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Dow Roundtrips 500 Points As Gold Surges To Best Run In Over 4 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Another day, another rollercoaster of crazy volatility...

 

The Dow rallied a few hundred points post China GDP into the US open, then collapsed 260 points... only to pump 200 points back up after Europe closed.

 

Cash markets all moved together but small caps were the tell into the close...

 

Builders and Financials lagged... Tech and Industrials led... Notice energy bounced once again even as Crude hit new lows

 

Biotechs at record-erer highs...

 

Futures ramped after the China GDP data, dumped at the US open, ramped again after Europe closed... then started to fade

 

USDJPY was in charge as once Europe closed, stocks ripped back up to catch it...

 

Treasuries were very mixed today with the long end closing near record lows (30Y -7bps at 2.38% on moar QE duration scarcity) and the short-end saw yields rise (2Y +1.5bps at 49.5bps)...

 

banging 2s30s to fresh 6 year flats...

 

The USDollar rallied (as Swissy weakened a little more)

 

Oilmageddon continues... with WTI back down to a $46 handle, down almost 5% from Friday's close (but gold and silver are surging)... note the moves in commodities started after China GDP...

 

With gold's best 7-day run since Aug 2011 (shifting to 5-month highs...

 

Quite a run for gold...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:11 | 5685414 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Predictable.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:13 | 5685431 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

WTI down $2.50..., so oil should hit zero in ~ 18 trading days...

   or not.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5685452 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

End of the February contract -- switches to March tomorrow.  Cartel is still in control for now, and it looks like they want to see $40.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5685455 knukles
knukles's picture

It does look "stuck" there for the time bein', no?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:51 | 5685564 Romney Wordsworth
Romney Wordsworth's picture

How come that puke spewing rollercoaster dude isn't on the foto reel?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:06 | 5685817 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Looking forward to shorting the biotech garbage......... someday...... hopfully while I am still young........ er than Warren Buffet.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:23 | 5685878 new game
new game's picture

new comment(same old), fuck a fraud, ha...

as bettty would say: i don't give a fuck...

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:39 | 5685739 winchester
winchester's picture

 

45-50 is not 30-35.... it's all about time managing depending of each o-day events worldwide...

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:56 | 5685792 me again
me again's picture

As I remarked seeral times in my previous incarnation, knukles, I believe the bottom is in for 2014-15; @15.50 for Silver; and you get to laugh at me again for free if I'm wrong. This is what my analysis concludes. My analysis is usually pretty good; but past performance is no guarantee of future success. cheers. I got kicked off for unknown reasons.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:26 | 5685887 new game
new game's picture

you are "most likely" correct...

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5685454 knukles
knukles's picture

Biotecks hit an all time high?
Must be the spawn of the Reptilian Lizard People from Dulce Base plannin' a terror attack of some pathogens and shit.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:25 | 5685472 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

We couldn't have the hreat one on the podium tonight patting himself on the back for the Greatest Recovery if the market was down today.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:21 | 5685662 Traderone
Traderone's picture

,,,,and very very tradable.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:12 | 5685423 Truther
Truther's picture

Great.... Let me have the popcorn then.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:18 | 5685428 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

It's because the King is Speaking. Shush and enjoy the show!!!

The Officially Unofficial State of the Union Viewer Guide and Drinking Game

or you can actually take a poll on the Obamamussolin's speech tonight:

01.20.15 State of the Union Booze and Importance Poll Questions
Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:15 | 5685429 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Kevin had to get green for the Oblameo Blabfest or lose his job.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:15 | 5685434 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

760 swing in DOW today...and closes right at 'unch'.... magical.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:32 | 5685494 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

When the market is nothing but a matrix, anything is possible.  it's not the spoon that's moving so don;t try to bend it, instead realize their is no spoon and bend yourself....OVER

 

Thank you Yellen may i have another

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:41 | 5685745 winchester
winchester's picture

ez on pills dude, mix ain't good

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:20 | 5685658 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Thou shalt not leave a stop loss order unrun!

  Didn't Moses say that, or was it the Lloyd?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:34 | 5685716 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

We know which one thinks he's dog.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:34 | 5685709 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

mopping up the retail investors.....check.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 22:47 | 5686666 Down to Earth T...
Down to Earth Thinking's picture

right on script

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:14 | 5685435 Row Well Number 41
Row Well Number 41's picture

My neck hurts.

