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Lazy Greeks At Fault?? These Two Charts Suggest Otherwise!

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Thad Beversdorf via First Rebuttal blog,

Well things are gonna change in Europe.  Greece just voted in a majority no bullshit government.  These guys appear to be unimpressed by titles and focused on facts, as is discussed by Yanis Varoufakis, tipped to be Greece’s next Finance Minister, during an interview with UK’s Channel 4 News.  They seem to see things as right or wrong regardless of who’s mouth it’s coming from, which is great.  Now there is no such thing as a perfect politician and these fellas are left of left with a heavy socialist slant.  I obviously see no possibility of socialist ideology rebuilding a nation from the brink of bankruptcy.  That said, if this new government is loyal to the cause rather than the ideology, their integrity will get the job done.

But what is it that needs to get done in Greece?  That’s really the $64K question.  On the surface it seems as though Greece is simply a bunch of lazy sponges.  But I caution you to look at the facts before making a final judgement.  Remember Greece was once upon a time the genesis of democracy.  These people have been doing democracy longer than any other nation on earth.  And so I have a hard time accepting all of sudden after thousands of years they simply got too lazy to carry on the pride of the people who created the concept of a self-governed and free populace.  I just don’t buy it.  Let’s look deeper.

I was studying international economics in Oxford in 1999 and so was very keen on watching the debates surrounding the implementation of the Euro.  I remember even at the time there was tremendous controversy about what covenants were going to be placed on individual nations to ensure they all carried their own weight.  The difficulty with such a system is that you have very different industry strengths among the nation states and so to force a uniform set covenants seems to be heading toward disaster.  For instance look at the balance sheets of raw materials companies vs biotech firms.  If you forced all industries to have a uniform set of financial metrics it would end in disaster for some sectors while working well for other sectors.  The same is true on a macroeconomic level.  But don’t take my word for it.

Let’s see if we can find anything to support our theory that perhaps the uniform set of covenants and the other policies surrounding the Euro benefitted some nations but were damaging to others.  If it’s true then we must not be so harsh and quick to apply blame to the citizens of Greece.  We must also then be open to solutions that will contradict the status quo given the status quo brought us to this point.

So what we need to do is look at the economic performance of various nations before and after taking on the Euro.  The following chart depicts the economic performance, using total industry production cumulative growth as our indicator, of various EU nations for the 10 years leading up to the Euro implementation.

Screen Shot 2015-01-25 at 3.21.43 PM

We can see that Spain was doing exceptionally well with Greece and Italy slightly behind and then Germany and France bringing up the rear.  However, do note that all nations had similar trends (positive) during that 10 period.

Now let’s take a look at the relative performance of these same nations in the decade subsequent to the implementation of the Euro.  Certainly the Euro is not the only variable on economic performance but remember most economic shocks have the same impact on all economies.  That is, they are either positive or negative shocks to all economies.  But our theory suggests that the Euro will be good for some countries while damaging to others.  And so we are looking for a dislocation between relative performance.  Let’s see what we find.

Screen Shot 2015-01-25 at 3.26.55 PM

 

Very interesting.  It appears that while Germany was actually second to the bottom of economic growth through the 10 years leading up to the Euro, subsequent to implementation of the Euro German economic growth exploded.  That’s great, except that the four other comparative nations performed very poorly upon taking on the Euro.  And so as the theory predicted we do have a significant dislocation in the performance of individual nations.  This lends credence to the theory that the Euro was a positive stimulus to some nations but a negative shock to other nations.  It means that the Euro itself and its respective policies may very well be the destructive force as opposed to a weakness of character of the southern nations.

What we need to take from this is that because some nations like Germany are doing well while others are not doesn’t mean the Germans are just better citizens or workers.  It may very well mean the Euro and its respective policies created an advantage for the Germans and a disadvantage for the Greeks. This shouldn’t surprise us as here in America we have the very same problem.

The only difference being the US has two luxuries Greece, Spain, Italy and France do not have, namely the world reserve currency and the ability to print money.  If the US had the same constraints we too would be defaulting on debt with negative economic growth.  That is an absolute and indisputable fact.  If you need to check on that proposition, read my past 4 articles and you will have no remaining doubts.

