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Since QE Ended, Stocks Are Unchanged, Treasury Yields Down 60bps

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's extension of Friday's losses has erased all the post-End-QE3 gains for stocks as the S&P 500 catches back down towards the Fed's flat balance sheet. During the last 2 months, however, 30Y Treasury yields have plunged almost 60bps (back below 2.50% today)...

 

 

As stocks keep pump-and-dump-ing off the Fed Balance sheet...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:11 | 5652205 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

Guys, Guys! I have a great idea!  What if we tried printing more money?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:12 | 5652214 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

bonds are telling stocks to "COME ON DOWN"

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:19 | 5652240 knukles
knukles's picture

Always happens.
Like ripples in a stagnant pool.

 

Bond half the trades workin'.... Come on gold!  Giddy-up!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:46 | 5652362 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

 

"I felt a great disturbance in the farce; as if millions of voices cried out for a rate increase and were suddenly silenced."

 

 

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 16:46 | 5652593 whotookmyalias
whotookmyalias's picture

Stocks flat, yields down?  Say it ain't so.  Shouldn't be a surprise to anyone.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 16:12 | 5652458 Neverstopprintingme
Neverstopprintingme's picture

that is what used to happen!!!! now the fed is telling stocks to go up.  stop being so reasonable.  i thought bannning rational though was part of qe2.  better print more zim cash.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:25 | 5652257 lester1
lester1's picture

The FED printed over $3 trillion dollars out of thin air and handed it to their "primary dealer" banks. Those banks then buy up stocks and lend at 1% to corporations to do stock buybacks and artificially drive up stock prices.

QE3 money has almost run out, so expect QE4 in a few months. Wall Street needs more gambling money.

 

This entire stock market is a scam !!

 

AUDIT OR END THE FED !!

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:28 | 5652279 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

The CTRL and P button's have broken on Kevin Hendry's keyboard. The FOMC are currently deciding on which replacement keyboard will allow for maximum CTRL + P useable.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:41 | 5652342 stinkhammer
stinkhammer's picture

"winning"

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:13 | 5652215 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Since QE Ended, Stocks Are Unchanged, Treasury Yields Down 60bps

How does he do it?

Mr. Yellen is a genius. 

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:21 | 5652248 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

I just took a big ole Bernanke but fortunately I had a fresh roll of Yellen, damned turd still won't flush though.....

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:22 | 5652253 Greenskeeper_Carl
Greenskeeper_Carl's picture

and, oil is down 50%. Its hilarious listening to these people jawbone and try to call the bottom, same thing they have been doing since it was 85/barrel. I don't know why they get such poor ratings, its hilarious. Ill go long when it hits 25/barrel, thats my bottom, calling it now. Hard as it is to believe, but absent a new war in the middle east, thats where we are going

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:41 | 5652347 new game
new game's picture

tink mid 30's - JMFO

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:17 | 5652232 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

What difference does it make?

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:19 | 5652234 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

At the risk of repeating myself, it seems The Beatles provide the best parodies for the "QE is dead" debate:

Yesterday, POMO was such an easy game to play
Now I’ll actually have to earn my pay
Oh, I believe in yesterday

Suddenly, I’m not half the trader I used to be
There’s a shadow hanging over me . . .

additionally:

I read the news today, oh boy
Four thousand holes in the Fed’s Taper plan
And though the holes were rather small
They couldn't count them all
Now they know how much QE it takes to stop the market’s fall

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:19 | 5652236 Pig Circus
Pig Circus's picture

What a Pig Circus

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:20 | 5652238 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I think we've printed enough.  We should be good for a while.

... said no central bank ever.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:19 | 5652241 q99x2
q99x2's picture

BTFD

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:19 | 5652242 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

QE has not ended.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:20 | 5652246 Silvergood
Silvergood's picture

QE never ended.  Complete collapse ahead.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:24 | 5652260 magnumpk
magnumpk's picture

The Fed is learning that talking QE is no substitute for QE.  They want the asset bubble to stay inflated, so QE4 will come once the market has tanked sufficiently (I've no idea what 'sufficiently' is though).

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:27 | 5652272 lester1
lester1's picture

YOU CAN TALK ABOUT GETTING A TRILLION DOLLARS, OR YOU CAN ACTUALLY GET A TRILLION DOLLARS TO GAMBLE WITH.

 

BIG DIFFERENCE.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:36 | 5652307 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

OK, one platinum coin coming up.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:36 | 5652308 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

OK, one platinum coin coming up.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:42 | 5652349 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

pavlov would be proud of bullard

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:44 | 5652356 new game
new game's picture

alex, everyone here is tired of your pimped chesey website. give it up.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 15:56 | 5652396 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

VE (Verbal Easing) is losing its effect.  This should get interesting.,,

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 16:29 | 5652469 Chief Falling Knife
Chief Falling Knife's picture

What do you guys make of this chart?

Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions chart(Weekly):

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/EXCSRESNW?rid=283

Add another Data Series of the S&P 500 at the bottom, after adding it click the Edit Data Series 2(S&P 500), and change the Y-Axis Position from Left to Right.

That should give a nice look of the S&P overlaid over the Excess Reserves.

At the end of QE the Excess Reserves plunged $360+ billion in about 6 weeks.  Then magically increased about $300 billion in the next week(week before Christmas).  Last week the Excess Reserves again plunged $150+ billion.  Tremendous volatility since the end of QE, and somehow the S&P is still hovering roughly 3% from the all-time high.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 16:40 | 5652573 frankly scarlet
frankly scarlet's picture

So just maybe the stoppage of easing has been exaggerated somewhat, with the Japanese CB and pension funds picking up the slack. The ECB is waiting in the wings to help out if the Bundesbank will cave. Anyway not a pretty picture.

Mon, 01/12/2015 - 17:21 | 5652759 RabbitOne
RabbitOne's picture

 

My dear old departed mum had the right idea she would say “...why deal with this easing ----, give it an enema and be done with it!...”

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