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Potential of dangerous asteroid to hit the Earth on January 26
From RT:
Potentially dangerous asteroid to fly by Earth on January 26
The asteroid, named 2004 BL86 by scientists, is estimated to be between 440-1,000 meters in diameter. 1.2 million kilometers is approximately three times the distance from the Earth to the Moon.
A space object is considered potentially dangerous if it crosses the Earth's orbit at a distance of less than 0.05 AU (approximately 19.5 distances from the Earth to the Moon), and if its diameter exceeds 100-150 meters. Objects of this size are large enough to cause unprecedented destruction, or generate a mammoth tsunami in case they fall into the ocean.
Obviously, there is the potential that this dangerous asteroid to fly by hits Earth on January 26, in just three weeks.
3 is less than 19.5 distances from the Earth to the Moon, and 440-1,000 is greater than 100-150 meters.
I cannot forget that these same astronomers had warned us several weeks in advance about a totally different asteroid passing near the Earth, coming from an entirely different direction than the Chelyabinsk meteorite (for which we received no warning) the very same day that it exploded over Russia. What are the odds of that? Talk about a coincidental blind spot! Weird.
The earlier-predicted close approach of another, larger asteroid that same day, the roughly 30-metre 367943 Duende (at the time still known by its provisional designation 2012 DA14) occurred about 16 hours later; the very different orbits of the two objects showed they were unrelated to each other.
There is some entertaining post-apocalyptic reading on this subject. The classic is Lucifer's Hammer, by Jerry Pournelle, but more recently, The Perseids Collapse trilogy, by Steven Konkoly, is maybe even better, but you will want to first read his novel, The Jakarta Pandemic. In addition, The Road, by Cormac McCarthy may also be pertinent, especially if you have young children, and it is very well written.
So, let's have a little fun here on Zero Hedge, and use this as a test of your TEOTWAWKI preparedness. Our test scenario is that, like in Lucifer's Hammer, BL86 breaks up into several large meteorites between 100 and 800 meters, and many smaller. Let us say that three of the large ones hit in the ocean closest to you, causing both blast waves and subsequent massive tsunamis up to 100 feet high in all directions, and the other two hit a land mass in your hemisphere, causing massive atmospheric debris, torrential rains, no sun, and global crop failures for one year.
Let's start by having everyone answer five questions:
1) Do you really want to live?
Then, if you do want to live, and setting aside the fact that luck or fate play a big role in one's individual chance for survival:
2) Are you willing to commit murder and/or steal (the same as murder in many survival situations) in order to survive?
3) Are you going to stay put, or go somewhere?
4) How do you rate your chances of surviving 24 months?
5) What is the number one thing you could do in the next three weeks to dramatically increase your odds of surviving 24 months?
As a reminder...
Acknowledge that nobody really knows if, what, when, or how anything in the future is going to happen...it is all just speculation. Finally, always remember that, "on a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero," so don't get too worked up, or go into debt, just because of this little exercise in paranoia.
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-19-10/fear-we-are-returning-ti...
BONUS: If you answered no to question one, or even if you answered yes, then what is the number one thing you want to do in the next three weeks if this is really THE END?
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I guess no point filing tax returns before Jan/26th.....just in case.....................
As long as the asteroid doesn't spread ebola I think we will be alright.
I want a direct hit on Bernanke
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Is the game on tonight?
•?•
V-V
Just fyi all this is are the alien overlords doing a wash/rinse/repeat on mankind until we are wiped out and come back so many times until we are finally worthy of the universe and not a bunch of evil fucking assholes out to screw everyone and each other over.
What's a damn astroid compared to the ASSTURD in the White House?
If an asteroid hits the CONUS, Cannigula the First will be monitoring the situation, seeing if it effects stocks.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-05/crude-crash-morphing-stock-rout...
I don't have anything to worry about. I'll just cash in all that *itcoin in my digital wallet... (what do you MEAN, the power's off? NO!!!!>>>)
I wonder how well-guarded the entrances are to the D.U.M.B.s like the one in Denver under that new airport, et.al? If we can just figure out a way to seal the entrance/exit routes PERMANENTLY, we could get rid of a great deal of the people who do all of the bad shit to most of the other people...
For fuck's sake, thank's for really fucking up what was otherwise turning into a great day with gold up and stocks tanking.
Bring it on. This is what the corrupt, greedy, narcissistic world needs right about now. A major reset. Let the fat cat banksters, the whiny rich prinncesses, and prima donnas hit the dirt first.
May your powder, rice, and flour remain dry.
I f we get blown up by the asteroid, at least go out after viewing these bikini girls on Jan 1 Polar Bear Plunge, see it kind of fits together.
http://nukeprofessional.blogspot.com/2015/01/polar-vortek-plunge-proof-t...
hey
the Batman omen has Putin an appearance over on shitco's silver chart.
