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America's 'Real' Labor Market Exposed In 1 Simple Chart

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Unemployment rate plunging? Job creation surging? Sure doesn't feel like that across America... this is why...

 

Structural Unemployment!!

 

So now you know why The Fed is ignoring all the headline data... they see the rot below the Shangri-La surface that panglossian prats on CNBC spew every day.

 

h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer

 

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Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:48 | 5646164 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Is the chart U-6?

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:57 | 5646196 Stackers
Stackers's picture

Learned a new word today "panglossian"

Had to look that one up

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:09 | 5646228 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

:  marked by the view that all is for the best in this best of possible worlds :  excessively optimistic

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:12 | 5646243 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

It was the syhpalist word that they coud think off. But we nose about that.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:42 | 5646318 gaoptimize
gaoptimize's picture

Better yet, read Voltaire's "Candide".  It is the cynic's primer.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:20 | 5646254 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

It doesn't matter much if it is U-3 or U-6.  You'd think that U6 would be at least a bit further off from a .99 or .98 correlation from U3 because it is supposed to capture more variables, but it's not.  I can go back and derive a relationship between U3 and U6 , then at any given time, you give me U3 and I can use that to tell you what U6 is with astonishing accuracy.  U6 is just as fabricated as U3.  You are being lied to with those statistics, Mr. Glow.  This is true even if they are accuratly measuring what they claim to be measuring.  The definitions of the statistics are bunk, and it is those definitions that are the bedrock of the lies. 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:25 | 5646267 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

Employer: Okay, you're hired.

Employee: What's the job pay?

Employer: I'll pay you what you're worth.

Employee: Sorry, but I can't work that cheap.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 17:25 | 5646476 Bollixed
Bollixed's picture

Guy walked into the local welfare office to pick up his check. He marched straight up to the counter and said,
'Hi. You know, I just HATE drawing welfare. I'd really rather have a job.'

The social worker behind the counter said, 'Your timing is excellent. We just got a job opening from a very wealthy old man who wants a chauffeur and bodyguard for his beautiful daughter. You'll have to drive around in his Mercedes, and he'll supply all of your clothes. Because of the long hours, meals will be provided. You'll be expected to escort the daughter on her overseas holiday trips and you will have to satisfy her sexual urges. You'll be provided a two-bedroom apartment above the garage. The salary is $200,000 a year.'

The guy, wide-eyed, said, 'You're bullshittin' me!'

The social worker said, 'Yeah, well . . you started it.'

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 01:35 | 5647625 MEAN BUSINESS
MEAN BUSINESS's picture

That's "drop dead gorgeous daughter", right? LMAO Bollixed! 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 18:59 | 5646714 PT
PT's picture

Funny how "what you're worth" is correlated with how desperate the next guy is and has zero correlation with "how much you produce".

When technology allows one man to produce as much as ten, how does the better man add value?

Go ahead, work twice as hard as me.  But if I get paid fifty cents per hour then you are "worth" one dollar per hour.  Winning?  Don't explain it to me, tell a Chinaman.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 19:04 | 5646735 PT
PT's picture

Minimum wage = $400 per week.
Minimum mortgage = $400 per week.
Minimum rent = $300 per week.

Hmmmmm, food or housing, food or housing ... which shall it be?
What about clothing?

I'm surprised anyone works for minimum wage when it cannot keep them alive.  How do they survive?  Ponzi finance?

If the idea of a business is to make a profit then the idea of a job is to survive.  Why don't the numbers add up?

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 19:18 | 5646767 PT
PT's picture

When your competitor is willing to work for Ponzi Finance, either you go broke or you work for Ponzi-er Finance.  Hard work only works to a certain extent.  After that you need to get very friendly with your local bankster.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 21:50 | 5647179 Failure to Comm...
Failure to Communicate's picture

If your mortgage costs $400/week you are buying a $280k home. Not exactly a hovel.

Sat, 01/17/2015 - 18:56 | 5674808 PT
PT's picture

In my city, the cheapest house in the cheapest suburb has been $250k for the last eight years.  That's right.  $250k for a shitty house in a shitty suburb far from anywhere and it WILL need repairs ... or demolishing.

Or perhaps I need to get friendly with a few realtors.  Maybe they can show me some bargains-that-never-get-advertised.

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 01:02 | 5647569 DaveA
DaveA's picture

Move in with your parents, if they haven't already moved in with theirs.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:31 | 5646288 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Not Jim Cramer sure would be a refreshing CNBS alternative to the one imposed on viewers all day long.

