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Potential of dangerous asteroid to hit the Earth on January 26

hedgeless_horseman's picture




 

From RT:

Potentially dangerous asteroid to fly by Earth on January 26

 

The asteroid, named 2004 BL86 by scientists, is estimated to be between 440-1,000 meters in diameter. 1.2 million kilometers is approximately three times the distance from the Earth to the Moon.

 

A space object is considered potentially dangerous if it crosses the Earth's orbit at a distance of less than 0.05 AU (approximately 19.5 distances from the Earth to the Moon), and if its diameter exceeds 100-150 meters. Objects of this size are large enough to cause unprecedented destruction, or generate a mammoth tsunami in case they fall into the ocean.

Obviously, there is the potential that this dangerous asteroid to fly by hits Earth on January 26, in just three weeks.

 3 is less than 19.5 distances from the Earth to the Moon, and 440-1,000 is greater than 100-150 meters.

I cannot forget that these same astronomers had warned us several weeks in advance about a totally different asteroid passing near the Earth, coming from an entirely different direction than the Chelyabinsk meteorite (for which we received no warning) the very same day that it exploded over Russia.  What are the odds of that?  Talk about a coincidental blind spot!  Weird.

The earlier-predicted close approach of another, larger asteroid that same day, the roughly 30-metre 367943 Duende (at the time still known by its provisional designation 2012 DA14) occurred about 16 hours later; the very different orbits of the two objects showed they were unrelated to each other.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelyabinsk_meteor

There is some entertaining post-apocalyptic reading on this subject.  The classic is Lucifer's Hammer, by Jerry Pournelle, but more recently, The Perseids Collapse trilogy, by Steven Konkoly, is maybe even better, but you will want to first read his novel, The Jakarta Pandemic.  In addition, The Road, by Cormac McCarthy may also be pertinent, especially if you have young children, and it is very well written.

So, let's have a little fun here on Zero Hedge, and use this as a test of your TEOTWAWKI preparedness.  Our test scenario is that, like in Lucifer's Hammer, BL86 breaks up into several large meteorites between 100 and 800 meters, and many smaller.  Let us say that three of the large ones hit in the ocean closest to you, causing both blast waves and subsequent massive tsunamis up to 100 feet high in all directions, and the other two hit a land mass in your hemisphere, causing massive atmospheric debris, torrential rains, no sun, and global crop failures for one year.

Let's start by having everyone answer five questions:

1) Do you really want to live?

Then, if you do want to live, and setting aside the fact that luck or fate play a big role in one's individual chance for survival:

2) Are you willing to commit murder and/or steal (the same as murder in many survival situations) in order to survive?

3) Are you going to stay put, or go somewhere?

4) How do you rate your chances of surviving 24 months?

5) What is the number one thing you could do in the next three weeks to dramatically increase your odds of surviving 24 months?

As a reminder...

Acknowledge that nobody really knows if, what, when, or how anything in the future is going to happen...it is all just speculation.  Finally, always remember that, "on a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero," so don't get too worked up, or go into debt, just because of this little exercise in paranoia.

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-19-10/fear-we-are-returning-ti...

BONUS: If you answered no to question one, or even if you answered yes, then what is the number one thing you want to do in the next three weeks if this is really THE END?

 

 

 

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Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:07 | 5625521 hot sauce technician
hot sauce technician's picture

Keep on dreaming goy.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:45 | 5624931 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Queue the Fed talking heads because just talking about something not happening creates reality now...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:15 | 5624999 nuke ISIS now
nuke ISIS now's picture

"We tsunami-ed some folks"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k8IAgUNr6x4

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:30 | 5624856 Richard Whitney
Richard Whitney's picture

I am going to make a killing once I figure how to short Earth.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:39 | 5624903 optimator
optimator's picture

They'll come up with an ETF for you by the end of the day.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:22 | 5625355 Jackagain
Jackagain's picture

DIRT 3X short

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:35 | 5624876 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Keep to the european style options. If the stock exchange is wiped out and the market closes you still get paid. You can be proud of your account balance as you try to find clean water.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:35 | 5624871 hedgeless_horseman
Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:42 | 5625180 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

I'll give ya all a hypothetical.