We can't lose, asteroid be damned.
Just in case we don't get blown up by the asteroid, rest assured the polar bears are doing fine, lol
2014 update on the polar ice caps.
Looks like everything we have been told has been a lie
http://nukeprofessional.blogspot.com/2015/01/2014-update-on-polar-ice-caps.html
26th of January?
No problem it is the day AFTER Greece's election, where predictions are for SYRIZA to come out as the winner.
My take is nothing will change, SYRIZA is full of Systemic and old Corrupt politicians that run to it as soon as the trough in their old Party finished.
The new troughs are going to change owner and that is what is all about. The ones that see tehmselves losing, are conducting crazy rituals for ANY COMET to hit the Planet Earth.
So I make no survival plans but, still designing the best Guillotine should KCHRISC refuses to sell his.
The FED could sell derivatives on the asteroid real estate. Then repackage them to some hedge fund that the taxpayer would have to repay if there is no collision.
I hope it lands on top of the Fed when they and all their friends are meeting to plan the next financial disaster.
Answer to question #2: YES!!! But only because there's a lot of people that I hate and happen to also have a lot of stuff that would be good in that situation. Otherwise I would say no.
Hooker's and Blow!
Will this be covered by ObamaCare?
If not, then I'll take door number four Bob!
According to this asteroid impact calculator, if you're within say 100 miles life will suck. Beyond that, not a big impact.
Basically, a Katrina-level regional event. Life will go on.
http://impact.ese.ic.ac.uk/ImpactEffects/
riddle me this. look at the acne scarred moon and then argue that is not the ultimate fate of the earth. if an object that small can be pummelled that many times the math says the time is imminent for the earth in both immediate time and astronomical time.
having said that all i need is enough time for a coupla bottles of really good scotch and a bag of good weed while camped on the side of my favorite fishing hole.
living in the aftermath of that kind of devastation would not be fun.
Most of the moons "scarring" is from the heavy bombardment period following coalescence of planets in the solar system along with the fact that the only weathering that takes place on the moon is from the steady rain of small debris and dust.
Humans will survive even a KT boundary event, mainly because we've built a lot of hardened structures for military use, but even surface dwellers with the right location and supplies will make it. There'll be a lot of carrion, so eat what's available first before digging into the MRE's!
"Humans will survive even a KT boundary event, mainly because we've built a lot of hardened structures for military use"
Except for the worlds 440+ Nuclear power plants and there spent fuel which would unleash death to all vertabrates.
Nobody gets out of this alive. This way there is a blaze of glory, a world event in which you get to participate! Huzzah!
OR
You can last some-odd years, develop alzheimer's, pee your pants and forget who you are. In the home, a brutal orderly pushes you around until you break a hip, then the hospice starves you to death as your insurance runs out.
Asteroid melodrama is fine by me.
Finally, an interesting post.
1. Yes - the survuval instinct burns bright in this one. Please no Max Max clones with a yen for torture.
2. Yes. See 1.
3. Initially stay put. Then look for higher ground - preferably penthouse in a tall building.
4. 50 / 50. Higher if I get past the first 6 months.
5. Beans, Rice, toilet paper, salt, canned tuna, propane.
Bonus: I hear EOTWAWKI sex is pretty good.
Forsake Toilet paper; embrace the Biffy!
Well, the first thing that would happen is my February Short Puts would expire worthless. yay.
I wouldn't have to agonize over what the GF wants for Valentine's Day.
The April 15 tax filing deadline could safely be ignored.
The Academy Awards would likely be cancelled, good riddance.
My Superbowl bet on the Seahawks would be moot.
The tooth extraction I scheduled for February 2 would not be necessary.
Considering all the good to great things that WOULD occur this early part of the year and those that would not it is impossible for that Asteroid to hit the earth.
God would never allow it because it would make me too happy.
Large swaths of survivors will end up falling to rotten teeth, scrapes, broken bones, common and uncommon diseases. Scurvy will be rampant. Most people will be walking around with a load of intestinal parasites, lice, fleas, etc...
2004 BL86...so that's the 86th financial bubble birthed in 2004? Wonder where the rest of the financial bubbles are gonna hit.
I’d have a big family BBQ and serve all my most expensive wines.
And when the asteroid hits New York and kills everybody, I figure we’d have about a week before we would see any effects and fhen I’d empty my savings account and buy a big ass pie e of land in Manhattan for a serious discount!!!
Might take a while to bury the 15 million dead bodies, though. I don't think a TEOTWAWKI stockpile of Febreze and Glade plug-ins would do much good in this situation.
Manhattan was only worth about $27.00 junk jewelry in the FIRST place; don't you know? Ask the Indians.