Now I’m not negating all responsibility from the Greeks themselves.  What I’m saying is let’s look further into the facts given the above charts provide support that the Euro itself or perhaps its policies are the problem.  Let’s understand what dynamics resulted in the current situation. Let’s understand all of the options that are available to Greece and not just the desired options suitable to the Lords of the ECB and the Oligarchs.

There is a new sheriff in town and he seems to have the right mindset.  Let’s give him a chance to do the right things.  My hope is his objective will be for a prosperous nation rather than proving some ideological point of socialism vs capitalism.  A prosperous working class, guaranteed individual rights and freedom, these should be the end game.

So to pull this all together, my point is to show that what you think you know about the Greek situation is likely not the real issue as shown in the charts above.  Therefore we need to be open to understanding what the issues are, what the options are and nailing down a final solution to the devastation.  Know that we will be inundated with propaganda telling us how this new government is going to ruin all of Europe and perhaps the world.  The ECB will work with banks and opposition to intentionally make things worse while blaming the new government for failing in an attempt to create unrest amongst the people.  These are the things our current Western leaders do to get their way.  We saw it in Northern Africa and we see it in Ukraine.  It is a sad fact of life that the world must currently endure.  But let’s be strong and at least give this new Greek government a chance to live up to the standards they have set for themselves.  If they fail so be it.  But let’s not kill all hope before hope has a chance to blossom into prosperity.

 

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Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:19 | 5707640 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

It doesn't matter how hard the citizens work.  The more resources the government steals from the private sector, the worse your economy will do.  It has nothing to do with the citizenry.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:31 | 5707683 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

Borrowing from the future to pay for the present is always a bad idea.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:38 | 5707701 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Bankers sell other people's future everyday, it must be easy when you have no morals, no compassion, no empathy and an empty soul.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:38 | 5707714 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

And a complicit government that grants you corporate personhood, and issues a monopoly currency, and sets interest rates.....

Banks aren't the  problem.  Government tainted markets are the problem.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:44 | 5707739 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Agreed, but its easier for me to socially ostracize a person rather than a corporation to effect change.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:18 | 5707882 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

Agreed, but the corporation wouldn't exist without government regulation, so start by ostracizing your government officials!

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:56 | 5707801 madcows
madcows's picture

it can't be both corporations and immoral govern-ers?

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:30 | 5707684 lordylord
lordylord's picture

"The more resources the government steals from the private sector, the worse your economy will do."

Obligatory socialist/Statist response:  MUH ROADS!!!

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:45 | 5707705 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Most of what's going on here is the ECB trying to bully and punish Greece to prevent a PIIGS revolt that has been simmering for awhile. If they don't bring them to heal quickly other countries on the edge will start to revolt themselves. They think they can control the situation but like the Greek citizens, the little people are getting tired of being stomped and any politician who wants to keep their job will have to tread lightly for fear of overthrow. After the revolution things will be different, not better, just different.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:41 | 5708189 Treason Season
Treason Season's picture

The leader of the Independent Greek seems like a real deal.

http://www.larouchepub.com/other/2014/4144_greece_silk_rd.html

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:46 | 5707756 Lost My Shorts
Lost My Shorts's picture

It matters a lot how productive citizens are.

One way to explain the charts above (which the authors don't consider, perhaps revealing their bias) is:  when Greece and Spain entered the Euro, their former currencies (and hence wages from that point onward) were pegged much too high.  Workers got a windfall raise at the Euro-join, but it also made their industry uncompetitive and set it on a path of stagnation.

The Euro is just a scapegoat in all of this.  The failure is political.  Some countries don't have the political character or will to live in a hard currency regime, and any effort to try will end badly.

It's ironic that socialists free-spenders and money printers are usually vilified on ZH, except when they are leftists in southern Europe, in which case they are heroes !!  Greece will soon be back to permanent hyperinflation which is their natural state.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:57 | 5707806 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

Precisely.