If it lands on Detroit how in the hell will they be able to tell what was damaged?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:29 | 5624847 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

I'm OK, I've got gold.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:19 | 5624816 pupdog1
pupdog1's picture

Apparenly, the cosmos got fed up with Al Sharpton's bullshit.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:31 | 5624865 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Just for kicks try a Google search of 'asteroid + vision", "tsunami dream" or a number of other terms like that. Might be that the info was leaked before NASA 'found' it.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:17 | 5624803 10mm
10mm's picture

It's on my list. The same list i still have.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:08 | 5624756 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Cue: Joe Dirt 2

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:06 | 5624740 YHC-FTSE
YHC-FTSE's picture

No to question 1). Seriously. I'd probably spend the next three weeks of my life either fucking or trying to prove that smooth solutions always exist to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem.

Realistically, I'd probably drink a lot and do what I always do when I drink: Post comments on ZH. :)

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:46 | 5625441 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

I think I am naturally asteroid prepared because I live life to the fullest as much as possible. Everyday should be an event of passionate love making, enjoying friends and family and pursuing interests that invigorate your mind, spiritually and intellectually. Then there are no regrets and you can position yourself at the point of impact and accept the end.

We are all going to die. To prepare yourself best is to contemplate your death. Sit with it until comfortable. Then your life will be so much more meaningful.

Miffed

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:54 | 5625467 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

How to overcome fear...Miffed...

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9pnqWGBYP7Q

 

Watch the video.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:12 | 5624778 AwkwardReader
AwkwardReader's picture

Hey! That's what I do!!!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:40 | 5625157 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

What?!?

 

You are also attempting to prove that smooth solutions always exist to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problems?

 

Why are you interested in Turbulence and Fluid Mechanics?

 

I know that he is spinning his wheels as turbulence and laminar flow are opposites. But that was his joke....and a good one at that. It is an exercise in futility.

 

But I am interested in understanding it as it is one of the unanswered problems.

 

Perhaps there are some economic applications but are you an Aerospace Engineer or are you into Astronautics?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 18:02 | 5625496 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

He might know that stuff for the same reason I did - trying to work out the Reynolds Number of my bong.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:04 | 5624739 AwkwardReader
AwkwardReader's picture

Not a world killer but hate to be within a few hundred miles from that thing.

http://www.purdue.edu/impactearth/

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:01 | 5624724 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Well, it's about time the Earth got bitch-slapped......

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 19:55 | 5625886 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Maybe it's more like a radical cancer treatment...

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:01 | 5624723 capltd
capltd's picture

Just a thought for all the self-righteous killers - what is the criteria for determining whether your survival is threatened before you go off killing people?  Is it the same as stand your ground because "you feel" threatened?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:22 | 5624831 Blythes Master
Blythes Master's picture

Pretty much. That and the backhoe and hundreds of acres.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:15 | 5624793 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Precisely, I am one to prep as well, but thousands of rounds!?  If you are living in a time where u are using dozens of rounds and not acquiring more supplies, you lose.  It's this I have a garden and guns survival talk that is imaginary and not to scale.  Hoards of people will be your enemy, not because of a movie scenario but because of basic survival.  And if it is a year zero game, you will have to pursue the weak.

If you are one wagon there is no circle.

 

Prep some, live alot.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:58 | 5624708 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

I am rushing out my new e-book on Amazon- "The Human Brain- 100 Delicious Recipes".

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:56 | 5624703 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

"2) Are you willing to commit murder and/or steal (the same as murder in many survival situations) in order to survive?"

Americans have been committing armed robbery, i.e. murder and stealing, since 1846. They continue to do so today. They call it "Manifest Destiny"

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:13 | 5624777 upWising
upWising's picture

WITH GOD ON OUR SIDE (Bob Dylan)

 

Oh my name it is nothin'
My age it means less
The country I come from
Is called the Midwest
I's taught and brought up there
The laws to abide
And the land that I live in
Has God on its side.

Oh the history books tell it
They tell it so well
The cavalries charged
The Indians fell
The cavalries charged
The Indians died
Oh the country was young
With God on its side.

The Spanish-American
War had its day
And the Civil War too
Was soon laid away
And the names of the heroes
I's made to memorize
With guns on their hands
And God on their side.

The First World War, boys
It came and it went
The reason for fighting
I never did get
But I learned to accept it
Accept it with pride
For you don't count the dead
When God's on your side.

When the Second World War
Came to an end
We forgave the Germans
And then we were friends
Though they murdered six million
In the ovens they fried
The Germans now too
Have God on their side.

I've learned to hate Russians
All through my whole life
If another war comes
It's them we must fight
To hate them and fear them
To run and to hide
And accept it all bravely
With God on my side.

