breach of fiduciary duty not to gamble irresponsibly.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:53 | 5624332 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

not a problem. citi is tbtf.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:00 | 5624387 farmboy
farmboy's picture

Hmm i like your picture but I guess there are no TBTF once the wheels come off this markets.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:02 | 5624394 walküre
walküre's picture

only way to save them all is to reset the system

2015 is the year

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:47 | 5625649 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

As things stand now, there'll probably a bond crisis no later than 2H 2015, and a lot of unemployment.  One only needs to look at the price of oil, the amount of junk bonds issued by the energy sector and the timing of that, and the yields on said junk bonds.  Of course, it could happen sooner, or perhaps there's some hidden insurance shit that could push things out a bit further, but based on what I know right now, their hedges against low prices run out around 2H 2015.  

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:56 | 5624357 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

You can feel it coming...that rubber covered greased pole heading towards the taxpaying muppet ass at 120 mph.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:56 | 5624358 youngman
youngman's picture

If I was one of these CEOs..and saw that you only get fined a small % when you cheat....and never get a criminal investigation ..I would cheat too...it just costs a big political donation to cover yourself...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:55 | 5624359 alexmark2013
alexmark2013's picture
The Global Economy Is Imploding. Stock Markets Do Not Reflect The Economic Circumstances Of The Average Person In Asia, Europe Or The U.S. Governments Across The Globe Have Been Captured By Banking, Corporate And Military Interests. http://investmentwatchblog.com/sayonara-global-economy-total-world-debt-excluding-financial-firms-now-exceeds-100-trillion-the-worldwide-banking-syndicate-has-an-additional-130-trillion-of-debt-on-their-insolvent-books/
Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:57 | 5624363 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

Is Citi about to become Americas Bad Bank?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:28 | 5624573 tiwimon
tiwimon's picture

Thats the first thing I thought myself - Citi is going to be the bad bank that gets flushed

Tue, 01/06/2015 - 00:29 | 5626802 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

My bet is Wells Fargo is going to get crushed long before Citi even breaks into a sweat.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:57 | 5624705 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

The biggest, baddest bank the world has ever known.

Now, how does this play into the "break up JPM meme?"

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:59 | 5624376 That_shits_broken
That_shits_broken's picture

Get to work Mr. Bullard!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 13:58 | 5624381 farmboy
farmboy's picture

Citi is already a dead corpse, they have no choice. The strategy is called quite or double :)

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:00 | 5624390 walküre
walküre's picture

it's that time again for a slow but steady walk to the bank and taking out some cash....

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:02 | 5624395 heisenberg991
heisenberg991's picture

I would love to see Obama cut them a check for 70 trillion. This check will not bounce...trust me guys.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:05 | 5624416 walküre
walküre's picture

not a big deal, he just only needs 70 of his 1 trillion Dollar coins... probably carries that in his golf purse

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:06 | 5624414 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

I mean apart from all the horror, this is great, Kafka-level black comedy. The total bill they stuck to taxpayers for just this time was $303 trillion when the derivatives start coming apart. Okay guys, now pull the other one. Split that by 330 million Americans and you get... Hey Billy-Bob, where's your million dollar share coming from? Hey single working black mother trying to raise 3 kids on a receptionist job at a company that's three quarters broke, where's your million dollar share coming from? They broke it this time. They could throw the entire global GDP into this maw and still come up an order of magnitude short and then some.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:07 | 5624429 walküre
walküre's picture

wheelbarrow time!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:01 | 5624721 madcows
madcows's picture

I hear McDonald's is coming out with it's all new "Trillion Dollar Menu".  You can get a small fry, small drink and a cheeseburger for just 3 Trillion FRN's.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:13 | 5624786 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

And you get change back on your trillion!  What a deal.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:24 | 5625112 css1971
css1971's picture

I'll buy a set of notes to frame and stick on my wall.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:07 | 5624422 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Hime rhymes with Slime.

A new breed of Democrat. If this does not dispel the myth of RED/BLUE then nada will.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:59 | 5624714 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Nada it is then!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:07 | 5624428 venturen
venturen's picture

Citibank Press Release"...our investment in Jack Lew and Peter Orzag have an 10000% ROI!!!"