#41

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:15 | 5685444 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

Ow, my balls

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:53 | 5685568 Romney Wordsworth
Romney Wordsworth's picture

Ahoy Palloi!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:17 | 5685856 Muppet
Muppet's picture

Jesus! (Charlie Sheen.....,, anyone?.... Crickets chripping)

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:28 | 5685896 new game
new game's picture

your what hurts?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:16 | 5685438 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

look at the pressure they exerted on the phony paper price of the other only form of real money in London and NY to keep it contained below $18..

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livesilver.html

undeniable....

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:18 | 5685447 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

I still cannot believe the cartel has let gold run this much, this fast.  Are they setting up the momentum traders in gold for a monkeyhammer crush of gold?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:23 | 5685462 kowalli
kowalli's picture

they need 50 :1 to pressure gold with papper gold, they don't have money.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:23 | 5685464 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

the moneychangers and the elites they represent own most of the Gold...

the crime of 1873 was committed to scare the common man out of Silver which is the common mans Gold...

Silver they do not have and is the reach of every common man woman and child...

Silver is the key to the destruction of their debt based currency paradigm and power....

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:51 | 5685764 winchester
winchester's picture

you totally wrong, they play with you, looking at you , yourself playing with PM... if it was so dangerous, out of control, they would  simply ban/forbid it.

 

the key, to the destruction, is to be out of the system so they have noone to play with until themselves.

 

such movement cannot happen by inner mass, it supposes to realize its own way of life and accept to reduce it to be allowed to morph into something simpler, better. it request to not be lazy, to be in good shape mentaly, balanced. most usa/EU ppl are mougeons ( french hybrid for sheep/pigeons ) not a fucking single mougeon will move to reduce its life style while what it looks at tv is kardashian, hilton and co...

 

1st step is to nuke any way to broadcast any form of TV worldwide. then, we can start to speak.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:54 | 5685777 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

well at least someone sees things like u...

congrats...

now, follow ur path.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:31 | 5685912 new game
new game's picture

i don't give a fuck, hehe, which means i am taking care of myself first, the rest falls into place....

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 22:49 | 5686680 Down to Earth T...
Down to Earth Thinking's picture

i actually agree on all points 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:26 | 5685883 Bro of the Sorr...
Bro of the Sorrowful Figure's picture

youre spot on, unfortunately after a century of brainwashing the common man, woman, and child have no idea that silver is money and can save them from the system. i hope that the crash of 2015 is enough to wake up a large enough minority to the need to own PMs, especially silver.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:24 | 5685471 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Gold is up 8% the last month but only 3% YOY (in USD terms).

Sorry, but this kind of tiny move means absolutely nothing.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:38 | 5685515 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Good catch BoP. I mentioned this scenario earlier. Sometimes you can carry ( P/M's) in a different curency or investment scheme. You just have to be open to ideas. ;-)

 Remember the group that made $billions as the R/E market colapsed in 98, 2000, 2007, ect?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:57 | 5685581 knukles
knukles's picture

Goddammit you guys!
Just when I was starting not tp panic and along you come and make me remember what little I know of the real world is all bad!

                         soft sobbing sounds

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:04 | 5685616 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Until we see a real move in gold, like $300 or $400 in a few days or $1000 in a week or two, in really doesnt change much that I can tell. We really need to see the paper humping COMEX fucktards completely obliterated. Confidence in paper gold must be wiped out and destroyed to see true price discovery.

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:15 | 5685636 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

u think they aint scared of Silver...think again...
look what they just did..

http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/silver.php

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:34 | 5685712 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Correct Kaiser. Silver is the Achilles Heel of the whole PM manipulation charade and always has been. Silver will most likely do a Moon Shot compared to golds rise, percentage wise. It is one of the most undervalued and underowned assets on the planet, imo.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:37 | 5685734 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

agreed...and hopefully in this lifetime...
for liberty's sake.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:36 | 5685927 new game
new game's picture

history verifies this as what was in the common mans coinage! common man is the key-affordable and easily used/demanded...this is when the idiots ruin there fiat fraud, which is upon us now. we are in throws of repudiation of fiat. convulsions if you prefer. snb started the the twitch of fiat death. stay tuned...

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 22:51 | 5686690 Down to Earth T...
Down to Earth Thinking's picture

but which comes first ? the chicken or the egg and especially in a land of many illusions that are accepted as reality ? 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:54 | 5685772 winchester
winchester's picture

gold didnt move more than 920€ -1000€ fork for year.. buy it in euros, it is stable, it is just coz of strenghten of USD that gold is AAAAAaaaaaAAAAAAaaa...

period.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:55 | 5685784 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

i really do hope u r amused by urself...

last words...

again, follow ur path.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:15 | 5685644 seek
seek's picture

I'm suprised as well. It's only Tuesday though, they still have the rest of the week to smack it down.