 

Krauthammer: jihad now in dangerous 'third stage' -- are we paying attention or watching cat videos?

http://tinyurl.com/ptucuv9

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 20:01 | 5646894 sgt_doom
sgt_doom's picture

Dood!  Thanx for that link which has another link to Tara Reid bowling in a skimpy bra!

Outstanding!  Now, do you think she has had a silicone job?

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 21:53 | 5647192 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Statistically, you are still more likely to be murdered by your own government, than "terrorists."

Fuck Krauthammer, and the ballistic missile he rode in on.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:50 | 5646165 XRAYD
XRAYD's picture

Hourly earning are currently $24.57 which works out to just over $51,000 a year (without the cost of benefits for such jobs). A lot of back-slapping is going on, touting the 250,000+ jobs and the over three million jobs created this year. At the mentioned hourly rate, this would be over $153 Billion a year in payrolls!  

 

The average hourly rate includes the monthly paychecks of CEOs, Bankers, star athletes, and movie stars! The decline is from squeezing the wages of 90% of working Americans, many taking jobs to barely survive. 

 

It is difficult to understand what the Fed and Charlie Evans think they can do about this and raise private sector wages that are mostly half of the average hourly wage for full time jobs. Fed policies distort the markets and prevent real political solutions where ultimately the answers to job creation and income inequality lie. The Feds and Washington need to pay attention to the lives of all people in the real world instead of their "models", "data" and jargon. And, of course, their master on Wall Street - who own them, and their revolving door job and wealth creation opportunities for themselves and their cronies!

Their hourly wage rate is NOT $25 an hour, Thank you very much!

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:52 | 5646182 Western
Western's picture

The intent is to let them starve.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:15 | 5646248 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

That is why you use the median hourly wage which is around $17 which equates to about $35,000 per year if you are lucky enough to be employed full time.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 17:21 | 5646457 heisenberg991
heisenberg991's picture

The custodian and bus driver jobs pay 15.42 in my school district to start full time and they are always hiring. 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 18:42 | 5646671 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

I have to say the only people making Big purchases (like house remodeling, new cars, etc) in my area are mostly Gubmint employees. I read somewhere (I think USA Today) that said Gubimnt employee salaries are about $132k a year so that makes sense. 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:53 | 5646186 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

" real political solutions "

 

You believe in unicorns too?

 

 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:54 | 5646192 XRAYD
XRAYD's picture

Only if you see no difference between "real" and unicorn!

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 22:38 | 5646225 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

I know the difference between a "real political solution" and a unicorn.

 

One doesn't exist except in fantasy land  

 

The other is sort of like a horse with a horn projecting from its forehead

 

 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:57 | 5646202 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Looks like someone is lying to some folks...

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:02 | 5646212 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

Lie like you mean it Biatchez!

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:10 | 5646234 Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper's picture

Article V state legislature run Constitutional Convention.  Amend the Federal gov out of existence, amend the Fed out of existence.  Create a new central government that acts like the agent that the sovereign states created in 1791.  Ain't gonna happen unless people get off their dead asses, contact their state legislator and demand an Article V.  And, the people are going to have to closely oversee their legislatures to make sure that they don't get hijacked by banker criminals.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:28 | 5646278 Ms. Erable
Ms. Erable's picture

So... you want the legislators to allow themselves to be legislated out of a job that gives them power and perks, plus guaranteed lifetime benefits? Tell me again why it ain't gonna happen.

This would be the equivalent of asking permission to start a rebellion. Your forebears didn't say 'can we haz revolution preez', they just did it.

 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:05 | 5646221 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

+1 for panglossian

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:23 | 5646264 Ewtman
Ewtman's picture

The Labor Department’s ability to fudge numbers must have candy factories all over the U.S. drooling. Today’s upbeat jobs report is just another month of shuffling statistics around to get positive headline numbers. But when you actually dig down into the numbers, the fudge doesn’t taste as sweet.

 

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/not-since-1977-has-the-labor-force-pa...

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:59 | 5646377 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

 

 

But when you actually dig down into the numbers, the fudge doesn’t taste as sweet.

 

That's because it was literally extruded out the Hershey Highway.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 17:37 | 5646521 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