But now we got weapons
Of the chemical dust
If fire them we're forced to
Then fire them we must
One push of the button
And a shot the world wide
And you never ask questions
When God's on your side.

In a many dark hour
I've been thinkin' about this
That Jesus Christ
Was betrayed by a kiss
But I can't think for you
You'll have to decide
Whether Judas Iscariot
Had God on his side.

So now as I'm leavin'
I'm weary as Hell
The confusion I'm feelin'
Ain't no tongue can tell
The words fill my head
And fall to the floor
If God's on our side
He'll stop the next war.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:08 | 5624760 upWising
upWising's picture

Amercia is Jesus' Favorite Country!  ©

When Jesus Returns, he will come to Washington DC (centre of the universe) dressed in combat fatigues, driving a hummer or MRAP, and carrying an AK47. And he will have white skin and speak American English, just like he does in my bible!    (I know all this because my preacher told me so).

 

Praise BE!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:20 | 5625093 Toolshed
Toolshed's picture

So Jesus's first stop is the capitol of the US.......while carrying a Russian rifle? WTF? Can't you spell AR-15?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:57 | 5625482 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

Jesus would need a dependable weapon in DC so an AK-47 makes sense. Give the AR-15s to the Apostles. Those guys are terrible shots anyway.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 17:48 | 5625452 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

He is not going to be Merichun using Mericuhn Arms.

 

He is going to cast those Money Changing Vipers into the pit of Hellfire.

 

An AK will be quite appropriate fer dat.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:11 | 5624771 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

until they name an asteroid that can hit earth "derivative" we are cool.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:10 | 5624757 capltd
capltd's picture

It would be entertaining to watch all the yahoos with guns shoot each other "in order to survive."  The lawn chair and beer might be a good choice, then again, they'd probably shoot me to get the lawn chair and beer.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:51 | 5625231 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

You need to think of things on a larger scale.

Your new master will order you to get out of his chair and bring him one of his beers from his refrigerator before you get into trouble.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 15:14 | 5624796 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

Nah, you can have the beer. 

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:53 | 5624689 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Stealth recruiting.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:43 | 5624643 Dragon HAwk
Dragon HAwk's picture

Just look at the Moon, see all the Big Bullet Holes.. now remember the earth is a lot bigger target..

  it's always the one you don't see or hear that gets you...

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 20:50 | 5647447 cents gradeschool
cents gradeschool's picture

Don't make me go there. Cuz I will.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:39 | 5624628 Spectre
Spectre's picture

I'm going to Rob a major bank and a art museum, time it right when the meteor strikes.  Up to this point I will charge about $300,000 in credit card debt.  My finale will be to steal a late model Learjet(filled with C4) and fly it into that place where the 535 dipshits vote on corrupt policies.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:41 | 5624625 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

 

 

:mushroom cloud in distance:

old fisherman #1: You know what this means?

old fisherman #2: Yep, NO LIMIT!

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:24 | 5625117 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

I had that Gary Larson cartoon on the fridge for years.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:43 | 5624620 Hannibal
Hannibal's picture

Hm,  perfect cover for a couple of US cities to be nuked (and  blame the Russians.)

Then martial law, followed by the great reset?

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:45 | 5624619 Rusputin
Rusputin's picture

So the Greek election result may start the possible destruction of the Eurozone and EU on 25th January, and the day after, the Greek God - Titan, potentially throws a 458 million tonne lump of iron into the Earth at up to 70 km per second!

Can any Syriza party members think of an appropriate place for it to land, for best effect?

If my calcs are correct, at 70 km per second, that's 267,000 Megatons for an iron meteorite and about 100,000 Mt for a rock variety; At 10km per second, that becomes a paltry 778Mt and 291Mt, respectively...

Hmm, I still hope it misses and hits Uranus or my math is way out :-) I'll buy an extra pint of milk, just in case!

Tue, 01/06/2015 - 04:46 | 5627077 Phil Free
Phil Free's picture

" Release the Kraken!! "

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:37 | 5624618 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

sorry for triplicate.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 16:44 | 5625192 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

And if you used adblockplus then you'd not have to worry about a fat finger creation of quadruplicates, quintupilates and sextuplicates.

 

May the Good Lord forbid septuplicates and octuplicates although I, personally, have been guilty of much.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:39 | 5624617 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

sorry for duplicate.

Mon, 01/05/2015 - 14:37 | 5624616 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

It will be interesting to see how the MSM covers the end of the world.

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