The interesting thing is gold's launch happened the day before Opex, and it's continued to go up since then. I'm seriously wondering if maybe someone decided to take delivery and is causing problems (perhaps it's connected to the GLD story earlier.)

There could still be a smackdown, but if it's a physical shortage, then the game is definitely changed. The smackdown artists would have to write losing options, and the sharks would smell the blood in pile in for free money and it'd turn into a pretty bad feedback loop for the parties covering the options (eg the Fed) for the smackdown.

I'm in disbelief, but this really could be the start of a collapse in the suprression mechanism. They're awfully good at pulling rabbits out of hats, though.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:43 | 5685750 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

Wouldn't surprise me if they did. I mean, after that huge run, we're still under 1300. Not that big of a deal if you ask me, although that was one impressive run in the miners, esp NUGT. And yes, I happen to own NUGT right now but am nervous the "cartels" smack this right back down.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:14 | 5685440 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Nearly every market has been driven for the last six months by clobbering shorts.  Perhaps it is time for the gold shorts to feel some pain. 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:17 | 5685445 Boomberg
Boomberg's picture

Just turned on Trish Regan (Bloomberg). Dow was up +3.66 for the day. Must have been another boring day in the markets. 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:18 | 5685449 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Turgid Tuesdays.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5685450 nosoeawe
nosoeawe's picture

the filthy cunt that is yellen must be proud of her boot licking minions over at the PPT.

Setting up the big eared jihadist for his verbal diarrhea comedy hour later today.

 

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:49 | 5685552 forexskin
forexskin's picture

+1 for the restraint...

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:22 | 5685875 Bro of the Sorr...
Bro of the Sorrowful Figure's picture

forexskin just made me spit out my coffee. great name.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:27 | 5685688 Plan9FromOuterSpace
Plan9FromOuterSpace's picture

That is probably an insult to filthy cunts and big eared jihadists, but highly accurate nonetheless.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:17 | 5685451 joego1
joego1's picture

ALGOS skiing down the backs of the Muppets

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:12 | 5685549 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

I'll ignore the image of the Swedish Chef's hat with burnt-in hexadecimal ski tracks for a moment, and observe the following:

Odd day for RUT, everything was between and betwixt, nothing reached standard algo targets, seemed those unwinding pre-holiday short-covering were equaled by the pre-Draghi Moar-Brigade.  Had been such a dream year to trade until today, but 9 good days out of 10 ain’t bad.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:35 | 5685503 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

I can't fathom those charts ! Please teach me .

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:43 | 5685531 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Give a man a chart, you feed him for a day.

Teach a man charts, and algos fuck him for a lifetime.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:11 | 5685637 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

I want to get fucked by algos . Now teach me :D

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:21 | 5685667 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Mr. Nietzsche said it best, and I had to alter only one word:  "To trade is to suffer, to survive is to find some meaning in the suffering."

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:08 | 5685624 bentaxle
bentaxle's picture

When the price is going up buy. When the price is going down sell. How do you know if the price is going down? Prices will be falling.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:44 | 5685538 Counterpunch
Counterpunch's picture

The real money is in the volatility, boys.

 

However, as we get into credit card repayment time for Xmas, and the true implications of Obamascare and lowered expectations across the board [in terms of real stats] - the Lord tells me this, really, truly, may be the beginning of the beginning of dollar decline.

 

Good year for a needless global war, eh?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:54 | 5685565 noben
noben's picture

What do the dark pools of (in)Fidelity say?

Which way does the wind blow?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:09 | 5685622 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

dark pools of (in)Fidelity

I believe that’s the title of Michael Lewis’ first planned foray into the romance novel genre:   

(“…the wind outside the HFT offices caused Melanie’s top blouse button to unclasp, and as the cool January breezes danced around her chest, she felt her desire for Lars, the Chief of Algorithmic Trading, growing like the bins of internal documents she was told to shred though, in a weak moment, she wondered how great a role his 287 consecutive profitable days played in her emotions then, with a shrug of her shoulders, stopped at a Wall St. boutique for a fresh stockpile of mauve lip gloss …”) 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:55 | 5685576 db51
db51's picture

Jesus Folks....not hard to figure out here.  We're heading to record high closes for eternity.   Fuck the collapse....I'm convinced it ain't never going to happen...not in my lifetime, and I hope I have 20 years left.   Besides, can't have the Super Nigga getting on TV tonight after a 300 point drop.   Fuck it....Face it....We'll never see Banker's Swinging from a lamp post.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 17:57 | 5685585 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

The Gold beatdown is LONG overdue, or, did I slide to an alternate universe by accident??