I can remember being in Spain on business a few years before the Euro discussing these issues with the locals. It got a little heated with one gent there. He objected to the analysis I offered on local wages, prices relative to productivity levels and the massive fiscal transfers already underway from Brussels to Spain.

Finally I said: "using German money won't make you folks Germans".

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:46 | 5707983 Excursionist
Excursionist's picture

The charts in this article should be Exhibit A in every introductory statistics course when the professor says, "Correlation is not causation."

There was a Greek national in my section in business school..  presumably one of the best and brightest the country had to offer.  The guy was able to convert oxygen into carbon dioxide when breathing, but that was about the extent of his contributions.  Washed out after the first year.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:05 | 5708288 logicalman
logicalman's picture

So, you've met one Greek.

Of course that means that all Greeks are the same.

Just think, if an alien met you, they'd think all humans were mentally retarded.

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 23:52 | 5709271 Excursionist
Excursionist's picture

Any population of even minimal size lacks homogeneity, but congrats on the strawman you've stitched together.

And guilty as charged on mental retardation, as it's perhaps my dysfunctional amygdalae that prevent me from feeling any sympathy whatsoever for a population that, as a whole, has exhibited corruption and laziness off the charts by Western standards.

What I believe to be truly, clinically retarded, however, is all the Greek apologists casting Greeks as victims who are righteous in their path to a repudiation of their obligations.  Lot to be learned from the Irish...

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:17 | 5708330 John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

The author also conveniently ignors the fact that Germany underwent major labor reforms reducing union power (the right to fire unproductive workers, for example) in the transition period while Greece become more unionized and central government and its worthless lazy beurocrats) grew by leaps and bounds.  These are the controlling variables, competition,the profit motive, economic freedom and minimal central planning, not the incident correlated variable, the common currency, responsible for relative economic performance.  And surely no sane person who has ever interacted with state beauocracy can deny these parasitic slugs are lazy.  Just visit your local DMV to refresh your memory, or try interacting with the IRS or Homeland Security.

And author, remind me,  does Greece have an auto industrial, a chemical industry, electronics industry, machine tools industry etc.  Can they even grow enough food to feed themselves?  No!  There's a quality reason for the reason people buy Bosch tools, BMW cars, Bayer chemicals even if it requires a currency premium.  Greece has always specialized in tourism and shipping.  The former was hurt by the adoption of the Euro which made prices less competitive vis a vis the tourists from Germany etc.  and the latter by the ongoing world wide recession.  It needs the drachma to force it to quit sponging off the productive Northern Europeans.

And if you needed any other example of why a currencie's strength is a effect not a cause of economic productivity look no further than Switzerland with its uberstrong currency.  Its still an economic juggarnaut due to the productivity, creativity and relative economic (and gun) freedom of the Swiss people.

Greece would never have been able to run up the kind of debt it has if the bonds were denominated in drachmas.  They need to adjust to a lower standard of living, or become more productive.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:34 | 5708381 Lost My Shorts
Lost My Shorts's picture

I think their future curency will be the dr000,000,000chma.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:34 | 5708552 Its_the_economy...
Mon, 01/26/2015 - 23:16 | 5709137 nicxios
nicxios's picture

Workers got a windfall raise at the Euro-join, but it also made their industry uncompetitive and set it on a path of stagnation.

Possibly because Germany got their workers to go along with suppressing their wages at the outset? Either way, the result of their neoliberal policies: millions of German workers living in poverty http://www.dw.de/millions-of-german-workers-in-poverty/a-18212765

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:23 | 5708107 gimme-gimme-gimme
gimme-gimme-gimme's picture

I think the situation here is that the majority of the states who joined the EU were not on equal competitive footing as countries like Germany or the other scandanavian states part of the EU.

Germany's grand plan was to have these less competitive states become more competitive on their own, but as the data shows Germany stole growth at the expense of these less competitive states.

In a normal Union like in the USA you have balance of transfers from the stonger states to the less stronger states so that there is consistency in standard of living across the board.

Either the stronger nations are going to have to forgive debts and help these weaker nations become more productive economically or kick them out or disolve the EU.

Since the Eurozone is more of a political project, I think Greece has a good chance of getting some of the financial burdens forgiven since it's better for Europe in the long run.

