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How Alcoa Just Smashed Earnings Expectations

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moments ago Alcoa did what it always does following the now traditional several weeks of guidedowns heading into the earnings release that until recently used to kick off the earnings season for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (at least until Alcoa was unceremoniously kicked out): it beat, and beat significantly, with Wall Street expecting $0.27 in Q4 EPS, Alcoa reported a whopping $0.33, a material beat to expectations.

Terrific job, and yet regular readers know that while some companies boost their buybacks and other fudge their tax-rate to beat EPS, Alcoa is known for something different: parking as many costs as possible into the "one-time, non-recurring" category, and thus getting non-GAAP addback "benefits" for these.

Sure enough, this is precisely what happened in Q4, when Alcoa recorded a whopping $388 million in "addbacks", which also happens to be the second largest addback to in the past 4 years.

 

Putting this number in context: GAAP EPS: $159, which however is pre-addbacks, a tiny $0.11 per share. Net of addbacks, however, this number surges to $432 million after tax, or three times higher, $0.33 EPS!

In other words, two-thirds of Alcoa's beat in the quarter was due to what management thought was another quarter of recurring "non-recurring", non-one time "one-time" charges.

What about the full year? Well, GAAP EPS was a measly $268 million or $0.21 EPS. However, when one adds back a whopping $1.2 billion pretax in one-time charges, what does one get? Why net income of $1.1 billion, or $0.92 EPS. Non-GAAP that is. Because only for Alcoa is the difference between GAAP and Non-GAAP some 75%. Visually:

And that concludes today's lesson on hitting your non-GAAP bogey thanks to a year of record "restructuring" addbacks.

 

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Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:32 | 5652816 algol_dog
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Whatever works -

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:47 | 5652885 RockyRacoon
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...until it stops working.  Then it will be too late to fix.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:58 | 5652945 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

What? Shocking! I'm stunned I'm telling you, stunned. Another earnings game manipulation! Who does Alcoa think they are; INTL?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:11 | 5653019 walküre
walküre's picture

they could be bankrupt and exceed everyone's expectations

where is the Aluminum sold is what I'd like to know?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:47 | 5653162 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

I adopted that accepted bookeeping method when doing my Tax.

Did not go down too well as It was I that got ripped a GAPP

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:50 | 5653426 Lore
Lore's picture

Je Suis Consterné.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:35 | 5652822 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

BONUS TIME!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:50 | 5652910 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

"Buy, Mortimer, Buy!"

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:21 | 5653064 silverer
silverer's picture

"Buy!", says Baron Danglars, "BUY!"

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:35 | 5652830 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Most of these corporations suck balls and have no ethics and integrity to report the actual facts.

MOAR bullshit...

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:27 | 5653083 dicksburnt
dicksburnt's picture

by the time the american sheeple awake their job, their 401(k), and whatever else they thought they owned will be gone - even the clothes on their back will be on a lease program to a corporation.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:38 | 5652838 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Is it really fraud when it is called Generally Accepted Accounting Fraud Principles ? I confused.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:39 | 5652854 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Generally Avoided Accounting Principles*

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:47 | 5652887 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

who's their  perpetrators, I mean auditors?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:02 | 5653249 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Scotland!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 23:18 | 5654124 VegasBob
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What is most frightening about the quarterly Wall Street earnings charade is that for most public companies, even GAAP income numbers are grossly overstated.

Accounting rules permit companies to grossly overstate assets (by not amortizing 'goodwill' for example) and grossly understate liabilities (pension expense, for example).  This in turn allows earnings on the income statement to be grossly overstated, even using GAAP.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:46 | 5653410 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

When the gap between GAAP and non-GAAP is as large as Alcoa's you can call it GAAFP. GASP!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:37 | 5652840 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

waterboard earnings

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:07 | 5653261 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Banks don't report until Thursday.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:38 | 5652842 delivered
delivered's picture

Look for this at your favorite energy company this coming earnings season. Write-downs, one-time losses, adjustments, add-backs, etc. are going to be in full diplay and coming to everyones favorite retail store (i.e., brokerage house that is going to push this crap out the door). Remember what accounting really comes down to in its simplest form. 

What does 2+2 equal? What ever it needs to be!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:40 | 5652847 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

There apppears to be a GAAP in ethics....

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:43 | 5653154 813kml
813kml's picture

Ethics can be amortized.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:38 | 5653369 Arnold
Arnold's picture

One must monetarise them first.

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 01:01 | 5654376 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Depreciated...

 

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 01:07 | 5654383 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

dup

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:38 | 5652849 goldhedge
goldhedge's picture

kicking the can down the road.  Literally

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:43 | 5652862 farmboy
farmboy's picture

That is why Hollywood and Wall Street are both in the US

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:45 | 5652875 Bell's 2 hearted
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"Alcoa sees global aluminum demand growth of 7 percent in 2015, following 7 percent growth in 2014."