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:01 | 5685596 adr
adr's picture

Algos see every near vertical drop as an opportunity for a near vertical ascent back to the same level within the same time period as the drop.

There is no reality outside the chart the algos read. If all you knew was a chart that looks like the market from 2009 until now, every drop responds with a pop. Why should that change?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:03 | 5685608 Counterpunch
Counterpunch's picture

Professor Terguson: You remember that thing we had about 30 years ago called the Korean conflict? And how we failed to achieve victory? How come we didn't cross the 38th parallel and push those rice-eaters back to the Great Wall of China?

Professor Terguson: [rips a desk apart] Then take the fucking wall apart

[shouts]

Professor Terguson: brick by brick and nuke them back into the fucking stone age forever? Tell me why! How come? Say it! Say it!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:07 | 5685621 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

This is all beginning to resemble the dance sequence in "They Shoot Horses, Don't They?"

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:06 | 5685623 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Just close your eyes and BTFD, new highs are a given.

 

No matter what the ECB says we will explode dramatically higher, faster than your screen can render the reaction.  

 

The only question is will the DOW be back over 18000 by Thursday or Friday?

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:11 | 5685630 CunnyFunt
CunnyFunt's picture

I like the cut of your GSR.

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:15 | 5685641 Questan1913
Questan1913's picture

It's all a lie..........and here are 112 certified outright lies from five past State of the Union lie fests....

 

https://grabien.com/story.php?id=20735

 

..............punctuated by numerous standing ovations from CONgress folks!!!!!

 

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:17 | 5685645 Traderone
Traderone's picture

Another great opportunity to get long at European close and cover at VWAP. Hope y'all were paying attention.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:21 | 5685665 tyler
tyler's picture

Good shit, here is a biotech stock for my zh homies who hunt sheep, symbol OCRX.  Trading currently around $6.

Just don't mention it so I can upon my next appearance.

@tmatty17

 

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:24 | 5685681 Lea
Lea's picture

Back up, back down, up and down at a frantic pace. Given that they stampede upon reading only bloody headlines, no wonder.

What a circus.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:28 | 5685686 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Off topic but on my mind...WRT the surgeon shot in Boston....In my experience more doctors get shot than police. I was at a meeting bout 5 years ago sitting next to an endocrinologist who had been shot by an elderly disgruntled (obviously) patient a year before. I said wow that's so unusual. He pointed to 2 other guys who had also been shot who were sitting in the same room (with about 30 people total) Maybe it's just Vegas but I had a colleague shot and killed in Pueblo a few years earlier. Doctors are often shot because people are sick and need to blame someone. It is usually a tragedy and just wrong. This is also the case when cops get shot. The difference is that when a doctor gets murdered there is no show of solidarity and parade in his honor. No widow gets a life time pension. No building gets named in his honor no matter how good or loved he (or she, had one of those too, a friend) was. Maybe the police are just more sensitive to loss of life. At least in their ranks it would seem so.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 18:32 | 5685708 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Once the 'Great One' gives his SOTU speech the fun can begin. Can't have a bad day today as the teleprompter has already been programed.

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:06 | 5685813 nscholten
nscholten's picture

They are spraying like crazy in Phoenix.  Chem-trails blanketing the sky last two days

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:14 | 5685845 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Gold down 20 cents in after hours -- BTFD!

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 19:37 | 5685933 Limbs Akimbo
Limbs Akimbo's picture

 

 

BTW...now that oil has dropped, there is talk about raising the excise tax on gasoline.

Hmm.....

Proof once again, if there is any money left on the table, either the government or big business will take it. Leaving the little guy...well...little.

 

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 20:08 | 5686040 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

"U.S. stocks erased big, early losses Tuesday, turning modestly higher in afternoon activity as worries about deflation gave way to expectations the European Central Bank will deliver more aggressive stimulus when it meets on Thursday."

Okay. I get it.

Wed, 01/21/2015 - 01:56 | 5687166 knowshitsurelock
knowshitsurelock's picture

Nothing left for the algo's to mop up but the stops?  Nothing left to take except whipsawing the daytraders?

This market is so tapped out.

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