If you really want to blame someone, blame the bankers who are just trying to gut the country of any type of wealth they have and foot the Greek people with a big bill regardless.

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 22:16 | 5714138 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

The EU established impossible standards of labor, employment, manufacturing, quality, recycling, etc. that only the huge German corporations could navigate or bypass at will.  That's why Germany prospered.  The same thing is happening in the U.S. Every new page of Federal regulations crushes the small employers to the benefit of the huge corporations. 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:19 | 5707641 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

Nothing to do with China then?

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:35 | 5707708 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

 Counterpoint being that without the chinese government, the chinese people would be  MORE well off.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:21 | 5707642 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The Greeks are not lazy -  they work VERY hard at figuring out how to avoid paying any taxes!

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:26 | 5707663 cossack55
cossack55's picture

My nephew is a CPA. He has built a 30 year career on figuring out how to avoid paying taxes.  He works about 60 hours a week.  Maybe he is Greek.  I'll ask my brother.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:30 | 5707686 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

Real American Heros

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:52 | 5707782 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Probably the most productive thing they can be doing to fight the raping they're currently undergoing at the hand of Brussels.  After they exit the Euro, then the most productive thing they can do is rebuild their country and lifestyle.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:22 | 5707645 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

If you want to know why Greece is where they are at, I suggest you read this article from 5 years ago:

 

http://www.vanityfair.com/business/features/2010/10/greeks-bearing-bonds...

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:46 | 5707749 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Goldman is appropriately mentioned in the intro.

They "advise" all over the world. When you hear of their involvement, you know it is going to be a fist fuck / bag man scenario.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:22 | 5707647 barroter
barroter's picture

Rich gotta blame someone but themselves...

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:27 | 5707921 blindman
blindman's picture

Frank Zappa - Trouble Every Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=girnJH7tvpM

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:30 | 5707685 scaffold
scaffold's picture

It is simple. Before Euro there was competition and free market. After euro there is centrally planned economy and market.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:32 | 5707688 ucde
ucde's picture

Greeks themselves didn't even receive the loans in question, see the final half an hour of this talk:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQuHSQXxsjM

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:33 | 5707692 Surging Chaos
Surging Chaos's picture

I don't think it's "laziness" more or less. While I can see the "Greeks are lazy fucks!" argument, I think it has more to do with how warm climates discourage saving and thus cause stagnant economic growth.

To build an economy, you have to save. Saving provides the ability to create capital and further increase your wealth. If you live in a climate where winter is a thing, you are pretty much compelled to save so you can survive the cold months. But if you live in a climate where winters are very mild or in the tropics where seasons pretty much don't exist, there is zero incentive to save. That means there is less capital being created as people live more day-to-day than living for the long-term.

It would explain why countries that are in the tropics or the equator have horrible economies and countries in temperate/higher latitudes have well-developed economies.

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:45 | 5707744 clade7
clade7's picture

 Que the eskimo financialists!! Get to Greece stat and show them how its done!

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:11 | 5708032 Bob
Bob's picture

Now we know who the Rothchilds and Rockefellers answer to!  Scary shit, that . . . long whale blubber ice cream!

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:52 | 5707779 Dave Thomas
Dave Thomas's picture

A.K.A. Sun People / Ice People

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:29 | 5708370 John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

And also explains the very different IQs of northern (high) vs southern (e.g. African) people.  Its the evolution selection of cognitive ability not the melanine in the skin, though both are correlated with the controlling variable, seasonal temperature variation due to the amount of sunlight reaching the earth as a function of latitude (i.e. harsh Northern winters make you innovate or die)

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:34 | 5707699 KingOfMilwaukee
KingOfMilwaukee's picture

Name the last time anyone here bought anything made in Greece. Nuff said.

You can't survive being an occasional tourist destination with good olive oil. Greece makes nothing the world wants. Yet they have ridiculous entitlements they can't afford.

I don't view Greece as a victim.... unless you count being a victim of their own stupidity.

