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Crude & Copper Are Crumbling

Tyler Durden's picture




 

WTI Crude prices are back below $48 having tumbled in the last few minutes. Copper prices are also sliding notably (as gold and silver slip). No immediate catalyst aside from delayed reaction from last night's slow and sure realization by The IMF that all is not well will global growth.

Crude slammed lower...

 

And copper following...

 

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Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:31 | 5683233 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

Listen to Dr. Copper, folks. He is right ,most of the times. Even when he talks Chinese, like in the last years

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:57 | 5683346 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

If I learned anything about China in the last few years it's that copper CAN be manipulated.  Especially when it's stockpiled, warehoused and used as infinitely rehypothecatable collateral for taking out loans.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:00 | 5683348 knukles
knukles's picture

IMF:  "All's not right with the world."
Knukles:  "All's not right with the IMF."

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:03 | 5683354 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

+1 and China has a huge sovereign debt mountain that has not surfaced the collective mind of the markets, yet

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:08 | 5683383 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

The invisible hand of the market has been defending 2.400 on CU quite hard.  Wake me when we break below that.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:10 | 5683396 Lewshine
Lewshine's picture

Just wait till the opening bell! You will see the miraculous rebound in oil, a sell off in precious, spy will move 25 pts in one algo spasm...Because all is well in the land of Unicorns and Fairy dust.  

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:54 | 5683576 JBilyj
JBilyj's picture

I think Dr. Copper is a great indicator that cuts through the bull shit. But with Goldman Sachs cornering the Aluminum market, do you think this indicator will have false signals based on global collusion of supplies?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:35 | 5683235 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

To the best of my knowledge copper doesnt conduct hopium, and that is all that is powering everything right now...  One false move somewhere and the wheels are going to come off in a big way....

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:37 | 5683247 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Already have behind the curtain.$22tn in oil derivatives plus how many CHF ones ?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:04 | 5683369 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Nothing conducts better than silver.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:23 | 5683442 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

I think I would have said, "one real move somewhere and the wheels are going to come off in a big way..."

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:35 | 5683236 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Come on, everyone knows it's due to the weather!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:34 | 5683237 valley chick
valley chick's picture

Baker Hughes expects to lay off up to 7000.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:49 | 5683248 youngman
youngman's picture

So is the French Company Schlumberger..9,000 for them

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:40 | 5683254 blown income
blown income's picture

For the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, Baker Hughes reported a profit of $663 million, or $1.52 a share, up from $248 million, or 56 cents a share, a year earlier. Excluding a gain on deconsolidation of a join venture, adjusted per-share earnings were $1.44.

 

pop

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:35 | 5683238 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

No jobs. No way to save. The End.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:42 | 5683260 negative rates
negative rates's picture

All the good jobs were gone, now they are long gone.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:07 | 5683379 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Start building barstools.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 11:35 | 5683757 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

The ghost of Ross Perot. That little big eared freak was right.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:37 | 5683239 horot
horot's picture

Gold, Bitchezz....Keep stacking!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:35 | 5683240 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

But...but....Droughie QE miracle comin!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:40 | 5683258 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

another festivus miracle

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:42 | 5683269 youngman
youngman's picture

I think we are starting to see the end of the paper investing....Countries want their real gold in hand.....and the paper market for oil is falling apart...maybe we will be back to a real market in the next few years...no options nor derivitives....so I hope

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:27 | 5683469 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

Hope so, too.

Gamblers --> play in the casino or in private or OTC (and NO BAILOUT. EVER!!!)

Investors --> to the markets

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:44 | 5683274 Ramen Noodles
Ramen Noodles's picture

OK - this is my theory. JCB + FED down gold and yen, China reacts by dumping oil. They need to do this to stop the yen from getting too weak, and threatening the yuan peg with the dollar, and their hope to bring the US dollar reserve status to a final end. Just a theory, but I am not sure why no-one has meantioned it.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:49 | 5683305 papaswamp
Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:52 | 5683328 Ramen Noodles
Ramen Noodles's picture

Of course they are importing it like mad. If they are helping bring it down, they know it will eventually also go up.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:08 | 5683387 Ramen Noodles
Ramen Noodles's picture

Sorry, I mean dumping futures, not the real sticky stuff. China has learnt well from Goldman's stance on gold, and they are doing it to oil.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:48 | 5683303 CanadaFrank32
CanadaFrank32's picture

So you work hard save, buy gold, buy stocks, rrsp's, then the market collapses, banks raise interest rates, gold plummets,stocks crash and your rrsp disentegrates. You struggle to keep your house, spend your savings remain unemployed. There is no way to pre

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:55 | 5683339 Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

You missed one important step.

carry no debt (i.e. pay it off before you do any other "saving")

If you have no debt and all of your scenario happens you are sitting as pretty as you can.