 

i'll take the under

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:16 | 5653042 walküre
walküre's picture

where do they pull this number from and more importantly where is the growth going to be? more cars in India and China?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:24 | 5653071 silverer
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Ford F-150, lots of aluminum.  But that's only if they SELL a lot of Ford F-150's.  Time to crank up the subprime auto loans a couple more notches.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:05 | 5653255 walküre
walküre's picture

lower gas makes trucks attractive again for sure..

but those who drive trucks have less reason to drive around as they've lost their jobs. Perhaps you're implying they show up in their brandnew F150s to the interview?

definitely less demand for new trucks in Alaska, Canada, Texas and US shale states, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil ...

what's left for a market?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:06 | 5653263 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Very few people people who drive pickup trucks actually need them.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:35 | 5653358 optimator
optimator's picture

All the dealers I've seen have added parking spaces and even separate fields to store all those vehicles the government considers "Sold".

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:33 | 5653149 813kml
813kml's picture

I'll take the over based on the assumption that Americans will start hoarding gas in one gallon aluminum cans.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:46 | 5652878 exartizo
exartizo's picture

This crap has been going on for years.

You should be ashamed of yourself ALCOA.

Seriously.

Can't you post some HONEST numbers?

Can't you stop with the BULLSHIT?

Can't you let investors really HONESTLY see where your numbers are?

Corporate America is fucking insane.

Alcoa is The First And Best Example.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:51 | 5652908 ncdirtdigger
ncdirtdigger's picture

Is payroll a one time event?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:41 | 5653385 Arnold
Arnold's picture

No, but bridge loans to make payroll are.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:50 | 5652912 moonman
moonman's picture

Stating Non GAAP numbers is just screaming "See if you can find the fudging"

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:53 | 5652930 Greenspazm
Greenspazm's picture

This is only disconcerting if you believe that company financial data bear any relationship to stock prices.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:00 | 5652955 I woke up
I woke up's picture

They should pay out all yearly salaries in Q1 to have a fantastic Q2,3 and 4

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:05 | 5652987 Evil Bugeyes
Evil Bugeyes's picture

Non GAAP earnings are useful for one thing: to guage how dishonest a company's management is. The larger the difference between GAAP and non GAAP, the more brazen the management.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:12 | 5653003 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Kicking the soda can...off the cliff.

They used to say "Where's the meat ?"   but that would be scandalous.

 

I think the manufacturers have discovered that all "matter" volume is 99.99% fluff and free space.  The electron shell defines "volume", but it all nothing in-between the electron shell.  The financiers have turned this physics fact into a non-GAAP trick.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:11 | 5653012 pashley1411
pashley1411's picture

it is a fundatmental premise of American corporate management to do whatever it takes to make earnings and stock bonuses.  

Including and by no means limited to putting an insurance policy on their mom's life and rolling her out into traffic.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 18:47 | 5653170 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Imagine a day where we have eliminated the corporate income tax.  We all know the end consumer is bearing the brunt of all these taxes anyway.

Away go all the accounting gimmicks.  The only thing that matters would be the real bottom line.  

Companies have to focus on real performance, real production, and real results.

 

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:46 | 5653408 Arnold
Arnold's picture

" I'll have what she's having."

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 21:49 | 5653877 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

GAAP is for investors and creditors. Corporate income tax reporting is for the IRS. When you do away with the bond and equities market then the accounting gimmicks will go away.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:02 | 5653244 B2u
B2u's picture

Clarence Beeks was able to steal the report.  Time to buy, buy, buy!!!!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:39 | 5653376 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

It's tin-foil hat time.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 19:56 | 5653458 ms8173
ms8173's picture

This will end badly one day!!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 20:19 | 5653549 nakki
nakki's picture

 Arthur Andersen is BACK BABY. Way ahead of their time, and back in business. I'm wondering if they could be my accountant. We're all living in a non-GAAP world.

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 07:09 | 5653654 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Meet our beat  and vice versa... Bitchez

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 02:55 | 5654544 TradingFinn
TradingFinn's picture

They talk about good demand while the shipments decreased 2% QoQ and 4% YoY.

Am I missing something?

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 13:08 | 5655669 JenkinsLane
JenkinsLane's picture

Non-GAAP earnings are simply fraud.

Tue, 01/13/2015 - 13:37 | 5655818 Omega
Omega's picture

I think that the company is playing its' last game. Such efforts and ideas are often used when the company has nothing else to make and does not know how to change the situation. Fortunately people who have already invest money in it now have the chance to get it back. However if the situation gets worse, they can always get money in Canada instantly in a case of any financial emergency. The online monetary service is a new possibility to become financially independent of any economical changes and investing problems.

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