 

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:40 | 5707728 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Your name may or may not be some kind of a beer reference. But we know you arte knocking doen 3 to 4 bottles of Ouzo a day.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:49 | 5707988 FreeMoney
FreeMoney's picture

"You can't survive being an occasional tourist destination with good olive oil."

 

Yes you can, but not if you overspend your budget by more than 10% every single year.  Greeks have been drowning themselves in debt every year and only adding more gas to the fire.  As a Euro member, they cant print their way Argentina style to a balance and they cant pay the interest only on the pile of debt they have.

 

They will have to:  

Balance their budget.

Default on their debt.

Leave the Euro so they can print their way to Socialist/Marxist/Keynesian heaven.

Find someone to borrow from.

Find someone to steal from.

 

Knowing it will be weasel dick politians, and lefties at that, making the choice, what is the easy path?

 

I predict Greece will be testing the resolve of Germany to keep the Euro together.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:11 | 5708306 logicalman
logicalman's picture

If Greece had the control of the world's reserve currency and the big printing press, I think they might be saying about Americans what the Americans are now saying about Greece.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:40 | 5708404 John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

Or thinking logically as you suggest you do, if they had a Boeing, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Chemical, Monsanto, Cargill etc and the scientific and technological know how of say, the Swiss, (Nestle, Novartis, Roche etc), they wouldn't be in the situation they are in now.  Yeah, they came up with geometry and the concept of atoms 2 millenia ago, but what have they done lately? 

So, does control of the reserve currency come from productivity and control of the majority of the world's GDP (see Britain before us) or the other way around, Mr. LogicalMan?  Whats the independent variable, always an important thing to identify when trying to understand cause and effect and not confuse the two or impute causation when mere correlation is more appropiate.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:47 | 5708211 Treason Season
Treason Season's picture

Just bought some Hellenic tahini yesterday.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:26 | 5708536 fel.temp.reparatio
fel.temp.reparatio's picture

What's your argument? That Greece doesn't export anything of worth, to anyone worthy? Au contrare mon ami...

http://www.worldsrichestcountries.com/top_greece_exports.html

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:34 | 5707702 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

actually

These people have been doing democracy longer than any other nation on earth. 

Given the craphole that democracy has turned out to be, I'd say you are damning them with faint praise.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:35 | 5707706 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

The Author is absolutely correct.

It's not Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Siemens, Bosch, Porsche, Volkswagen, dozens of world-class Mittlestand machine tool and engineering firms, a world-class fine chemicals industry, relatively clean government, public efficiency and order, tax-paying citizenry and autobahns that separate Germany from Greece.

It's the differential impact of the Euro. 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:40 | 5707725 Remington IV
Remington IV's picture

Greeks = "bend over"

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:43 | 5707734 ucde
ucde's picture

"It is simple. Before Euro there was competition and free market."

You can just say that sovereign nations could print their own currencies, if thats the idea you want to convey. Calling it a free market conflates it with the Hayek/Friedman/Chicago school notion of a heavily deregulated economy, which the economies of Europe were not in the period prior to joining the EU.

Modern western Europe was economically bootstrapped into being via a massively state-sponsored-spending campaign called the Marshall plan. Pretty much the antithesis of free market economics. Prior to that the economies were nationalized for years on a war footing. So its really hard to say if anything in recent European economic history would qualify as a 'free market'. 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:43 | 5707735 Joe A
Joe A's picture

That's because Germany got flooded with cheap 'reunification' Euros: Workers paying part of their salary to pay for the reunification even after that was paid for. That flooded the German banks with money they loaned to whomever wanted to borrow. Not only came that back with interest but also functioned as an export subsidy and pushed competition out of the market. And when trouble came around the German banks were bailed out by the Troika. The reunification of Germany was the best thing that happened to the country but probably the worst thing for the rest of the continent.

