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Continuing Claims Surge Most Since 2009 Over Last 6 Weeks, Initial Claims Miss

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Initial claims dropped 4k on the week but missed expectations, printing 294k (vs 290k exp). This is a level first seen in July 2014 as the trend of improvement has ended for claims (the biggest 3 month rise in over a year). Layoffs were dominated by MI where manufacturing and waste management industries suffered (and Texas saw fewer layoffs but a shortened workweek). Perhaps more worrying, the continuing claims data surged by over 100k to 2.452 million (stunningly on a non-adjusted basis continuing claims surged 407k).

 

The trend is over...

 

biggest 3 month rise in over a year

 

Continuing Claims have biggest 6-week rise since 2009

 

Texas shortened workweek...

 

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Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:43 | 5636476 VulpisVulpis
VulpisVulpis's picture

Truth doesn't matter.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:49 | 5636487 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Laid-off again?!

Great, now I'll have to get another part-time job...

Well, I guess since the lost jobs were mostly in Waste Management, that's not such a bad thing.

After all: "A Waste is a terribble thing to Mind."

 

 

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:51 | 5636498 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Anything on the non-participation rates yet?

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:54 | 5636800 JMT
JMT's picture

The 'Participation Rate' for those over 25 with a college degree is over 80%...  The bleeding heart media is focused on the non skilled, immigrant or colored service workers but if you have a college degree, keep legs closed and not have or 'father' children until you can financially afford it and conduct yourself in a way that shows some class and education you will be fine.  

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 12:25 | 5637230 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

"...you will be fine."

Right. Until the government takes half your income, regulates you into a box, drives home prices too high for you to afford to live in anything but a cracker-box apartment, forces tuition costs up requiring you to take a 2nd mortgage on that cracker-box to afford your kids' college, drives medical costs up and fines you for not buying the insurance you can't afford, and finally winds-up means-testing your social security so that since you earn anything greater than the minimum wage you get no benefits.

 

 

Good luck with that...

 

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:54 | 5636801 JMT
JMT's picture

The 'Participation Rate' for those over 25 with a college degree is over 80%...  The bleeding heart media is focused on the non skilled, immigrant or colored service workers but if you have a college degree, keep legs closed and not have or 'father' children until you can financially afford it and conduct yourself in a way that shows some class and education you will be fine.  

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:52 | 5636495 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Take a good look at the METRIC SHIT LOAD of restaurants, apparel stores, and other retail stores closing currently, as well as the massive # numbers of seasonal workers now being laid off or who are getting hours slashed.

Blood bath coming.

www.dailyjobcuts.com

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:29 | 5636679 hotrod
hotrod's picture

My friend and I, 50 and 55 respectively, both Univ of Ga grads are unemployed.  We could drive a truck like one of our friends, long haul 500 miles a day to make a very basic amount of money but I could not sit that long every day.  Would go nuts.  However, my local Home depot has a sign out that they are hiring so I may go appy there.  Guess that will keep food on the table, little else.

I am very surprised that gold is not forcing the Feds interest rate hand.  It is the fiat antagonist. US wants reserve $ status then earn it.  We cant.  Gold should be rising every day threatening the dollar yet it is caged.  Manipulation like everything.  Amazing how Volcker was able to raise rates so high back in 1980 to defend the dollar.  When does the market say PUT UP or SHUT UP?

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 11:50 | 5637080 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

Most people with college degrees have desk jobs where you sit all day so I have no idea why you can't sit in a truck all day.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 12:37 | 5637303 JMT
JMT's picture

Oh you poor baby.....  Can't 'sit that long' LOL!!!  I am sure you can 'sit and text' on your Iphone and I am sure you have the flat screen TV, Iphone, buy $200 cross training sneakers every week.....  Seriously, most of you 'recent college grads' have this extreme sense of entitlement and think that you are the shit because you graduated college (a state school no less)

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:53 | 5636486 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Hey ZH.... Might be time to show the NSA graph of claims on the BLS page. Looks like the bottom hit end of October.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:47 | 5636493 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

The spread is too wide. Trouble coming. If you have lots of wealth. You would be an idiot to flaunt it now. 

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:59 | 5636540 negative rates
negative rates's picture

And i'll double your trouble, pick your rick, drink up your beer, sell your gold, and wait for your call.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:46 | 5636494 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

There will be no interruption of our permanent prosperity. [/birtchez]

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:49 | 5636500 wmbz
wmbz's picture

On the right track, this must be viewed as a positive. Very bullshitish!

So, a greater number of folks that will have more time... "for family and shopping" so sez the Bugeyed Moonbat Polosi.

We can do much better than this, let's get these numbers up! 

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:49 | 5636502 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Fed now back peddling wildly....'Hey no worries, forget all that 'rates rising' stuff, not gonna happen in our lifetimes!' LOL

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:49 | 5636503 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Bulllish.

99% chance for QE 4. Bulltard already mentioned it.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:54 | 5636516 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Remind me....who gets all that QE cash again?

 

Bonus question.

 

Where does it all come from?

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:01 | 5636549 negative rates
negative rates's picture

We know who doesn't get it, and that's what counts in the end.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:08 | 5636576 max2205
max2205's picture

Long paper pulp

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:53 | 5636517 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

I believe that every US data point in 2015 has been a miss excpet ADP (small beat).  Is that why spoos are up 60 points from Tuesday's lows?  Thanks FedSpeakers - you guys are reallly smart.  Everything is awesome - everything is cool when you're part of a team!!!

 

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 09:59 | 5636531 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

"Rates will not normalize in our lifetimes" Ben Shalom

Not that I totally agree with him in every scenario but, what was so hard to comprehend with that statement.

Raise rates? BWAWAWAWWAWAWHAHAHAHAAAA

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:16 | 5636610 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Wait, I'm confused.  Is "bad news" actually "bad news" again?

Not from what the futures say.  ;-)  Same old, same old...

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:25 | 5636630 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

its called buy the fed dip from now on.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:28 | 5636667 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Ain't it the truth...

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:24 | 5636649 q99x2
q99x2's picture

I don't like to work when it is cold.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:27 | 5636662 IronShield
IronShield's picture

You get your @ss out there; the FSA is depending on you.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:27 | 5636658 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

You can file a claim if you have two other part time jobs? Who knew? Can I get SNAP too?

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:41 | 5636732 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

You can get the clap too!

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 10:45 | 5636745 unplugged
unplugged's picture

lies - damn lies - the whole damn report - lies

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 11:16 | 5636905 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Initial claims are pumping a dry well 6 years into this catastrophe.

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 12:15 | 5637182 ajkreider
ajkreider's picture

Everybody now:

"Accentuate the negative, eliminate the positive . . . . "

Sure looks like initial claims and continuing claims are range bound.  Are we going to be hyperventilating about one of these numbers every week?

Thu, 01/08/2015 - 12:44 | 5637359 Ewtman
Ewtman's picture

It doesn't really matter what BS the BLS outputs, it's a bubble and it about to burst.

 

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/anatomy-of-a-bubble-how-the-federal-r...

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