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:08 | 5624439 mattgallis
mattgallis's picture

60 trillion 70 trillion, those figures are so massive it doens't even make sense anymore.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:51 | 5625657 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Give it time.  They'll make perfect sense when we're all trillionaires!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:10 | 5624443 Withdrawn Sanction
Withdrawn Sanction's picture

The banks will claim notional values grossly overstates risk exposure.  Netting of offsetting positions winnows that $239T figure down considerably.  Unfortunately for this line of logic is the troublesome fact that 93% of gross (and likely net) exposure concentrates in just 4 banks.  Failure of just one of these titans endangers the entire house of cards.  Remember too these guys are living on the razor's edge inasmuch as there's roughly 1.7 trillion or so in capital in the ENTIRE US banking system to absorb losses.  

Looks like Citi is being set up to be the patsy here.  Then they'll try to send the bill to the taxpayer (as usual), only to have the taxpayer turn his pockets out and jig will be up at that point.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:06 | 5624741 agstacks
agstacks's picture

I don't know, I doubt they will go away after we show our empty pockets.  I assume we will will get flipped upside down and shaken a bit before they leave us- just to be sure..

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:54 | 5625878 WillyGroper
WillyGroper's picture

Nothing says lovin' like someone in the oven.

That's what we're going to get.

Those FEMA coffins are for the Praetorians.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:09 | 5625047 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
MASTER OF UNIVERSE's picture

Good synthesis, I agree wholeheartedly, and that was my first impression when I read the article, but I was unable to decipher

the way you did, WS. Thanks for sharing.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:52 | 5625659 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Yeah, those risk arguments always have the assumption that none of the counter parties are going to go under, which, as we all know, is not realistic.  GIGO at its financial finest.  

 

And Citi has been shit for quite some time.  Not necessarily a patsy, but quite possibly simply the weakest hand out of all the TBTF.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:10 | 5624451 breadonwaters
breadonwaters's picture

 

check out usa Watchdog .......Ron Kirby on the OIL DERIVATIVES upcoming crash

 

http://usawatchdog.com/oil-derivatives-explode-in-early-2015-rob-kirby/

 

OIL  drops 50%, its gotta take some gamblers with it.....HI HO SILVER....AWAY!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:12 | 5624460 Let The Wurlitz...
Let The Wurlitzer Play's picture

The way the bill went through congress tells me that our government is using Citi as a conduit for some type of financial transaction(s).

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:01 | 5624728 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Well, if you think this mafia is "our government" then you obviously deserve the governing you're gonna get.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:07 | 5624744 agstacks
agstacks's picture

Do they hold a large silver (paper) position?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:12 | 5624468 naiverealist
naiverealist's picture

". . . because we remembered that it was none other than Citigroup that crafted the legislation on the swaps push-out provision which passed Congress without nary a peep from either side of the aisle . . . ."

 

You might check that statement.  Elizabeth Warren raised a big stink about this in the Senate.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:15 | 5624476 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

How much of this derivatives overhang is Greek related? If the election goes wrong for the EU, a default and EU exit seems assured. The EU spent 240 billion Euros to rescue Greece. Greece ows big time to European and probably American banks. When default happens, you know that bankers have written billions in CDS on Greek Debt. Are all the counter parties liquid enough to meet the derivatives when they are called in? Like AIG in 2008? Fuck no! They won't be able to handle a Greek default event.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:33 | 5624554 walküre
walküre's picture

The potential of a Greek default is not even the issue. The problem is when Greece defaults, there will be incentive to default in Italy and even in Spain. That is game over for the EU as you know it.

Can the EU and Germany support Greece and others for much longer? I don't think that is possible either. There is just no legal precedent and definitely no EU framework for any of this.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:09 | 5624752 agstacks
agstacks's picture

Simple! It will not be called a "credit event". \s

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:32 | 5624862 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

These Derivatives are almost certainly related to Interest Rates.