The late 70's was when women started going to work in force...families found they needed extra income to support their lifestyles because inflation had been chiseling away at the family breadwinners income.
That preceded the credit explosion and the home equity orgy, both of which served to increase 'income' further to keep up.
Well, home equity loans are dead in the water, and even people who qualify for credit aren't interested, as they are tapped-out.
Now it looks like families are saying "Fuck this" and deciding to keep a parent at home to care for the kids, instead of sending both out to play an unwinnable game.
Good. I hope it continues. Drive this bloated economy back down to proper size...go back to the days of living within your means, on ONE income (or the equivalent)and making do, or doing without.
It was all a lie anyway. It was never intended that YOU would benefit from all that extra hard work...it was just to keep you THINKING you were keeping up so TPTB could skim you a little while longer, so that you could be taxed at higher levels. The extra money was never meant for YOU.
Now the game is over, and the money has dried up. So what? YOU lose nothing, since you weren't GETTING it to begin with. Let THEM cut back, tighten their belts, or better, hang themselves with them.
But too many idiots will still play along...demanding a bigger minimum wage which will net them NOTHING after taxes and increased fees suck it up. And should they suddenly realize this and complain, they'll be scorned, and told, "You GOT an increase, what more do you want?" And no one else will feel bad for them, and they'll all be exactly where they WERE with no hope of change now that they've all gotten "raises".

You CAN'T keep up, but their game is in getting you to keep trying.

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 13:17 | 5648476 anticultist
anticultist's picture

I lived that chit and an historic point is that operation was preceded by 10 or more years of

running the womans lib psyops on the tv, everywhere on tv inundation, conditioning the slaves

into tax slave equality. And weaponized womans lib mind control too was utilized.

 

Everything the occult is running on tv, one has to connect that dots and ask what is the psyop

and how can I do the opposite of what the occult is programming.

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 01:37 | 5647623 Babaloo
Babaloo's picture

You know the participation rate is generated by the BLS right? That's the government.

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:27 | 5646274 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

 

We have lied to some folks, Free Army shit has expended Bitchez  (redline)

 

 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 16:36 | 5646301 spinone
spinone's picture

This also proves that Obama's free Community College for all will not help.  The problem is not insufficient numbers of educated job seekers, or a skills mismatch, it is structural unemployment because of the damage to the economy from the policy response to the 2008 financial crash.

http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/structural-unemployment-2012-...

 

Sat, 01/10/2015 - 17:00 | 5646375 taketheredpill
taketheredpill's picture

 

 

So maybe Food Stamp Participation as % population is better measure of Unemployment Rate.

 

15% fits well with alternative measures that count discouraged workers.

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 06:55 | 5647825 K_BX
K_BX's picture

Don´t you see?!? Foodstamps are distributed because the economy is doing great - Free Foodstamps for everyone !

And of course because the green shoots evolved into a thicket of prosperity we need to work less. So obvious...

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 08:46 | 5647908 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

So SNAP appears to be a leading indicator, but released 2 months behind everything else? Very interesting. It shows a roughly + 200k increase from Sept '14 to October '14. This is right about the time the continuing claims and not seasonally adjusted weekly claims began to rise again ( and have been rising since). I think unemployment has possibly bottomed, and is now beginning the upward trend we see leading to the next financial fuck all.

Sun, 01/11/2015 - 13:14 | 5648422 anticultist
anticultist's picture

 

I always talk from a perspective of a decent income, and no one seems to understand me.

 

I am older and left pieces of my body in factories to get this far.

 

Really the people I work with are pretty bad so its not hard for me to be a star but I keep a low profile too,

more of a soldier and not a boss seems to suit me. They have no idea what I know but its the analogy if

you saved someones life proactively where they were unaware of it, they wouldnt give you the time of day.

 

If you fix something after the crisis, you can be a hero. Its a perception and expectations manipulation game

we have to play when surrounded by fools. We have to wait for them to ask for help and cant get recognized for

doing good otherwise. Most of them are fools, its amazing business and industry can accomplish

anything.

 

I think it is big time screwed, I dont know the true numbers of any of it, the bagdad bob economics is part of the

war on reality. There is a series of 4 Lindsey Williams videos with AJ recently on utube, suggesting that most operating tax

revenues come from oil. They are talking about major government bankruptcies very soon as it takes some time for

states and localities to do the accounting it may not be known until quarters are wrapped up end of March.

 

The oil takedown is the new world order takedown plan and it has to occur before election because they cant start the

agenda new all over again with a new administration.

 

So if chit is hitting the fan end of March is their next premise for the next qe but a qe already began by announcing the

purchase of T-bills, a week or two ago.

 

I am going to get my house now because credit may not be available much longer and it is a shelter for slaves to

maximize the irs collections form 433a national spending allowances, wrap your head around that. A rare shelter in

there is to put a large amount into convertible term ( in a private mutual company ) where the aggregate of payments

can be recouped by converting to permanent in the future, this is important because the confiscation form does not allow

a permanent whole life insurance, just term.

This is a distinction to clarify because COG was suggesting the IBC which I do and believe in but there is something

else to know about obamacare confiscatin form 433a.

This comes into play when slaves get a $10k obamacare tax penalty bill or any run ins with irs like a job loss,

divorce, bankruptcy etc.

 

 

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