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"Buy The Dip" In Gold; BofAML Says EURUSD Bounces Should Be Sold

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"Gold is consolidating before its larger bull trend resumes," notes BofAML's MacNeil Curry looking for a move to $1345 and beyond. But it is today's modest bounce in EURUSD that they believe should be sold, and "seen as temporary and corrective of the larger bear trend."

Via BofAML,

€/$ is correcting. Bounces should be sold.

€/$ is correcting higher.

 However, this bounce should be seen as temporary and corrective of the larger bear trend. Look for topping into the 1.1325/1.1559 zone (old channel support, now resistance) before the larger downtrend resumes.

 

The initial target is 1.1000, ahead of the Sep'03 low at 1.0765. Our long-term targets are 1.0588/1.0283 (secular channel support and Elliott Wave swing target). We look for greater signs of a base into here, not before. Bulls need a break of 1.1876 (old Jun'10 low) to indicate medium-term basing, while a break off 1.2235 (200m MA) is needed to confirm a turn in the medium- and long-term bull trends, neither of which is expected.

*  *  *

 

Gold consolidates before higher

Gold has been caught in a 4-day consolidation. While there is risk of a deeper pullback, weakness should be limited to the 1267/1253 area (old channel resistance, the Oct-21 high and 200d avg.). Into here, we look for a resumption of the larger bull trend toward the 1345 Jul'14 high and potentially beyond.

Buy dips. 

 

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Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:47 | 5707469 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Dip, Schmip...  You should always be buying, and holding.  ;-)

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:53 | 5707494 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

What???!!!!

Wait!!!

Goldman says sell Gold (so I should be buying), but,

BoA says buy Gold (so I should be selling).

Now, WTF do I do???!!!!!

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:53 | 5707505 Billy Sol Estes
Billy Sol Estes's picture

Simple.

Since I don't own any gold, I will follow their advice and Buy some so I can get in while the market is hot and Sell it tomorrow and profit.

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:38 | 5708395 7.62x54r
7.62x54r's picture

Sure, buy some 100 to 1 leveraged GLD paper crap. If you get out in tme, you can make some more USDs.

One old Rothshild maxim is to get out after capturing 90% of a boom, and let the gamblers squable over the last 10%. You are squabling over that last 1%, in my opinion.

Maybe you should consider buying real assets and physical, and sit on the side with us smart folks, and just watch the coming trainwreck, while consuming moar popcorn?

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:03 | 5708463 Publicus
Publicus's picture

BofAML preparing the muppets for slaughter.

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 08:15 | 5709915 N2OJoe
N2OJoe's picture

When they scream sell, I keep calm and stack.

I start to worry when "people" like this say buy...

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:03 | 5707555 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

Holy crap!!!...The ruble is down over 7.5% today. Something going to break.

Gold and silver are down +1% &+2% today and the miners are up. TPTB are

treating world markets like they are playing a game of Monopoly. How arrogant. 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:28 | 5707676 dwayne elizando
dwayne elizando's picture

Their advice is aimed at FX/options/futures gamblers. It sounds more like a defense for the casino they run. Virtual dollars and virtual gold.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:49 | 5707762 brucyy
brucyy's picture

It's not gambling if you understand the game and use it to buy more phyz. Gold out of thin air , big boyz style.

Been doing it since '04 , 10oz of pure joy every quarters.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:34 | 5708384 7.62x54r
7.62x54r's picture

Now, WTF do I do???!!!!!

They want you to buy imaginary GLD paper gold. Buy real gold instead.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:51 | 5707495 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

Is that you Mr. Warren "Barbaric-Relic" Buffet?

 

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:53 | 5707506 Aeternus
Aeternus's picture

BofA says go short..... so that means go long right?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yloaBw80fV4

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:54 | 5707510 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

Cash out all your investments now, sell anything you have of value and are not presently using,

and buy silver with both hands and your feet if possible. Silver will at least triple in the next 2 years.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:23 | 5707661 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

Buy a gun and some canned food too.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:51 | 5707472 Deathrips
Deathrips's picture

SO paper gold charts of a free market ...eh?

 

Ill stick with the heavy stuff. Does anyone disagree that the markets are not a true reflection of supply and demand? If so please provide the source of 2 billion ounces of silver that were sold to get price below 15$.

 

 

RIPS

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:50 | 5707482 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Thank god there's no manipulation or anything........