The FED sold Interest Rate Swaps in early attempts at stealth QE -manipulation of Interest Rates and 'Rate Swaps/Futures' for the sake of policy objectives- and was as much about building the Derivatives Complex in conjunction with it's cartel members JPM and Citi, etc...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:20 | 5624506 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I bet you now that the Conimbus bill passed, the other 3 TBTF's have increased their notational dervative holdings.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:11 | 5624770 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

And why not?  Uncle Sugar is going to make everybody happy.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 21:26 | 5626191 harleyjohn45
harleyjohn45's picture

Pray tell, how is uncle sugar going to make everyone happy, when they can't pay their own debts, much less another 300 trillion in deratives???

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:19 | 5624508 surfvin
surfvin's picture

I knew I smelled derivitive smoke. Said so in my earlier post from this morning. Dollar knee- jerk frought with danger.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:22 | 5624517 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

FDIC has this puppy covered.  Using their staunch historical analysis, a 2.0% Designated Reserve Ratio is only needed.

 

Helllooo, McFly

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 21:29 | 5626200 harleyjohn45
harleyjohn45's picture

No way, FDIC has anything covered, they don't have the 2% of what out there.  We are on autopilot.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:23 | 5624523 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

I'm expecting something bad to happen, unexpectedly.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:32 | 5624581 walküre
walküre's picture

Like in 2008/2009 when the whole show was planned?

Or in 2001 and 2002?

Unexpected to the DWTS crowd for sure.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:15 | 5624794 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

Seems about every 7 years is frequent enough to satisfy the lust, but long enough for silly people to believe it when the media tells them they've forgotten the last time. 7 years is an iconic time-span in human life, it seems.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:22 | 5624526 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

ditto

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:24 | 5624539 yogibear
yogibear's picture

It's only unexpected by the sheeple. Goldman, JPM and Citi all know they have a load of derivative turds to dump on the US taxpayer.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:21 | 5624527 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Bill passed just in time for the huge derivative dump on the US taxpayer.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:24 | 5624541 Farmer Joe in B...
Farmer Joe in Brooklyn's picture

The taxpayers won't even realize that they've signed the dotted line until they're paying the price.  There will be blood in the streets this time....

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:30 | 5624579 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Jamie Dimon (JPM)  was on the phone with the powerful  politicians to get it rammed through.

Then they'll all play dumb, like Yellen, William Dudley, Williams, Bullard and Evans of the Fed. They'll claim they never saw it coming.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:32 | 5624864 10mm
10mm's picture

Jamie was on phone with Maxine Waters. Nuff said.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:30 | 5624572 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

Our Zionist Congress takes its marching orders from the house of Saud  http://www.alwaleed.com.sa/

what could go wrong?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:34 | 5624596 matagorda
matagorda's picture

Must have decided to corner the oil market when it dropped below $100.  How's that workin' for ya?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:34 | 5624603 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

LOL!!!
Go ahead...do it. Bail out some big banks again...

The whole thing is laughable. The law is meaningless, as there isn't enough money in existence to cover these bets. And if you were surprised by how fast they got it passed, you'll be amazed at how fast they un-pass it when TSHTF.

This thing goes down again, and no one will be getting any bailouts, or bail-ins, or bail ANYTHINGS...there will be some nasty surprises, and banks will burn.

The next major crisis takes down the big banks, there won't BE any bailouts this time.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:11 | 5624769 agstacks
agstacks's picture

"There WILL be bailouts or you will awaken tomorrow with tanks in the streets."

 

Hugs

Hank Paulson

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:34 | 5624868 10mm
10mm's picture

Ill take tanks(MRAPs) for 200 Alex.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:11 | 5625059 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

A volley of molotovs for all!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:05 | 5625718 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Why engage the MRAPS?  They'll brake down eventually, and while the JBTs are driving around in them, they're not going to be there to stop anybody from burning their fucking houses down.  In other words, it behooves them to behave when SHTF, because their reliance on heavy equipment can be turned against them.  

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 22:13 | 5626352 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

Oh please! The fact is, the bailouts happened because the whole thing was about to implode, and a whole lot of people were about to get exposed, completely and totally, the shit was coming from all directions...

If Hank issued any threats, it was to those folks. Something along the lines of "If WE go down, we take ya'll with us. So figure it out."