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:51 | 5683312 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Lady Lagarde's promise to do a belly dance to convince the US congress now looks like a remote possibility.

Should we all clap ?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:55 | 5683337 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

falak, there is nothing Christine can do to convince the US Congress about a reform of the IMF. literally nothing. it's a classic political impasse fuelled by too much rah-rah propaganda

for all purposes the Republican party has painted itself in a corner, when it comes to the IMF. and is happy about it. their choice, I'd say

the result, eventually, is a proliferation of IMF-like orgs. first a Chinese, and then possibly even a second, european-only institution

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:09 | 5683393 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Or not.  More likely is a complete disentegration of all $IMF-type institutions in favor of a distinct separation between exchange and savings mechanisms with occasional trade/book-balancing to be done using CB gold reserves.  Simple yet extremely powerful and reduced opportunities to behave irresponsibly with the 'people's' wealth.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:16 | 5683418 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

and who restructures sovereign debt, the main role of the IMF? lots of megabanks depend on that. to the point that they should build up their own IMF

it all goes back to the role of the megabanks. are they the capital ships of financial power or just... facilities? Jamie Dimon pleads for the first role

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:12 | 5683402 silverer
silverer's picture

If you look at the composition of the clubs on both sides of the Atlantic, there isn't a single person that could stand up and say the right thing.  It's no longer a question of will we get another dumb statement, it's just a question of who will say it.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 09:55 | 5683320 Ramen Noodles
Ramen Noodles's picture

oops, I just repeated myself.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:06 | 5683373 silverer
silverer's picture

Copper isn't worth crap unless there is continuous demand for it.  No wonder they used it for years to mint coins.  Now the cheapskates don't even use copper for that, proof that your coins as well as your paper are totally worthless.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:14 | 5683407 Rusty Trombone
Rusty Trombone's picture

And your shitcoins are worth what when that monstrosity in Bluffdale UT goes after them ?

I'm pretty confidant my lead and brass coins will be just fine.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:37 | 5683513 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Copper stockpiles worldwide are very high. Producers will be forced to cut back or close. 90% of silver production is at stake along with 15% of gold. I expect copper to continue dropping in price till congress declares copper as strategic to the US economy.

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:11 | 5683397 Rusty Trombone
Rusty Trombone's picture

World War is coming.

 

The writing is on the wall, motherfuckers.

 

Hedge Accordingly.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:17 | 5683424 youngman
youngman's picture

But you can buy a 100 million dollar condo in NYC...or pay up the wazoo for ART......when are those bubbles going to crash

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:27 | 5683468 SMC
SMC's picture

The collapse we have been expecting is here and accelerating.  Stay debt free.

Someday the events of 1995  to 2025 may make a good 2 hour movie, living it real time is like watching a train wreck frsme by frame. 

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:33 | 5683494 Longarm
Longarm's picture

FEAR mongering....

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 10:54 | 5683584 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

Claude cooper from cleveland wont like this at all

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 11:03 | 5683621 CHX
CHX's picture

not long now, and them copper producers that beef up their balances with the by-product gold will become primary gold producers and copper as a side product. it will happen.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 13:09 | 5684307 ItsDanger
ItsDanger's picture

Knowing the various costs of production for regions/companies is more important than the latest ticker price tag.  The reported #'s were inflated especially on this site.  The price will go to around $25-30 temporarily before rebounding to mid 40's again.  And then slowly back up over time.  Supply disruptions will kick in over next 9 months or so.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 13:59 | 5684518 chomu
chomu's picture

Im long Miller High Life and short Houston muni's

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 14:50 | 5684759 JuliaS
JuliaS's picture

Crude and copper are on sale! Get your WW3 at 50% off!

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