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:54 | 5707502 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

merrill lynch and BOA are a bunch of idiots, do the opposite to make big bucks

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 15:54 | 5707503 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

And dont forget!

 

Currency trading is fun for the whole family!

 

I mean seriously...."buy gold!"?  Gee, thanks BofA.  Where were you in 2008?

 

Still...you did make a good purchase in Merrill.  Spinning that thing off might net 100 billion.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:05 | 5707560 Bangalore Torpedo
Bangalore Torpedo's picture

I'm sure I'll get downvoted for this as reality is always a bummer.  See those charts?  Until gold breaks above the key resistance levels of 1345 and 1433, it's still in a bear trend.  Lower highs and lower lows = BEAR.  Whether it should be higher is immaterial until it breaks that resistance.  So what does that mean?  Keep stacking.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:08 | 5707577 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

No down vote on that, I do think that resistance levels are highly over-rated......

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:23 | 5707651 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

Ed Steer had this to say on Saturday " JPMorgan's short position in silver is around 18,000 contracts, or 90 million ounces.  That's from a low of about 7,000 contracts a few weeks ago.  One can only imagine what the silver price would be today if they hadn't shorted this rally all the way up.

It was even worse in gold.  The Commercial net short position exploded by 40,134 contracts, or 4.01 million ounces.  The Commercial net short position has skyrocketed up to 17.78 million troy ounces. Gold is some distance above its 200-day moving average---and the RSI trace is well into overbought territory.  Silver has now kissed its 200-day moving average---and it's moved into overbought territory as well.

With the ugliest Commitment of Traders Report in years, all the warning flags are snapping in gale-force winds---and using the past as prologue, it isn't looking good."

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:07 | 5707568 SMC
SMC's picture

Only gold is money.

However, there is the risk that American citizens may have it confiscated again. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:11 | 5707592 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Anything with a definable trade value can be money but the "full faith and credit of the United States" is neither definable or a value.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:14 | 5707866 g'kar
g'kar's picture

Silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium weren't confiscated (turned in voluntarily) so buy them instead.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:06 | 5707573 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

AKA we need you to short euro because we are going to do the opposite. Look at the 1 yr chart in Euro USD it's a negative parabola (a negative bubble). Unless Euro completely collapses it's going to go higher.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:35 | 5707700 dwayne elizando
dwayne elizando's picture

You win, sir! The FX $ strength is bubblicious!

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:10 | 5707587 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

Alternative elliott wave count in gold:

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/time-running-find-gold-ready-collapse-600-oun...

 

Need to close above 1350, ideally 1400 for this scenario to cancel.

 


Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:10 | 5707588 Platypus
Platypus's picture

Oh gosh !! ZH telling you to sell strength on EUR/USD. The pair should be at the bottom : ) )

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:34 | 5707703 T-NUTZ
T-NUTZ's picture

Agree. muppets are short, big rally coming

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:18 | 5707631 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

Meh $1281 isn't much of a dip.

I'll rather wait and see if it breaks back down to the $1200 handle.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:29 | 5707679 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Bankruptcy of America and Muppet Looting, enough said.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:49 | 5707761 Greenspazm
Greenspazm's picture

Anyone who believes any of the technical analysis bullshit displayed above - including the fancy colored "trendlines" and "channels"- deserves everything they get.

I would like to see NOW a detailed extrapolation of the next 3 months of the charts based on the TA, and in May 2015 a comparison of the prediction and actual chart data.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:17 | 5707876 FABBAS
FABBAS's picture

gold to trade 1520 by july 2015

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:27 | 5707924 AdmTirpitz
AdmTirpitz's picture

X X  X X  X X  X X -These represent all my fingers & toes crossed.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:47 | 5707985 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

because nothing is more rare than a paper promise to deliver physical gold at some point in the distant future....

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:17 | 5708505 pacrim888
pacrim888's picture

So what should I do ? Buy more now or wait for better prices? Listen to BoA or Goldman ?

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:39 | 5708576 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

annnnnd gold tanks today

there it goes, right on cue...

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 00:16 | 5709345 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

I'm starting to understand why so many call it "chart porn".

Anyone got a sock I can borrow?

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 00:54 | 5709429 theyjustcantstop
theyjustcantstop's picture

jpm, and others have found their footing in Singapore, now we can be manipulated in all time-zones now.

 

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