It wasn't to "save" the economy, it was to keep the collapse from "exposing their nakedness". The only way to prevent all the demands coming in was to pay them , but the amount needed was astronomic...what to do, what to DO?

Threaten the ones who were IN on it, and sell the rest on "Financial Armageddon"...presto! 700 billion dollars, and they take it and say "Yeah, that should do it...for now. We'll be in touch..."

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:37 | 5624612 tahoebumsmith
tahoebumsmith's picture

10's of TRILLIONS to keep the Ponzi from unraveling and all it has got us is 10's of TRILLIONS moar debt... Even a 5th grader who can barely pass math could see where this is all going to end... The Keynesian destruction of human civilation as we know it...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:46 | 5624653 Caleb Abell
Caleb Abell's picture

Derivatives have more to do with financial gangsterism than Keynesian theories.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:09 | 5624746 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

Used to be if you didn't pay your Las Vegas debts, you were found weeks later in a shallow grave outside of town.

 

If this was REAL gangsterism, the debts would not be allowed to accumulate so much without some drastic action.  But banksterism, well, the sky's the limit.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:39 | 5624622 T-NUTZ
T-NUTZ's picture

We FLEECED some folks...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:40 | 5624626 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

Not gonna see this on CNBC....

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:42 | 5624636 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Citi was scum in 2008, not the largest but one of the most irresponsible, and a lot of Paulson's panic and bizarre moves were explicitly to save Citi and hide their transgressions.

Though the title was right and AIG was the worst of all, Citi was nearly as bad with much less excuse.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:46 | 5624648 yogibear
yogibear's picture

You can bet Citi is not the only roach. There are others.

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:52 | 5624679 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
MASTER OF UNIVERSE's picture

Very interesting discovery, Tyler(s). Please get into this issue in-depth

with more articles/perspectives to ruminate on. I am certain that this issue is representative of the end-of-the-World when it comes to Capitalism. The derivatives universe is the weakest link in the Ponzi superstructure IMHO. I always thought that BofA was going to be the one with the greatest leverage after 08. In brief, I'm no Economics major and I am here to learn how hot-potatoe-hot-potatoe works in the real World, Z/H. Seems to me that someone is going to get burned very soon.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 21:33 | 5626209 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

Yeah Tyler ....find citi's fat finger and the whole ponzi may go down.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:55 | 5624695 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Is holdco loaning them money? And that's why they're netting it out?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:06 | 5624731 headhunt
headhunt's picture

Treasury derivatives.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:06 | 5624738 Billy Shears
Billy Shears's picture

Really, I mean, how do politicians get away with this stuff? There is no rational justification for making the public at large responsible for the gambling debts of the banks...how can the electorate not be livid? After all, if your neighbor was out at the casino all day and the casino dropped the cost of your neighbors losses in your mailbox each night you would be onto this like white on rice! Wake up, people!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:13 | 5624780 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Go ask the first hundred people (not working in finance) you meet these questions, and you might find one who will understand the issue, let alone be enraged about it. (then ask that person what their ZH handle is)

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:17 | 5624808 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

ot: our leaders you know the ones who police and judges and military and cia nsa protects..corrupt fuckers

"Now that Prince Andrew has found himself ensnared in the sleazy sex slave story of wealthy degenerate Jeffrey Epstein, Bill Clinton can’t be too far behind.

Epstein, who paid teenage girls for naked massages at his Palm Beach, Florida mansion, is a convicted sex offender whose circle of powerful friends has included financiers, celebrities, politicians, and scientists.

In fact, Epstein, 61, has maintained many of these relationships even after pleading guilty in 2008 to a felony charge stemming from a lengthy probe of his lewd interaction with scores of underage girls, many of whom were recruited while they were students at a Palm Beach high school. 

Epstein is pictured above in his most recent sex offender registry photo.

But while Prince Andrew and other public figures resumed meeting with a post-prison Epstein, Clinton appears to have avoided the billionaire, who owns a private Caribbean island, a Manhattan mansion, a New Mexico ranch, and a Paris apartment in addition to his waterfront Palm Beach residence."