How did a Sandy Hook victim end up mourned as dying in the recent Pakistan school attack?
20,000 Ebola cases later…
HR 428 sponsors to increase pressure for release of 9/11 Commission’s 28 classified pages
So what happens if one this size hits the moon instead of the Earth.
What collateral damage would occur on Earth. Suppose that would
depend on trajectory, mass, and speed.
It would possibly make a BITCHIN' meteor shower (depending on lunar ejecta reaching sames escape velocity) which would also probably scour the earths commercial orbitals of all their useful shit.
+1 for the old and fogotten use of the descriptor "BITCHIN'". + another one for the correct use of the apostrophe. Fuckin' AWESOME!
If it hit the moon we would ALL be doomed. The moon would likely be broken up or at the least have it's orbit altered. The moon stabilizes the earth and without it we are in for earthquakes and volvanic eruptions galore. Life on earth would likely be so changed that we would become extinct.
"SPACE: 1999"
"THE TIME MACHINE"
The Moon wouldn't be 'destroyed' (not enough mass to do so), but the orbit MIGHT be altered a bit. Due to conflicting theories about the mechanics of the inner cores of both bodies (and the effects of gravity due to both), it might not be exactly a desirable outcome; but it is not a known or predictable outcome. The obvious effects would be a drastic change in the ocean's tides. The Earth's own orbit around the Sun would be altered as well (effects unknown). Perhaps not an E.L.E., but most likely not beneficial.
F= MA, we san only estimate the mass as we do not know what it is made of and I did not get the speed at which it is travelling. I can juice that equation to destroy a moon of unlimited size by increasing any of the variables to sufficiant size.
There is already an oddity noted regarding the moon's orbit.
Cornell.edu http://arxiv.org/abs/1102.0212
Do you realize that there is an Impact Calculator?
Do you realize that a 1 km wide asteroid has a neglible mass when compared to that of the Moon's mass?
How much Angular Momentum does the Moon have in its orbit about the Earth?
How much Kinetic Energy will it take to appreciably change that?
That asteroid would have to be traveling at many Hundreds of Thousands of Miles per hour to have any appreciable affect on the Orbit of the Moon.
Get real, man.
Bull. The craters didn't get there from heavy rain.
Give thanks for every breath of freedom and all life's simple blessings.
One day at a time...
Easy does it!
The answer to all 5 questions is "CLASSIFIED - You are not allowed access to this information."
Besides - this thread is pure unadulterated Bullshit.
According to http://www.spaceweather.com/
On Jan 26 Asteroid "2004 BL86" (size = 650 m) will reach it's closest point to Earth in a pass by Earth at a distance of 3.1 Lunar Distances (3.1 times the distance between the Earth and the Moon - or 1,191,643.1 km - or 1,917,767.35 miles - from Earth.)
So I'm feeling pretty confident that it will be a miss.
And IF it hits the Earth, an asteroid of that size would probably be an extinction event - even the "people" deep under a mountain or underwater would die, so your plans for that day are irrelevant.
:-D
Only a Kilometer in Diameter? No Problem.
http://www.purdue.edu/impactearth
5) What is the number one thing you could do in the next three weeks to dramatically increase your odds of surviving 24 months?
Tricky question. The odds of surviving are slim to none so the only dramatic way to increase the odds is to dramatically increase the resources at my disposal to effectively deal with the threat. This world of ours has many powerful tools and many brilliant people so I would arrange to meet together and see what we could come up with. I would have to schedule the meeting for 11:49pm on the night of January 25th because it would take time to work on the problem. At first some will call out demanding more research, some will say the computer models are wrong, then some will say it's a hoax to scam protection money (in the form of a tax).
If we had no action after that meeting I would schedule the next meeting for 11:55pm trusting that those six minutes would allow everyone to double down and be able to agree to take action, given that it will be January 26th in less than six minutes...
At one minute to midnight, we figured out how to build a big-ass space shuttle, load every nuclear bomb in the world onto it and blast that asteroid to HELL. The children slept peacefully through the whole thing.
or
if everyone I talked to turned out to be the lonely hunter rugged individual types, I would be hoping Spock figures out how to decode that fuckin obolisqe PDQ!
All roads lead to Paris
Perhaps the conference will include a seminar on how human activity has precipitated an increase in asteroid activity. So little time for us to prevent a tragedy.
Miffed
The Asteroid was attracted by the global warming. Ol' Al warned ya, didn't he; huh ? didn't he ? but you didn't listen, did you?
Yes, they were 97% certain it was not caused by human activity, but there was a side event discussing that very important issue which helped derail the 11:49 conference. Tic Tic Tic
"Potential of dangerous asteroid to hit the Earth on January 26"
Sorry, but Zionism has already hit earth.
The banksters need to repay us.