Europe wide imposed austerity pushed by Germany has now boomeranged. People are not spending. On top of that the sanctions against Russia which also backfires. Deflation on the rise.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:50 | 5707772 Debugas
Debugas's picture

these two graphs is an excelet example when you force several countries to adobt single currency and open up their borders for free trade - THE MOST COMPETITIVE ONE WINS and THE REST LOSE

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:54 | 5707784 Nussi34
Nussi34's picture

Of course the Euro is the problem. Everyone knows this by now.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:57 | 5707800 Irish66
Irish66's picture

Most of us here in Greece work 7 days a week, 12-15 hours a day for 7-8 months of the year. I'm open all year round but have shorter hours for the winter.  I pay all taxes but dont make enough to employ more help due to the taxes called ECA for employees.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:00 | 5707820 youngman
youngman's picture

What we need to take from this is that because some nations like Germany are doing well while others are not doesn’t mean the Germans are just better citizens or workers....I disagree..Germans are better workers and do work hard.....Not all peoples are the same...and Socialism does not work...especially like a currency....Greece overspent when they could..and now they do not want to pay....typical Greeks...but make them pay...they really have no economy...the shipping was taken over by the Chinese and the Middle East....olive oil...and tourists...and good greek salads do not put the population to work...and everyone works for the government...guaranteed income...and a big pension...

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:03 | 5707827 Quantum Nucleonics
Quantum Nucleonics's picture

Gee, nice chart.  To bad it's totally bogus.  Remember that Greece was faking its economic data in the run up to the intro of the Euro so it could meet the conditions to join.  Looks like Spain and Italy had the fluffer hard at work too.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:12 | 5708317 logicalman
logicalman's picture

ALL governments' figures are bogus and made up to keep governments in place.

FIFY

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 23:33 | 5709212 nicxios
nicxios's picture

All countries were cooking books in the runup to Euro. Germany wanted it's CB to revalue gold reserves higher, then count it as income to get around deficit rules. Maastricht stated you can sell gold to pay down debt but not to fudge deficit numbers. https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/files/working_papers/PSGE_WP8_6.pdf

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:03 | 5707831 blindman
blindman's picture

i agree with the author's sentiments and
presentation. then there is this .....
.
here a tune that came to mind, unfortunately.
Randy Newman - It's Money That I Love
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRYg2mvT_Ow
.
Yanis Varoufakis: Why I am running for election in Greece on the SYRIZA ticket
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbxZB6HYY8k
.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:06 | 5707845 adonisdemilo
adonisdemilo's picture

When Germany tagged the Euro, the Mark was valued to give Germany an exchange rate advantage because they were pulling the strings.

When Greece adopted the Euro they had no chance of an accurate valuation because GoldenSax cooked the books.

A deliberate policy of mismanagament, they knew what the end game would be but they pushed too hard and too far.

If the old German Mark was still being used, imports from Germany would be so expensive they would have followed the rest of the PIIGS +France into the toilet.

I hope Syriza fucks them good and hard.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:27 | 5707919 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

How can Syriza fuck Germany without fucking Greece at the same time?

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 22:25 | 5708946 Escapedgoat
Escapedgoat's picture

1) Default on the Euro.

2) Go back to OWN (Previously the Drachma was controlled by Rothchilds and other Cronies) Drachma

3) EXECUTE and then take to Court all Politicians entangled in this crime and all Banksters

4) Ask Germany for the UNPAID WAR REPARATIONS and UNPAID Forced Loan of 1942.

5) Close Borders for the Local Currency

6) Get out of the EU

7) Lease  Suda Bay Base to Russians, for Oil and GAS

8) Arm all the Citizens for Defence.

9) Declare that Citizens that do not participate in a democratic process will serve as lowly paid government workers.

10) Bribery and theft of State property will be punished by confiscating all their property and be sent to EXILE.

 

Sorry for the Long list, but I am sure there are others.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:49 | 5708434 John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

Nice thesis except for an inconvenient fact, Germany's largest trading partner is China and they run a surplus with them too!  Even the Chinese don't want to buy crappy Chinese tools, so they pay up front like I do when I buy Bosch tools, so I don't have to replace them every year!  A good circular saw or milling machine can easily last you 20-40 years as can a BMW-also wildly popular in China!  Most Chinese (and Europeans too) also prefer pure chemicals from BASF to the kind of crap produced in China where bribery and coruption as as oriental as Budda.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:07 | 5707850 Prober
Prober's picture

Greek government/society is far more corrupt, deceitful, unscrupulous, thieving and parasitic than lazy.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:31 | 5707938 blindman
blindman's picture

are you singleing out one nation/people?