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 23:03 | 5626557 putaipan
putaipan's picture

believe me- that one is pure orchestrated distraction from the real pedophile scandals.... so the average dupe will think we are just talking late teen happy ending massages as opposed to the shit they are into

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 23:20 | 5626628 PoliticalRefuge...
PoliticalRefugeefromCalif.'s picture

Last summers train rides for kids from Central America probably got culled down for "special placements".

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:09 | 5624749 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Bernie was a batboy.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:07 | 5624750 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Ponzi was a piker.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:12 | 5624781 ekm1
ekm1's picture

There are $40-60 trillion dollars existing.

Assuming 10% bail-in, that would be 4-6 trillion.

 

Not nearly enough to cover losses of $1.4 quadrillion derivatives, nominal, just a drop in the ocean

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:21 | 5624817 piratepiet
piratepiet's picture

dt

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:03 | 5625015 ekm1
ekm1's picture

Citigroup is where saudis keep their money.

Unless saudis have abandoned citi, I'd say citi won't be sacrificial lamb.

Barclays, BofA are my guesses

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:18 | 5624804 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

My first thoughts:

Surprise!   Quantitative Easing has many forms.

Yellen never stopped printing: the printing was transitioned from the First Derivative -Gov't debt/future tax receipt sales- over to a Secondary Derivative.   The difference in size is almost certainly a function of the ratio of emmitance requirted to force the same market respnses.  -Like printing $10 bills would require 10 times as many bills be printed than if $100 bills were being printed to achieve the same leverage in the market.

Government issued 'debt' is a First Derivative of Tax Reciepts.

The Secondary Derivatives Complex took over the debt expansion of was commonly called QE.

The credit/money derivative printing has merely been moved from one place -the FED- into the secondary conduit called Citi.

Quantitative Easing never ended: it only changed form.

 

 

 

 

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:34 | 5625404 besnook
besnook's picture

in other words we are officially officially in the vertical part of the expo curve.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:19 | 5624820 Paracelsus
Paracelsus's picture

Blythe Masters burn in hell...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:39 | 5624881 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Obsfucation.

Blyth may be credited with creating Derivatives; but, the truth is that the FED was integral in developing the construct.

The FED has sold Derivatives for many years.  

This was openly discussed in FED minutes.  I'll see if I can find and post some links to particular FED minutes relases where the sale of Interest Rate Swaps are discussed...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:22 | 5624832 Billy Shears
Billy Shears's picture

 Maybe, just maybe, Citi has been "nominated" as the default, pun intended, "bad bank". One "pays" for the sins of the many, at taxpayer expense of course.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:31 | 5624861 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

I wonder how they think the taxpayers are going to be able to come up with All those TRILLIONS and there still be anything left to run the country and live on. Morons

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:41 | 5624915 Billy Shears
Billy Shears's picture

Very true! I guess it helps with the procurement of more suckers, err, I mean counterparties to "trade" with?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:43 | 5624921 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

you presume they* want to "run" the country as some sort of sustainable entity, their* business model is to run the country into the ground, bankrupt everybody with public debt and buy up the assets in a fire sale Ala Ukraine, then bring in 300-400 million cheaper foreign workers (mostly Muslim) and get a good return on their water asset investments and really get some labor arbitrage leverage, that is the plan for US as is the plan for the EU

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:56 | 5624988 PoorMan429
PoorMan429's picture

They arent, thats not what the FDIC does.

 

The FDIC doesnt bail out the bank, it bails out the depositors of a failed bank, or undercapitalized bank. What Citi did was create legislation to allow them to use deposits and loans as notional principle for prop-trading in swaps most likely to hedge interest rate risk.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:12 | 5625740 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

"What Citi did was create legislation to allow them to use deposits and loans as notional principle for prop-trading in swaps most likely to hedge interest rate risk. "

 

Citi had ALREADY used the deposits and loans to back their prop-trading.  

Citi was already doing what MF Global did.  The Client Funds were already pledged/handed-off to their counterparties.

This was just another case of the politicians legalizing the activity after the fact.

EXACTLY like when the ( cleary illegal at the time ) Citi and Travellers merger was completed and legislative/regulatory approval was sought afterwards.

The important question is whether or not the Client Funds/DEPOSITS have actually already been 'VAPORIZED' ala MF Global or are just spiralling around London in the re-hypothecation whirlpool to keep the Dervitives Stacks from collapsing and blowing up one of the big ( Asian?  Euro? ) Banks.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 21:35 | 5626220 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

How can anyone know what has been leveraged 2-3-4 times??? It will begin with some small hedge.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:33 | 5624872 Ewtman
Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:38 | 5624888 blown income
blown income's picture

Pot calling kettle black....??? Citi downgrading..

 

Wanted to see what .gov.com was spewing today...

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/citi-downgrades-chevron-others-on-lower...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:38 | 5624890 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

Hey man financing a Syrian & Ukrainian war against Russia under the table is expensive........ guarantees have to be made to continue the purchase of bad US debts 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:39 | 5624905 irishlink
irishlink's picture

????? What are they hiding in plain sight?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:41 | 5624912 Madcow
Madcow's picture

The criminal masterminds in DC have an even simpler plan - just let the bankers take their depositors money no questions asked  HA!! :

 

http://kingworldnews.com/former-white-house-official-warns-terrifying-cy...

 

"Sorry folks - you got tricked fair and square - and now its time to move on."  Barack Obama.  November 2015

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:51 | 5625234 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

"Due to the financial emergency, I am using my pen and phone to take everyone's deposits out of the banks.

"You will all be issued New USG EBT Cards for your transactions."

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:54 | 5624969 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Maybe they are on the right side of oil with their derivatives and it is profit.  They are happy to book that.  But who is the loser that is hiding things...jpm...anyone...jpm...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:14 | 5625073 Those Fukerz Ha...
Those Fukerz Have R Money's picture

In July 2014, Deutsche Bank dumped it's US Power Trading Books on to Citi:

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/citigroup-acquires-deutsche-banks-us-power...

As far as Deutsche Bank (DB) is concerned, I thoght that anything under $30 was a bad technical level for for Deutsche Bank (DB), and it plowed through that early this morning.

It's at $28.83 right now, and the low today (and for the year was $28.77.)

On December 26, 2014, The streetdotcom named Deutsche Bank (DB) the 1st most toxic stock to dump--particularly if it got below $30.00:

http://www.thestreet.com/story/12995581/2/these-5-stocks-look-toxic-for-...

Any thoughts on that? Deutsche Bank ticker (DB):  http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/DB

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:12 | 5625752 walküre
walküre's picture

If DB fails, they have Germany exactly where they want them to be in order to get the all clear on the fucking Eurobonds.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:26 | 5625129 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

We have all hoped for a bust to justify our predictions and disgust with the way the system has been run but I fear that none of us will want its results when the bust arrives.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:37 | 5625166 Q-Q-Q
Q-Q-Q's picture

CITI - Too big to give a s#it.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:42 | 5625183 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Bad things happen when unschooled little kids play with loaded guns....

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:44 | 5625196 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

When you have nothing else to lose, you might as well go all in.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:50 | 5625226 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Surely they must mean: "Wall Street puppet Jim Himes, GS, Conn."

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:14 | 5625320 pupdog1
pupdog1's picture

"... and which put taxpayers on the hook for FDIC-insured derivative exposure..."

It is CONGRESS that allowed these cocksuckers to put trillions in toxic waste derivatives ahead of our private little consumer accounts, and be FDIC-backed. We the Great Unwashed are unsecured creditors, and CITI et al. are way ahead of us in the default que. That's now the law.

The FDIC is backstopping us with $20 billion in assets for umpty-trillions in exposure to toxic paper. Even the branch managers at your local big-six banks have no fucking clue that this is the case.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:42 | 5625436 cart00ner
cart00ner's picture

From an outsiders' perspective it looks like your GOV is trying to deliberately tank your country...

Just an observation.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:00 | 5625688 honestann
honestann's picture

It's called "purposely bankrupting your debtor, after which you take ownership of all your debtor's assets... which in this case is... every US citizen".

In other words, this is called "how you officially and lawfully enslave an entire nation", and make the WallStreet ownership of the USSA not only metaphorical and "for practical purposes", but also "official and lawful".