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:12 | 5708065 Prober
Prober's picture

Greeks are top performers in western Europe.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:23 | 5708108 blindman
blindman's picture

some refer to it as the periphery of
western europe.
fraudulent induction of debt does not
constitute "money" or "risk management"
as the current exemplars of finance would
like you to believe. davos scum rising ...
goldman loyd b. says 2015 is even more
promising than 2014.
.
Randy Newman - It's Money That I Love
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRYg2mvT_Ow
.
Frank Zappa - Trouble Every Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=girnJH7tvpM
.
oh, well.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:33 | 5707944 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Has anyone on here been to Portugal lately and say 15/20 years ago? Struth Ruth talk about decay. While the fat PIG that is J.M. Barroso lorded it from the pulpit of Brussels the STENCH he left behind in Portugal is shameful.

This CUNT let in the Troika wolves and let them run riot with the Chinese coming late to pick off the carcass.

Remember Potemkin in Ireland where they sealed off 30 square miles to let Barry & Merkel & Cameron saunter around doing selfies whilst painting over shops that used to sell some of the finest produce in the world.

Greece is NOT ALONE. Europe is a TOILET BOWL bar some wealthy Ghettos.

FUCK THE EU.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 17:42 | 5707976 gaoptimize
gaoptimize's picture

"More than they wanted freedom, the Athenians wanted security. Yet they lost everything—security, comfort, and freedom. This was because they wanted not to give to society, but for society to give to them. The freedom they were seeking was freedom from responsibility. It is no wonder, then, that they ceased to be free. In the modern world, we should recall the Athenians' dire fate whenever we confront demands for increased state paternalism."

-Margaret Thatcher

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:13 | 5708063 MEFOBILLS
MEFOBILLS's picture

I’ve posted here before on Greek scenario;

 

  1. Post WW2 Greek Government is subsidized by Britain and U.S. as bulwark against Communism.  This leads to a certain mindset of politicians handing out favors.

  2. Soviet Union falls, Euro comes into being

  3. Greece prints sovereign bonds and hands them to German/French/British banks to create Credit Euros.  These banks are commercial private banks

    1. Note:  This fails a cardinal rule in economics.  Never let your debt point outside of your legal system

  4. Credit Euros are spent into Greek Economy, usually on political favors

    1. This fails another economic rule:  Always spend credit type money on improving production, never on consumption.

  5. Credit Euro’s soon leave Greek economy in trade for a BMW or some other manufactured good.

  6. These credit Euros soon pile up as savings and increased money supply in German Banks.

  7. Former Debt Instrument, hypothecated into being at step 3 above is demanding usury.  It is growing, but former Greek Euro’s have vectored away from Greece’s money supply.

  8. Greek politicians type up another bond.  They then refinance the former bond.

    1. This breaks another rule:  Never allow usury of one bond become principle in a new one. This makes the interest equation go exponential.  This is a serious usurious maneuver that should be illegal.

  9. Germany continues to be mercantile and exports more than they import

    1. This breaks another rule:  Economies should balance, especially with goods and services. 

      1. Note:  Germany could not get out of Versailles debts because America limited her imports.  Hence Germany couldn’t sell goods in exchange for needed dollars.  Here is a case of Germany not learning from her own history.

  10. Debt instruments continue to grow, and now are growing outside of nature in an inexorable exponential fashion.

  11. Bond holders want to be paid, and now enter into harvest phase, demanding Greek Islands and other real property

    1. The law does not step in and cancel onerous debts.

      1. No law broken here, but it is a shame that man has not learned these mechanisms.  Shame on us.

 

Note:  Aristotle and Lycurgus of Sparta knew more about money than all the current economists in Greece or Germany today.

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 06:06 | 5709755 litemine
litemine's picture

1.This fails another economic rule: Always spend credit type money on improving production, never on consumption.

The American leaderships should have learned this one.......The first money priteed should have built Infrastucture. That would have created jobs and backing to Obama's "You didn't build that" comment.  