At which point, I do wish people would realize what I've been explaining to them for years.  That "government" is fiction.  That "authority" is fiction.  That "official" is fiction.  That "law" and "legal" are fiction.  And that no human being can be obligated without his express, unpressured, fully informed, voluntary permission (for just compensation I might add).

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:12 | 5625745 pupdog1
pupdog1's picture

It is hiding in plain sight, as we say.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:32 | 5625394 Goldy Locks
Goldy Locks's picture

A naïve question : what would be the real impact of Citi being Lehmaned ? Seriously?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:32 | 5625396 besnook
besnook's picture

you will pay for it.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:57 | 5625480 besnook
besnook's picture

the acute effect depends upon who the counterparties are. where are the bets made? from wherever that is the best way to describe it is the finale of the 7/4 fireworks show where the big bombs start off the show with their huge radiation, different colors and shapes and secondary delayed bursts. it then erupts into a cacaphony of an array of smaller flairs and minibombs with more big bombs for punctuation ending in dead silence and applause. the difference is you will be crying at the end of the show since many of the bombs will misfire and blow some people up who happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time.

in this case humpty dumpty may be a casualty.

Tue, 01/06/2015 - 02:13 | 5626960 Goldy Locks
Goldy Locks's picture

But what about the risk of contagion ? Of domino effect ?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:13 | 5625750 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

If Citi gets Lehmaned, that means that somebody just divided by zero.  Implosion.  

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:40 | 5625852 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

Nothing happens but .gov and MSM don't want you to know that.

People that invested in Citi currently have a positive balance on a piece of paper.  That balance gets smaller and possibly becomes 0.  People that owe Citi money, the 99%, either owe someone else the money or no longer owe anything.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:30 | 5625395 besnook
besnook's picture

citi is an arab(opec) bank. the arabs control the show for now and know the immediate future and have made a huge bet to be the last man standing? or the first man to get snipered?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:40 | 5625432 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

And they did it again: Too big to fail. 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:43 | 5625437 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

Not according to the 6000 years bubble arse economist.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:50 | 5625461 theprofromdover
theprofromdover's picture

Just tell Citi that they will get bailed out under the new emasculated DoddFrank (funded by the other banks hahaha), but that all executives earning more than $150k will be jailed under a little-read clause.

See how quick they change their investment plans, then.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:51 | 5625465 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

Death by 1000 derivatives to the criminal conjurers and their demonic entities called corporations

So say we all

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:45 | 5625865 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

I thought the smart money was on Deutche Bank holding the baby when the musical chairs stopped? (If you'll pardon my mixing the metaphors).

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:49 | 5625868 USMCwb
USMCwb's picture

Sorry but could someone explain to me how banks can hold derivitives in amounts far exceeding the global GDP by several times?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 20:17 | 5625946 cart00ner
cart00ner's picture

Read the rules for the bank in 'Monopoly' 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 23:35 | 5626683 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

not the next AIG, because this bailout will be seamless and needing no further legislation or debate

So just tell me now to whom do I make the check out to

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 23:40 | 5626700 hedgiex
hedgiex's picture

 

 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 23:40 | 5626702 hedgiex
hedgiex's picture

Successive rounds of bailouts to the billions to prop Citi, More to come ? While not much that you can do with the banksters, what about the muppets who still hold their shares, bonds and buy their snake oils and deposit monies with them ? The muppets are crying for more...walking into traps that are not even disguised.

 

Fri, 01/09/2015 - 23:38 | 5644739 ChickaBoom
ChickaBoom's picture

HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud, Chairman of Kingdom Holding Company (KHC) met at his office in Riyadh Mr. Mike Corbat CEO of Citigroup and an accompanying delegation which included: Mr. Alberto Verme, Chairman EMEA Banking and Ms. Carmen Haddad Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group. The Prince also hosted a dinner in honor of his guests at Kingdom resort.

Prince Alwaleed is a prominent investor in Citigroup through KHC which operates in over 160 countries in the world since 1991 and is the largest single shareholder in the company. In 2008, Prince Alwaleed participated in a $12.5 billion private offering of convertible preferred securities of Citigroup. The new direct investment was made alongside an exclusive group of leading international investors. The Prince converted the preferred shares in 2009 into common shares (voting shares).

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