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:43 | 5708196 amadeus39
amadeus39's picture

Looking for facts to support a theory is not good science. Cherry picking facts to support a theory is easier though.  

 

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:16 | 5708328 logicalman
logicalman's picture

Looking for facts that disprove a theory is good science.

If you can't find any, the theory stands, if you do, the theory falls.

It's called the scientific method.

Most scientists hope for facts that disprove theories, as it tends to lead to new knowledge.

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 18:44 | 5708198 pcrs
pcrs's picture

Self governed, what a nonsense concept. I force myself to do stuff through Tony.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:09 | 5708258 The Wizard
The Wizard's picture

What do you mean the people aren't to blame in the blame game. By not contesting a jump into the Eurozone and Euro, they created their demize. Just because the centrist con artists were able to con-vince them it was a good deal and they could live off of the fat of the Euro (at least for awhile), didn't mean they had to join in.

Fascists do what they do best leach off of the people. If the people don't object they get to sleep in the slop.

The only real danger that exists is man, himself. Since we allow the evil, we are the origin of it.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:08 | 5708298 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

LISTEN! I'm a PhD in Economics and can categorically state that Greece has been propping up the German Economy for the best part of 15 years.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:20 | 5708333 logicalman
logicalman's picture

Admitting to being a PhD in economics is not neccessarily proof of anything, as economics is based on false premises.

A science, it is not.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:16 | 5708502 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Ok logicalman you got me , i'm a PhD in Bullshitting which is an exact science.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:18 | 5708335 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

The free shit army here ain't lazy.  They just rather get it for free.  Same with the Greco.  Lazy is such a harsh word, don't you think.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:18 | 5708336 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

The free shit army here ain't lazy.  They just rather get it for free.  Same with the Greco.  Lazy is such a harsh word, don't you think.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:22 | 5708348 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

Hey ZH ers, You do know that the Greek victor are filthy Marxist?   Ahh, but they hate them some Oligarch.  

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:40 | 5708407 Accounting101
Accounting101's picture

Ha! Beat it Jamie Dimon. Or is it Blankfein.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:24 | 5708349 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

Oh, now I get it, them hate them some Joo's too, and luv on them PAL's.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 19:45 | 5708418 butchtrucks
butchtrucks's picture

A single currency across disparate economies is a ludicrous concept.  This was always going to end in tears.  The pain of 'internal devaluation' as peripheral countries like Greece try and compete with Germany was eventually going to be intolerable to the electorate.  The sooner Greece ditches the Euro the better for all concerned.

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 20:46 | 5708613 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

First of all Thad Beversdorf is my porn name, so i'm calling BS on this author.

 

Secondly i have met enough Greeks to know without a doubt they are chubby lazy smelly hairy bastards, no offense; and that's just the women.

He could have said the Euro is a f_cking stupid idea and i would have thought the guy was a genius. Instead he shows me a chart to prove that Greeks are not lazy, when they haven't done a damn thing since the Parthenon.

 

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 22:45 | 5709032 Chipped ham
Chipped ham's picture

I halfway followed this unfold. During the run up I was rooting for Syriza for no other reason than to stick it to the man. Then I find out they're socialists.

But your comment is thoughtful:

A prosperous working class, guaranteed individual rights and freedom, these should be the end game.

Socialist or not, if these are their goals, I wish them success.

Sounds a bit like the way the USA was before 1913.

Go Greece!

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 03:27 | 5709607 firefightergr
firefightergr's picture

In the first place getting Greece in the euro was like placing a LADA in a F1 race.

We never had heavy industry other than tourism and that's to blame the politicians for.

Greek scientists and laborers are thriving throughout the world.

Bad politics that's all,lazy people can be found in every nations people and we have some here and some dumb too,but they are not to blame for the bad financial status.

Greetings from Hellas. (only Finland has our countrie name right)

 

Tue, 01/27/2015 - 13:27 | 5711447 RealistDuJour
RealistDuJour's picture

Repeat after me... Correlation is not indicative of Causation.  Correlation is not indicative of Causation.

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